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Archive for October 17, 2019

Back this ‘Brexit deal’ if you want to. But with these politicians and anymore like them in charge, we will soon look back and wonder what was different to simply staying in

October 17, 2019 1 comment

This was supposed to be a day when we would all feel happy. When we could see that democracy was and will be delivered. When we knew that the first big steps had been take  to bring those who voted Leave or Remain back together. A time to finally feel happy for all of those who had been involved.

But its not. In fact it isn’t any such thing.

The ‘Brexit deal’ that Boris Johnson has come back with might look different to what Theresa May came back with, but ultimately it has all the right devices for unscrupulous politicians to progressively take the UK right back in.

Yes, it sounds out of kilter to even say this. But with the mechanisms in place within this plan that put political organisations in the driving seat over future negotiations and meaningful steps, the cost of the UK actually walking away from the EU in the future could at the very least be to abandon Northern Ireland, when keeping the UK together was always a key part of the long-term Brexit play.

The devices that have been agreed do not allow the trouble free exit at any time that should always have been any Prime Minister’s key requirement of a pre-departure deal, which itself should never have bene necessary if the politicians in charge had stepped off from the Referendum Result and done exactly as they had been told.

Without the ability to negotiate freely – and that means retaining the ability to simply walk away without any serious implications involved, politicians will now have their hands tied just enough to make the weak minded amongst them see the return of increasing and progressive alignment with the EU a more attractive option to what they will perceive only as the alternative risk when they are always looking for ways to look good for the papers, embracing their need to change things simply for the sake of change and being obsessed with sweeping away anything they consider to be old.

Of course there is little consideration of the question of Scottish Independence here too. And whilst many of us find Nicola Sturgeon to be little more than a walking cradle of antagonism and ambition, there is a reality at work that with the genie of Scottish devolution well-and-truly out of the bottle, sooner or later we will have to indulge a further Scottish Independence Referendum – which will raise serious questions then about two land borders if those who covet Independence in Scotland should then get their way.

This deal is a lousy package of measures that will only appear to break the Brexit logjam and deliver a real Brexit if Parliament were to Vote it through this coming Saturday.

At its very best it is the tool of choice that Boris and Dominic Cummings have used in the convoluted hope that they can still get a No Deal Brexit legitimately through.

However, I am now in no way feeling hopeful. Boris today looks like he is the spitting image of his Remain-obsessed predecessor Theresa May.

 

Published at 12.02pm

 

Categories: Brexit, Europe, Uncategorized

The Brexit we voted for is now in the hands of the DUP and the MPs hellbent on Remain

October 17, 2019 Leave a comment

Watching the news unfold this morning, it is important for anyone who believes in a genuine Brexit not to believe that the DUP are the villains of the peace here. We could already be in a situation here where Leaving the EU might rely on being saved by politicians from Northern Ireland and the MPs who are advocating Remain.

As I am writing, there is talk of white smoke in Brussels and rumours that an EU Official has confirmed that a deal has been done. 

What they haven’t said is whether the DUP are on board with it. There are questions about why the news is coming from the EU (who are not in any way above trying to bounce others into something) and we certainly don’t know if this is the same version being played up at 7 O’Clock this morning, whether there has been further concession or what kind of evolutions might have been involved.

If it turns out that this version is exactly the same, we must hope that the DUP stick to their guns over the reality of how much power this ridiculous plan would gift to Sinn Fein over the UK’s influence over the future of Northern Ireland.

The whole approach to dealing with the question of the Backstop and Northern Ireland employed here is in no way treating the whole UK as a single entity.

What it does do is much of any Irish Republican’s work for them by erecting what might be a slimmed-down border in the Irish Sea from May’s attempt at a deal – but is a border within the UK nonetheless.

It was always a risk for Boris to pin his colours to the mast of Leaving with or without a deal on October 31st – with the situation in Parliament as it is.

The reality that delivering Brexit in these circumstances was always going to be about playing the long game – which is exactly what the Remainers have done.

The rich irony in that is for those who believe that the UK should have the Brexit that the British People Voted for in 2016, it is their obsession with stopping Brexit of any kind in the coming days that might just ultimately ensure that we aren’t sold out by Boris and the bastard child of May’s Withdrawal Deal and that we finally get taken out of the EU properly by a government and leadership yet to come.

 

Published at 10.58am

Categories: Uncategorized

No Boris, this isn’t taking back control on our terms. It’s just about winning with yours

October 17, 2019 1 comment

So reality dawns on the Withdrawal Agreement that Boris and the EU have made. And like everything that has the stamp of the EU and it’s negotiators on it, there are multiple levels of bullshit involved.

The red lines on an agreement that is either the final deal or just the way that we finally open the door were always going to be that we could walk away from it cleanly without ties at any time, and that there would be no compromise of the integrity of the UK possible now or at any future time.

From the detail entering the public domain today, it appears increasingly clear that Boris has compromised on both.

We do not know if this fudge was always part of a grand plan that would make a no deal Brexit inevitable, simply because the terms would eventually be picked apart again and seen exactly for what they are – as was repeatedly the case with Mrs May’s.

But whether it was or it wasn’t, Boris is treating people on one side or the other as fools right now, precisely at the time when People wanted change and a new kind of leadership from the new Prime Minister- not for things to remain just the same.

All will soon be forgotten if we end up Leaving the EU without a deal and cleanly on October the 31st. But the fact is that Boris seems to be playing a very dangerous game with the future of this Country when the deck is almost entirely stacked against him and he has such a limited level of control.

Published at 7.25am 

Categories: Uncategorized
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