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Keir Starmer: Another Gutless Shitwizard who believes Opposition is just a waiting room for power

Right now, I, like many others, would love for there to be a fully functioning Opposition to this Government. A spectre haunting every movement they make and taking apart everything the Johnson Government has done.

It wouldn’t matter what the Opposition politics or background were. Just to have someone, some people, some politicians who are in precisely the right place, at the right time to ask the right questions and hinder the Government over everything that they have done. It would mean that we had an Opposition that were being everything that the British People need Her Majesties Opposition – and specifically, their Leader to be.

But there is no opposition. It simply isn’t there. The Official Leader of the Opposition is little more than an empty chair.

At the time when someone with a legal mind and professional background as a barrister should be using the very specific set of career skills and the experience that we do know Keir Starmer has, he should be eviscerating each and every one of the Government’s Covid Policies. Yet instead of a voice of reason and an inspirational passion for all of the people that we are repeatedly told the Labour Party stand for, a meaningful form of Opposition leadership is simply nowhere to be seen.

What we have instead is an Opposition that is making up the numbers. Under Starmer, Labour is providing an insurance plan that underwrites the Johnson Government’s wayward Covid Policies – all of them being whimsically led by what will surely prove to be one of the most defective Prime Ministerial terms the UK has ever had.

After the chaos and quantum leap backwards, engineered by Jeremy Corbyn’s tenure, it has been easy for commentators to suggest that Labour is in the middle of an existential crisis.

There was a belief that Keir Starmer was the safest pair of hands that the Party had. But that doesn’t account for the disturbing reality that the whole of the British Political System is itself going through an existential Crisis. One so bad that it should not be difficult for any political leader who can connect with people and understand them to pull their own Party – and potentially the whole British Political System through to daylight the other side.

Keir Starmer’s trademark policy has instead to prop up a dangerous buffoon. And as I anticipated in the blog I published in May 2020 Keir Starmer has proven not to be the man for all seasons that we now so desperately need.

In fact, his tenure is far worse than I could have imagined 14 months ago. Starmer has instead driven Boris to do his absolute worst with Covid Policies that our Parliament and all the 650 MPs within it should never ever have approved.

The latest let down in Starmers idea of public representation is Starmers open support for Vaccine Passports; a form of divisive draconian social policing that there is simply no logic or legitimacy to any argument of support.

In terms of the so-called ‘progressive’ causes that the Labour left have championed for so long, this move to support a Policy that is set to legitimise prejudice and division between people who once relied on for help, tells us that what is left of the Labour Party is now playing a very different kind of tune.

It is a long time since anyone at the top level of British Politics was there for anyone or anything other than their own self-interested cause. Sadly, we all have a habit of looking upon those who seek election to the office of MP and unwittingly buy into the conditioned lie that all MPs are super human, super gifted and super ethical – as they would all like us to believe them to be.

We have now had a series of Governments, with different Political Parties governing and with different Leaders leading us as our PM, who have basically bluffed their way along, doing very little of value to us in terms of making life better for any of us in the ways that they should be committed to doing for everyone. The vacuous, empty-vessel nature of all their leaders had only failed to be found out because there have been no national or world events that required any of them – until Brexit – and then Covid – to bring demonstrable leadership skills to the fore.

Theresa May, and then Boris Johnson both failed the tests of leadership that fate has thrown at them.

May was removed by an act of Tory Regicide, with only the framework of her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement handed on in the form of a minefield as her legacy to Boris. Boris then treated the entente cordiale with the EU as something to be unsparingly driven over with a reinforced challenger tank, doing infinitely more damage than real leadership would.

Boris’ real legacy and the damage it is still doing to our Country and to us all is something that can and will only be reconciled once every event linked to his and his Government’s decisions have taken place, and we have all had the benefit of time to look back.

The decades old assumption that political power keeps going around in circles, being passed between the two main parties over periods of time did of course lead ambitious MPs like Keir Starmer and Ed Miliband before him to believe that all they needed to really do as leader of the Opposition, was play the game. Their opportunity to be called to Buckingham Palace would simply then arrive in good time.

All the leaders and would be leaders and the great many unhealthily ambitious MPs who believe that the role of PM will just find its way to them if they work slavishly and unquestionably for their party machines, really do believe that being a backbench MP, junior minister, shadow minister or Leader of the Opposition is just some kind of elementary waiting room. A place where they just sit quietly, say nothing that will hurt their progress and bide their time on the way to power. The problem then comes when they get the star role they coveted and are then required by unforeseen events to lead with responsibility for lives of millions of others that they did not.

It is simply ridiculous and disingenuous at best for any MP not to lead from the roles that they have got at a time when the whole Country has been put to a massively challenging test – caused more by the way that it has been handled, rather than the Covid Virus itself.

Keir Starmer not only could but should have been putting the minds of millions of people at rest by showing us that we could expect a very different type of leadership from a Labour-led Government, if and when the Johnson Government collapses, and that they are heirs apparent to step in and fill the void.

Instead, all that we have seen is given what might be a make-or-break opportunity for the whole Country, Starmer plans not only to do the same as Boris Johnson and the Conservatives have done before him; both he, the Labour Party and whoever falls in behind them to save their necks (again) will do exactly the same. But under his leadership, they will do it with aplomb.

Like all the other MPs who are sitting and have missed every opportunity to face danger or any threat to their seats or positions since the Covid Pandemic was born, Starmer is just another gutless shitwizard sitting tight in the waiting room, thinking he doesn’t need to do or say anything meaningful, until his time to be in power comes along.

Refusing pay rises for Police Officers whilst printing money to firehose at every problem they cannot control tells us as much about the Government grip on reality as its obsession with power

Probably the greatest unspoken injustice facing society today is the cost-of-living crisis that affects the lives of so many, that government doesn’t even acknowledge to exist.

In an age when MPs and politicians are getting elected to be somebody rather than seeking public office so that they can represent somebody else, it is regrettably a fact that you have to have lived with the pressures that pretty much everyone without a stake in Westminster life has to deal with daily if you really want to even try and understand what is going on.

With so much reliance placed upon statistics, textbooks and the words of philosophers who have long since gone, we really do live in times where decision makers are creating public policy on the basis of ideals rather than any understanding of how real life, the real economy and the real world actually works.

When our MPs run the Country under the misapprehension that an adult can function and support themselves on £74.70 a week claiming Jobseekers Allowance, it is no wonder that they think anyone earning more couldn’t possibly have it worse.

As I argued in a recent blog, even a figure around the 12.5% that the nursing unions had wanted for NHS staff wouldn’t make any great difference to quality of life for many, when you place this in the context of how the prices and real cost of everything is today being manipulated at will, for the purposes of profit and for greed and no more.

Yet the real travesty of the Home Secretary’s refusal to give Police Officers a financial uplift, isn’t some lucid moment where Priti Patel has realised that a pay rise won’t make any difference in time, it is the outrageous fact that Rishi Sunak and the rest of this ridiculous Government have spent the past 17 months printing money and running up a tab so big that it is literally about to break the bank

Ah, I hear you say. With all the money spent on the Covid Pandemic, we are going to have to tighten our belts and pay it back in some other way. But the problem with what might at another time be otherwise very worthy sentiments is the bill is already too big to ever be paid back. What is more, the Government and Priti Patel in particular are still blowing massive amounts of imaginary cash to solve the problems that they themselves created. They are literally creating money to buy themselves more time in the hope that they can put off the impact of the problems they have caused for another day.

Blowing £54 Million on a negotiation with the French that clearly failed to stop illegal immigration, whilst at the same time trusting that our greatest antagonist over Brexit would shut up and let the UK control the narrative is ignorantly naïve. But that really sums up just how inept and incompetent the people running this Country are.

We are now on course for an economic crash when whoever has been left in charge will have to lead a revaluation of our currency, of prices, how businesses operate, how the public sector provides and how society functions and works.

It will be coming before long. And in the meantime, this reticence to pay out money that their actions have told us has no value, would do better rewarding the people who ARE doing what they can to keep this Country together, rather than pretending that valuing the efforts of public servants is something that we can ill afford

Q: Why are the Tories so far ahead in the Polls? A: Because there is no political alternative to what we have already got (SPOILER – THEY ARE ALL THE SAME!)

Yes, scoff or blow a raspberry if you like. Think to yourself ‘There is Labour’, ‘There are the Liberal Democrats’, ‘What about Reform UK – or whatever that Laurence Fox guy was doing?’ – And yes, I can assure you that there will be plenty more too.

But ask yourself this: What are any of these political parties and the people who speak on behalf of them doing differently to what we see in the behaviour of the politicians that we have in Government running the Country today? What can you remember seeing from them at any time before?

If your response to this focuses only on Covid. Lockdowns, Social Distancing or something involving the past 17 months, I have to suggest that you are probably not thinking all of this through. Certainly not to the point where you can begin to start using your anger, frustration and the energy to do something positive that might lead to change and make all the problems that Boris & Co are creating go away.

It doesn’t matter what political party you support right now or what political parties you might have supported in the past. There is a common theme running like a fat vein through them all. At their worst lies unbridled ambition and blind self-interest, and at best is a lack of self-awareness and understanding of the issues facing just about everyone else – which for politicians should be the only common cause.

For many who are waking up to the evolving crisis of democracy and tyrannical leadership that we have now found ourselves facing, there were no recognisable problems with British Politics before the pandemic began. But others have been watching this unfold for years, if not decades. A slow, malignant rot set in to our political system leaving political parties run purely for themselves and for their own benefit, recruiting multiple generations of politicians who do nothing that doesn’t prioritise their party, their own friends and themselves above all else.

Because this process has been underway for so long, we now have MPs, Councillors and Politicians of all kinds right from the bottom to the top of the tiers of government, who say yes to everything they are directed to by their parties, just to get known publicly, gain power and ultimately get to the top.

They are not leaders. All of our recent Prime Ministers have reached the top job in the same way. They have only been unscathed before now, because it was not until the unscripted result of the Brexit Referendum landed in 2016, that events stopped unfolding for them in a very helpful and otherwise publicly misleading way.

To be fair to David Cameron, it looks like once the result was in, he knew immediately that he was out of his depth and simply didn’t have the tools to maintain the charade any longer. Theresa May thought it looked as easy to run the Country from No10 as all other MPs do, but quickly fell fowl of the complexities of dealing with the nebulous and maleficent EU and its previous forms as all PMs after Churchill have done so too – the difference being that she did so after being instructed to leave, rather than having an unhealthy desire and the ability to do whatever possible to get us further in. Boris ‘gift’ – if we can call it that, is that he simply doesn’t give a shit about anyone else or what anyone thinks, so when it came to winning the 2019 General Election, he was more than happy to do whatever the people around him told him to do to win. The wheels fell off for this particular brand of allowing a Country to run itself when the Covid Pandemic came romping in.

When being in politics and gaining power at any cost is your only motivation from a ‘career’ perspective, or like Boris – a plan from a very early age, you simply do not have the right motivation to represent others. You will not willingly expose yourself to the channels, journeys and pathways of experience that those who get into politics with the sole motive of representing others will have genuinely obtained.

For those we elect to serve us, such experience is the basis of understanding how real life works and what the experience of life means to others, how life is lived and how decisions in government will always have consequences for everyone else. It is the lifeblood of effective representative government, and when the representatives we elect don’t have that life experience, then the consequences of that inadequacy are very serious for us all.

Covid tipped a runaway train off the tracks. All of the downsides of having the wrong people running the Country have now come into a very explosive public view.

But people – and by people I mean the majority of us who vote – are not the simpletons and village idiots that those now obsessed with keeping their power at any cost would like to believe.

Yes, there are many who do not, or cannot elucidate their feelings or challenge the people who lead us. But that does not mean they do not think for themselves or that they do not possess that all-important gut-feeling and the instinct that none of us trust nearly enough. Right now, it is telling a great many of us that everything we are now seeing and experiencing from Government in this Country is completely wrong.

No matter what MPs, Ministers, the Opposition Leader and all the others with a mainstream platform to talk about politics say, people know that there is no longer a genuine difference between any of the politicians we have. So, whatever way you vote, the results and what happens next will ultimately go the same way.

Yes, there are by-election blips. But don’t discount the ability of your fellow countrymen to get up, go out and visit the ballot box and use that very small moment of power they still have to give contemptuous politicians and those who aspire to control us a short, sharp message bloody nose, underlining how we feel about what they do.

There would be no alternative on the ballot papers to what we have already got running the Country if we were to have a general election today.

Whilst I may appear to have overlooked the Reclaims and the Reforms whose leaders will quickly tell you that they will be there whenever an Election is called, the reality is that these are political vehicles which are failing to connect with anywhere near enough people in the meaningful way that an alternative will need to, if it is to win and gain power and then stop and address the problems that decades of the wrong people being in power in this Country have caused.

Talking about and considering Elections right now is a lot more important than many people would like to think.

With the 80-seat majority that the Conservative Party has got right now, we are pretty much stuck with them doing whatever they want to. Without beating them at the next General Election, there is unlikely to be any other way to remove and replace them in a way that will work out well for us all.

We must create, build and develop an alternative political movement that reaches across and addresses all of the issues now, so that it is ready, connected and has meaning for everyone whenever the next General Election is called.

We have to work together to do this. We must be the alternative. We have to step up to the next level and work strategically to overcome the problems that Johnson and the inaction of all MPs has created.

There simply is no other way.

Yes, Boris’ ‘Pilot’ exemption from having to do what everyone else does may have been stopped. But it marks a sinister public upgrading of the contempt this Government has for us all

From before it all began, I did not agree that Lockdowns were necessary and certainly did not believe that the measures the Chancellor took to support people financially thereafter were either the right ones or that they would actually help everyone as anything done properly should have.

Many ‘lockdown sceptics’ have since concluded that there is something far more conspiratorial about the whole Johnson Government approach. But we have just been witnessing the behaviour typical of weak people corrupted by the power of high office. And everything we have experienced to date since Covid arrived is the blunt end of stupidity at its worst.

On balance of probabilities, Boris Johnson, Rishi Sunak and all of the politicians and the advisors in cahoots with them didn’t begin imposing ‘emergency legislation’ on us, thinking that they would get away with even a fraction of the things that they now believe they have.

But as the British people have repeatedly done the right thing and adhered to the outlandish measures they have imposed, the confidence of those who were never fit to lead the Country in the first place has grown. So much so that they have edged nearer and nearer to the point where the absolute power they awarded themselves has corrupted them absolutely.

Today, they finally reached the point where they felt they could pull these stunts publicly – and get away with it – because they and only they know what’s best for everyone and they and only they have what it takes to get things done.

The contempt for the British People that it took to announce that they were going to deliberately flout the very same rules they have imposed upon everyone else – with considerable cost to us all – is breath-taking in the extreme.

Yes, the reaction from the media calling them out precipitated a U-turn very quickly. But to see our ‘leaders’ reach a point where they are prepared to be so publicly obvious about their own abuse of the Covid rules now gives the lie to the legitimacy of the claims they have made about Covid and the robustness of the science they have used to justify imposing such damaging totalitarian measures upon us.

It was clear for some to see what the Johnson Government were doing right from the start. But we can all now see just how badly we are being governed by politicians who are unfit for the Offices they hold. We can see how far we are from governance that is morally right whilst those driving these dubious rules and using manipulation to scare us sail increasingly close to the winds of being legally wrong – if that’s not what they have really been doing all along.

The problem. The big problem that we all have to face is there is no way that we can remove and replace this Government anytime soon.

Yes, with the ability that Boris has to set the agenda and control the narrative, there is a chance his confidence will push him to call the next General Election long before 2024.

But we then have another massive problem to deal with: There is no political alternative to the politicians that we have already got – with all of our MPs – whether Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or any other sitting or currently aspiring to be in Parliament being motivated by anything other than their own agendas – exactly the same.

It might not matter so much if the Covid pandemic were already over. But it isn’t.

Furthermore, the Johnson Government mishandling of just about everything – not least of all the impact of what has been systemic mental abuse of millions of now fearful and vulnerable people for no other purpose than social control – has created problems for us all. Many growing problems that are not even yet apparent to many yet are set to inflict a painful legacy upon all of us – perhaps for many years to come.

We are in a mess. A serious mess. And it will get much worse. For a start, the impact of the profligate spending and money printing that Rishi Sunak has burdened us with when it was not necessary is likely to feed into what is likely to be a worldwide financial depression. A crisis that will touch everything relating to money that will probably be set off by the collapse of the US Dollar – after the Biden government also embarked on a series of financial decisions that have echoed the absolute ridiculousness of our own.

Do we really want politicians like Boris Johnson or Rishi Sunak ‘leading’ us or even touching the levers of power in this Country if the problems we are facing because of them develop as they probably will?

Regrettably, we must accept that shouting, jumping up and down, or using every media channel to scream loudly how justified our arguments or how wrong what the Johnson Government is doing will not force them to listen and it will not create change. These are small-minded people with myopic outlooks, committed only to their own cause.

Boris and his chumocracy do not see any threat to their position. Labour are struggling under Kier Starmer, and a by-election victory in a historically blue constituency for the Liberal Democrats doesn’t tell a Party like todays Conservatives that the yellow peril is back.

Outside of Parliament there is lots of talk and the elevation of public profiles for people like Laurence Fox and Richard Tice who hold laudable but repellently focused goals that do not connect with the majority of people. Isolated political thinking – no matter the sense it makes will ever engage the Country in a way that will win a General Election.

Boris and his advisors look at all of this and believe they are untouchable. They really to believe that for the foreseeable future, the British political landscape is theirs.

However, the establishment of a new political Party for All or movement that is inclusive, addresses all the issues – and not just those that are Covid related, reaches right across our different communities and treats voters as adults and with the respect and empathy that they all should receive, will quickly be seen by those in Westminster in a very different way.

If people can come together, put the specific ideas and approaches that they cherish to one side, engage in open dialogue and then work together to formulate an agenda and manifesto that genuinely works for and on behalf of all, the next General Election will be there to be won, simply because the British People will be presented at the ballot box with a real and credible choice.

In the meantime, if things do change and take a turn for the worse, we will already have a movement of people brought together and motivated by the right reasons, ready to step in and lead if the Government collapses and there is a need for something that will be good for us all to fill the void.

No Rishi: You and Your Party created this unmanageable National Debt. It’s time for YOU to own it and live up to the responsibility you coveted before more lives and businesses are needlessly destroyed on a whim

June 22, 2021 1 comment

If you believe that the Johnson Government has handled the COVID pandemic in the best way it was possible for anyone to do so, please Please PLEASE think again.

No, I’m not laying out a stall to argue the merits or the wrongs of Lockdowns, social distancing, vaccinations for everyone or zero-COVID as an impractically myopic cause. All of the questions that exist covering the unnecessary whys will continue to grow in number and the answers will most likely be provided as the consequences unravel around us all over time.

With talk and media attention now refocusing and pointing towards tax rises and the public policy changes that might begin to tackle the phenomenal National Debt created by the Johnson Government, it is becoming increasingly important for people to know and understand that even if lockdowns, social distancing and population-wide vaccination were the only way to tackle COVID, the people who have been unable to work and the businesses that closed or had significant loss in turnover, could have been supported in a much simpler, more intelligent and more considered approach. One that would have been equitable and fair to everyone, but above all would not have created either the level of National Debt or the otherwise unimaginable situation where workers furloughed on ‘free money’ understandably have no desire to return to doing the work the Johnson Government has been paying them not to do.

At a time of national crisis, we have a right to expect that the people we elect to make decisions and act on our behalf will do so in the best interests of everyone – not just themselves.

People who have attained and actively coveted the level of responsibly that not only Ministers but all MPs have, should either possess the experience or understanding to reach high level decisions, or know how to bring all of the right people and different interests together so that all of the pertinent information is made available to them and solutions can quickly and efficiently be put together that will be beneficial to all whilst working in the best interests of everyone.

What we got when the Johnson Government response to the COVID pandemic kicked off in March 2020, was a ‘pic n mix’ or ‘pin the tail on the donkey’ approach. We have a Prime Minister and Chancellor who were simply not up to the task and were driven not only by their own self-interest and fear, but also that of the civil servants and advisors surrounding them. The net result was that with both eyes on legacies and the result of the next election, our so-called leaders simply picked up and ran with the most obvious solutions that worked for them, rather than first working the consequences for everyone else through.

They then backed this travesty of absent leadership with a dangerous narrative that even now they refuse to step back from. One that has destroyed lives and livelihoods without any reason at every step along the way.

In response to the financial and economic issues created directly by the lockdowns they chose to impose; the Government should have imposed a parallel and universal shutdown of the monetary or economic system. One where people and businesses that suddenly found that they were unable to service bills and expenditure through no fault of their own, would have no obligation to make debt payments or meet service charges for anything non-essential that they were not using for as long as needed – with Government stepping in to underwrite the cost and provision of services that are essential for life.

The only need for direct financial subsidy for ANYONE either without or with a reduced income would then have been the weekly cost for an individual and their dependents to be fed and for their basic needs to be met. A figure substantially less than the free cash payments that have now been made and already add up to £60 Billion in Furlough payments alone.

Those key workers able to continue working on the frontline to provide products and services that are essential and are for the benefit of all would have had the de factobonus of a payment holiday on all of the big living costs such as rent, car payments or mortgages. This would have been a very fair and equitable way to reward those continuing to work throughout the pandemic without favour and give them a proportionate and timely thank you for all they have done.

The impact and consequences of the choices that the Johnson Government made, are already far-reaching indeed. It just doesn’t appear to be that way as lack of meaningful media coverage means the real-life disasters that are already unfolding don’t sell news and will not see the light of day.

The impact and scope of the problems that eighteen months of lockdowns have caused at individual, community and social levels, came about through a complete lack of consideration for the consequences of the financial measures that the Chancellor imposed upon UK businesses. Such measures and the decision-making processes that underpinned them could only have come about as either the result of a mixture of stupidity and complete ignorance or by deliberate, malignant design. Neither demonstrate an acceptable way for a democratic UK Government to perform and raise many questions about the quality and suitability of the politicians we have.

To say or believe that nobody else could have done a better job or have done anything differently simply isn’t true.

Many were aware, right from the beginning that the choices being made by Government were flawed, based entirely on the wrong motivation and ideas, and that there were alternative ways to handle all of the problems that Covid created, rather than the approach that Johnson and Sunak have taken, facilitated by a Parliament full of MPs who should have understood what was going on and intervened much earlier on.

The size and magnitude of the problem the Johnson Government has created is so big and so far reaching that the consequences have not even hit many of us yet.

Without us being aware, much is already changing economically behind the scenes and the inevitable ‘new normal’ is yet to come. It will not look like anything we have seen in living memory before.

Some are already suggesting that financial burden of the Johnson Government’s handling of COVID will be placed in the hands of future generations, many of whom have yet to be born.

But the debt that is still being ratcheted up is so big that when the impact and consequences of what these unwitting totalitarians have done have been fully manifested, it will become painfully apparent that the economic system as we know it is done.

The way of doing things economically, financially and with money as we have been – whether consciously or not – can no longer go on and will cease to exist.

The UK might have been better positioned to weather the coming storm and deal with the fallout from what will be the significant financial and economic crisis that the Johnson Government has wilfully engineered, had it not been the case that governments around the World have acted in very similar ways.

The behaviour of our supposedly skilled worldwide leadership has given credence to the very strange and dangerous philosophy inappropriately named the Great Reset by the World Economic Forum – a wholly quixotic and dangerously impractical set of proposals that will only become prescient if people continue to behave and respond like the whole thing is a done deal.

Trying to explain the unexplainable to so many frustrated, bewildered and disenfranchised people who are now looking for answers – as less and less of what the Johnson Government does appears to make sense, leaves many vulnerable to the influence of conspiracies. The idea that there is some great plan at work to enslave society and put us all under the yoke of some Orwellian regime only becomes the dystopian nightmare we fear if we make that idea real.  

In truth, many of the things that Ministers are publicly saying and doing are fuelling this myth. Yet the truth is far more mundane.

Politics in the UK has become the preserve of the ambitious and of those seeking glory who have no care nor consideration for anyone but themselves.

Politicians have become self-styled wordsmiths and the manipulators of truth. They have reached far into the dark art of behavioural science to terrify and control normal people, whilst telling us that they are our saviours and that they and only they are the ones to get things done.

Real people, in an increasing number – if not already a majority – are now in the position where they cannot afford the lives that they already have.

Burdening us all with an horrific level of National Debt that we simply do not possess the means to service without further sacrifices that we cannot afford demonstrates a level of detachment from real life and day-to-day reality on the part of the political classes that is at best breath-taking and at worst borderline criminal to say the least.

The UK was already heading for massive financial problems before the COVID pandemic arrived. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and Neoliberal Policy has been the cause of much of the financial inequality that already exists across society.

Such theories are treated like they are a saviour by Rishi Sunak and his Advisors. Yet the impact of a philosophy or set of ideas that suggest the markets will look after everything if they are allowed to function on their own with minimal regulation would be a wholly inappropriate and misguided approach to managing the affairs of a country in peacetime. It is certainly not the way to lead us through any kind of national crisis and certainly not for fighting any kind of war – as tackling the Covid pandemic has been likened to by those seeking to big up their leadership credentials and prowess.

The real reset, reboot, redrawing or revaluation of everything that has become necessary is not one that self-serving, self-absorbed politicians and ambitious would-be leaders who have no respect for others can control. Even if for a period of time it looks and feels like they can.

The financial system that we have and the ideas that underpin it are completely broken. The Johnson Government’s mishandling of the financial response to the COVID pandemic has speeded up its destruction. Their actions are now shedding light onto just how poor and damaging the consequences for everyone are from a system that champions and promotes financial interests and profit above all else.

Money has no intrinsic value. It is a unit of exchange, nothing more. It is certainly not a thing, nor the ‘god’ that its use as a reference point for the value of everything suggests that it has now become.

If money were real, governments would not be able to print it or produce it in the quantities that they have done over the last 18 months – seemingly without consequence. Yet we are seeing money appear out of thin air.

Everything will have to be revalued, but not just in financial terms. It must be for the benefit of everyone and certainly not the same old few.

There is an ethical or moral deficit present within the whole of government and the financial system that itself needs to be completely and comprehensively reset. We can no longer continue on a pathway where those in power at any level within politics or business make decisions and act not because they have questioned whether it is right or wrong to do so, but simply because they can, and it serves their purpose to do so.

Indeed it is ironic that the actions of many businesses to now push up prices post lockdown to ‘make up for what they have lost’ – not because they should, but because they can – could easily prove to become the inflationary catalyst that will bring the whole house of cards down.

The decisions that must be taken to achieve the change that will address the massive societal and systemic imbalances on our behalf will be the responsibility of the Government, the Ministers, the MPs or whoever leads and runs this Country when that time comes.

However, it would be better for us all if the decisions were taken now and before any more damage is done. That way, many of the additional problems that normal people are going to needlessly face can be prevented before they even begin.

This would certainly require Rishi Sunak to choose to own his decisions now, rather than offload them or project them onto a public suffering with crippling financial fatigue.

As this class of politicians is responsible for creating many of the problems that we face, it is only fair to expect them to step up and fulfil the requirements of the responsibility that comes with the jobs they wanted, before inaction and ineptitude causes more damage than our society can sustain.

The Covid Crimes Tribunal is a very dangerous idea. One that could lead to a new Great Terror for the UK before our transition to the post-Covid age

December 30, 2020 Leave a comment

There is no joy in watching people whose views and actions you otherwise respect getting so bogged down in the detail of everything that frustrates them about this Covid-19 age, that they have become obsessed with ideas of conspiracy theories. It is truly disconcerting to see great people reduced to eulogising the idea of a grand plan underpinning the pandemic itself, and the arrival of some new world order designed and set-in motion by a high-level intergovernmental networker based in Geneva.

This downward spiral or process that has hidden the legitimacy of the antilockdown platform has been underway for many months. Until now, the most concerning milestone was the backing and involvement of David Icke. But that concern has progressed to full red-flag danger now that there is talk of a Covid Crimes Tribunal being set up to prosecute those responsible for making the decisions affecting us all since the Coronavirus Pandemic began.

With so much media coverage being expended on the Brexit deal and the roll out of the COVID-19 Vaccine, you could be forgiven for simply overlooking everything else. It would be very easy to fall into the open elephant trap of believing that these are now the only stories in town.

Very regrettably, they are not. And whilst it seems extremely hard to believe that anything worse than the cycles of lockdowns and going through Tiers could be coming our way, the personal and real-life impact of an ongoing chain of poor, non-consequential decision making and choices made for the sake of political expediency on the part of people who should know a lot better, have been hurting – and yes, even killing people since the very early days of when this horrific chapter began.

It is certainly true that there is no excuse for what the Government and their advisors have done.

There was another way. A way that would have avoided the destruction of the UK Economy, the business closures, the job losses, the mental health issues, the domestic violence and the suicides to name but just a few of the consequences of the decisions taken and what these people have done.

Indeed, if the media were to give as much time and coverage to the real-life stories of destruction caused by the Lockdown and Social Distancing measures, then those still supporting Lockdowns would surely gain a real perspective of the cost of overreacting to a virus that has an impact arguably no worse than a very virulent strain of flu. This real news would surely snap the greater majority of people out of the idea that the Government has done the best that it could on our collective behalf all the way along.

For many of those who can see this reality already – that these are the consequences of an entire political class going completely the wrong way – it is becoming easier by the day to conclude that those responsible must be punished for what they have done.

Yet we all share the responsibility for having allowed our system of government and democracy to deteriorate so far that we have such inept and ill-equipped politicians running the Country. People who genuinely believe they are doing their job but don’t have the background, life experience nor wherewithal to deal with a national crisis as they should. A culture that has taken over the British Political system and the process of democracy so comprehensively that there is no easy way to replace them with people who would take responsibility for those they represent and lead as they should.

Talk of punishment – however measured that talk might appear to be – is likely to prove prescient and as such a very irresponsible act as a restriction on its severity in these unchartered circumstances cannot be assured.

When things really begin to go as bad as they surely will, as 2021 progresses and as the furlough scheme and the false floor economy comes to its end, increasing numbers of people will become angry and start to look for answers. They are unlikely to be ready to listen to reason once focus has been redirected upon blame and their passion over this grand injustice has been inflamed.

The best and arguably most painful form of punishment that can be applied to the people responsible for all of this is for them to lose their jobs and power. For them to be replaced by people who will undertake the responsibilities of the very same roles in the way that they should have, and for all of them to never again be allowed take over public office of any kind and be allowed to use it for their own benefit.

What we don’t need to do is encourage a journey from one extreme form of consequential group prejudice to the another, just as wokeism, the rights lobby and political correctness has already done and is still determined to do.

Violence is likely to be an inevitable progression from talk of tribunals in the circumstances that we can expect to come.

No matter how justified it may feel to enact it upon those who have avoidably created and engendered such levels of harm, the damage some great and avoidable reckoning visited upon the proponents of the Lockdown and the Economic Crash will do to British society will haunt us in ways that are completely unimaginable. It will do so beyond all of our lifetimes, and like the French Revolution and the Great Terror it precipitated would probably do so for Centuries to come.

The kind of thinking at work here is short term in political terms. It doesn’t respect the rules of the political game that exists and is at work across the UK. One that dictates that you can only change the rules when you are in power and you can only gain power by playing by the rules.

Those currently focusing on the blame game would do much better to expend their energies proactively and start to work towards the creation and development of an alternative political force.

After all, playing the long game in politics will ensure that all the bases in the short game are properly covered too.

Johnsons ‘Conservatives’ can use Thatcher memes as much as they like. There is a BIG difference between doing what is right for us all and doing what is right just for them

August 17, 2020 Leave a comment

The Conservative Party is in the shit. Everyone knows it. Even Tory MPs themselves. One even accused the Government of ‘wanking into the void’ this past weekend.

So, what do Conservatives do when they need to look good at a time when they are looking really bad? They roll out memes of past Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher talking about doing what’s ‘right’.

The first thing that should be cleared up before I get started is that the Conservative Party of Maggie Thatcher’s day was very different to the one that we have now. In comparison, the Conservative Party of the Cameron, May and Johnson epoch isn’t conservative at all.

As far as doing what’s right is concerned, even the great Lady herself failed to be right in the right way at least some of the time. But it is because she did have many of the principles of leadership right that the things she didn’t get ‘right’ turned out to be so wrong in the years that followed her premiership.

Decades of the wrong people being in politics for what they see as the right reasons have seen public policy across the UK going the wrong way for a very long time.

Sooner or later this political class were going to be found out. And whilst Brexit lifted the stone and shone a bright light on everything that is wrong with the system at Westminster, it was the Coronavirus Pandemic that has really exposed to the view of the world how poor our politicians really are.

People who are not real leaders of people emulate the titans of history that they and others look up to and are inspired by, in some bizarre attempt to reach out and convince the people that they are ‘just like them’.

Boris has been trying to spin this yarn throughout his public life. Now this so-called ‘Conservative’ non-government and those who support it are going through the sickening process of reprising our last great Prime Minister in the hope that it will transform the public opinion of what they do.

If this Government had been at least attempting to do what is genuinely right, the situation that the UK now faces could be a very different one indeed.

To be fair to all of the politicians who hold responsibility for creating the mess that we face, they probably did think they were doing what’s right. But the question of what’s right at the moment of any decisions can only depend upon what you genuinely believe that doing ‘what’s right’ is.

One of the great questions of human psychology is ‘Can anyone be fully altruistic?’. In the answer lies a significant clue to how we identify the people who should be leading this Country. It is only those who are committed to the principle that the answer is yes and are then prepared to take every step in public office to create solutions and the public frameworks, systems and processes to help people experience that this is right, that we will know the right decisions are genuinely going to always be made.

Generally speaking, there are three versions of doing what’s right. 1.) Doing what’s right for me. 2.) Doing what’s right for you. 3.) Doing what’s right for us all.

  1. Doing what’s right for us all: This is the real deal – or what it should be. Decisions are made with the consequences and the impacts on what the decision will touch – however many steps removed that impact might be. By far the most difficult because it requires the decision maker not only to be conscious of the implications of what they are doing whether they may seem disadvantageous for some, but also requires that they act upon it anyway. This is the real ‘bigger picture’ stuff that academia and speakers pay lip service but rarely does. At its extremes, this is Churchill destroying the French Fleet at Mers-el-Kebir or an MP employing an external applicant for a role a family member has applied for because they have the experience, track record and skills.
  2. Doing what’s right for you: This is the one where influence comes to bear. The one where lobbyists, well known organisations, media moguls, celebrities, corporate leaders and a range of bullies are able to exert undue pressure on weak minded politicians to get what they want because its good for them and/or whoever they represent or who follows them. It happens in the UK a lot more than it should (watch the documentary 3 part series on BBC iPlayer ‘The Rise of The Murdoch Dynsasty’ to see how this kind of thing can work}. Many don’t realise that doing what’s right ‘for you’, is actually the same as doing what’s right for me, because ultimately, such a choice is always made on the basis of what it will do for or how it will reflect on the decision maker.
  3. Doing what’s right for me: Sadly, this is the default setting of ‘doing what’s right’ for politicians and the leaders who populate the Establishment today. Its about how every situation will impact ‘me’ on a personal, financial, career or threat level. Actually, how the default position of human thinking works, the whole thing hinges on the natural propensity to be driven by fear in every respect at some level, usually without even being unaware that we are even doing it. For politicians this manifests itself most evidently today in their obsession in doing everything with an eye on the next election and nothing else. People who lack self-awareness to this degree should never be trusted with public office and we are now living and experiencing the consequences of politicians who simply have no idea or appreciation of life experience beyond their own.

Yes, the fact that I am writing a blog requires that I keep these descriptions succinct. But I’m sure you will get the idea.

Whilst many are obsessed with a perceived need for there always to be a plan or strategy in place before anything in the public sphere can be done, the reality of doing so usually means that there is an agenda at work which is based on the decision makers ‘need’ to do what’s right for you and/or for me. It’s all too often where everything begins to go wrong.

Some also fall into the trap of believing that compromise is always necessary in decision making. But this is at best a myth and an outright lie at worst.

If decisions are made on the basis of what is right for all by those we have elected to take them, they never have to compromise unless they want to (to do what’s right for me or you), and the perceived compromise only comes in the form of the acceptance of the change that is necessary when someone who has previously benefitted from decisions being made that were only right for them has to accept that any ‘loss’ the correct approach brings to them when taken for all is in fact no loss for them at all.

Regrettably, the Party now masquerading as a conservative Government simply isn’t capable of doing what is right for anyone other than themselves. This was obvious to those with eyes to see long before the Coronavirus Pandemic began and is now becoming evident to more and more normal people as every day of this travesty and catastrophic response of the Johnson Government goes by.

In the coming months it will become essential for us all to have the right people in place. People who have the level of awareness necessary to face the gravity of the situation that the stupid politicians we have today created as they made decision after decision that was only right for themselves.

Our new leaders must reliably and repeatedly take the right decisions at the moment they are required to do whatever is necessary – and right for us all – to get the turnaround, the reset and the realisation of a great new future emerging out this neglectful darkness done.

Nobody with any sense said these decisions would ever be easy – that’s why we elect people so that making big decisions that affect us all is not something that we all have to do. It is nonetheless essential that doing what’s right for us all is the default principle that guides our leaders in what to do.

This unintentional tyranny is the worst kind of all

August 9, 2020 Leave a comment

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Many intelligent people really do think they know and understand what living under tyranny would look and feel like. They snort at those who have awoken and are desperate to make sense of the chaos this Government has unleashed by falling back on conspiracy theories that are the first thing that make sense of what is happening and provide a tangible vision of the world to come.

You do not need to be in chains to be enslaved. Yet generations of politicians have allowed money to become the god of everything. Millions of us are in debt and now condemned to financial slavery for the rest of our lives.

You do not need to be behind bars to be in prison. Yet these politicians have placed such restrictions upon life that freedom is no longer ours. Indeed it has become a cause for nostalgia as we look back to the world before Coronavirus and Boris Johnson. We foolishly dream of having again what once was.

History demonstrates the harshest of lessons, When we look back at chapters such as the rise of Nazi Germany in the 1930’s, it is easy for those very same intelligent people to question how a whole population could have been so oblivious to what was happening around them, when with hindsight everyone can clearly see that it was.

It’s rather like the victim of abuse who makes excuses for their attacker or looks inwards and tells themselves that it is they who have caused the problem or that it is them who read the situation wrong.

Even when subjected to things we disagree with at a deep level or even cause us considerable personal pain, it might not be until we experience the eureka moment where we are caused to stand back and look on from a distance that we begin to understand the bigger picture.

It is only away from being blinded by the detail that we recognise the reality of what is going on and can begin to admit to ourselves that it is wrong. Often by then the damage will already have been done.

If you have watched the BBC three-part documentary ‘Rise of the Nazis’, you will see how difficult it was for a regime to takeover and become functionally tyrannical, even when there was genuine intent on the part of its proponents to do so.

Yet when the genesis and evolution of a tyranny is created under what we are told was a very temporary measure to ensure the safety of the electorate, and the politicians driving it have no idea what they are doing and don’t possess the vision to see the consequences, the disconnect between what people will willingly accept at a time of national crisis because politicians are the ones we trust to understand and do what’s best, and what is really being done to us, is for many, way beyond any kind of rational thought.

We are being deceived by the way the establishment is framing their response to Covid-19 and the Coronavirus Pandemic as being business as usual in a time of crisis – that is in the sense that they are completely in control and know what to do.

They don’t.

What is more, the priorities that these politicians have are covering one lie with many others simply to save their reputations and therefore their political necks. Yet they are precipitating an incalculable number of as yet unseen problems for us whilst they believe they have the consequences for themselves fully under control.

They don’t.

So entrenched have politicians become in the storybook they have created, they will not put their hands up and stop this juggernaut from moving and picking up speed.

This Country has already entered a new age of tyranny with many of us completely unaware that we are there. There is nothing normal about what the Johnson Government has done or what with its Social Distancing measures it is increasingly requiring us to do.

There is no scientific, logical or moral basis that gives legitimacy to anything that they do.

Coronavirus is not the problem. It is the politicians that we have and the Pandemic is simply the excuse they are now deliberately using to legitimise what are unnecessary tools of social control.

They will not relinquish these measures voluntarily and the levers of the power they are misusing will have to be wrestled from their control.

We all desperately now need someone or something big enough with enough sense and responsibility to do so.

Politicians who have no understanding of the consequences of their decisions and recognise no danger in their actions will keep going to the point that they do so or the point of destruction – whichever comes first.

Regrettably for us, the politicians we have are already making the UK socially unrecognisable for us all, whilst breaking the Country financially and destroying the economy as they do.

Cummings Statement: The elephants in the room and missed questions about the validity of the Lockdown

May 25, 2020 2 comments

After a delay that brought new meaning to the term ‘a pregnant pause’, Dominic Cummings rolled into view over half an hour late to deliver a Statement that had basically put the UK on pause.

In a diatribe that raised possibly more questions than it could ever answer, such as the 30 mile drive with his family to check out that he was fit to drive, we witnessed a very different side to the Prime Ministers head honcho.

For once, he looked submissive to the system he is most often pictured showing complete contempt for and gave an explanation that would have been more at home in a headmasters study after a trailer load of dog turds were found floating in the school swimming pool than being given at a press conference of this magnitude on the No10 lawn.

Cummings looks scared. But the departure from his usual demeanour is likely to say more about the vulnerability of his Master, than the suggestion of a statement made with genuine humility on his own part.

Was this whole episode today more about saving Boris, simply because the PM cannot be without his Chief Spad?

In terms of opportunities missed, the chain-gang of media names that rocked up to ask their questions in order immediately afterwards seemed to leave one very important subject untouched: Has the Lockdown really ever been valid when your actions – as one of the key instigators of its implementation and design – clearly demonstrate that it is not?

It is difficult to see that Cummings will be going very far from No10 anytime soon.

The mainstream media are missing the point that the Government’s Policy of Lockdown and Social Distancing that they are attempting to bolster by putting Cummings on the rack is itself fundamentally flawed.

By failing to question its legitimacy when they have the perfect opportunity to do so like this – they are themselves getting the whole thing and what their role should be completely wrong.

We need a good dictator

CycleThe disturbing thing about the mess we are now in is that many people – and in that number I include many politicians – don’t know that we are already in it.

Rishi Sunak’s prediction that we are heading into a very severe recession overlooks the reality that he caused it and that the financial measures he used to do so are fuelling the perception that nothing has changed economically.

Then there is PM Boris Johnson, who unleashed the Lockdown, using messages to plant the seed of Coronavirus fear in the minds of many that continues to grow and flourish like the most immovable of weeds.

Now that the questions are being asked and Politicians know that the spotlight is beginning to shine on their mistakes, we find that we are returning to what we experienced all the way throughout the Brexit impasse.

It was made clear that we have the wrong politicians in power. That the system only allows the faces and the words they use to change. The motives and the morality underpinning this broken and desperately self-serving culture remain arduously the same.

Democracy isn’t working in this Country. It will not do so for as long as the political system and the people who gain access to Government Seats and power remain the same.

It is a vicious cycle. We will not get the right people in politics whilst the wrong people hold all the levers of power. We will have the wrong people in power until we get the right people into politics.

We need single-minded, selfless determination at the top of Government, not just to get us through the crisis and problems that are now crossing the horizon, but to drive through the changes in public services that are long overdue.

To address the massive issues of inequality that exist from the top to the bottom of society, we require determination and a unique form of bloody mindedness, resilience and ruthlessness to see it through.

Leadership of this kind will not be possible under the system of Government and the democratic processes that we have whilst it remains under the control of the existing political parties who have a monopoly on who our controlling MPs will continue to be.

During the coming crisis, we need to turn away from this broken form of politics and embrace the political thinking and tools that are needed to facilitate the changes that we need to be made.

This can only be achieved with one person, one mind and one vision in charge of the Nation.

We need someone who understands the lives and thinking of people of all backgrounds, and how businesses and organisations work.

We need someone who can think through the consequences of government action before decisions are even made, and see problems on the horizon long before they come into public view.

We need someone who is confident in us as a Nation, respecting each and every one of us as the adults that we are.

Above all, we need someone who is detached from the siren call of the media, who thinks and sees everything, everyone and what they say generously, but critically, using facts and an understanding of human nature to determine what steps and policies are in the best interests of everyone for the Country to pursue.

In the times ahead we need balance and consideration in leadership above all else as we look to a better post COVID-19 World and the opportunities for something better for all that it will give us.

We have never needed a good dictator to take charge of our destiny like we do right now.

Now is the time to find that good dictator.

Keir Starmer will not be the man for all seasons that we now so desperately need.

May 14, 2020 1 comment

When Jeremy Corbyn was Labour Leader, Boris looked World class.

That, for Boris, is the only relevant comparison that we have, becuase he and Keir Starmer are two different sides of the same damaged political coin.

With Boris star waning quickly indeed, a new Labour Leader who looks prepared, clinical and unlikely to lose his calm whilst jousting with the Prime Minister at the Despatch Box seems a reassuring sight indeed.

But it isn’t the case.

Sadly we have become used to judging politicians by differences between them that are surface deep. We are not used to looking further at what they represent and what difference they would really make in power.

At a time of National Crisis, set to go from bad to exponentially worse, we really should be clear how different the political leadership of the UK needs to be.

Boris’ moment was Brexit. He did good job of appearing to save something the Establishment had concluded we had already lost.

That Boris found himself Prime Minister owes more to the absence of anyone remotely Churchillian in stature in Parliament, than it does to the effervescent Clown show that was funny at a time when we had to accept there was no choice due to the way our political system is sewn up. Put bluntly, Boris was the best of a very bad choice.

Starmer appears a different beast for sure. He has the mind and experience of a Barrister and the track record of a high flyer from being outside of the Westminster too. His early performances at PMQ’s give the impression that lined up against the UK’s No1 Baffoon, this is a man on a mission who will get things done.

Sounds great. But that’s where the differences stop.

As far as the Establishment and the broken political system that propelled both Boris and the Leader of the Opposition into their roles goes, both are there to pursue their own ends and ideologies.

So as far as the impact of the changes they have the capability to make on our behalf, they are very much cut from the very same perpetually disappointing cloth.

A background in Law running part of the Establishment itself is no qualification for the good statesmanship that we need in a PM right now.

Like everything else, Law has become all about the money, the contacts, gongs and personal gain, rather public service and the assurance of a morally correct framework in criminal and civil law for this Country – as it should be.

Starmers qualification and experience offers hollow promise. The background he has, as all barristers and solicitors who have been elevated to parliament on the suggestion they make good MPs is fundamentally flawed.

They are adept at using the Law and policy to achieve their political aims. But they are not equipped nor have the understanding to ensure that the rules and framework they are using to govern is either morally or ethically right or fit for purpose is any way.

As the UK descends into chaos best visualised by what it would have looked like if the crew and passengers had clapped as the Titanic went down, we don’t have the time or lives to waste on going around the same old political leadership merry-go-round as we have done before.

Keir Starmer is not the man for all seasons that we need as PM.

It’s time to look beyond the usual suspects for the political change that will be required long before 2024 when the people realise that the time is now. 

 

Desperate times ahead: Boris used clever slogans to scare us to death so we would stay at home. Now he has no easy way out

img_5850The anticipation that the Lockdown is about to end is more than palpable and has been for several days. People are in two groups: Those who want to be out, back at work and do get on with whatever it is that they want to do, and those who are too terrified to live because they have been scared to death with manipulative propaganda and now believe that the world can be stopped from turning until the Coronavirus problem has been solved.

The black magic that is Behavioural Insights should have come with a warning clause that using them in the wrong way can create far more problems than they will ever fix and particularly in an emergency when the instigator feels that their back is up against a wall.

The messages that we have become used to like ‘stay at home, save lives’, ‘protect the NHS’ and ‘social distancing’ have created a new, powerful and completely shit-scared demographic within our society that is now too afraid of dying from Coronavirus to actually live.

The problem has been compounded by the Chancellors knee-jerk giveaway which has created the misconception amongst many of the same people that they can stay at home and be paid at least 80% of their full wage to do so indefinitely, whilst empowering them to feel it ok to preach and project vitriol at anyone else who dares to break the framework of the social distancing measures that have been imposed or to speak up about the reality of the damage the Johnson Government has already done to an economy which is about facilitating everyones lives and not just their own.

With the Lockdown and the measures that Boris & co implemented to try and control a situation that can only be managed unleashed and now building up a momentum of their own, it is no great surprise that the Government is looking for some kind of release.

The problem is that they have created so much fear on one side and resentment of the damage they are doing and the control they are imposing on us all on the other, that there is simply no longer any happy median to be found in between.

Later today we are expecting Boris to announce that the Lockdown will be reduced in some ways, but probably not in any way as drastically as many of us had hoped.

But if the messaging Boris is now going to try and use to juggle the thoughts and actions of the disaffected vs those he has successfully manipulated and psychologically abused with replacement slogans like those that have appeared in the media today (pictured), you can be sure that this Government really is no longer in control of anything that is happening now, nor what happens next – that is of course if they ever actually were.

Both of my Grandfathers fought for the 75 years of Freedom we had that Boris Johnson ended on a whim in one day

Today we celebrate 75 years since Victory in Europe was declared. VE Day truly was a special occasion for us all as it marked the end of a European tyranny that had the destruction of freedom and a way of thinking that should be alien to us all at its very heart.

I cannot put into words how proud I feel of both of my Grandfathers and the roles they played. They volunteered rather than waiting to be called. One with the Royal Navy, the other with the Royal Artillery. Both suffered physically after the Second World War had finished and neither of them had lives that we would now consider to be long.

What they fought for has become too easy for us to overlook. In fact many people today are so insulated from the realities of the hardship that the wartime generations experienced that many have surrendered them without even giving it a second look.

The point was driven home to me this week when I was asked the simple question ‘What are you missing most’. I passed and thought about it and said ‘The freedom to choose to do the things that we can’t do at the moment, whether it’s go for coffee, for more than one walk a day, to a pub and of course to meet up with people in real life’.

Whoever you are, if you have any respect for the workings of a democratic and civil society and what that means – which the majority of us genuinely do – you will not be alone in constantly wondering whether your interpretation of the Social Distancing ‘rules’ is right. The chances are you have that feeling you need to look over your shoulder to make sure you aren’t doing something ‘wrong’. You will probably also be one of a significant majority who has been quietly questioning themselves if there had ever been a time that we had continually seen so many Police Cars and Vans on the street and wondering where they had all been parked before the Lockdown began.

The Lockdown is not freedom.

This is how a police state works.

This is how a dystopian society kicks off.

The great irony is that it is the mirror image of our wartime Prime Minister Winston Churchill that Boris Johnson has always intended that his ‘leadership’ would be seen to be.

They are not on the same page, in the same chapter, the same book or the same library for that matter.

Churchill was driven by service to his Country. He was objective with the decisions he made during the war to a degree that many people today simply do not have the life experience to understand.

We won the War by facing and accepting all the costs.

Boris is driven by service to himself. He is subjective with the decisions he has been making during the COVID-19 emergency and his decision to impose the Lockdown and the steps taken to control the Country in his attempt to fight the impact of a Virus over which there is still no definable way to fully contain has set off a chain reaction of events that are escalating out of his Government’s reach and control. It has already restricted both our physical freedom and our freedom of thought.

Boris is losing the UK’s campaign against the Coronavirus emergency because he and his Government believe that they can pick, choose and plan their way out.

Their futile attempt to control Coronavirus has opened a Pandoras Box of problems that their limited and self-serving thinking will never be able to resolve.

The loss of the Freedom that many Grandparents just like mine fought for is just a drop in the ocean of the challenges, difficulties and pain that are now on their way as a result of what this Government has done.

We need a real Churchill to lead us out of COVID-19 and the massive challenges that now lie ahead if this very different kind of war is ever to be won and the freedoms taken from us on a whim by weak politicians is to be fully returned.

The Government has Bankrupted Britain whilst jumping into a trap that it will not climb out of if it continues to behave the same way

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Somewhere in London, a new kind of reality has dawned. We may note ever hear it spoken about or acted upon in any way or sense. But rest assured, a new era has now been born.

Six weeks ago, the Johnson Government took a series of decisions that are about to have seismic consequences for us all.

It began with the Lockdown. It was aided by the clever and manipulative messaging that was purposefully designed to make normal people too frightened to go out. It then culminated with a series of financial ‘support’ measures such as the so-called ‘Job Retention Scheme’ that has failed businesses, workers and the Country at large whilst addicting many to ‘free wages’ and polarising them against returning to work.

The Bank of England has today announced that the UK is officially now in recession, and this my friends is just the start.

The Lockdown itself was unnecessary. It traded all the certainties and regularities of life that we had like going to work, the pub, the gym, the shops, catching a bus or train or visiting whoever we might like to as and when we wanted to, for a gamble on what stronger leadership would have known would be a futile attempt to control a virus which they could only ever manage – not control.

The use of Behavioural Insights and mass manipulation, aided by an out of control media to install fear, purely on the basis of getting people to accept and adhere to the Lockdown and the Social Distancing measures that the Government imposed was a textbook example of both what to do and not to do all wrapped up in one.

Use of terms like ‘Stay at home, save lives’, ‘Protect the NHS’, and go outside on Thursday night at 8 and clap for the Keyworkers succeeded in securing such rigorous levels of buy-in to the Lockdown, Social Distancing and the measures taken, that many people genuinely and sincerely believe that acceptance of any and all measures that the Government dictates will be the only way that they can remain alive.

Many will not willingly respond to directives that go the other way, simply because the subject matter of the manipulation used has touched on the promotion of measures to avoid death.

Death and its avoidance is the primary fear that drives many parts of life and sits within the subconsciouses of us all. It influences so much in life, but rarely finds its way coming into our rational view.

The financial package that the Chancellor followed up the release of the genie with was much too clever for its own good. It over complicated matters when there was always a simple, fairer and much less damaging way to mitigate the fallout from the lockdown whilst addressing the issue of income for us all.

It is unlikely that senior members of a national government running the UK Treasury would not have known about or discussed the alternative options that were at hand. So we must conclude that the absence of real leadership at the top meant that the Government yet again went for what seemed to be the easy option rather than the right one, and in so doing laid out a giant trap for itself into which the Country is now about to fall.

In the coming days it is likely that the ties of the Lockdown will be loosened. But with the same ideas and mentality driving the direction now as we have experienced since the COVID-19 emergency began, it is likely that in only a couple or a few weeks from now, the Government will have to return us all to the full Lockdown again of not something even more punitive, because these so-called leaders have still not faced up to their responsibilities or the most salient facts.

That is of course if the majority of people still agree.

You cannot inflict absolutes on a population to resolve an emergency when no absolutes about the emergency like when it will end and how it will be ended are known.

It takes real leadership to go against the media and say that it is unavoidable that people will die, but we also have to maintain a level of life and functionality across everything that lies beyond the emergency so that we can make it possible for everyone else to live.

But that is exactly what we needed from Boris Johnson and Rishi Sunak at the beginning of the Pandemic, and even now, which such an incredibly damaging chain reaction for the economy now started and underway, it is the same thing that we need to hear them say.

COVID-19 is not going anywhere anytime soon and we cannot restrict every other part of life with Lockdowns and Social Distancing measures that are completely impractical until it has, just so the fearful believe that we have it all under control.

We don’t. We wont. And what the Government has been doing has been giving people they have deliberately worked up into a frenzy of fear false hope and a false sense of security. People genuinely believe that they will avoid death by following these measures without realising that they no longer have lives to live.

The Government needs to manage Coronavirus as the firestorm that it is. That means firefighting wherever the fire breaks out by focusing all the resources where necessary and not spreading them out so thinly that we will continually be overpowered by a Virus that they still don’t understand.

Only when the Government does this will they begin to be able to start addressing what is going to become the far more pressing crisis at hand: How do you manage an economic crisis when you cannot keep printing money and printing money is the only thing they can think of that will work.

 

The Government is forcing us to fear life as if it were the same thing as death

March 21, 2020 1 comment

img_5361Friday was a very dark day for this Country.

Journalists, activists and supporters cheered on Boris Johnson as he effectively closed down life for any other purpose than to facilitate work that cannot be carried out from home, or for making what has become a futile attempt in recent days for many of us as we attempt to service basic human needs.

Meanwhile, the Chancellor succeeded in convincing the party faithful that a half-hearted attempt at addressing the financial problems people now face would be beneficial to everyone. In fact it prioritises only the needs of some without coming anywhere close to answering the real questions for them or anyone else.

Many others were simply bypassed by the big words of this written-on-a-fag-packet strategy altogether, when what could and more importantly should have been a working plan to treat everyone the same and as an equitable cause was simply not considered at all.

What many of us are missing as we watch the endless streams of news and what has quickly become the media-driven 24hr Coronavirus Show, is that these Politicians are not in charge of what they are doing, nor are they successfully meeting their real obligations to the people who elected them and put them in office in any thought-through way.

Whilst they would like us to believe otherwise, the Politicians making the decisions today are human beings who like most people outside of Westminster are actually very afraid.

The problem with this form of leadership is that fear is no leader when what is called for to genuinely help others is the ability for them to be strong.

Our leaders are not leading. They are being led by fear themselves, and that fear is leading them to make decisions that have already or soon will become an overkill that really hurts a lot more people across this Country than it could ever really help.

The Government and the people advising them are more afraid of getting a few very specific things with healthcare wrong, when they should be a lot more afraid of not getting everything else about this Crisis right.

There are some cold and harsh realities that we all must face about the Coronavirus itself and what the reaction of the Politicians, the State and the so-called specialists working alongside them is going to do.

None of them are particularly nice.

Key in peoples minds will be the tragedy unfolding in a very personal way for the people who have and will continue to die. It’s horrible, but the media focusing on individual cases non-stop as they are doing is making the whole experience for everyone else unnecessarily much worse.

Next will be the toll that dealing non-stop with Coronavirus in our hospitals will be and what the exposure to that will mean for the longer term mental health of those who were already working on or have volunteered to join the front line. This is the job that they have trained and committed to doing and keeping this in the forefront of wider perspective is what will keep the wheels turning.

However, the one reality that we should all wake up to, be most concerned with and understand today is the one that nobody is talking about. The one that unlike Coronavirus does not have the capacity to go away. The one where the Government is prioritising the fight to prevent the most vulnerable in society from possibly dying prematurely at what is the disproportionate cost of denying everyone else the ability to have and maintain any kind of normal life.

Yes, we are hearing horror stories from Italy and from other places around the World about infection rates and the related number of deaths.

But we have no guarantee that the potential for any of that to happen here will be mitigated by shutting down the country just to facilitate what could be a delay.

What none of the medical people, specialists and experts can tell or rather guarantee any of us, is how long Coronoavirus will be here and how long social distancing will remain their only solution in what will surely be an ongoing and what will soon feel like a permanent process of temporary delay after temporary delay.

Indeed, on the basis of what they are telling us, the duration of this social lockdown will actually need to go on for as long as it will take to exhaust the spread of the virus throughout the entire population, or alternatively to create a vaccine, test it, produce it and then vaccinate everyone, or which ever will be possible to achieve first place without any further or unseen delay.

None of this advice being given is based upon real numerical facts. Even if it was, that advice would be or is subjective, is based only on the management of critical health care and does not take into consideration any of the wide-ranging impacts, consequences and knock-on effects for people, businesses and society as a whole that an unmitigated focus on being able to provide ventilators at the time that everyone might need them has already began to cause.

We already know that our leaders are thinking the time their policy of social distancing will take to keep the need on any day for these resources, managed by the pathway of time, is likely to run into many months. As such, it could easily become a period of years.

Meanwhile, the Country is set to fall apart on nothing more the basis that because Coronavirus is new and has a name, it is somehow more important and therefore must be treated differently than the significant number of deaths we have in this country each and every day or every winter when the figures for deaths from existing conditions such as seasonal flu alone are typically already much worse.

The reality that we all must face once we have been conditioned to it and matured is that this life ends for every one of us in some way, some day.

This whole crisis and the decisions that Politicians, Advisors and government officers are taking right now are already affecting and are about to take over our lives both today and for the future.

They will do so based only on the premise that we should listen to somebody with a title without question, whilst they are themselves motivated by fear of something even they don’t fully understand, and are taking little more than a guess about how only the things they are responsible for in isolation might turn out.

What is more, the number of people that this unproven and best process of guesswork might save from an early death is likely to turn out significantly smaller than all the hype being peddled by our irresponsible media would suggest.

The consequences of shutting down this Country, the economy and all of our lives simply as a strategy so the NHS can cope will inadvertently kill, destroy lives and create a level of hardship for a number of people that will go way beyond – if not actually totally eclipse the number that this fear-driven escapade on the part of people driven by their fragile egos will ever save.

Yet the deaths, the suicides, the life-long mental health issues, poverty, hardship, the destruction of relationships, safeguarding issues and many other forms of malaise and negative knock on effects for individuals and families that the choices the Johnson Government is going to create by shutting down businesses, our lives, our incomes and our ability to pay the debts that they have done nothing to keep at bay, will never get mentioned or championed by these same Politicians in any way.

Yes, Coronavirus kills. But death is an inevitable end to this life and other diseases, conditions and factors will always kill more.

The fear of our Politicians and the stupidy and self-serving nature of the media that leads them has turned a drama into a crisis, simply because they have been able to give the fear that they thrive on a name and through their words and actions have given it the power of being like a flip side celebrity cause.

The misery that their ineptitude, ignorance and incompetence will cause to many more than will ever die from Coronavirus is an uncomfortable subject that the establishment will wilfully fail to recognise when any individual brings a story of real life misery to their door that might uncover the horrid truth about how those in power operate whilst exposing their many flaws.

The real fear for us should not be Coronavirus.

Our real fear should be our politicians and the people advising them because they are out of their depth.

Through the actions of shutting down our lives and making us dependent upon everything they say and do, we are together and collectively being coerced into behaving and therefore believing that it has become normal to fear living in the same way that we are conditioned to fear death.

Leaders who are afraid of their own shadow will not easily relinquish the control which their fears have motivated them to take at a time when they were trusted because they believe they will continue to keep them safe.

In the weeks to come and as the inequity and self-serving nature of their thinking becomes more apparent and as it becomes clear how their inept plans are going to turn out for everyone, people are going to realise just how over the top the dysfunction of this wholly avoidable shutdown of our lives really is.

As things like the parts run out to keep the lorries and ambulances running that they are telling us will keep us all safe whilst everyone is shut down, and the flawed concept of social distancing remains the only political parable that exists, people are going to realise just how draconian and out of touch with the hard-hitting realities of the wider and wholly avoidable Crisis they are creating alongside Coronavirus that our current Government and the thinking of the MPs around them really is.

None of us really wants anyone else to suffer.

We certainly don’t want anyone to prematurely lose their life.

But the reality is that we are all being forced to sacrifice our lives and peace of mind for little more than a cause that has value because it has been a name and therefore a face.

The response of the Government and the specialists to Coronavirus is going to damage and destroy much more for us, our Country and our future indirectly than it is ever directly going to save.

The #Indyref2 question will only be a problem for Boris whilst Sturgeon continues to frame the debate

December 19, 2019 Leave a comment

Whatever misgivings you might have about Boris’ Premiership, a week on from the General Election with a whirlwind of policy announcements already made, the Prime Minister certainly appears to be pulling out all the stops to pay back Voters for the victory that he and his Conservatives have just won.

Whilst the realities that underpin Boris’ deal with the EU and the implications of a border down the middle of the Irish Sea remain to be seen, the fact is that what appears to be a full-frontal assault on so many areas of Public Policy in the first days of this new majority Government do indeed echo the Campaign mantra that this is a PM out to get things done.

In fact, so committed and with it so powerful does this new administration now appear to be, there is an inherent danger that the wheels of government being thrown into gear after years of stagnation at the hands of a hung Parliament might just propel Boris and his advisors into the trap of overlooking the devil that lies in all the details and with it, ignoring the herd of elephants which populate an already overcrowded policy changing room.

One of the problems that Boris really now needs to look in the eye, rather than pretend that his mandate gives him license to ignore it, is the question of Indyref2. A problem that under the stewardship of Nicola Sturgeon and the SNP’s expansive presence at Westminster now shows little sign of going away.

Where the Indyref2 problem is concerned, it doesn’t matter to Sturgeon and the SNP what the People have already said. The experience of the past few years has shown that democracy doesn’t matter when power is in the hands of politicians who can only see roads ahead of them that lead to where they believe they will get their own way.

There is a certain truth to the idea that the flea which the SNP has become to Boris’ majority dog would certainly be prevented from jumping if more attention was to be paid by the media and government to how poor and arguably unfit the SNP is actually to govern now, at a time when they only hold certain powers in Scotland.

But killing this parasitic form of politics and replacing it with one that works symbiotically for Scotland as an important part of the UK and for us all will not be achieved whilst any sizable part of the electorate believes that a Scotland run independently from the rest of the UK is the only change possible that will look and feel like a better way.

What the SNP want for Scotland certainly won’t be good for it. But allowing the argument to be framed by the Scottish First Minister as it is, being about them vs. us, isn’t going to help anyone other than Sturgeon and the SNP. It certainly will not benefit the Scottish Voters who themselves only want to be valued in the same way that English, Northern Irish and Welsh Voters in the South do – which can be achieved only by approaching politics in this Country in a very different and arguably much bigger way.

On the face of it, devolution in Scotland and Wales appears to be a very fair thing.

Most people would agree with the sentiment that power should rest as close to the People as decision-making can appropriately be made.

But what most People don’t realise is that the hurry for devolution in the late nineties under the Blair Labour Government wasn’t anything to do with Blair and his charges being in power for and on behalf of the People.

Devolution and the concept of Regionalisation was a giant lie. A sop to gain favour with the EU, which itself always planned to break up Nation-states through regionalization and the supposed devolution of power to more localised administrations.

Its what you might otherwise recognise as a tried and tested system of divide and conquer – albeit presented in a very sanitised and legitimised form – which could very quickly bear some fruit for the EU if Sturgeon should be successful in getting her way.

Power crazed politicians don’t compromise. Neither do they back down when they believe that their power is growing and that by keeping going like a rabid dog, more will soon be coming their way.

The way to put an end to the political argument that Independence through Indyref2 is the only way that Scottish Voters can have more, is for the UK Government to give ALL UK Voters more power over the decisions that effect their daily lives.

And that means undercutting the Sturgeons and the Prices and giving real teeth to the lower tiers of Government and Local Authorities that already and have historically existed, rather than continuing under the misguided belief that any devolution of power needs the creation – and therefore the politicization – of even more.

If all Public Policy decisions were devolved to the lowest tier of Government or where it would be most appropriate for that decision to be made – and central Government were only to oversee a framework where cross-areas implications may need to be considered – People would very quickly start to become a lot more engaged with all forms of government and have a much bigger interest.

Such re-enfranchisement would require immediate political reform.

But as significant political reform still remains necessary to make Westminster Politics viable for the long term, it would not be any great shakes to look at how Party Politics and self interest needs to be handled differently or indeed flushed out from the top to bottom of our political system and cleaned out through and through.

You cannot fault Nicola Sturgeon for continually trying as she does. But her politics is very much of the old kind. It is about the consolidation and expansion of her own power base, rather than anything related to the genuine improvement of the lives and experiences of anyone who votes.

Boris could bring her Indyref2 arguments to a very quick close.

All he needs to do to succeed with this as with most of the things he’s looking at getting done is to consider the real questions that underpin them more deeply and then start doing politics a very different way.

Q. Why are the Polls changing? – A. Because nothing else in politics is

December 3, 2019 Leave a comment

Nine days to go until the first December General Election in nearly a Century, and nobody can be sure how the votes on a week this Thursday will actually land.

You can’t say that the Political Parties haven’t tried.

Stop Brexit. Free Broadband. 20,000 new Police Officers. 33% reduction in Rail Fares. Get Brexit Done.

These are all one-liners that have quickly stuck in the mind.

The problem with all of these sound bites and carefully constructed calls to action is that they are being and have been created by a whole System and the Political Parties within it that continue to be all about the very same things as they for too long have already been.

Winning power. Keeping power. Stopping anyone else from gaining the power that they want.

With the closed political system that we currently have in this Country preventing any form of meaningful change, what we once knew as tribalism has now gone pretty much right out of the window.

People are thinking about politics and the details like never before.

The trouble for our Politicians is that normal, everyday People have never looked closely at what politicians are now doing and what they have done – in no small part because of the intransigence of MPs over Brexit that has forced them to do so.

People now understand that there is nothing about any of this – the Tories thinking its all about getting anything through that will pass for Brexit, Labour believing that its all about how much they can spend, the Liberal Democrats calculating that its about being brazen enough to openly admit that Democracy is dead – that actually makes real sense.

They have concluded that we as a Nation are trapped with the Politicians that we have got.

It appears that there is no mechanism or way to bring about that meaningful change that most rational People now know the UK needs.

Meanwhile the political classes are still treating us all like its business as usual.

Politicians believe that nobody outside of Westminster is truly aware of what they are doing.

Yet no matter what we are told the politicians achieve or plan to do, we somehow People end up going to bed every night looking at life in this County and feeling that nothing has changed and that everything remains exactly the same.

Anyone who studies all of this closely and brings to it an open mind will see and surely conclude that there is very little to be hopeful about, no matter who gets Elected in the General Election this time.

Labour will bring chaos to this Country, even as a minority government at the head of a coalition.

A coalition headed by Boris Johnson will pretty much ensure that the stalemate that we have had for over two years in Parliament will be back and ever present on the benches at Westminster with government unable to function as it has been all over again.

And if the Toris should win their long-coveted majority, Boris may well be able to stand up at the end of January and shout at us that he has delivered Brexit.

But when the dust settles and he realises that he has hamstrung himself into yet another trap of the EUs making, we could well find ourselves with the clean, no-deal Brexit that we should always have been given within 12 months. But it will come without Leadership able to address all the challenges, difficulties, knock-on effects and issues that will blow up in their faces overnight as a result.

For too long, politicians have been behaving as if politics – and therefore making decisions that impact everyone – is something very simple and can be carried out on the hop.

We no longer have titans or big beasts in politics.

Politicians and MPs come through a carefully calibrated Party system that removes free thinking and the people with any useful life experience or beneficial understanding of the depth of problems that a complex society such as ours has and the solutions that it really needs.

Candidates are lined up in the tick boxes at elections with Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Brexit Party, SNP, Green or Plaid Cymru printed by their name. But they are all now inevitably cast in a very similar image and that is why things will keep on ending up the same.

So when there are problems that this Country needs to face – like solving the Brexit Divide – and the moment when real leadership is needed to come to the fore, we now have a distinct absence of anything or anyone who can garner the level of respect from everyone and across the board, simply because they know and are prepared to do what is necessary to get the right result for everyone and are not just obsessed with what other people think or how they look.

It is important for us all now to understand that when the wheels fall off all of the issues that these self-serving and incompetent politicians have created, and the problems that many of us can now see developing become real – as it is now becoming almost certain that they will dothe solutions and answers will not come from within this political system or anything that closely resembles it in its current form.

This election was a golden opportunity for any or all of the existing political parties to go a different way, to do politics differently and they could have done so without it necessarily being in another form.

Instead, they have put their own futures forward as their only real cause and we all now wait for the 12th of December, wondering what will happen in the days and months beyond.

Until there is a real choice at any election, the polls will always be fluid and the result itself will never feel right.

And for now, the reality will be that the decision for many voters on the day of an election or when they put their tick in the box won’t based on what they see as being anything like a real opportunity, but simply about taking a punt on what they see as being the best of a very bad bunch.

The rot in politics that it seems cannot be removed is why everything feels, looks like and is steadily now going wrong.

The log jam that is all that Party Politics in this Country has become is not what the principle of democracy was created for.

Still not voting…

November 27, 2019 Leave a comment

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At the beginning of the Month, I wrote ‘No, I will not vote in an Election where there isn’t an option for change. Why would I?

With three weeks gone and two more to go until the Election on Thursday 12th December, I have to say that I feel very much the same.

It’s not that there hasn’t been any change. There has.

But the change that has happened has been peripheral or aesthetic at best.

The good that might come from the adjustments within the political landscape that have taken place within this Campaign will not have come about not by design or intention, but rather by default.

With 15 days to go, the biggest issue on everyone’s mind today, is the Interview that Jeremy Corbyn gave to Andrew Neil last night. It followed a day where Labour’s choreographed plan for a day focused on their ‘ambitious Race and Faith Manifesto’ was utterly destroyed by the article written by the Chief Rabbi Ephraim Mirvis and published in yesterday’s Times, explaining exactly why people should redirect their vote.

The Interview itself simply evolved a terrible day into a complete nightmare for the Labour Leader as he effectively refused to apologise for the anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and what the Party has done in response.

The Tories are riding high. And with the latest polls now suggesting that the gap between the Conservatives and Labour is closing, the fall out from this debacle is almost certain to ensure that the polling will quickly start to go the other way.

Or at least that is until Boris sits in front of AF Neil himself whenever that might be agreed and then be.

The big problem is that the Conservatives are riding a wave that doesn’t have defining Public Policy as its root cause.

Labour’s downward trajectory and overkill with its great electoral giveaway of 2019 aside, the biggest boon to Boris Johnson’s position has been the decision from Nigel Farage to remove so many of the Brexit Party’s Candidates from competing against Tory Candidates in Seats where the Conservatives won in the 2017 Campaign.

On the face of it, Farage did this to avoid the risk of Jeremy Corbyn walking into No10.

Yet his hybrid approach of standing Brexit Party Candidates pretty much everywhere else does have the distinctive whiff of the whole effort the Brexit Party is making being not about Brexit itself, but about gaining at least a foothold of control.

The lie itself is given by Farage’s suggestion during the Press Conference at the time that Boris had done enough with the pledges he had made about Brexit in the video that had been released the day before.

To some, it will come as little surprise that recent days have brought stories to the fore, that Farage has no plans to go anywhere. That his next mission will be to rebrand the Brexit Party and transform it into a political vehicle that will drive political reform.

The problem for Farage with this is that apart from the reality he has to now face that as a figurehead and leader he is no longer likely to be trusted, any Party that can be identified as being about nothing else other than Leaving the EU itself is likely to be as divisive as Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats have been by rejecting the need to find a pathway that will bring all sides together and committing themselves to cancel Brexit and promise that under their influence the UK will categorically Remain.

To its credit, the Brexit Party has demonstrated that it is possible to bring people, politicians and pubic figures from all political backgrounds together to work as one.

But the ‘Contract’ that they have published instead of a manifesto for this General Election tells us that the leadership of the Party is still thinking about politics in exactly the same way as the leadership of all of the other Political Parties who have contributed to the political crisis that we are experiencing and not least of all the Brexit Divide.

We now look two weeks ahead to an Election Result where Boris is still likely one-way-or-another to be our PM.

But being PM with a majority that is likely to lead to a clean, no deal Brexit by default within 12 months is a lot different to the situation that Boris will face if he is returned as Prime Minister with similar numbers of MPs in Parliament to what we have experienced since 2017 – where the majority present is most likely to still be pushing for further delays, obfuscation and what they will only accept as being a very open form of Remain.

The chaos that follows any of the scenarios that appear to be likely and unfolding from this vantage point in time will not improve things. It is likely to only make things a whole lot worse.

Whilst I and many others would like to see reason for hope that any of the Political Parties we have today and running in this Election could become the catalyst for wide-ranging change, once we have brought everyone back together again by really getting Brexit done, I’m afraid that paying lip service to the change that the UK desperately now needs simply isn’t enough for me to vote for any Candidate or Political Party that is involved.

Corbyn had a bad day yesterday. But the truth will be no friend to the Conservatives as a result

November 8, 2019 Leave a comment

1b1adc77-5377-4d68-a64f-9ec227c66d16Wow. What a day that was.

Within the space of less than 24 hours, Tom Watson, the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party stood down, The Jewish Chronicle outs its view of the Labour Party under Corbyn on its front page and Ian Watson, a Labour Minister under Gordon Brown interviews on National Television stating that the current Labour Leader isn’t fit to rule and that People should vote for Boris Johnson instead.

But what difference will it all really make?

The answer the Conservatives will not want to hear is probably not a lot.

During normal times, an individual of Jeremy Corbyn’s nature, background and ideals would not be Leader of the Opposition, let alone be less than 5 weeks away from the possibility of being UK Prime Minister and walking straight into No10.

But the times we live in are far from normal. And the reality that disillusioned Labour MPs may well have nominated and voted Corbyn into the Labour Leadership in 2015 for little more than a laugh will make no difference in the hindsight of history.

Indeed, we will surely look back on the Electorate’s 6-week interview and assessment of Marxism as an applicant for the job of driving the direction of the next government in the final months of 2019 as just being a sign of the times.

The politicians we have today bear a significant amount of the responsibility for the rise and presence of what we call fake news.

In fact, we have been on the receiving end of decades of spin. And whilst the Establishment continually tries to make us believe that fake news is only the preserve of those outside the mainstream, of extremists and of the Russians or perhaps the Chinese, the past three years since the European Referendum has been a master class from Politicians and the mainstream media in this Country of how to push nothing but opinion – and have it passed off successfully as being the truth.

Fake news now flows through every media channel to the point where for a growing number of people no difference actually exists between falsehood and truth.

For many, reality in politics has become all about what resonates best, what makes sense or what suits or most closely fits the listeners experience and view of the world.

Then there are the young, who inexperienced in the dark ways of the world and therefore idealist by nature, don’t look beyond the instant hit that comes from a sound bite or a picture that is painted with impractical idealism and represents what they sincerely believe can be achieved and is therefore what they would like to see.

They don’t consider the detail.

They don’t have any idea what delivering these ideas and manifesting them in reality would actually involve.

They certainly don’t anticipate or understand the consequences of what they might be calling for and the pain that waving a magic policy wand in isolation will almost certainly cause.

But then why should young people be expected to know and understand any of this when the narrative from politicians other than those like Corbyn tell them that Conservatives and those like them look on young people as being of little value, that they have nothing to bring to the party, and that they should shut up and do whatever they are told.

Against this backdrop, the narrative that Corbyn peddles is intoxicating to many of the People in this Country who are already politically disenfranchised and to an even greater proportion of the young.

The truth of what Jeremy Corbyn is, what he represents and what he might soon have the power to inflict upon us all is someone else’s news, someone else’s truth.

It has no currency to those who have no reason to trust the Establishment. Especially when the solution that Corbyn is selling offers an instant high with absolutely none of the disadvantages or responsibilities that following out-of-touch old people, boomersgammon or the elite would involve.

So whilst the Tories might be looking at the papers and the news feeds today and thinking that this Election Campaign is quickly becoming little more than a slam-dunk, they should perhaps take a step back and consider the fact that they have helped to create the environment in the UK today. A place where People right across the Electoral spectrum will be weighing up the pros and cons of all the Political Parties and all the Candidates without anything like the normal rationality that Conservative Politicians assume will always be involved.

The funny thing is that the outcome of this Election is most likely to materialise simply by default.

Nothing that any of these politicians are saying or doing stands out as being any different  to what We have heard in the past or is encouraging voters – whether young or old – to vote in any way differently to what it would, in the circumstances, be logical to expect.

If Boris Johnson and the Tories really want the truth to matter in the future elections that they might still be able to fight, they need to start talking to, interacting with and considering everyone beyond their own kind differently.

But first and before they do that, they should really take a good hard look at themselves.

 

Leader debates make cheap peak time TV. But there are bigger fish to fry and these 3 Leaders haven’t even worked out how to operate a net

November 6, 2019 Leave a comment

Should we be more interested in what politicians say or in what they do?

It’s the answer to that question we should perhaps now be focusing on – at the beginning of a General Election Campaign – rather than what they say or how they say it.

The dissolution of Parliament – which formally took place at 12.01 am today apparently, rather than the rather fitting and accurate last sitting on Bonfire Night – isn’t the act of wiping the slate clean that politicians are now trying to tell us has taken place, or – and more importantly – that we as a Nation with a political crisis actually need.

The issue, debate or whatever else you might want to call it – about Leader Debates, is therefore rather a moot point.

Do we really want to see Corbyn, Johnson and Swinson grand standing their new approach to solving the UKs problems on primetime TV when all three of them are bringing nothing new to the table other than a rewrapped version of their previous form?

The sensationalism that now drives politics is fuelled by the mainstream media. It does nothing to help resolve the problems that we have with the quality, motivation and ability of our politicians. In fact, it is helping to develop the problem rather than doing anything at all to target the cause.

Whilst there might be times when it would be appropriate to consider the benefit of holding televised debates that will include all Political Party Leaders, after 3 years of parliamentary stalemate caused by the very same people who are seeking reelection, this General Election Campaign is arguably not one.

Until such time that British Politics and the Party Political System that currently monopolises it has been fully and comprehensively reformed, the only thing that UK Voters can be sure of is that they are going to receive the same contempt from those we elect as MPs – and if anything, probably a lot more.

Nothing that the three Leaders can tell us will become of any benefit to any of us just because of the way it has been transmitted.

Words and presentation are meaningless if the actions and results don’t reflect genuine attempts to address real problems and their cause.

What we actually need in Parliament and Government now are politicians who aren’t driven solely by how everything looks.

Genuine Leaders who take their responsibility to the Electorate seriously, consider the consequences of all their actions and are driven to deliver the right results no matter what anyone else or the media says.

As far as politicians focusing on their time in the public eye is concerned, it’s not the priority and its time to press pause.

Want to understand Farage’s position? Read Boris’ Agreement and consider all of it in its fullest context: It’s Remain

November 2, 2019 Leave a comment

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‘Let’s get Brexit done’ is the powerful call to action that Boris has used to label his deal with the EU. We should perhaps open it and see what’s really inside

Watching the reaction to Nigel Farage laying out his stall for an Electoral Pact with the Conservatives should be raising question marks for all Leave supporters at the very least.

Instead, the knee-jerk reaction has been to accuse the Brexit Party Leader of trying to wreck Brexit. The inherent suggestion being that he is now the best thing that ever happened for those who want to Remain.

Regrettably, Boris has succeeded where May failed.

The Prime Minister has come back from the EU with a highly dubious Agreement just the same.

The difference is that Boris has convinced the majority of the Conservative Party, along with many other Leavers. that his policy is genuinely to Leave the EU.

Regrettably, the reality is that the endgame and outcome of Boris deal is for the UK to Remain.

Love him or hate him, Nigel Farage is not new to this game. He is probably one of very few politicians who have read the new document fully and considered it completely in context. He will be only too well aware of the consequences that signing and implementing this Agreement will have in a range of policy areas – not least of all the continuance of the Union itself – which will be all but broken where Northern Ireland is concerned. The question over their departure not being an if, but a clear when – IF Boris succeeds in getting the implementation of his current plan through.

Sadly, I’m not convinced that Boris even knows or for that matter fully understands the implications of the policy that he is pursuing.

But the reality for all of us and for this Country as a whole, it that Boris’ deal is a sell out. And as the Prime Minister now has a clear choice to pursue a proper Brexit as part of his General Election Campaign – the situation for the UK couldn’t actually be a lot worse.

Easy as it may seem to cast Farage as the bad guy or the new pantomime villain of Brexit right now, the cold hard reality is he is the only cross-UK political leader in the Country today who is not not advocating a form of Remain.

The situation we are in has troubling echos the pre-Cameron EU Membership era.

The period of many years when the Establishment successfully convinced the majority of People that what we had with the EU was good when it was in fact very bad.

No irony should be spared on us that it was a time that was notorious for MPs and the people with power having no idea what was actually going on.

When we began to wake up to what our MPs were and were not doing in our name, Brexit was the result.

For much of that time, what governments did was conducted with little or no scrutiny from outside (or within). It was a time we still revered and trusted what politicians did. It’s the time when our respect and confidence in the system really began being abused.

So after all they have done. After the mess they have created. And after our Vote for Brexit – against the Establishment plan was won, we should not fall into the trap of being blindsided by the persuasive and charismatic caricature of everything that is wrong with British Politics. Boris is just the same.

He is selling a tin with ‘let’s get Brexit done’ written seductively on the label, whilst the contents are very different inside.

Yes we are tired. Yes we are angry. Yes we want this whole saga to be over so we can have what feels like normal life in this Country resume once more.

But we should stop for a moment and remember the only thing that has actually changed here are the words coming out of Westminster.

These are exactly the same people who have been in charge all along. They and their kind caused all the problems before.

It is in their interests, not yours, to have everyone believe that Boris is right and Nigel Farage has now got it all wrong.

 

image thanks to unknown

None of you represent the People. That’s the problem – you represent yourselves

November 1, 2019 Leave a comment

01cd8f85-6c8f-4251-8967-adcc3ddea156One of the few things worthy of a good chuckle on the news streams this morning was the Cartoon drawn by Matt from the Telegraph.

Clearly referencing the hollow battle lines that are being drawn between Jeremy Corbyn and Boris Johnson over which of them can claim to represent the People, you can’t help but wonder if the point would be lost on either of them as things now stand.

The elephant in the room towering over not only them, but all of the existing MPs and Candidates lining up to stand in this General Election, is that People will vote on 12th December for one or the other of them and their Political Parties simply because there is no better choice.

People won’t be voting for Labour because Corbyn is promising wealth redistribution and the ascension of some modern day equivalent of the levellers.

People won’t be voting for the Liberal Democrats because Jo Swinson has tabled one giant fuck you too far at the People by promising to cancel and forget Brexit.

People won’t be voting for the Conservatives because Boris has succeeded where May hadn’t and has convinced most of his Party that Brexit will be whatever he says it is.

People won’t be voting for the Brexit Party because Nigel Farage is committed to a no deal Brexit and appears to be one of the few politicians who not only talks, but is prepared to do as he says he does.

People won’t be voting for the SNP because Nicola Sturgeon says that Scottish Independence is the only thing in Scotland that makes any sense.

People will vote for these Political Parties because there is nothing on offer in British Politics today that connects with People, respects People, communicates with People and above all, shouts loudly to the People that this politics that we have is broken and that there can be, is and will be a much better way to run this Country and do things with power in Government.

The politicians that we have today – whether they are elected and sitting in our Parliament or not – all represent a system that is completely broken.

It is a system that exists only to keep everything in government operating in exactly the same way.

That system’s one and only purpose is to look after itself, not the British People.

And the people who are allowed entry to this closed system have to swear blind obedience to its values and way of being.

They do so because thats how they have been taught they will get a name for themselves, to be successful. It’s how the ambitious in politics believe they must behave to get on.

This is why we have politicians in power who cannot think for themselves or the People that they are supposed to be representing right now, today.

It doesn’t and will not matter what policies any of these salesmen visiting our doorsteps over the coming weeks will be offering.

The outcomes for us will just be the same.

This political class is not interested in delivering anything meaningful or different. They will just tell you anything that will secure the surrender of your Vote.

And then once they have been elected, they will just resume business as usual and continue thinking only about the next election and what it will take them to get reelected, with lots of talk and the appearance of things happening, whilst the experience that we have of life and everything that Government touches will either be worse than before or just remain static and exactly the same.

The Politicians that we have do not represent any of us.

The Politicians we have just represent themselves.

And until we have changed the way that we lend our power to others, so that they can represent us and to act on our behalf, these charlatans will be able to continue peddling their dubious wares, making out that they are righteous and doing something meaningful, when they are the most selfish and self-serving of public representatives that the world might have seen.

When you consider on 12th December whether to vote or not, simply reflect on this suggestion and go to your Polling Station minded of ‘buyer beware’.

 

image thanks to Matt and telegraph.co.uk 

Boris COULD have taken the UK out of the EU today, but he chose to go his own way

October 31, 2019 Leave a comment

The General Election Campaign is already well underway and on day 2 – or 42 days until the Polls open, the egos are already puffing up in front of the cameras and the lies, myths and general economies with the truth are now in play with full force.

Of course, today is Halloween. The 31st of October 2019. The second date that we had waited months for and upon which the UK was supposed to Leave the EU.

But we haven’t.

And with the next date for Leaving the EU now set as 31st January 2020, the might of the Conservative political machine is being aimed at refuting any suggestion that Boris Johnson had any choice over the question of further delay, and that our current continuing position of what is beginning to feel like being in perpetual abeyance, was, has been and only ever will be the fault of those who want to frustrate Brexit and see the UK Remain.

Yes, in no small part, the ‘Remain Alliance’ does indeed take much of the responsibility for the position that the UK is now in.

But to say that Boris had absolutely no choice and that the decision over the UK Leaving the EU today was taken completely out of his hands is at best a betrayal of the truth and at worst an outright lie.

As we roll on through a process like Brexit, is is easy to overlook that what we are experiencing isn’t just one, but a whole series of different events. All of them interconnected. Any one of them with the potential to rewrite the pathway of everything that follows afterwards, just like the concept of the butterfly effect.

Whilst it seems like long-term history now, the reason that it is disingenuous of Boris and the spin doctors around him to suggest that there was no way to avoid a further Brexit deal, is that when the new Prime Minister took up his new Office in July, he could have chosen to go a very different way.

It is important not to overlook the difficulties and the challenges that Boris inherited from his predecessor Theresa May. Not least of all the hung Parliament constructed of a majority of MPs who have been, still are and after the General Election – if reelected – will be hellbent on Remaining in the EU.

But challenges aside, Boris’ choice was to either do the right thing, or to do all the things that he has done.

The right thing would have been to accept immediately on his appointment as Prime Minister that without a majority in Parliament of Brexit supporting MPs, he was never actually going to get Brexit done.

Yes, reaching out immediately to the Electorate would have been an imposing task for anyone at that point. But with the frustration, despair and downright anger with politicians, what politicians are and have been doing, and the clear absence of any majority in Parliament of MPs who simply want to do all the things that they should, the Electorate would have been a very fertile seed bed for new ideas, new energy, new direction – and above all, taking politics a new way.

By now, not only could Boris have reengaged a disenfranchised Electorate with a very new kind of inclusive and dynamic Manifesto, he could have actually held and won the General Election that any Prime Minister intent on delivering Brexit would have needed – and today we would have left the EU without any kind of binding deal and BREXIT WOULD HAVE BEEN DONE.

Instead, Boris chose to go his own way.

He didn’t look at the political terrain for all that it was and was likely to become.

He didn’t put the People and our Country first.

He chose to go pretty much the same way and create a Brexit in name only deal like May.

He has repeatedly taken what for him appears to be the easiest way.

And so today, on the day the UK should have left the EU, we still no nearer to achieving Brexit.

A General Election is the only realistic step forward. Whether or not it will change anything is an entirely different question with Boris’ ‘deal’ as it is

October 25, 2019 Leave a comment

Our Politicians today like to follow a script. They don’t do ‘original’ thinking. That’s why MPs + Brexit = such a fucking mess.

Whilst everything going on in Westminster today resembles the actions of a pantomime cast at a Christmas Party where the punch was spiked, the reality is that at almost every single twist and turn of everything that has happened since June 2016, the MPs that we currently have, have had a range of different, alternative and yes, better choices that they have simply decided not to take.

Of this number, the most notable wrong choices have been made by Theresa May and now by Boris Johnson too.

The problem with this political class and the whole culture that envelopes it, is that the politicians who have developed within and now inhabit it are simply too used to saying, doing or acting in any way necessary to get what they want. They do so, believing they only need to be seen to be doing the right thing.

Theresa May clearly thought that as Prime Minister she would ultimately get everyone to do what she wanted – just because it was her turn to be in that role.

Boris, sadly appears to be no different.

Whilst he could have taken things a very different way, he has ultimately decided to do exactly the same thing and sell out to the EU – even if he isn’t aware thats what he is doing.

The only difference Between May and Johnson is his animal magic, or whatever this form of malevolent fairy dust it is that he possesses and is sprinkling across everything he is touching. Boris has succeeded where May didn’t so far, simply by getting Leave MPs to see Remain as Brexit in a very different and seemingly convincing way.

Regrettably, Boris approach to Brexit leaves a General Election unlikely to deliver the result that we so desperately need and are now looking for.

Whether Conservative, Green, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Plaid or SNP, the MPs that represent each and all of these Political Parties today are now, by default, knowingly or otherwise, committed to forms of Brexit which are Remain with just another name.

It is therefore no small problem for this Country that whilst Boris has this current momentum behind him, he is unlikely to make any meaningful concessions to the Brexit Party – who are committed to the delivery of a clean Brexit – or send out an invitation that will bring them on board.

Yet without the Brexit Party, Boris is unlikely to score the working majority in Parliament especially if his deal is unpicked during the General Election Campaign.

And so the prospect of another minority Conservative Government, a minority Labour Government and either way, the Parliamentary stalemate continuing on after a General Election – just as it had before – remains very real indeed.

 

Get Brexit done – but don’t fall into the elephant trap of thinking Boris Johnson’s deal is it

October 22, 2019 Leave a comment

One of the most surprising things over recent days has been the speed and apparent ease with which the MPs who we had been relying on as the policemen of the Brexit process have fallen in line behind Boris Johnson – it seems, simply, because he tells us that his deal and Brexit are the same thing.

Just for the purposes of clarity, Johnson’s deal is not Brexit.

So by all means, hashtag ‘lets get Brexit done’ as much as you like.

But don’t be under any illusion about what Brexit always was supposed to be (i.e. what the British People Voted for) and what Boris’ deal will mean it is.

They are simply not the same thing.

By failing to protect Veterans, you fail to protect us all

October 13, 2019 Leave a comment
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In what seems to be a prolonged period of peace and at a time when this is the only picture of the military that people regularly see, it is all too easy to forget just how important a role the military play on our behalf and what they must be able to expect from us in return. Image thanks to bbc.co.uk

During times when so many of our politicians have been attempting to rewrite our constitution just to suit their own dubious purposes, we might have hoped that the government itself would have had a lucid moment or two and remembered that culturally we are a Country and a People that have historically held and adhered to a complete set of unwritten rules.

One of those rules: We love the military and all those who serve within it.

Not just the soldiers, sailors and airman/women serving now, but also those who have served previously too.

Our safety and security is a cause that usually unites us all.

And those who have not been misled or indoctrinated by foolish and idealistic ideas remain proud of all that they do or have done on our behalf.

Regrettably it has become a thing of fashion and political correctness to try and disown or even rewrite any of our history that doesn’t correlate with or support the narrative that we currently have in vogue.

Whilst renaming buildings and removing statues might convince some that they may have removed a source of offence which never actually wronged them personally, the more sinister side of this corrective misrepresentation is that real people and real lives are now being affected by what is arguably ignorant or deliberate means. There are real implications now manifesting not just for the scapegoats of the wilfully misleading proponents of this travesty – but for all of us too.

Those who have never served in the armed forces or been close enough to someone who has may not understand this, but the military – for very good reason – operates under its own system of rules and morality. The rules are different for anyone and everyone during the period that they are ‘signed up’ to serve and whether they are a recruit, NCO or Officer, they become a part of or rather a tool of the system that serves and protects all of us.

When we send the military to fight our enemies – whether they are terrorists or whole nations – they do so as part of our State.

So when those enemies then become our friends as they often inevitably do so, we cannot simply toss aside the responsibilities we have to those of our servicemen and women which were forged not now but within that very specific set of circumstances and that precise moment in time that they were engaged against our former foes.

For any Government or Minister to do so at any time is akin to ripping off an arm or a leg. It is simply too high a price for any body to pay, just to placate others who now appear to friends and might be useful in the creation of cheap headlines.

We were led to forget this in the case of Alexander Blackman who at the time we knew as Marine A . Right now we are experiencing a similar process in the prosecution of former Soldiers who served on behalf of us all during the troubles in Northern Ireland. There they engaged in incidents which did indeed have questions hanging over them such as the civilian deaths on Bloody Sunday. But this was all carried out against the troubling backdrop of sectarian terrorism – which seems to have all too conveniently been forgot.

The media and those espousing the siren call for belated justice – who themselves have no meaningful links – are being disengenous as they overlook certain realities in the pursuit of their dubious cause.

The first is that any act which takes place by a member of the military whilst they are on active duty should only ever be dealt with out of public view and by the Military Court. The second, that they were only there in that place and in that situation only because they were on duty on behalf of the State and not there by personal choice, This must always be the mitigating factor which puts them firmly under the jurisdiction of the military courts – no matter what crime they might have been alleged to have perpetrated.

Military personnel should never be placed at the mercy of people who believe that they have been directly wronged in some way by action that has been taken or by the impact of specific events.

No matter how justified their position may seem, people who are emotionally compromised by an event or experience should never be given responsibility for determining responsibility and punishment of those who might be to blame, no matter the situation or circumstances involved.

Anyone looking on objectively will appreciate this.

These cases where ambulance chasing lawyers or activists have become involved are nothing more than a circus which will not benefit anyone in any meaningful way. Their pursuit is based on nothing but self interest and the people driving them do not have the capacity or moral standing to ensure a genuine feeling of justice or of finding peace is delivered for anyone or any party involved.

If Boris Johnson’s Government now walks away from stopping the profiteering march of the unscrupulous against men and women who have served us all with a level of commitment which must always be protected, it will be clear that the politicians leading us today either don’t understand or have no inteeest in the consequences of what it is they do.

Soldiers, Sailors. Airman and Airwomen who are serving today, tomorrow or on any day that has already passed must know that they can and always will be able to execute their duties without any question of the trust that they have in the State being compromised at any time.

They must always be certain that politicians will never sell them out for the sake of that quick headline, for political experience or because the words of a complacent and ignorant crowd appear to be all powerful to the eyes of the fearful masquerading as leaders and only interested in protecting their own cause.

If Boris can secure a deal that the UK can walk away from without selling out Northern Ireland too, there will be no legitimate reason for any MP not to support it

October 11, 2019 1 comment

Whilst there is some legitimate concern that there could be EU choreography and smoke and mirrors involved, the news that talks over a ‘deal’ following Boris Johnson’s meeting with Leo Varadkar yesterday is at least some cause to feel hopeful that the Brexit saga could come to an end.

Whether you are a Brexit purist like Nigel Farage or an absolutist Remainer like Jo Swinson, the fact is that getting any arrangement in place with the Parliamentary numbers as they currently are will be impossible – irrespective of whether the outcome can be considered to be wrong or right.

The important, indeed vital ingredients of any arrangement with the EU must be that the UK can unilaterally walk away from any arrangement at any time, and that Northern Ireland’s place within the United Kingdom is not in anyway compromised or used as a bargaining chip.

The British People are at best already highly suspicious of everything that this Parliament is doing and has done.

But if a ‘deal’ should be on the table which is acceptable to both the EU and the Irish Republic incorporating all of the above, the Remain-collective-Opposition will be taking their intransigence the extreme if they should then step in and stop that ‘deal’ for what will only then be seen as their own dubious purposes.

Equally as bad however, would be the failure of the purist Brexiteers to discount the possibilities that will come from such s giant leap forward, simply because progress of this kind would remove the liklehood that they themselves would ever gain elected office or power in any way that the Brexit argument is then involved.

We will not know for certain what concessions from Boris, the EU or the Irish Republic have been involved until the documented form of this ‘new deal’ has been exposed to daylight.

But for the sake of trying to rescue what’s left of our democracy before it really is too late, it would be the right thing to do for all sides and everyone involved to accept that moving to the next step can only be achieved by a compromise – as long as it clearly and unequivocally respects those red lines.

Let’s all hope that things can finally be different.

Events this week have ensured Boris will only win the General Election on a ‘no deal’ ticket. Conservative MPs who believe otherwise should step aside

October 9, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019Good leaders cannot be all things to all people. In fact, the best leaders don’t even try.

Boris enters a danger zone every time he flirts with the concept of One Nation Conservatism. But has found a winning formula with ‘lets get Brexit done’.

It is on the basis of focusing purely on getting Brexit done and making it stick, that for the Conservatives – in all likelihood with the help of Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party – the upcoming General Election will be won.

After more than three years of this woeful Brexit process and in particular the events that have transpired this week, it should be realistic for voters in this Country to be able to expect that MPs on all sides of Parliament would now accept that there were only two choices when the question of Leaving the EU was put to the People. And that when the People were asked about our future relationship, the People Voted to Leave.

Strange as it might therefore seem, for a number of Conservative MPs this certainly isn’t a view that they share with the Voting Public, and they are apparently up in arms about the prospect of a Conservative General Election Manifesto that is based on a clean or purist ‘no deal’ Brexit alone.

There is not, will not be and never has been a halfway house or middle way with Brexit.

This truth has been confirmed and clarified by Angela Merkel this week.

For any MP to stand against the will of the majority of the People on the basis that they personally want to Remain, when it is now clear that the only way the UK can actually Leave the EU is to do so cleanly without a so-called ‘deal’ is not only undemocratic. It is disingenuous in the extreme.

The only way that the Conservative Party can now survive the process of destruction that is underway within our political system, is to become the Party that will deliver that clinical form of Brexit and be open to the opportunities for meaningful reform that will come next, based upon moving on determinedly from the old politics and broken ideologies that serve political parties, but not the People anymore.

To achieve this, Boris, his Party and his MPs will have to look favourably upon help from the Brexit Party and shed any Conservative Candidate – whether a current MP or other – who believes that Brexit can be delivered without the complete separation of the UK from the EU, and therefore continuing to play a three-year-plus-and-counting game of pin the tail on the donkey somewhere in between.

People are not only fed up with but completely bewildered by the behaviour of our MPs, their disregard for democracy and their continuing attempts to overturn Brexit.

We will all be grateful for true leadership that takes us out of the EU and recognises that Brexit is just the doorway to where real and meaningful reform of government and the political system in this Country begins.

There is no place for MPs and politicians in the UK’s future who cannot move on and accept that it’s time to leave the selfishness and self-serving behaviour of the old politics behind.

 

The Supreme Court has lit the fuse on a time bomb sitting under our democracy and whole system of government too

September 24, 2019 Leave a comment

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The legal profession in the UK has been its own worst enemy for a long time.

Whilst reform has been long overdue in probably every area of Law, like most devices linked to the rule of Government in this Country, the breaks have been plastered over again and again and the system has repeatedly failed all of us.

Like politics itself, the people with responsibility have either forgotten or overlooked what’s right for everyone and replaced it with whats right for them in some or other mitigated form.

Perfect judgement of anything is rarely possible, because it is impossible to be aware of or understand all of the facts. And by facts we must not exclude non-material evidence, because thinking itself would also be taken into consideration if the perfect judgement were genuinely the aimed-for thing.

For practical reasons that include the functioning of what we consider to be a ‘normal‘ or civilised society, it is necessary for the Law to work set against a framework of Laws, precedents and past Judgements as a guide to identify the milestones and benchmarks of legal circumstances and know that a decision is being made against the ‘right’ things.

When it comes to matters that sit outside precedent or the Law making of our Government, it stands to reason that the highest Court in the Land which is now the Supreme Court, should be consulted and be asked to consider what precedent to set upon  those things.

Yet the dynamics of the relationship between primary Law makers (Government, ultimately representing the People) and the administrators of the Law (The Judiciary, ultimately representing the Government) is one that should never be impinged.

To do so brings into question where the power of our democracy ultimately falls.

The ruling by the Supreme Court today against the Government that the current Prorogation of Parliament was unlawful has stepped over a fundamental fault line in the way that our system of Democracy has previously been successful and worked.

Laws have been created under the power of the electorate via the ballot box, through the election of representatives of the people.

Until today, we have not been a Country that has been under the rule of the Courts.

As I outlined in a recent blog, there can be no suggestion that Boris Johnson’s prorogation of Parliament was absolutely right. But the circumstances which led him to the place where he made that decision were simply unprecedented too.

There should have been acknowledgement from the Supreme Court that the nature of the circumstances that have led to the Prorogation have themselves led to the experience for both the Government and the Courts.

Regrettably, the Judges of the Supreme Court have not done this. And our concern should now be what impression this will leave in people’s minds when we know that the way that politics works is broken and that change is an inevitable thing.

We have a Parliament that has refused to obey the will of the people by enacting the instruction of a democratic vote; refused to go back to the people when a confirmatory vote in the form of a General Election was offered – not just once, but twice, and has now encouraged the highest Court in the land to intervene in support of what at best can only be called their very questionable actions. All without the people being allowed to become involved in the process and being allowed democratically give their view on whats been happening, without Parliament first taking every step it believes that it can, to stack the deck in its favour of being returned en masse in order to frustrate once again the meaning of that original 2016 European Referendum Vote.

As those who have taken the time to study the steps and pathways that dictators take to power will already know, one of the first things they look to destroy or take control of is the system of Law and the Judiciary.

With the state of our so-called democracy being in the condition that it is and the self-serving behaviour of our MPs wrecking the whole concept of a working democracy in the way that it is, it is arguably the case that the combined efforts of all the people who should know better at the top of our establishment may have just combined to give any would-be dictator just cause.

 

image thanks to itv.com 

 

If the Conservatives finally catch up with events and somehow remove May, the last thing we need is for them to waste time seeking support for Brexit from the EU

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For many reasons, Boris could still be the one to make the difference once May goes. The question is, has he already sold-out to the ‘old politics’ and  self-interest before the fight to change British Politics for the better has even began?

Although we have all lived through the experience of thinking May is finally about to go, for it to not then happen – almost too many times to count, the reality is that even her many months of borrowed time are now on borrowed time and upon borrowed time itself.

The open descent within Parliament and the Local Conservative Party network tells us that barring the miraculous fall of a series of dominoes that the Prime Minister has never even attempted to line up, she will be gone within a matter of days if not weeks.

I have previously made the argument that there are good reasons why the next Leader of the Conservative Party should be Boris Johnson. Not because he will make the best Prime Minister. But because he is likely to be the best option for Prime Minister we have available to us right now.

To recap on that, Boris was the only Conservative MP and known leadership candidate currently sitting who a) appeared to be making the right noises about the direction of travel for the Country; b) has a demonstrable track record that suggests he is savvy enough to link future policy as being irremovably entwined with his own ambition; c) is likely to have sense enough to surround himself with the right people as advisors and Ministers to ‘get the job done’ if and when his time came and d) has a level of currency existing with the Electorate that could give him a winning edge against Corbyn in a General Election when all the other necessary building blocks are in place.

The mixture of these factors would logically overcome the remaining questions about his suitability to be in No.10. Character and personal ambition are not particularly great issues when the right objectives are prioritised. And up until the point that the phoney war stages of the Conservative Leadership race have come into the open in the days since the Local Elections last week, there had been no reason to think otherwise.

Today, that changed. Boris has indicated that if he is successful in his bid to occupy No.10, the first thing he will do is go back to the EU and get them to ditch the backstop.

As a former Cabinet Minister and Brussels-based Journalist, BoJo should know so much more about the EU than most. How it works and what its detailed history indicates that it will almost certainly do in any circumstance should be ringing alarm bells very loudly about everything to come.

So to even suggest it will be as simple as going back and creating an opt-out that everyone has known – not least of all the EU itself – would have broken the Brexit impasse many months ago, takes wishful thinking to a very different kind of level and extreme.

One of the most notable things that we will remember about Theresa May’s Premiership in the dying days and months of it, was her repeatedly opting to sell-out to keep herself in the job of PM, no matter what the implications for our People and the Country involved.

We do not need May to be replaced by another Conservative Prime Minster who has simply said all the right things. Words and dialogue synonymous with misleading terms like ‘Brexit means Brexit’. Spoken in order to secure the ‘top job’, whilst privately knowing that their own future and legacy are to them the only sacrosanct thing.

Boris’ article in yesterday’s Telegraph flew and immediate red flag when he openly outed himself as a ‘One Nation Conservative’, leaving the reader with the immediate question of whether this was a price that he may now have paid behind closed doors to secure the support for his leadership bid from ardent Europhiles such as Amber Rudd.

The price that we might all pay for any attempt at taking the ‘easy way’ for any Conservative leadership hopeful may indeed turn out to be the sought after change of guard.

But instead of the decisive leadership and direction that we need, we will just experience a continuation of attempts to find a Remain-based accommodation with the EU. One that does enough to dupe the Voters, castrate Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party Movement, whilst keeping Conservatives – who are more interested in themselves and what they can get from being in Government in power, rather than taking in any way seriously what it means to lead the UK Government and be entrusted by the People to be in charge.

It will be a potentially disastrous mistake with implications that reach out far beyond the scope of the Conservative Party, if the only Conservative leadership candidate who is currently gifted with the ability to beat Corbyn in a General Election within months, sells out now. Days or weeks before the real work gets underway, just before what is likely to be a turning point in our history has arrived, and missing the real opportunity that exists to lead us properly and to put everything wrong with British Politics and our system of Government right.

As I have written in detail in recent days, the only way that a solution can be found that will suit the needs and aims of Brexiteers and Remainers alike and bring us all back together will be for the UK to Leave the EU properly, and ONLY THEN seek to negotiate a new relationship from the point where the EU has none of its so-called security, perceived as being in the bag, as it has done up until now with May and the many Prime Ministers who have led us in a subservient relationship before.

The steps are simple for the Conservative MP who is chosen to lead and is serious about living up to the responsibility of doing so.

  1. Forget the EU – we have until Thursday 31st October 2019 and if you are ready to stand up and be counted on our behalf, that’s plenty of time to get things done
  2. Create a new Manifesto – involve the People and not just sympathizers and activists in a new dynamic form of political interaction and conversation. One where everyone feels they have a stake in the development of a new way of doing government which is fair, robust but above all is there to work for everyone
  3. Go back to the People to secure a new Mandate in time to tell the EU before the end of October that the UK is Leaving, without any kind of deal and that any future relationship with them will be subservient only to our own Independence and Sovereignty as a self-governing nation, and the mission creep and implementation of law-by-stealth will no longer for us be the way that things are done.

There are many of us out here taking no pleasure from the sight of the Conservative Party’s demise.

We believe that the Conservative Party could still recover under the right form and style of Leadership, overturn the Brexit impasse and then take the UK forward to realise all the opportunities that await us after Brexit and beyond.

Yet we have also seen the willingness to self-destruct within this once great Party, from people who still today prioritise only themselves, their careers and the few others around them that they perceive to be actively involved and important.

The reality is that if the Conservative Party finally gets rid of Theresa May as it should have done many months before now and replaces her with any leader who is the same or who will behave the same because of the priorities they formulate in order to secure and keep their office, the new incumbent will simply finish off the process of putting nails in the Conservative Party’s coffin. The final part of the process which the current Prime Minister began after many years of this ‘old politics’ being at work within the Conservative Party and all forms of government, not realising it was in terminal decline.

 

image thanks to ‘ITV Headcases’

 

 

 

 

 

The Conservative Party MUST have a New Leader, New Manifesto AND New Electoral Mandate BEFORE 31 October – AND they ALL have to be just right

April 25, 2019 10 comments

img_3013When Parliament has already voted to overrule the Executive, a Party Grandee who has been a Party Member for longer than the lifetimes of many MPs leaves to stand for a protest party, and Conservative Councillors and even MPs too are telling the media they are about to Vote against their own Party in an upcoming Election, anyone with enough sense and concern for what is going on around them would know that what is happening no longer fits with any rules they know. They would accept that following those rules is not now going to bring the situation to a close.

That our lawmakers have no real appreciation for the responsibility they have been given by the Electorate has now become painfully obvious to the People outside of Westminster.

Worse for all conservatives, whether members of the Party, tribal voters or simply lapsed, is the realisation that a horrible reality is now becoming manifest in Westminster. One where there are simply not enough Conservative MPs in the Parliamentary Party that have the understanding, stamina, wherewithal and everything that it takes to deal with a serious crisis – not one created by any external threat, but by something made manifest from within its own walls.

Those who observe and consider the steps of the journey that Brexit has taken will eventually realise that the decisions made by Theresa May and her enablers since June 2016 – right up to the 1922 Committee’s decision last evening not to put the flames out engulfing the Party that are now in open sight for all to see, have and are continuing to fuel a fire that has not only taken the Conservative Party to the edge of the precipice, but is on the verge of condemning the whole of the UK to political, if not civil chaos too.

We have reached a point where the true chronology of events that led to the Vote to Leave the European Union, the mess of the Brexit Process and the now the critical condition of our democracy too, is in imminent danger of being forgotten and responibility for all ills being laid squarely at the feet of the only Political Party genuinely capable of getting the UK through Brexit and to the promise of the opportunities that lie ahead for us all on the other side.

It is painful for many to admit that the disease within the Conservative Party may have already been allowed to spread too far. That if the majority of the MPs that are still obstructing change from within the Conservative Parliamentary Party do not put their self-interest, fear and obsession with maintaining a system that now, thanks in no small part to them no longer exists, that not only will the Party that gifted them their time in the public eye be gone, but the Country itself could be thrown into chaos and darkness of a kind that those amongst us still alive to remember the consequences of such times had long since hoped had been left behind.

People who I and many have time for and respect from right across the political spectrum, are now falling in behind Nigel Farage to support the Brexit Party.

Any serious conservative with an eye on the future and what happens next would be foolish not to read the electoral runes right at this moment in time and see what is about to happen to British Politics during the Month of May.

But whilst one of the key straplines of this very serious and credible protest party is changing politics for good, the Brexit Party only has the cohesiveness between its Membership and support provided by just one issue.

This commonality between Brexit Party supporters will evaporate the moment that the promise made to respect our democracy and Leave the EU has been made good.

In days and certainly no more than weeks, the Conservative Party has a final and defining choice to make about the part that it wants to play and can offer the British People as a choice for the future.

If the Conservative Party does not choose to take it, the Brexit Party could well become the overwhelming force in domestic British Politics that UKIP never could.

The anger, palpable amongst the British People today that could so quickly be addressed with reason and delivery, could instead be completely unleashed.

Make no mistake. A Political Party without professional governance, systems and procedures is not going to deliver the overnight change it is now promising us – even if it currently benefits from having many well known and well meaning names up front which gives it an even more credible feel.

The choice that the Conservative Party has to make is whether to do nothing and allow May to continue in a way that only she seems to know how. Or to commit to a hard-decision-laden and timely process that will require unbending commitment, coolness of character and dedication to a cause much bigger than themselves and their Party, all boiled down to the willingness to do whatever it will take to get things done.

Step 1. A NEW Leader

May MUST go.

May MUST go now.

May MUST be replaced quickly.

This is not the time for an incumbent PM to be allowed to run down the clock in an attempt to let history look more kindly upon her tenure than anyone actually does right now. It won’t.

The ridiculous infighting, self-interest and ambition that have created so much of the Brexit impasse and constipated version of Parliamentary Politics we have witnessed over the past year has to stop and be consigned to the bin.

There MUST be a practical acceptance of the reality that right now, in this climate and with our Country facing the issues that it is, that there is no such thing as the ‘best’ or ‘Perfect’ candidate to be Prime Minister. It is now all about putting the person into the role who will be best placed to get results and yes, get the job done.

Under such circumstances, there is little doubt that whilst far from a perfect situation, the Party Membership would support an immediate ‘crowning’ of a new Party Leader and de facto Prime Minister, AS LONG AS THE PARLIAMENTARY PARTY APPOINTS THE RIGHT PERSON IT HAS AVAILABLE.

As recent polling work undertaken by the Conservative Home Website has shown, which is reliable for gauging the mood of the grassroots Party, the Membership wants a Brexiteer PM in Downing Street.

By far, the PM that the Membership wants is Boris Johnson.

The lack of understanding and appreciation of what really gets results, instead replaced with private ambition and the idea that each and every Member of the Cabinet is the only one who really knows best and can be the next Prime Minister, is precisely why so much of this has gone wrong already.

Trying to control or obstruct a workable solution to these problems for personal reasons, rather than doing what’s best for everyone, no matter how challenging or distasteful or unpalatable the alternative might be, is likely to replace one bad Prime Minister with another. Not because the alternatives aren’t capable or any good at what they do. But because they cannot be the person to bring together the formula that this Country needs right now and effectively become the necessary catalyst for change and for good.

Boris is very electable, as has been demonstrated by his highly effective campaigns to become and to be re-lected London Mayor.

Yes, Boris has a propensity to look silly at inappropriate times. But he also identifies his own destiny as being closely aligned with the success of the people and the policies that he leads. And as Prime Minister he will know that he MUST surround himself with the full range of best talents and voices. To be inclusive, but to make sure that the results achieved are good for all parts of our society and not just those who are directly involved.

This is where the opportunity lies for all who can see, accept and facilitate what now needs to be done to align themselves, contribute and for their genuine ambition to do good for others to be recognised fully for the part they play in delivering for the much bigger Public cause.

2. A NEW Manifesto

No. Oddly the next step IS NOT to worry about Brexit and the EU.

For right or for wrong, we now have until Thursday 31st October 2019 to sort out the Brexit mess and to get things done.

That’s 6 Months. And with a week being a long time in politics, as long as the Conservatives get moving quickly AND do all that needs to be done, 6 Months will be plenty of time enough.

The first priority is to create, promote and engage the public with a NEW Manifesto.

A Manifesto that demonstrates:

  • That the kind of working relationship that WE ALL want with Europe can only be created and developed once we are a fully Independent and Sovereign State once again and that to do this WE MUST FULLY AND CATEGORICALLY LEAVE.
  • That the Conservative Party is NOT only the Party of the rich, but the Party of all those with aspiration. The protector and safe-guarder of all those in genuine need and all those who want to succeed as a result of genuine effort and not riding off the backs and exploitation of others. A Party which really is for ALL of us too.
  • That Politics is in fact the means and not the ends to get things done. That it is a calling, not a job and that those who gain the very special and privileged elevation to Public Office must be able, prepared and committed to engaging fully foremost and as a priority with the People that they represent.
  • That good governance of this Country can no longer be something regurgitated from history, read from a book, accepted as an established rule or contrived on the basis simply of how it will look.
  • That decisions will be taken no matter how hard, to ensure that Government delivers fully for everyone, without bias, favour and with fairness as we are all right and justified in expecting that it should.

It will not take months or years to formulate.

The Conservatives only have to look beyond themselves and begin to engage everyone in a natural conversation, without the hard sell and without falling back on statistics and analysis to confirm what being out there will soon tell them should then be a quickly changing mood.

3. A New Mandate

With a New Leader and New Manifesto, the Conservative Party then MUST go back to the People.

It MUST have the faith, confidence and guts to know that if the Party has done Steps 1 & 2 right, the People will come back and provide the Party with a New Mandate.

A New Mandate that is required not only to break the Brexit impasse that can only come from our clean-break Leaving the EU. But to deliver the change that the People now require of our politicians. So that the UK can find its place and ensure that we are all secure in an ever changing World, where the agility and flexibility that our status as an Independent and Sovereign State is the only way that we can effectively adapt as a Country to ensure that we can continually work together towards the prize of something better for all.

 

 

 

 

 

Do not mistake the bloody-mindedness of a committed leader to the pig-headedness of a prime minister in name only with no cognizance of what they are doing wrong

January 15, 2019 Leave a comment

There is no control over the direction that this Parliament will now take us. There is no collective cause. The purpose and direction of self-interest made manifest through our political classes has now come into its own.

Under such a smog-ridden screen where everything democratic is choking on the stench of this party-political miasma, it really is little wonder that our lame duck Prime Minister has been able to continue, when at other times any leader who has failed to lead so catastrophically, would have in their reality been long since gone.

Whilst many of the media outlets are speculating upon the size of this evening’s defeat, the fact that Theresa May’s position thereafter will be defined by the size and not the outcome is itself pretty much unique.

The Conservative Party is in its death throws. At best split down the middle. In need of some shining knight in armour, who can and is willing to hop off their own horse, kneel down on the floor and perform some breathtaking form of CPR.

The long list of pretenders has now become very real. From the sublime, to the ridiculous and the downright bizarre.

But if for any reason after tonight the idea of an imminent General Election should begin to gain traction, there is only one name in within the Conservative Parliamentary Party who can turn around the current direction of misfortune, connect with the British People and stop Corbyn from having any chance of taking his idealistic plan for a socialist Britain and making it manifest in a far more malevolent and dangerous form.

Be under no illusion that if Theresa may were to lead the Conservatives into a General Election Campaign, any 6-point lead that the Party is now celebrating would soon evaporate, and that the very best they could hope for in a result would be a coalition led by Corbyn. Chaos beyond anything even today that we could imagine, but Conservatives as leaders being ditched as the result.

It may make difficult and challenging reading. But there is only one potential candidate to replace Theresa May who has the ability to immediately connect with the Electorate. Is today publicly known. And has the position and influence to make something right come from this mess over Brexit. To deliver what the People Voted for whilst bringing all sides together and potentially lots more.

 

image thanks to ITV ‘Headcases’

 

Keeping May in power today will soon prove itself the much harder result for the Prime Minister, The Conservative Party and the Country itself

December 12, 2018 1 comment

That anyone in Westminster could have really felt surprised that the magic 48 was reached yesterday is actually the surprise itself.

After days and weeks of bluster about May’s welched Brexit deal being the only one available, the Prime Minister pulls the whole thing with just a few hours to spare, heads off to get a steer from Europe and whilst she’s on the plane, her Euro-chums come out to help her by making clear that there will be absolutely nothing more forthcoming.

Talk is very cheap, as the Prime Minister of 29 months quickly found out. But when you are playing a game that will result in the sovereignty of an entire Nation being needlessly flushed away in perpetuity, just because of some suicidal vanity project, anyone with a sense of any logic and reason must conclude that this is one dog that has definitely had its day.

Being out of the EU will be far better for the people and businesses of this Country.

We will soon resume our place in the world with confidence, once we have departed from the constrictions of this Foreign Power that employs a modus operandi that has always been based on doing the UK down.

That we have had so many Prime Ministers who on assuming Office have been slave to the idea that they could win against the power of the EU by being within it says much about the ignorance and lack of understanding that exists within our political culture.

Without exception, even Margaret Thatcher had a rude awakening to the cold, hard truth that the EU is an out-of-control entity that is on a continual power grab.

Each and every time it is successful, it simply moves the goalposts as it ties every Member State into surrendering more, usually on behalf of its unknowing people.

Theresa May has just played straight into their hands.

Instead of responding impartially to the Instruction of the British People, the Prime Minster has either deliberately or through sheer incompetence created a situation where even democratically elected MP’s are so fearful of what the mess she has made is now creating and will become, that they are seriously contemplating giving up the UK’s ability to be independent to a Foreign Power – and along with a whole lot more besides.

May knows that there is no strength in her position. And by standing at the lectern outside No.10 this morning and stating that the only step that a new PM could take would be to beg for an extension of Article 50, or just rescind the whole Brexit process in full, she has given the lie to the suggestion that her trip around Europe to see other Leaders would have yielded anything meaningful before she returns her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement to the mercy of this rabbit-trapped-in-the-headlights-Commons once more.

All credibility in No.10 has now left the building. What Conservatve MP’s will commit the whole Country to later today, if they fail to accept the invitation to remover her, will be a world of pain which is of their own making.

There are a number of ways that keeping May in power could unfold.

Firstly, there remains a serious risk that if May wins the Confidence Vote, she will string the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement issue out, until fear itself is used to push through the result that would then keep her in No.10.

Make no mistake, in these circumstances the EU would be very happy about everything they are about to be gifted by the unwitting, unled UK. For them May’s success will be a year of Christmases despite everything we are being publicly told. And be under no illusion about the risk of this happening, as the terror of the misnamed ‘no deal Brexit’ plays heavily upon the emotions of the unobjective Members in Parliament and too many of them see safety and a misplaced trust in the mythical changelessness of Remain.

There will be no glory for this option for the Conservatives who went with the current PM. You can rest assured that the poison of this treachery made manifest by May would very quickly rub off on many more of the Parliamentary Party with any chance of Conservatives forming a future majority government very quickly evaporating away.

As I write, the more likely result of May’s surety in Office is that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement, now lacking all credibility and there clearly being no scope to change it in any meaningful way, will fall when it finally comes to a vote.

At that point, just a few days or weeks into the new Year, we will then – at the cost of the Corbyn-led Labour Government that will surely follow, then and only then see the end of Theresa May.

Yes, May might resign following a success in a Confidence Vote, before being forced to go to the Country. But on the basis of her track record alone, if she will not resign right now today and make way, faced with a General Election in 2019, she will almost certainly do the same.

The Conservative Party will not win power again under the leadership of the current Prime Minister.

The benefit of bringing her term in No.10 to its conclusion today is that there will at least be time to prepare and publicise a new and much improved narrative before what now increasingly looks like a General Election one way or the other in 2019 is called and the campaign gets under way.

Wouldn’t it be better to have a chance of winning when it does?

Update – 1.21pm:

Shortly after first publishing this Blog today, news has began to come out that Theresa May is to announce that she will stand down before the next General Election. All I can add to this is that her deal is already dead and by continuing her Premiership, the promise of standing down before a General Election would only be likely to set up another leader to lose, whilst almost guaranteeing May’s giveaway of the UK. There is a growing chance that there will be a General Election in 2019 and the issue today is whether the Tories will approach it in a controlled way, or give in to the ‘easy’ alternative which will be more chaos, with the only beneficiary being Theresa May.

image thanks to unknown

Everyone take a deep breath because there’s only one candidate for No.10 who can pick up this shit-soaked ball and move us towards a place where the whole UK can begin to win again

December 11, 2018 2 comments

I’ve made little secret of my distaste for the damage that ambition and self-interest in politics does. So much so, I even wrote a book to help people entering politics to counter it.

But when the shit hits the proverbial fan, like it has done through the premiership of Prime Minister Theresa May, there is simply no choice but to look to how we play with the cards we have been dealt, rather than shuffling, or better still introducing a new deck to take things in a direction that resembles where they should have been.

When you spend time talking to people out in the real world about politics, you know that the question of who will replace May is something that has been playing on minds.

None of what the political world would identify as being the usual suspects within a sitting government – aka the Cabinet itself – now have the credibility or clear political disposition to take things a different way.

They are inextricably linked with May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement which is an extended version of Remain, and their behaviour guarantees that they are now personally too entrenched with a direction which runs contrary to the will of the People, for any of them to be taken seriously as a force for good which can bring us all together, rather than continue to polarise by playing to one audience whilst singing a different song to another, all under a pretence of ignoring the Electorate in the same way as May.

Yet Cabinet Members share a commonality with all of those who would now be king or queen. They are all ridiculously ambitious, and whilst in virtually every case that ambition is clearly about gaining the position and perceived kudos which goes with going our PM, it is not the responsibility itself that they covet. And that is where in a time of increasing National need, rather than bring something new and in-touch with the people to the table, they will doom us to another term of self-interest and I-know-best led government. The very same as May’s disastrous tenure, just without the same figurehead and a change of names.

Out of the obvious candidates who we recognise as being available for the Parliamentary Conservative Party to choose from, there is only one candidate who stretches beyond this, is capable of doing something different than the others, and Boris Johnson is his name.

Yes, to politicians Boris has a taste like Marmite. Ask anyone else who doesn’t like him and they will claim that ambition and buffoonery are the only things that spring to mind when you mention his name. But the thing that we all should consider much more carefully is the power of his touch. Boris can bring people together in unfathomable ways, turn electoral tides in different directions like he did in two Mayoral Elections in London, and as Leader of the Conservative Party and as our Prime Minister, when we need something very different from the Conservative Party to deal with both the EU and the risk from Corbyn’s Labour, Boris can sprinkle his form of fairy dust and turn things around in Parliament just the same.

The key to embracing the idea of Boris is to understand that whilst he is stupidly ambitious to be our next Prime Minister, there is a key part of that ambition which is very different to the other likely candidates and it is not as simple as him being a ‘Leaver’, rather than the case of many others being linked inextricably to Remain.

Boris knows his destiny is intrinsically linked with the will and direction of the people. He has the knack of being just a step ahead of the game when it comes to what people outside of the political sphere really want, and whilst there may be a flurry of big words and faffing around that accompanies it, it’s the delivery at the end of the process that people now want.

This is what Boris can give, unlike the other candidates who will sell a great sounding the story, but like May and a series of PM’s before her will never actually be in the position to deliver or give.

We simply don’t know how Boris would behave in a crisis. But his best will surely be no less than anyone else could give. Right now we need a form of political leadership that can reengage the masses, bring a good leadership team together, deliver what people have instructed and begin the process of once again making the UK a great place to live.

Until the time things have changed in Politics and we have other options, there is little doubt that a Boris-led Government is the best of what is available, and taking a risk on anything else will almost certainly be akin to going around in yet more disastrous circles and is destined to hit the skids.

image thanks to bbc.co.uk

Small decisions have BIG consequences: How the outcome of the Brexit process could resemble nothing anyone intended or anything that has already been seen

October 19, 2018 1 comment

small decisions

One of the biggest items of fake news reaching our screens and pages right now, is the idea, suggestion and misconception that Brexit must now come back to the People in another Referendum or ‘Peoples Vote’ to somehow make it legitimate or fair.

On 23rd June 2016, the majority of Voters taking part in the European Referendum, a genuine ‘Peoples Vote’ instructed the UK Government that our collective and democratic decision was to Leave Membership of the European Union (EU).

Contrary to repeated suggestions by many parts of the Remain camp and actions such as making challenges in the Courts and distorting the facts underlining both the Leave and Remain Campaigns and what has taken place since, the Vote was fair. The Leave result was genuine. And yes, 17.4 Million members of the Electorate of this Country did know what leaving the EU means.

However, an outcome is rarely an event in itself.

An outcome is usually the sum total of a chain of many different events or decisions leading to them, which can result in the outcome itself looking, feeling or being nothing like what the original decision directed. The result could resemble something far from what was was intended, and what it should have meant, simply because of decisions, influences and actions that enter the chain in between.

In normal life, this evolutionary process is often natural, influenced by many factors added on the way along, which are not intended on the part of anyone involved. They sit completely outside of our control and often lead to outcomes very different to what had been at any point planned or intended, but the result is overlooked, because the non-contrived and unforeseen parts of life have been introduced to the picture as we have travelled through.

Where things go wrong, particularly where big, political decisions are made, is that when a clear outcome from a process is defined, somebody or many somebodies either deliberately, or indeed unintentionally attempt and perhaps succeed in exerting influence on the process leading to that outcome.

They take action which ultimately leads things to a very different place from where they should have by that point have been, whether part of the legitimate plan, or whatever was their own. Different, because whatever the intention, once an action has been undertaken, the consequences in such circumstances are often completely out of anyones control.

Brexit is one such outcome. An outcome which is likely to look very different to what was intended when people Voted for it and equally very different to what those who have been trying to frustrate it have been intending ever since.

Whilst we obsess about the future and what we think will happen, we habitually base our predictions on the snapshot of now. We overlook the events which contributed or created the pathway which brought us to this point in time right now, which with different decisions and influences could have already looked very different indeed.

We also overlook what pandering to the noisy fears of idealistic people without vision or responsibility could deliver in terms of the final destination, if the real priorities of our EU departure are not kept in mind and the direction of travel kept patently clear.

Brexit, and the decision which demands its delivery in its genuine sense, wasn’t simply created on that night when the Votes of the EU Referendum were counted in June 2016.

But just as the UK Leaving the EU as the result of a Referendum wasn’t foreseen in the days of Thatcher, it doesn’t now mean that there is a trouble-free license to interfere with, redirect or invalidate the will of the British people when it comes to delivering the Brexit process, by manipulating the pathway to delivery at every opportunity in between.

Looking back on the events since the UK joined what was the Common Market, it is worth considering since the last days of the Thatcher Government, how each event and small decision surrounding Government has resulted in the cumulative outcome which is Brexit today.

The Brexit result did not come about by design although many Leavers would now leverage the benefit of hindsight to say ‘We told you so’.

Yes, there was every reason to believe that the UK would ultimately exit the European Union through some kind of fracture like an economic crash or the destruction of the Euro. But nobody either within the Leave contingent or the Remain-led Establishment itself really thought it would be a democratic plebiscite which would drive a wholly different, yet legitimate wedge between the UK and Membership of the EU.

The point to consider, whether your bias is Leave or Remain, is that no matter the nature or motivation of your intention, when you interfere with a process or take a course of action where you are attempting to dictate the outcome, you can neither predict nor control what the final result or outcome will actually be.

These words of caution are aimed at anyone who is, has or will attempt to manipulate the pathway or destination of Brexit.

Brexit is a genie that is completely out of its bottle and the result of all the bad choices, deliberate deceptions and meddling is going to take the UK to a destination which has not been anticipated, cannot be controlled and will never again resemble a place in the World where even recently we may have been.

The first real divide which resembled what we now know as Leave and Remain found its genesis at the time of the Thatcher Government.

The fractures came about because of the way that what we now know as the EU has been constructed, how it operates and how so little about its modus operandi is understood.

The pathway, often littered with wholly pro-EU acts on the part of Prime Ministers and their Cabinet Colleagues who should have known better, ultimately led to the Brexit Vote result. An outcome that was never the Establishment’s intention.

If you want to give thought to how Brexit could now play out as a result of the fractures and differences in ideas between people who should now be focusing on what we have in common, rather than the temporary ideas that we do not, this is probably the best place to begin.

The European Referendum Vote was the opening of the door and the outcome of a chain of many different events.

It wasn’t an instruction for MP’s or other people with Establishment influence to try and negotiate the steps that we take to get out.

The Result was a call to action. The Vote was a command. The outcome was a clear instruction that we Leave and only then review what remains between the UK and the EU. We the Electorate had no reason to doubt that it would be delivered in a way which would be fair, transparent and above all would be diligently true to that instruction.

Here follows a look at the Chain of events which led to the European Referendum result; to May’s tenure, and to a future which is far from certain.

Just as the events discussed and speculated upon before the EU Referendum led to the requirement of a Brexit outcome, the impact and consequences of the events and outcomes that have followed leave us today in the position that we cannot be sure of what will come to pass. That is before anything else is decided or done, and the choices which lead to those decisions and actions may be small, or they may appear to be large.

PLEASE NOTE: The following has been written as a way of provoking thought about events and outcomes that have happened compared to what could have been if different decisions had been made and subsequent actions taken. It is not a suggestion that any of the circumstances outlined would definitely have happened if different choices had actually been made. It also doesn’t consider the impact of the many other options which those involved had, or the events and outcomes that did and could have influenced any one or indeed all of the events as they appear in this inexhaustive list.

 1990

Margaret Thatcher ‘Regicide’ by the Conservative Party Europhiles

‘No, No, No’ seems like ancient history now. But many of us overlook the key event to the creation of the schism between Conservatives who at any other time would be friends.

Like all of our new, ambitious and confident Prime Ministers since, Margaret Thatcher underestimated the resolve and deviousness of the EU to achieve their long-term aim of a European Superstate through a drip-drip-drip strategy built on ‘no-return’ for each and every power transferred to the Brussels based autocratic centre.

When the point came for Mrs Thatcher, when she knew things had already gone too far, many of her closest Cabinet Members had already gone ‘Euro-native’. They were committed to this supranational, undemocratic ideal and were unwilling to support the Prime Minister in doing anything to turn things around.

The key players in bringing down the last real Tory PM, such as the still vocal Michael (now Lord) Heseltine, didn’t themselves gain the Conservative Party Leadership as part of this first of many disengaging and disenfranchising processes with the public.

Instead, under the typical Europhile appearance of compromise, the post was given to one of the biggest pro-Europe Conservatives we have ever seen.

What if different decisions had been made: It is easy to look back and assume that things would have been different if Maggie had stayed. She may well have given us the Referendum that her successor never did before the Maastricht Treaty was signed and in 1991 or 1992. She could have easily secured the solid working majority Commons that Major was not destined to do. But after 11 years of Leadership including 3 General Election Wins, a war in the Falklands and many battles with the EU and domestically back home, we can only wonder if she had the energy and clout left to take the Conservatives into another Term. As any eurosceptic who was around at the time would honestly tell you, the public at large were not at that point really awake to the creeping control and danger presented by the then version of the EU, and it’s impact had not arrived in ways that put the issue firmly in people’s minds.

John Major ‘Crowned’ PM

In what seemed like an unexpected choice to those watching on from a distance, the open warfare in the Conservative Party following Margaret Thatcher’s ejection from Office led to the Election of what appeared to be a compromise candidate – John Major.

Coming immediately from the post of Chancellor, Major had just overseen the entry of the UK into the EU’s Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), the precursor to the Single Currency or ‘Euro’.

What if different decisions had been made: Although a growing element of the Parliamentary Conservative Party was becoming increasingly suspicious of the direction of EU travel, few had the understanding that Thatcher had belatedly obtained. The appearance of a split in the philosophical framework of the Conservative Party made what was sold as compromise in the selection of a replacement for Margaret Thatcher all but inevitable. John Major had a track record at Cabinet level, what was at the time seen as being an essential qualification for the ‘top job’. Another Conservative Leader could have been Elected, but Thatcher was likely to have been the only Leader capable of taking on the EU at that time. She was not supported by the ‘big beasts’ to do so, so any new Leader who was in anyway Eurosceptic was going to have a very troubled time. 

1992

Maastricht Treaty

John Major’s ‘big moment’ was committing the UK to the Maastricht Treaty in early 1992.

What if different decisions had been made: The significance of Maastricht along the road to surrendering more and more power to the EU cannot be overstated. It is arguably true that this was a point when a Referendum on Membership should have been held.

We cannot be sure that a Vote at this point would have gone against remaining and therefore further committing to the EU or that the result would have instructed Major’s Government to Leave.

With three distinct groups present in the European Membership debate i.e. those who are blindly committed to the EU superstate, those who don’t care or aren’t really sure what any of it’s about and those who are against it, it is reasonably safe to argue that in 1992, the deck was still stacked to what we now know as ‘Remain’.

Members of the second group are always more likely to endorse the status quo, whatever direction that might be.

If Major had gone to the People, what question would he have asked? Was it even possible to ask a question which wouldn’t then have created a debate in which the ‘European Dream’ could not therefore last?

As it was, Major doubled down and used every trick in the politicians handbook to push greater commitment to the EU through, ironically outing the Euroscpetics as ‘Bastards’ for using the same methods that he was too.

General Election

Major’s Conservatives win an unexpected, but wafer thin majority.

What if different decisions had been made: Neil Kinnock, then Labour Leader and perhaps an even bigger Europhile than John Major would have made it into No.10. Significant tranches of EU assimilation policy such as Devolution/Regionalisation may well have made it onto the Statute book sooner. We may not have been taken out of the ERM, which in turn could have committed us to losing the Pound and gaining the single currency. Labour may never have had John Smith or Tony Blair as Leaders. We could have had a Tory Government again at the end of Kinnock’s first Term in 1996 or 1997. There is no certainty that we would have become involved in the Wars in Iraq or Afghanistan, if in turn they had happened.

John Smith becomes Labour Leader

With Neil Kinnock having failed to Lead the Labour Party back to power in either 1987 or 1992, it was time for him to step down.

John Smith, the respected Scottish Labour MP was elected Labour Leader and settled in to taking Labour in a new direction.

What if different decisions had been made: Had another Labour MP been Elected Opposition Leader at this point, there is a very good chance that they would have led Labour into the 1997 General Election rather than Tony Blair. This could have presented the Electorate with a very different choice and may have been the end of the New Labour project before it even began.

UK exit from the ERM

John Major’s most regrettable moment was the day that then Chancellor Norman (Now Lord) Lamont had to take the UK out of the ERM.

What if different decisions had been made:  Our economy could have been destroyed by staying within the harmonisation system, owing to the ERM requirement for the currencies of Members States to be very tightly synchronised. Up and coming politicians such as Tony Blair and Gordon Brown might not have seen the obvious risks of adopting the Euro as a shared currency. John Major might have gone on to win the 1997 General Election, bearing in mind that it was events like this which allowed Major’s Conservative Party to be financially inept, when the truth was no such thing.

1994

Tony Blair becomes Labour Leader

Following the untimely death of John Smith, the Labour Party Leadership Contest that followed was a watershed moment for the Labour Party and was to become the point that the New Labour project as an electoral force was born.

What if different decisions had been made: Another Labour MP would have been their Leader. Gordon Brown may have taken the job. Labour may not have won the 1997 General Election. Labour May not have won three General Elections in a row. The Iraq War might never of happened or the UK might never have become involved. Labour’s 1997-2010 overspend and the 2010 onwards period of ‘Austerity’ might never have come into being.

1997

General Election

New Labour’s historic landslide victory decimated the Tory Party, destroyed Conservative confidence and committed the UK to the direction of a charismatic and equally ambitious Prime Minister who saw their career as being very much aligned towards a bigger ‘world’ stage.

What if different decisions had been made: John Major’s Conservatives may have won another Term. There may have been a hung parliament or coalition government. Devolution might never of happened. The Scottish Parliament might not exist. The Welsh Assembly might not exist. We might not have signed the Lisbon Treaty. We might never have entered the single market as it stands today. We might never have had a question over Free Movement and Immigration. We may never have been involved in Iraq of Afghanistan. We might never have had such a significant debt in 2010, that Austerity – even as an idea had been deemed necessary. We might already have been out of Europe.

William Hague becomes Tory Leader

20 Years after his famous Conservative Party Conference Speech as a 16 year old, William Hague is elected Leader of the Conservative Party.

Inheriting a Parliamentary group which felt itself destroyed by the Labour victory earlier that year, Hague effectively walked into a role where keeping the Conservative Party engine running was about all that he could reasonably do in the circumstances. His greatest unacknowledged success was likely to be preventing the Party from becoming the spent force that it could have been.

What if different decisions had been made: Conservative Party may never have returned to Government. Hague may have become Tory Leader later, and then even PM himself.

1997 onwards

Devolution

Probably one of the biggest fibs told by Blair, his Government and the Labour Party was the one about his idea for Devolution and the ‘devolved Assemblies’.

Always part of the ‘European Plan’ to break up National identities into smaller, controllable Regions that could never again seek to acquire or execute power in a national form, on his ascendency Blair immediately embraced Devolution to win favour with the heads of the EU. He actually sold it to the Public as being a process of bringing democracy closer to people.

The truth was that Devolution and Regionalisation was all part of a process of creating hollow forms of ‘localised’ Government with real power being taken away from the UK and deposited undemocratically in Brussels to be used in a very different and autocratic form.

The sprat to catch the mackerel was the things like big funding giveaways to local areas, all branded as being available only with European Funding. You’ve seen the signs telling you everywhere that it was European Money being spent on this project and that. But this was always British Taxpayers money, redistributed, rebranded and packaged as a way of promoting European generosity when it was quite another thing altogether. It was a bribe in its most basic form.

What if different decisions had been made: There might not have been a Scottish Parliament. The SNP might have never secured an Independence Vote. Nicola Sturgeon may never have been the Holyrood Lead. Ruth Davidson might already be an MP in the Westminster Parliament. The UK might not have been at significant risk of breakup as it is today.

1999

Establishment of Scottish Parliament

Following the Devolution process, the Scottish Parliament was first established in May 1999.

What if different decisions had been made: We may never have had the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum. David Cameron may never have weaponised the SNP by making unnecessary concessions the morning after. The Conservatives might never have won a majority in the 2015 General Election. The 2016 European Referendum may never have happened. Brexit as a word could have never been invented. None of us would now be worrying what Leave might look like. Theresa May might never have been Prime Minister. We might now have Ed Milliband as Prime Minister, working his way towards a 2020 General Election. Jeremy Corbyn might never have become Labour Leader.

2001

General Election

Tony Blair’s New Labour win an almost identical result to the 1997 General Election, leaving the Conservative Party well and truly stumped.

What if different decisions had been made: William Hague might have been Prime Minister. There could have been a completely different Leader of the Labour Party soon after. We might have left Afghanistan earlier. We might never have been involved in the Iraq War. We might now have had a Labour Government led by a politician who we will now never know.

Iain Duncan Smith becomes Tory Leader

William Hague steps down and hands over the Opposition Leadership keys to Iain Duncan Smith (IDS).

The only real commonality between the two is being the butt of press ridicule and the hard reality that under both periods of Leadership, the Conservative Party appears to be going nowhere.

What if different decisions had been made: It’s quite possible that another Tory MP would have become Conservative Party Leader. The Tories might have won the 2005 General Election. We might never have been involved in Iraq.

You are beginning to get the picture.

2003

Michael Howard becomes Tory Leader

IDS accepts that he cannot lead the Conservative Party as it is. Michael (Now Lord) Howard has previous Government experience, is a ‘seasoned’ politician and is Elected Party Leader.

Howard’s arrival heralds the first real indications that the Conservative Party is ready to embrace change.

What if different decisions had been made: The Conservative Party might have not returned to Government in 2010. David Cameron may not have been Elected Tory Leader in 2005 and become Prime Minister in 2010. The SNP might not have bee given a Referendum. Brexit may never have happened….

Are you starting to picture the links?

2005

General Election

Tony Blair wins New Labour Election Victory No.3. The Tories pick up a few seats and there is a sense of small change, but in practical terms, at this stage at least, it resembles none.

What if different decisions had been made: Michael Howard would have been Prime Minister. Gordon Brown might never have become Labour Leader and in 2007, the PM. David Cameron may never have become Tory Leader. The Lisbon Treaty may never have been signed. The Immigration issue might never have materialised. The Scottish Referendum might never have happened. Brexit might not have been invented. We might now have another Labour Government with a PM who would have been….?

David Cameron becomes Tory Leader

Following the Tories third successive defeat to New Labour, Michael Howard knows that he has to do what is best for the direction of the Conservative Party which means only one thing.

Howard remains leader whilst a Tory Leadership Campaign takes shape, leaving contenders ‘2001 new boy David Cameron’ and ‘Europhile Big Beast Ken Clarke’ to fight it out for a Membership Vote Win.

David Cameron wins the Leadership race and becomes Tory Leader.

What if different decisions had been made: Ken Clarke might have become Prime Minister in 2010. We might now be more involved with the EU than ever before and Brexit would for many still be a hopeless dream. Gordon Brown might have won a Labour Majority in 2010, or at worst, been the leader of a Labour/Lib Dem Coalition, with the Tories perhaps broken, reforming as a new party or doing something else somewhere in between. The Milliband Brothers might still have been on a Labour Front Bench. Jeremy Corbyn could still be out of sight on the back benches.

2007

Gordon Brown ‘Crowned’ PM

Awaiting his moment noisily in No.11, Gordon Brown became Prime Minister on Tony Blair’s Resignation in June 2007.

Without the same skills and attributes of his immediate predecessor, Brown was unable to wow the crowds. The biggest moment of his tenure probably came with the event of the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis when his Government bailed out the privately owned Banks using Public Money, thereby sending the National Debt stratospheric from the point where after 10 years of Labour profligate spending already, it should never ever have already been.

What if different decisions had been made: We might have had a different Labour Prime Minister from 2007 until the next General Election which could have come in 2009 or 2010. Labour could have won a majority in 2010 or been the lead player in a hung parliament. David Cameron might never have been PM. Nick Clegg could still be in frontline Politics. The Lib Dems could now have been the third biggest Party in Parliament.

2010

General Election

The result of the General Election is hung.

Backroom deals are the flavour of the day, and whilst Brown sits it out in No.10 hoping for enough support to patch together a ‘Rainbow Coalition’ which keeps the Tories out of power, Nick Clegg does a deal with David Cameron which creates the Coalition Government with Cameron as PM and Clegg as Deputy PM.

As part of ‘the deal’, Cameron agrees to a Referendum on an Alternative Vote system. The two also agree to pass the Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which technically secures a standard 5-year term for any Government, and removes the ability of a sitting PM to call a General Election without having to ‘work’ the Parliamentary system to do so.

A disproportionate number of Lib Dem MP’s secure Ministerial Office, causing significant upset within the Conservative Party.

Nick Clegg is forced to renege on his commitment to scrap Tuition Fees for Students.

Gordon Brown steps down as Labour Party Leader.

What if different decisions had been made: Gordon Brown could have remained PM and leader of a ‘Rainbow Coalition made up of Labour, the Lib Dems, the SNP etc. David Cameron might have resigned. The Scottish Independence Referendum might have been held and Independence won. There might not have been an EU Referendum in 2016. There might have been a different Conservative Leader of the opposition fighting the 2015 General Election. David Milliband could have been the next Labour Leader.

Ed Milliband becomes Labour Leader

Now consigned to the memory of just a few, Gordon Brown’s departure left a vacancy which led to a fight between two ambitious politicians, but one of a family kind too.

Both David Milliband, who had ministerial experience, and his younger brother Ed, squared up to each other in a campaign which to this day has a cloud over it because of the way that the Labour Party attributed votes to this Leadership race.

Despite lacking the level of credibility of his older brother, Ed won the Labour Leadership.

What if different decisions had been made: David Milliband could have become Labour Leader and might now have been Prime Minister too. Jeremy Corbyn might never have become Labour Leader. Theresa May might never have become Prime Minister. Boris could still have been London Mayor.

2011

The Alternative Vote Referendum (AV)

Purely at the insistence of new Deputy PM Nick Clegg, and as one of the key ‘prices’ of 5 years support in Coalition for the Tory-led Government and David Cameron as PM, a Referendum was held in early May to consider replacing the First Past The Post electoral system with AV instead.

Based on Proportional Representation, the system favours small Political Parties and moves the emphasis from voting for a named representative to direct Party support.

Proportional Representation is a much less democratic system, focusing the shift towards supporting policy in a snapshot moment, which is always thereafter subject to change, in stead of providing the opportunity to select the best person to represent a constituency and be responsible in adapting to the changes during their elected term, but always doing so in respect of the common good.

The vote was lost by an overwhelming majority against the change of 67.9%.

What if different decisions had been made: It is likely that First Past the Post would now be dead, and all political offices would be elected using forms of proportional representation. We might never again have a majority Government sitting in the Westminster Parliament. Anything that the public now vote for might never again even have the chance to matter, because policy would always be decided between the Political Groups who make deals after each election to patch together a coalition, because none of them could achieve an outright win. We might never have had a European Referendum. David Cameron might have been the last ever Conservative PM. Jeremy Corbyn might never again have been elected as an MP.

2014

European Elections

I’ve included the European Parliamentary Elections in 2014, not because the European Parliament itself is influential. It is not.

The Parliament is little more than a patsy, created only to give the wider EU autocracy the appearance of being a democratic institution. It is not.

It is included because of the UK Result, which saw the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) win an additional 11 Seats, making them the biggest UK presence with 24 Seats in the European Parliament.

The result sent shockwaves through Westminster. UKIP was suddenly a real electoral threat to the Establishment ‘status quo’.

What if different decisions had been made: It is likely to have been the key deciding factor in David Cameron’s promise to hold a Referendum on EU Membership as part of his 2015 Manifesto for the General Election Campaign. It is likely that he thought the result would be another 5 years of Coalition with the Lib Dems at best, or at worst, a Vote he would have lost and seen Ed Milliband in No.10.

Would Cameron have promised the EU Referendum if he had been certain of electoral victory in 2015? We may never honestly know.

Scottish Independence Referendum

The result of the Referendum on the Question of Scottish Independence on 14th September 2014 was a majority against of 55.3% to yes of 44.7%.

The outcome itself may not have had any significant impact upon anything other than what the SNP would do next.

It was David Cameron’s decision to come out on to the steps of No.10 the following morning and make a range of commitments to the SNP, which was probably a lot more influential upon what was now in store.

What if different decisions had been made: Scotland might now be an independent Country. But the SNP might well have committed the Scots to Remaining within the EU at that time if the different chronology had given the EU a different view. That is of course if the 2015 General Election result had subsequently been the same.

2015

General Election

David Cameron’s Conservatives win an unexpected small, but nonetheless working majority in the Commons.

The Coalition is over. Cameron is committed to holding the European Referendum.

What if different decisions had been made: Ed Milliband would have been Prime Minister. The European Referendum would never have been held. We might ask the question what is Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn would never have become Labour Leader. Labour Momentum would never have existed.

Jeremy Corbyn becomes Labour Leader

No. It was far from being a certainty. Yet Jeremy Corbyn cleaned up in the Labour Leadership Election following Ed Milliband’s post-General Election Resignation.

Corbyn was never taken seriously as a Candidate, and it is regrettably likely that at other times sensible Labour MP’s gave him their support to run, with the intent of causing disruption to the Campaigns of more credible participants. Those who did so were blind to the even the short-term realities of the outcome if Corbyn actually won.

Which he did.

What if different decisions had been made: Labour might have had a more credible, mainstream leader, who isn’t a Marxist at their core. Labour may well have won the 2017 General Election. The Brexit Negotiations might have now been in the hands of a Labour Leader. Theresa May might never have become Prime Minister. Boris might now be leader of the opposition.

2015-16

David Cameron’s EU ‘Renegotiation’

The Renegotiation of the relationship between the UK and EU that never was.

It is likely that following on from the many dubious wins against an unknowing pubic in which ambitious politicians had previously used manipulation, spin and complete bullshit to win before, Cameron had concluded that big theatrics and dramatics suggesting real effort resulting in something meaningful, would line him up for a Referendum Win.

The reality was that Cameron never achieved anything even remotely meaningful in his ‘renegotiations’, and the EU was already viewing the intrsigence of a Member State which had the audacity to question its future with the EU as being insubordinate and behaviour which must quickly be consigned to the bin.

So sure of success was Cameron and his closest allies such as then Chancellor George Osborne, that they never even began work on putting together the steps of a Contingency Plan, if their attempted stitch-up leading to a Remain Win in the EU Referendum was then denied.

What if different decisions had been made: In theory, Cameron could have really gone for the jugular when he squared up to ask the questions of the EU, from which real results could have given him a genuine Referendum Win.

In reality, the EU has made very clear that every nation which becomes a Member is restricted to the same rules and must therefore consider itself without any real means of having separate identity.

Once you are in, it doesn’t matter what bullshit you give to Voters (or sleeping politicians), you accept that EU Members States behave as one.

2016

European Referendum

The Leave or No Vote wins 51.9% to 48.1% (A difference of 1,269, 501 Votes with a 72.21% turnout of the Electorate).

Britain’s Exit – thereafter known as ‘Brexit’ is born.

What if different decisions had been made: David Cameron would probably have still been our PM. We may well have now been on the way to adopting the Euro. We might well have been up to our necks in surrendering what’s left of the armed services to the new ‘Euro Army’. There would probably have been an increase in European workers coming to the UK. The rate of Public Services crashing through lack of funding may well have increased substantially. The list of more and more powers being surrendered to Brussels would probably now have been much much longer. It is likely that the true designs of the EU to become the United States of Europe would now be in the open, either directly, but more likely through yet more manipulative PR management which is designed to make all of us think that everything is staying the same.

David Cameron Resigns

Probably one of the most notable ‘oh fuck’ moments of recent UK political history, would have come at around 25 minutes to 5 on the morning of 24th June 2016, to the then occupant of No.10.

We know that Cameron didn’t see the No Vote coming. We know he didn’t because the Establishment didn’t expect it. And there are a great many Leavers who despite voting NO, didn’t quite believe it was possible to win our Freedom through a democratic process too.

To be fair to David Cameron, he clearly never believed in Brexit. Although he had given the impression that he would lead the implementation of a No result, accepting that he could not deliver something that he didn’t himself want and that resigning was therefore the right thing, was almost certainly the most responsible thing for him to do in the circumstances. Unfortunately, it was a point missed by Remainers in the Cabinet who coveted the top job.

What if different decisions had been made: If Cameron had stayed, there may have been many similarities to the current Premiership of Theresa May, in that his heart would not have been in Brexit and instead of building a relationship between two separate entities, he would have likely focused all efforts on doing the absolute minimum that would be seen to qualify as ‘Leave’. 

Alternatively, he might well have embraced the instruction from the British People in the spirit that it was given, and done everything to get the best from a situation where nobody from either side could genuinely predict everything that could be achieved.

The big difference is likely to have been that Cameron is unlikely to have called the 2017 General Election, which would have in turn given him choices with a working majority, that Theresa May would by now never have.

Boris knifed

It was an open secret that Boris had returned to the Commons as an MP with the Leadership of the Tory Party in mind.

So when Cameron lit the fuse on the Leadership contest, few were under any illusion that Boris wouldn’t be one of the two final contenders when the Vote went out to Conservative Party Members.

That was until on the morning of Boris announcing his Candidacy, Michael Gove’s change of mind in supporting him as a Leadership Contender came fully into view.

Boris had nowhere to go. And whilst the true aim of Gove’s decision to pull the rug from under Boris’s Leadership chances may never be known, the intervention did nothing to help Gove’s own hopes of becoming Conservative Party Leader.

Before anyone had the chance to take a second breath, the contest was already down to just two.

What if different decisions had been made: Despite the many voices ranged against him, Boris Johnson was likely to have become PM, and was almost certain to have done so if the question had gone out to Conservative Party Members.

The talk of Boris being nothing but ambition rang true, not simply because Boris was and remains ambitious – he does. But because it is the same ambition that is rife amongst all the senior Members of the Conservative Party, who are desperate for their leadership hopes to come to fruition – no matter the real cost.

Boris may be to some no more than a lovable buffoon. But what he has which beyond the pure, unadulterated form of ambition which drives many of his Conservative colleagues, is the skill to read and often be a step ahead of the public mood, just in time to make decisions that can actually work out well for Voters too.

This ability is likely to have served him very well during negotiations with the EU, and in delivering a clean Brexit. Because Boris being loyal to Boris, he would have ensured that he was committed to delivering what the real public – that’s everyone beyond the bubble of Westminster – has demanded that the PM and Party of Government should actually achieve.

Boris’ moment may come again very soon. But the terrain is now much different and outcomes that could have easily been very different if different choices had been made, will now influence the outcomes of responding actions and outcomes to come, whether deliberate or otherwise.

Whether or not Boris would be good leading the UK in a crisis situation, like the wartime Leader Churchill who he wishes us to see his behaviour modelled upon is a different question altogether.

Like May being ‘Crowned’ in 2016 to ‘take care of Brexit’, we might soon step into a very different kind of Government Leadership which will not be about Leave or Remain, but responding simply to a very long list of unknowns.

Andrea Leadsom exits Tory Leadership contest

Leadsom seemed to appear from nowhere and as such, didn’t appear to have the baggage of the other final contestant in the Tory Leadership Campaigns – Theresa May.

But where May had made keeping her mouth shut during the European Referendum an art form, Leadsom’s inexperience with the Media regrettably led her into a mess over making comments relating to her understanding as a mother which was unavailable to Theresa May. From that moment, her time as a Candidate to become next Prime Minister was pretty much done.

What if different decisions had been made: Theresa May might not have been Prime Minister, as Leadsom may have been much more appealing to the Conservative Party Membership, once the Campaigning side of Theresa May which we only saw in the 2017 General Election Campaign had come into general view. The 2017 General Election might never have been called. The Conservatives might now have a working majority to push through a meaningful Brexit.

Theresa May ‘Crowned’ PM

With Andrea Leadsom stepping out of the Tory Leadership Contest, Theresa May become the de facto Conservative Leader Elect.

Cameron quickly went to the Queen and stepped aside.

May entered Downing Street giving everyone the impression that when it came to Brexit, she was now committed and very much on the UK side.

What if different decisions had been made: Pretty much what has been discussed under Boris and Andrea Leadsom above. But May wouldn’t have been PM and the chances are that one way or another, we would not be in such a terrible mess as we are today.

2017

Article 50 Triggered

At the end of March 2017, Theresa May triggered Article 50, the device or ‘clause’ for a Member nation to Leave the EU.

This action started a 2-year countdown to 11pm on Friday 29th March 2019, when the UK would formally leave EU Membership.

What if different decisions had been made: Triggering Article 50 – assuming that the UK leaving the EU would always be conducted in relation to EU processes – was not a question of if, but was certainly a question of when.

May could have waited and overseen full preparation before doing so which would ideally have included a real understanding of what Brexit must achieve, therefore allowing the negotiations between Triggering Article 50 and Leaving to be meaningful in between.

Alternatively, May could have got on with triggering Artcile 50 much sooner, working on Brexit from the point of the UK being independent and then developing a new relationship with the EU for whatever would then happen for the future, rather than doing everything possible to Remain, whilst doing the absolute minimum to sell her efforts as a commitment to Leave.

General Election

It was so clear that Theresa May was sure of Victory and of winning an increased majority that would ensure her plans for Brexit were delivered.

Despite the Party machine not being ready, there already being a small but nonetheless working majority in the Commons in place, nor the fact her ability as a ‘street-fighting campaign leader’ had ever been tested, May listened to the Polls, went for the General Election, and assumed that like everything else, public support was no more than a question of applying process, and that her glowing future would soon be in the bag.

Things quickly began to unwind. Corbyn proved himself good on the stump, making hollow promises which appealed to aspirations without any respect for practicality, and the Lib Dems, still nowhere after the 2015 rejection, were not even in the middle and nowhere to be seen.

May couldn’t match Corbyn on the Campaign trail and was soon exposed as not being ‘natural’ with people, being far too scripted, meanwhile exhibiting all the behaviour which has made the label ‘Maybot’ stick – and in doing so seem very fair.

What if different decisions had been made: May could have had a working majority now BEFORE attempting to do deals to allow for the Conservative die-hard Remain faction. The Parliamentary pathway to where we are now might have been much smoother over recent months, giving the PM more room to play with as she dealt with the EU. Olly Robbins would probably not have been the Civil Servant leading the Brexit negotiations.

£1 Billion that could have been spent elsewhere on Public Services might not have been firehosed at Northern Ireland at the price of securing 10 DUP Votes for the duration of the Parliamentary Term.

2018

‘The Chequers Plan’

In the Summer of 2018, May’s true credentials as a Remainer Prime Minister and her Plan to welch on Brexit finally came into view.

Within days, David Davis, then Brexit Secretary and then Boris Johnson, then Foreign Secretary had resigned.

Yet all other Cabinet Ministers remained still and quiet, heralding yet more concessions on the part of the MP’s who had the real ability to stop this whole charade, and rescue Brexit from the mess it is now; the sell-out of democracy that in May’s hands, it is still likely to be.

What if different decisions had been made: More of the Cabinet could and arguably should have resigned.

The cumulative numbers of resignation at the top level would have soon made May’s continued Premiership untenable and a new Conservative Leader would have by now been crowned.

That there has only ever been talk of further Cabinet Resignations until now is a worrying sign.

For the Conservative Party, it may mean a bleak future. Culturally, the Cabinet incumbents are far more focused on lining themselves up ‘securely’ for a leadership bid, rather than doing for the Country all that is right. 

The thing that they all need to remember is that no matter what they do or choose, only one of the current crop of Conservative MP’s could replace May as Prime Minister, but the ridiculousness of their own ambition is now making even that option look very tough indeed.

In Summary & Ending

As I suggested earlier, these points are all a view of what has happened, set against just a few of the possibilities of what could have been if sometimes very small decisions had been made.

The point I am making is that from small decisions, BIG consequences are formed. And those consequences are rarely apparent in immediate view.

Consequences can be anticipated and accurately so. But they cannot be controlled and it is certainly true that every action will have a reaction, even when the person or persons taking that action are no longer involved.

Theresa May and the Establishment, along with the EU are currently doing everything that they can to manufacture a very different kind of Brexit to the one which the People intended, either deliberately or through acts of unintended stupidity.

These are actions that are not only going to impact on the true outcome of Brexit, but on many other things in both the UK and Europe which right now are out of sight, out of mind.

Because of their actions in trying to manipulate Brexit, they will ultimately deliver unintended consequences and outcomes which would otherwise unlikely to have ever been seen.

 

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The problem with the plan for Brexit, is that Brexit has become all about having a plan

July 19, 2018 4 comments

When Prime Minister Winston Churchill arrived in Downing Street in May 1940, he didn’t have a plan or a date in mind for the War to end in 1945. He just knew what he had to achieve, and took the initiative to lead.

Right now, Brexit has effectively fallen on its arse. Not because the instruction given by the Electorate on 23rd June 2016 wasn’t clear. It was.

Brexit seems to be going nowhere because almost everyone has become obsessed by the ‘plan’ that will get us ‘there’.

Having a plan in itself isn’t a problem. Having plans is pretty normal. But when you allow yourself to become paralysed and glued to the spot, just because there isn’t a plan in place which appears to suit your purpose, there is little wonder that everything soon begins to resemble one giant mess.

Plans, or creating plans for any aim or desired outcome is a very deceptive process. Having an ‘agreed’ plan gives a false sense of security, built on the complacent view that everything will then work like clockwork and turn out as good as you could possibly hope.

In practice, or perhaps I should say the real world, plans rarely work out as anticipated, particularly when it comes to Government or running anything which involves the input or influence of more than one person.

Roll that idea out into a negotiated peace with the European Union, its advisors, negotiators, commissioners and 27 Nation States in between and we can begin to get a very real idea about how hard agreeing a plan which will suit all of them – and don’t forget us – would actually be.

The elephant in the room with all of this process of working up and then waiting for the EU to agree a plan, is and always has been that it is completely unnecessary.

The result of the European Referendum was a clear instruction. An instruction to Parliament and our MPs to take every step necessary to facilitate and then implement the specific action of rescinding, and therefore leaving Membership of the EU.

That instruction wasn’t advisory. It wasn’t just a view. The Electorate’s instruction was not a request for MP’s to go away and spend two years arguing over what the word ‘leave’ actually means and dream up excuse after excuse to excuse themselves from doing that which they have been told to do.

It certainly wasn’t an invitation to delay, divide and destroy a legitimate democratic process by creating the pretence that you don’t need to be in or out, but can hover happily somewhere in between. You can’t.

Even attempting to create a comprehensive or exhaustive plan to undertake such a complicated process as returning full sovereignty, law making and responsibility for our own trade, was always going to be impossible to achieve. But that is no reason to fall into the trap of thinking that without a plan, Brexit or rather leaving the European Union is something that we should not or disingenuously then have an excuse not  to do.

In 1940, Churchill had no plan for winning World War 2. Yet one way or another, dealing with each and every battle, set back, resource issue and foreign affairs nightmare as it came, he achieved for him his aim and for us as a Country, much more besides. As our leader, he just took each and every step, looked each and every day in the eye and didn’t accept defeat as an option which was on the table, let alone a choice which was his alone to decide.

It didn’t take one big plan to win that War. It took a whole series of many smaller plans to do what adds up to being the same.

It’s simply the case that hindsight has allowed the story to fit together snugly when the words of history overlook the mistakes, blunders and blind alleyways that lurked continuously in between his appointment and our Victory.

What the delivery of such a giant task did take however, was leadership. And when we look at the way that we are being led into Brexit today, compared to Churchill’s take on being ruled from Europe from 1940 to 1945, there remains an almost universal gulf sitting in between.

image thanks to Wikipedia

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