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Q. Why are the Polls changing? – A. Because nothing else in politics is

December 3, 2019 Leave a comment

Nine days to go until the first December General Election in nearly a Century, and nobody can be sure how the votes on a week this Thursday will actually land.

You can’t say that the Political Parties haven’t tried.

Stop Brexit. Free Broadband. 20,000 new Police Officers. 33% reduction in Rail Fares. Get Brexit Done.

These are all one-liners that have quickly stuck in the mind.

The problem with all of these sound bites and carefully constructed calls to action is that they are being and have been created by a whole System and the Political Parties within it that continue to be all about the very same things as they for too long have already been.

Winning power. Keeping power. Stopping anyone else from gaining the power that they want.

With the closed political system that we currently have in this Country preventing any form of meaningful change, what we once knew as tribalism has now gone pretty much right out of the window.

People are thinking about politics and the details like never before.

The trouble for our Politicians is that normal, everyday People have never looked closely at what politicians are now doing and what they have done – in no small part because of the intransigence of MPs over Brexit that has forced them to do so.

People now understand that there is nothing about any of this – the Tories thinking its all about getting anything through that will pass for Brexit, Labour believing that its all about how much they can spend, the Liberal Democrats calculating that its about being brazen enough to openly admit that Democracy is dead – that actually makes real sense.

They have concluded that we as a Nation are trapped with the Politicians that we have got.

It appears that there is no mechanism or way to bring about that meaningful change that most rational People now know the UK needs.

Meanwhile the political classes are still treating us all like its business as usual.

Politicians believe that nobody outside of Westminster is truly aware of what they are doing.

Yet no matter what we are told the politicians achieve or plan to do, we somehow People end up going to bed every night looking at life in this County and feeling that nothing has changed and that everything remains exactly the same.

Anyone who studies all of this closely and brings to it an open mind will see and surely conclude that there is very little to be hopeful about, no matter who gets Elected in the General Election this time.

Labour will bring chaos to this Country, even as a minority government at the head of a coalition.

A coalition headed by Boris Johnson will pretty much ensure that the stalemate that we have had for over two years in Parliament will be back and ever present on the benches at Westminster with government unable to function as it has been all over again.

And if the Toris should win their long-coveted majority, Boris may well be able to stand up at the end of January and shout at us that he has delivered Brexit.

But when the dust settles and he realises that he has hamstrung himself into yet another trap of the EUs making, we could well find ourselves with the clean, no-deal Brexit that we should always have been given within 12 months. But it will come without Leadership able to address all the challenges, difficulties, knock-on effects and issues that will blow up in their faces overnight as a result.

For too long, politicians have been behaving as if politics – and therefore making decisions that impact everyone – is something very simple and can be carried out on the hop.

We no longer have titans or big beasts in politics.

Politicians and MPs come through a carefully calibrated Party system that removes free thinking and the people with any useful life experience or beneficial understanding of the depth of problems that a complex society such as ours has and the solutions that it really needs.

Candidates are lined up in the tick boxes at elections with Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Brexit Party, SNP, Green or Plaid Cymru printed by their name. But they are all now inevitably cast in a very similar image and that is why things will keep on ending up the same.

So when there are problems that this Country needs to face – like solving the Brexit Divide – and the moment when real leadership is needed to come to the fore, we now have a distinct absence of anything or anyone who can garner the level of respect from everyone and across the board, simply because they know and are prepared to do what is necessary to get the right result for everyone and are not just obsessed with what other people think or how they look.

It is important for us all now to understand that when the wheels fall off all of the issues that these self-serving and incompetent politicians have created, and the problems that many of us can now see developing become real – as it is now becoming almost certain that they will dothe solutions and answers will not come from within this political system or anything that closely resembles it in its current form.

This election was a golden opportunity for any or all of the existing political parties to go a different way, to do politics differently and they could have done so without it necessarily being in another form.

Instead, they have put their own futures forward as their only real cause and we all now wait for the 12th of December, wondering what will happen in the days and months beyond.

Until there is a real choice at any election, the polls will always be fluid and the result itself will never feel right.

And for now, the reality will be that the decision for many voters on the day of an election or when they put their tick in the box won’t based on what they see as being anything like a real opportunity, but simply about taking a punt on what they see as being the best of a very bad bunch.

The rot in politics that it seems cannot be removed is why everything feels, looks like and is steadily now going wrong.

The log jam that is all that Party Politics in this Country has become is not what the principle of democracy was created for.

Still not voting…

November 27, 2019 Leave a comment

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At the beginning of the Month, I wrote ‘No, I will not vote in an Election where there isn’t an option for change. Why would I?

With three weeks gone and two more to go until the Election on Thursday 12th December, I have to say that I feel very much the same.

It’s not that there hasn’t been any change. There has.

But the change that has happened has been peripheral or aesthetic at best.

The good that might come from the adjustments within the political landscape that have taken place within this Campaign will not have come about not by design or intention, but rather by default.

With 15 days to go, the biggest issue on everyone’s mind today, is the Interview that Jeremy Corbyn gave to Andrew Neil last night. It followed a day where Labour’s choreographed plan for a day focused on their ‘ambitious Race and Faith Manifesto’ was utterly destroyed by the article written by the Chief Rabbi Ephraim Mirvis and published in yesterday’s Times, explaining exactly why people should redirect their vote.

The Interview itself simply evolved a terrible day into a complete nightmare for the Labour Leader as he effectively refused to apologise for the anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and what the Party has done in response.

The Tories are riding high. And with the latest polls now suggesting that the gap between the Conservatives and Labour is closing, the fall out from this debacle is almost certain to ensure that the polling will quickly start to go the other way.

Or at least that is until Boris sits in front of AF Neil himself whenever that might be agreed and then be.

The big problem is that the Conservatives are riding a wave that doesn’t have defining Public Policy as its root cause.

Labour’s downward trajectory and overkill with its great electoral giveaway of 2019 aside, the biggest boon to Boris Johnson’s position has been the decision from Nigel Farage to remove so many of the Brexit Party’s Candidates from competing against Tory Candidates in Seats where the Conservatives won in the 2017 Campaign.

On the face of it, Farage did this to avoid the risk of Jeremy Corbyn walking into No10.

Yet his hybrid approach of standing Brexit Party Candidates pretty much everywhere else does have the distinctive whiff of the whole effort the Brexit Party is making being not about Brexit itself, but about gaining at least a foothold of control.

The lie itself is given by Farage’s suggestion during the Press Conference at the time that Boris had done enough with the pledges he had made about Brexit in the video that had been released the day before.

To some, it will come as little surprise that recent days have brought stories to the fore, that Farage has no plans to go anywhere. That his next mission will be to rebrand the Brexit Party and transform it into a political vehicle that will drive political reform.

The problem for Farage with this is that apart from the reality he has to now face that as a figurehead and leader he is no longer likely to be trusted, any Party that can be identified as being about nothing else other than Leaving the EU itself is likely to be as divisive as Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats have been by rejecting the need to find a pathway that will bring all sides together and committing themselves to cancel Brexit and promise that under their influence the UK will categorically Remain.

To its credit, the Brexit Party has demonstrated that it is possible to bring people, politicians and pubic figures from all political backgrounds together to work as one.

But the ‘Contract’ that they have published instead of a manifesto for this General Election tells us that the leadership of the Party is still thinking about politics in exactly the same way as the leadership of all of the other Political Parties who have contributed to the political crisis that we are experiencing and not least of all the Brexit Divide.

We now look two weeks ahead to an Election Result where Boris is still likely one-way-or-another to be our PM.

But being PM with a majority that is likely to lead to a clean, no deal Brexit by default within 12 months is a lot different to the situation that Boris will face if he is returned as Prime Minister with similar numbers of MPs in Parliament to what we have experienced since 2017 – where the majority present is most likely to still be pushing for further delays, obfuscation and what they will only accept as being a very open form of Remain.

The chaos that follows any of the scenarios that appear to be likely and unfolding from this vantage point in time will not improve things. It is likely to only make things a whole lot worse.

Whilst I and many others would like to see reason for hope that any of the Political Parties we have today and running in this Election could become the catalyst for wide-ranging change, once we have brought everyone back together again by really getting Brexit done, I’m afraid that paying lip service to the change that the UK desperately now needs simply isn’t enough for me to vote for any Candidate or Political Party that is involved.

Corbyn had a bad day yesterday. But the truth will be no friend to the Conservatives as a result

November 8, 2019 Leave a comment

1b1adc77-5377-4d68-a64f-9ec227c66d16Wow. What a day that was.

Within the space of less than 24 hours, Tom Watson, the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party stood down, The Jewish Chronicle outs its view of the Labour Party under Corbyn on its front page and Ian Watson, a Labour Minister under Gordon Brown interviews on National Television stating that the current Labour Leader isn’t fit to rule and that People should vote for Boris Johnson instead.

But what difference will it all really make?

The answer the Conservatives will not want to hear is probably not a lot.

During normal times, an individual of Jeremy Corbyn’s nature, background and ideals would not be Leader of the Opposition, let alone be less than 5 weeks away from the possibility of being UK Prime Minister and walking straight into No10.

But the times we live in are far from normal. And the reality that disillusioned Labour MPs may well have nominated and voted Corbyn into the Labour Leadership in 2015 for little more than a laugh will make no difference in the hindsight of history.

Indeed, we will surely look back on the Electorate’s 6-week interview and assessment of Marxism as an applicant for the job of driving the direction of the next government in the final months of 2019 as just being a sign of the times.

The politicians we have today bear a significant amount of the responsibility for the rise and presence of what we call fake news.

In fact, we have been on the receiving end of decades of spin. And whilst the Establishment continually tries to make us believe that fake news is only the preserve of those outside the mainstream, of extremists and of the Russians or perhaps the Chinese, the past three years since the European Referendum has been a master class from Politicians and the mainstream media in this Country of how to push nothing but opinion – and have it passed off successfully as being the truth.

Fake news now flows through every media channel to the point where for a growing number of people no difference actually exists between falsehood and truth.

For many, reality in politics has become all about what resonates best, what makes sense or what suits or most closely fits the listeners experience and view of the world.

Then there are the young, who inexperienced in the dark ways of the world and therefore idealist by nature, don’t look beyond the instant hit that comes from a sound bite or a picture that is painted with impractical idealism and represents what they sincerely believe can be achieved and is therefore what they would like to see.

They don’t consider the detail.

They don’t have any idea what delivering these ideas and manifesting them in reality would actually involve.

They certainly don’t anticipate or understand the consequences of what they might be calling for and the pain that waving a magic policy wand in isolation will almost certainly cause.

But then why should young people be expected to know and understand any of this when the narrative from politicians other than those like Corbyn tell them that Conservatives and those like them look on young people as being of little value, that they have nothing to bring to the party, and that they should shut up and do whatever they are told.

Against this backdrop, the narrative that Corbyn peddles is intoxicating to many of the People in this Country who are already politically disenfranchised and to an even greater proportion of the young.

The truth of what Jeremy Corbyn is, what he represents and what he might soon have the power to inflict upon us all is someone else’s news, someone else’s truth.

It has no currency to those who have no reason to trust the Establishment. Especially when the solution that Corbyn is selling offers an instant high with absolutely none of the disadvantages or responsibilities that following out-of-touch old people, boomersgammon or the elite would involve.

So whilst the Tories might be looking at the papers and the news feeds today and thinking that this Election Campaign is quickly becoming little more than a slam-dunk, they should perhaps take a step back and consider the fact that they have helped to create the environment in the UK today. A place where People right across the Electoral spectrum will be weighing up the pros and cons of all the Political Parties and all the Candidates without anything like the normal rationality that Conservative Politicians assume will always be involved.

The funny thing is that the outcome of this Election is most likely to materialise simply by default.

Nothing that any of these politicians are saying or doing stands out as being any different  to what We have heard in the past or is encouraging voters – whether young or old – to vote in any way differently to what it would, in the circumstances, be logical to expect.

If Boris Johnson and the Tories really want the truth to matter in the future elections that they might still be able to fight, they need to start talking to, interacting with and considering everyone beyond their own kind differently.

But first and before they do that, they should really take a good hard look at themselves.

 

Leader debates make cheap peak time TV. But there are bigger fish to fry and these 3 Leaders haven’t even worked out how to operate a net

November 6, 2019 Leave a comment

Should we be more interested in what politicians say or in what they do?

It’s the answer to that question we should perhaps now be focusing on – at the beginning of a General Election Campaign – rather than what they say or how they say it.

The dissolution of Parliament – which formally took place at 12.01 am today apparently, rather than the rather fitting and accurate last sitting on Bonfire Night – isn’t the act of wiping the slate clean that politicians are now trying to tell us has taken place, or – and more importantly – that we as a Nation with a political crisis actually need.

The issue, debate or whatever else you might want to call it – about Leader Debates, is therefore rather a moot point.

Do we really want to see Corbyn, Johnson and Swinson grand standing their new approach to solving the UKs problems on primetime TV when all three of them are bringing nothing new to the table other than a rewrapped version of their previous form?

The sensationalism that now drives politics is fuelled by the mainstream media. It does nothing to help resolve the problems that we have with the quality, motivation and ability of our politicians. In fact, it is helping to develop the problem rather than doing anything at all to target the cause.

Whilst there might be times when it would be appropriate to consider the benefit of holding televised debates that will include all Political Party Leaders, after 3 years of parliamentary stalemate caused by the very same people who are seeking reelection, this General Election Campaign is arguably not one.

Until such time that British Politics and the Party Political System that currently monopolises it has been fully and comprehensively reformed, the only thing that UK Voters can be sure of is that they are going to receive the same contempt from those we elect as MPs – and if anything, probably a lot more.

Nothing that the three Leaders can tell us will become of any benefit to any of us just because of the way it has been transmitted.

Words and presentation are meaningless if the actions and results don’t reflect genuine attempts to address real problems and their cause.

What we actually need in Parliament and Government now are politicians who aren’t driven solely by how everything looks.

Genuine Leaders who take their responsibility to the Electorate seriously, consider the consequences of all their actions and are driven to deliver the right results no matter what anyone else or the media says.

As far as politicians focusing on their time in the public eye is concerned, it’s not the priority and its time to press pause.

Want to understand Farage’s position? Read Boris’ Agreement and consider all of it in its fullest context: It’s Remain

November 2, 2019 Leave a comment

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‘Let’s get Brexit done’ is the powerful call to action that Boris has used to label his deal with the EU. We should perhaps open it and see what’s really inside

Watching the reaction to Nigel Farage laying out his stall for an Electoral Pact with the Conservatives should be raising question marks for all Leave supporters at the very least.

Instead, the knee-jerk reaction has been to accuse the Brexit Party Leader of trying to wreck Brexit. The inherent suggestion being that he is now the best thing that ever happened for those who want to Remain.

Regrettably, Boris has succeeded where May failed.

The Prime Minister has come back from the EU with a highly dubious Agreement just the same.

The difference is that Boris has convinced the majority of the Conservative Party, along with many other Leavers. that his policy is genuinely to Leave the EU.

Regrettably, the reality is that the endgame and outcome of Boris deal is for the UK to Remain.

Love him or hate him, Nigel Farage is not new to this game. He is probably one of very few politicians who have read the new document fully and considered it completely in context. He will be only too well aware of the consequences that signing and implementing this Agreement will have in a range of policy areas – not least of all the continuance of the Union itself – which will be all but broken where Northern Ireland is concerned. The question over their departure not being an if, but a clear when – IF Boris succeeds in getting the implementation of his current plan through.

Sadly, I’m not convinced that Boris even knows or for that matter fully understands the implications of the policy that he is pursuing.

But the reality for all of us and for this Country as a whole, it that Boris’ deal is a sell out. And as the Prime Minister now has a clear choice to pursue a proper Brexit as part of his General Election Campaign – the situation for the UK couldn’t actually be a lot worse.

Easy as it may seem to cast Farage as the bad guy or the new pantomime villain of Brexit right now, the cold hard reality is he is the only cross-UK political leader in the Country today who is not not advocating a form of Remain.

The situation we are in has troubling echos the pre-Cameron EU Membership era.

The period of many years when the Establishment successfully convinced the majority of People that what we had with the EU was good when it was in fact very bad.

No irony should be spared on us that it was a time that was notorious for MPs and the people with power having no idea what was actually going on.

When we began to wake up to what our MPs were and were not doing in our name, Brexit was the result.

For much of that time, what governments did was conducted with little or no scrutiny from outside (or within). It was a time we still revered and trusted what politicians did. It’s the time when our respect and confidence in the system really began being abused.

So after all they have done. After the mess they have created. And after our Vote for Brexit – against the Establishment plan was won, we should not fall into the trap of being blindsided by the persuasive and charismatic caricature of everything that is wrong with British Politics. Boris is just the same.

He is selling a tin with ‘let’s get Brexit done’ written seductively on the label, whilst the contents are very different inside.

Yes we are tired. Yes we are angry. Yes we want this whole saga to be over so we can have what feels like normal life in this Country resume once more.

But we should stop for a moment and remember the only thing that has actually changed here are the words coming out of Westminster.

These are exactly the same people who have been in charge all along. They and their kind caused all the problems before.

It is in their interests, not yours, to have everyone believe that Boris is right and Nigel Farage has now got it all wrong.

 

image thanks to unknown

None of you represent the People. That’s the problem – you represent yourselves

November 1, 2019 Leave a comment

01cd8f85-6c8f-4251-8967-adcc3ddea156One of the few things worthy of a good chuckle on the news streams this morning was the Cartoon drawn by Matt from the Telegraph.

Clearly referencing the hollow battle lines that are being drawn between Jeremy Corbyn and Boris Johnson over which of them can claim to represent the People, you can’t help but wonder if the point would be lost on either of them as things now stand.

The elephant in the room towering over not only them, but all of the existing MPs and Candidates lining up to stand in this General Election, is that People will vote on 12th December for one or the other of them and their Political Parties simply because there is no better choice.

People won’t be voting for Labour because Corbyn is promising wealth redistribution and the ascension of some modern day equivalent of the levellers.

People won’t be voting for the Liberal Democrats because Jo Swinson has tabled one giant fuck you too far at the People by promising to cancel and forget Brexit.

People won’t be voting for the Conservatives because Boris has succeeded where May hadn’t and has convinced most of his Party that Brexit will be whatever he says it is.

People won’t be voting for the Brexit Party because Nigel Farage is committed to a no deal Brexit and appears to be one of the few politicians who not only talks, but is prepared to do as he says he does.

People won’t be voting for the SNP because Nicola Sturgeon says that Scottish Independence is the only thing in Scotland that makes any sense.

People will vote for these Political Parties because there is nothing on offer in British Politics today that connects with People, respects People, communicates with People and above all, shouts loudly to the People that this politics that we have is broken and that there can be, is and will be a much better way to run this Country and do things with power in Government.

The politicians that we have today – whether they are elected and sitting in our Parliament or not – all represent a system that is completely broken.

It is a system that exists only to keep everything in government operating in exactly the same way.

That system’s one and only purpose is to look after itself, not the British People.

And the people who are allowed entry to this closed system have to swear blind obedience to its values and way of being.

They do so because thats how they have been taught they will get a name for themselves, to be successful. It’s how the ambitious in politics believe they must behave to get on.

This is why we have politicians in power who cannot think for themselves or the People that they are supposed to be representing right now, today.

It doesn’t and will not matter what policies any of these salesmen visiting our doorsteps over the coming weeks will be offering.

The outcomes for us will just be the same.

This political class is not interested in delivering anything meaningful or different. They will just tell you anything that will secure the surrender of your Vote.

And then once they have been elected, they will just resume business as usual and continue thinking only about the next election and what it will take them to get reelected, with lots of talk and the appearance of things happening, whilst the experience that we have of life and everything that Government touches will either be worse than before or just remain static and exactly the same.

The Politicians that we have do not represent any of us.

The Politicians we have just represent themselves.

And until we have changed the way that we lend our power to others, so that they can represent us and to act on our behalf, these charlatans will be able to continue peddling their dubious wares, making out that they are righteous and doing something meaningful, when they are the most selfish and self-serving of public representatives that the world might have seen.

When you consider on 12th December whether to vote or not, simply reflect on this suggestion and go to your Polling Station minded of ‘buyer beware’.

 

image thanks to Matt and telegraph.co.uk 

Boris COULD have taken the UK out of the EU today, but he chose to go his own way

October 31, 2019 Leave a comment

The General Election Campaign is already well underway and on day 2 – or 42 days until the Polls open, the egos are already puffing up in front of the cameras and the lies, myths and general economies with the truth are now in play with full force.

Of course, today is Halloween. The 31st of October 2019. The second date that we had waited months for and upon which the UK was supposed to Leave the EU.

But we haven’t.

And with the next date for Leaving the EU now set as 31st January 2020, the might of the Conservative political machine is being aimed at refuting any suggestion that Boris Johnson had any choice over the question of further delay, and that our current continuing position of what is beginning to feel like being in perpetual abeyance, was, has been and only ever will be the fault of those who want to frustrate Brexit and see the UK Remain.

Yes, in no small part, the ‘Remain Alliance’ does indeed take much of the responsibility for the position that the UK is now in.

But to say that Boris had absolutely no choice and that the decision over the UK Leaving the EU today was taken completely out of his hands is at best a betrayal of the truth and at worst an outright lie.

As we roll on through a process like Brexit, is is easy to overlook that what we are experiencing isn’t just one, but a whole series of different events. All of them interconnected. Any one of them with the potential to rewrite the pathway of everything that follows afterwards, just like the concept of the butterfly effect.

Whilst it seems like long-term history now, the reason that it is disingenuous of Boris and the spin doctors around him to suggest that there was no way to avoid a further Brexit deal, is that when the new Prime Minister took up his new Office in July, he could have chosen to go a very different way.

It is important not to overlook the difficulties and the challenges that Boris inherited from his predecessor Theresa May. Not least of all the hung Parliament constructed of a majority of MPs who have been, still are and after the General Election – if reelected – will be hellbent on Remaining in the EU.

But challenges aside, Boris’ choice was to either do the right thing, or to do all the things that he has done.

The right thing would have been to accept immediately on his appointment as Prime Minister that without a majority in Parliament of Brexit supporting MPs, he was never actually going to get Brexit done.

Yes, reaching out immediately to the Electorate would have been an imposing task for anyone at that point. But with the frustration, despair and downright anger with politicians, what politicians are and have been doing, and the clear absence of any majority in Parliament of MPs who simply want to do all the things that they should, the Electorate would have been a very fertile seed bed for new ideas, new energy, new direction – and above all, taking politics a new way.

By now, not only could Boris have reengaged a disenfranchised Electorate with a very new kind of inclusive and dynamic Manifesto, he could have actually held and won the General Election that any Prime Minister intent on delivering Brexit would have needed – and today we would have left the EU without any kind of binding deal and BREXIT WOULD HAVE BEEN DONE.

Instead, Boris chose to go his own way.

He didn’t look at the political terrain for all that it was and was likely to become.

He didn’t put the People and our Country first.

He chose to go pretty much the same way and create a Brexit in name only deal like May.

He has repeatedly taken what for him appears to be the easiest way.

And so today, on the day the UK should have left the EU, we still no nearer to achieving Brexit.

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