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Still not voting…

November 27, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019

At the beginning of the Month, I wrote ‘No, I will not vote in an Election where there isn’t an option for change. Why would I?

With three weeks gone and two more to go until the Election on Thursday 12th December, I have to say that I feel very much the same.

It’s not that there hasn’t been any change. There has.

But the change that has happened has been peripheral or aesthetic at best.

The good that might come from the adjustments within the political landscape that have taken place within this Campaign will not have come about not by design or intention, but rather by default.

With 15 days to go, the biggest issue on everyone’s mind today, is the Interview that Jeremy Corbyn gave to Andrew Neil last night. It followed a day where Labour’s choreographed plan for a day focused on their ‘ambitious Race and Faith Manifesto’ was utterly destroyed by the article written by the Chief Rabbi Ephraim Mirvis and published in yesterday’s Times, explaining exactly why people should redirect their vote.

The Interview itself simply evolved a terrible day into a complete nightmare for the Labour Leader as he effectively refused to apologise for the anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and what the Party has done in response.

The Tories are riding high. And with the latest polls now suggesting that the gap between the Conservatives and Labour is closing, the fall out from this debacle is almost certain to ensure that the polling will quickly start to go the other way.

Or at least that is until Boris sits in front of AF Neil himself whenever that might be agreed and then be.

The big problem is that the Conservatives are riding a wave that doesn’t have defining Public Policy as its root cause.

Labour’s downward trajectory and overkill with its great electoral giveaway of 2019 aside, the biggest boon to Boris Johnson’s position has been the decision from Nigel Farage to remove so many of the Brexit Party’s Candidates from competing against Tory Candidates in Seats where the Conservatives won in the 2017 Campaign.

On the face of it, Farage did this to avoid the risk of Jeremy Corbyn walking into No10.

Yet his hybrid approach of standing Brexit Party Candidates pretty much everywhere else does have the distinctive whiff of the whole effort the Brexit Party is making being not about Brexit itself, but about gaining at least a foothold of control.

The lie itself is given by Farage’s suggestion during the Press Conference at the time that Boris had done enough with the pledges he had made about Brexit in the video that had been released the day before.

To some, it will come as little surprise that recent days have brought stories to the fore, that Farage has no plans to go anywhere. That his next mission will be to rebrand the Brexit Party and transform it into a political vehicle that will drive political reform.

The problem for Farage with this is that apart from the reality he has to now face that as a figurehead and leader he is no longer likely to be trusted, any Party that can be identified as being about nothing else other than Leaving the EU itself is likely to be as divisive as Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats have been by rejecting the need to find a pathway that will bring all sides together and committing themselves to cancel Brexit and promise that under their influence the UK will categorically Remain.

To its credit, the Brexit Party has demonstrated that it is possible to bring people, politicians and pubic figures from all political backgrounds together to work as one.

But the ‘Contract’ that they have published instead of a manifesto for this General Election tells us that the leadership of the Party is still thinking about politics in exactly the same way as the leadership of all of the other Political Parties who have contributed to the political crisis that we are experiencing and not least of all the Brexit Divide.

We now look two weeks ahead to an Election Result where Boris is still likely one-way-or-another to be our PM.

But being PM with a majority that is likely to lead to a clean, no deal Brexit by default within 12 months is a lot different to the situation that Boris will face if he is returned as Prime Minister with similar numbers of MPs in Parliament to what we have experienced since 2017 – where the majority present is most likely to still be pushing for further delays, obfuscation and what they will only accept as being a very open form of Remain.

The chaos that follows any of the scenarios that appear to be likely and unfolding from this vantage point in time will not improve things. It is likely to only make things a whole lot worse.

Whilst I and many others would like to see reason for hope that any of the Political Parties we have today and running in this Election could become the catalyst for wide-ranging change, once we have brought everyone back together again by really getting Brexit done, I’m afraid that paying lip service to the change that the UK desperately now needs simply isn’t enough for me to vote for any Candidate or Political Party that is involved.

Boris has one last chance to secure the Exit from the EU that the UK Voted for: Forget the bogus deal and campaign in the General Election for a clean Brexit

October 29, 2019 Leave a comment

With the shenanigans that have been taking place in Westminster now over many months, there is still a part of me – deep down – that questions whether even now, as Boris drops the WAB in a ‘last ditch attempt’ to secure a General Election in December – all of this is part of a very well thought out plan.

The question will probably settled once and for good by what happens next.

Whilst many are, nobody should be under any illusion that the WAB equates to or is the same thing as a proper Brexit, clean Brexit, no deal Brexit, or indeed the Brexit that the British People Voted for on 23rd June 2016.

It is not.

Yes, arguments can be made that the WAB provides a way out of the EU.

But ways out – when it comes to agreements of such magnitude like these, MUST be considered in the full context of what and more importantly who is actually involved.

They must not leave any outcome upon which people are depending to be left to the influence or at the whim of others at some future date.

Without the security of having the unhindered, unilateral ability to walk away from this so-called agreement with the EU at any time, this miss-mash of yet more passing the buck to someone else on another day to make it that other person’s problem is the fundamental basis upon which Boris’ deal has been laid.

It’s a dubious move that if genuine, represents all thats wrong with the way Government works in this Country and the way that politics has been used to play the electorate over recent decades. It led to Brexit itself, and with it what we are now experiencing as the destruction of our democracy.

If Boris continues with the WAB voluntarily once a General Election has been called, it is likely to be his downfall.

It will demonstrate his disdain for detail and the realities of British life whilst illustrating the EU-loving credentials of yet another Prime Minister for all to see.

Doing so will almost certainly mean that at best we have another hung Parliament after the Election, or at worst, there will be one led by a Marxist in power by Christmas.

The real and in all likelihood final opportunity – if Boris succeeds in securing the December General Election – will be for him to cut right through the middle of everything and go for the clean-break, no-deal Brexit that we had all hoped he had really arrived in No10 to deliver back in July.

By securing a General Election right now, without the bogus deal being agreed, Boris can win a General Election and secure the working majority that is needed in Parliament to deliver a meaningful Brexit.

But Boris will only win that General Election and secure the working majority that he needs by unequivocally making a real no deal Brexit his assured and only aim.

Boris must unite the Leave Vote if he is to prevent the Vote being split in far too many Constituencies for there to be any comfort for him involved.

To do this, Boris must ensure that every Constituency only has one identifiable Brexiteer Candidate on the Ballot Paper.

The process of doing so requires acknowledgement that the three demographic parts of the Leave constituency will always at best be split between the Conservatives and the Brexit Party – if the two separate entities are there as a choice on the day.

The heads will vote conservative.

The hearts will vote for the Brexit Party.

The floating Leavers in between, will vote on Election Day, for what they believe will at that point turn out to be the winning team.

It’s only be being united and working together that a General Election win for Brexit can readily be assured.

So Boris’ working ‘Brexit’ majority will be dependent upon other Brexit-orientated Parties agreeing a pact with him or otherwise simply stepping aside.

They are not going to do this if the WAB or anything that resembles it in the Conservative Manifesto is involved.

It’s time for some humility and real leadership from Boris and the recognition that it’s only a clean-break, no deal Brexit that will remove all the problems in the next Parliament that he is experiencing right now.

How he plays it now is purely down to his own personal choice. But it a game that could result in significant costs for us all.

 

 

If MPs pass this Trojan Horse of a deal, it’s going to cost us a lot more than a Referendum to get out of it once we all wake up

October 18, 2019 Leave a comment

article-2383977-0B66F6C300000578-983_310x466There is still a glimmer of hope that the ‘deal’ Boris has agreed with the EU was only a sprat to catch a mackerel. That it was only ever intended to be a device that would ultimately – by default – bring us to the no deal Brexit that the British People actually Voted for.

But with the big smiles and finger pointing covering the newspapers today – as if Boris now sees himself as latter day Kitchener, merely a century on – it must be said that the glimmer of hope is quickly diminishing with only 24 hours to the vote left in Parliament to go.

Whether its issue fatigue, fear, political expedience or simply an attempt to save their own necks and their jobs on the part of MPs, it looks increasingly like Boris might just get the majority necessary to take this Trojan Horse of a deal through, even if it is literally by just a couple of votes.

Whilst many commentators and members of the opinionati are playing up Boris’ result in negotiations with the EU and telling us that his deal is going to deliver Brexit – having gone a different way to May, the fact is that it isn’t any different in the sense that it still has the same fundamental flaws.

Boris’ deal will never allow the UK the trouble-free exit from the obligations to have agreements with the EU in place, without someone driven by their own agenda holding all the trump cards that are involved.

That in itself is travesty enough.

But there is more.

As I wrote on this Blog yesterday, there will be significant costs involved in the ‘UK’ Leaving this arrangement with the EU in the future. Costs that could extend well beyond anything that we would hope to imagine at this point – if it is passed into Law.

Whilst the self-serving politicians that we have today will hope that once ‘Brexit is done’, things will simply go back to being as they always seem to have been, with them and their kind continuing to run this Country without the political change and reform that we need, we are more likely to see the UK returning to the out-of-sight, out-of-mind process of ‘ever closer union’ with the EU, once the deal and transition process is complete.

I say this because they these politicians are not leaders. They will only ever continue to do anything and everything necessary to shore-up their position and make sure that they win the next vote.

Such pretenders shy away from real, hard decisions. The decisions that mean results and change for the better.

This shying away from responsibility can only mean one thing.

When we do have the political reform that is overdue and that many of us now know is coming to this Country, the miscreants who fill the benches in this Parliament today will have done nothing more this Saturday than to by-pass democracy and at the same time tie our future leaders hands.

The cost of Leaving this shoddy, hollow plan will almost certainly be the surrender of Northern Ireland, which this agreement effectively gifts to the EU and the Irish Republic, unless that is we continue to agree with all the things – now and in the future – that the EU wants – and we can be certain was always their plan.

But the cost could go further still.

With the EU still having just enough of a presence from the point that the dust from Boris Johnson’s deal settles, they will be able to continue drip drip dripping their very clever propaganda that the weak minded charlatans we have in Parliament today will pick up and chew like candy as they return to doing everything that Brexit stopped – the great UK silent giveaway.

We simply do not know what politicians who have shown they cannot be trusted will continue to giveaway behind closed doors.

That means that without the comfort of a relatively strait-forward exit device like Article 50 for this Country to use in future, the only way to reclaim UK Sovereignty and Independence – which is ours and in our hands to take back today – it could only then be regained by the UK fighting outside powers and yes, by going to war.

It is both beyond parody and very very sad indeed, that the people we have elected as politicians to represent us have reached the point where they are the best representatives that the EU ever had.

The only way to deliver Brexit was, is and will continue to be the way that the British People instructed Parliament and the Government to do so in 2016.

That was the democratic decision to Leave the EU without ties, obligations, both cleanly and without any form of Deal involved.

That option to Leave the EU remains on the table for at least the next 24 hours ahead. So we must hope that both the DUP and Remainers in Parliament stand firm.

Sometimes it is a most simple fact, that to get to the right place, we all have to take steps that at that point look very wrong.

 

image thanks to dailymail.co.uk 

 

 

 

If Boris can secure a deal that the UK can walk away from without selling out Northern Ireland too, there will be no legitimate reason for any MP not to support it

October 11, 2019 1 comment

Whilst there is some legitimate concern that there could be EU choreography and smoke and mirrors involved, the news that talks over a ‘deal’ following Boris Johnson’s meeting with Leo Varadkar yesterday is at least some cause to feel hopeful that the Brexit saga could come to an end.

Whether you are a Brexit purist like Nigel Farage or an absolutist Remainer like Jo Swinson, the fact is that getting any arrangement in place with the Parliamentary numbers as they currently are will be impossible – irrespective of whether the outcome can be considered to be wrong or right.

The important, indeed vital ingredients of any arrangement with the EU must be that the UK can unilaterally walk away from any arrangement at any time, and that Northern Ireland’s place within the United Kingdom is not in anyway compromised or used as a bargaining chip.

The British People are at best already highly suspicious of everything that this Parliament is doing and has done.

But if a ‘deal’ should be on the table which is acceptable to both the EU and the Irish Republic incorporating all of the above, the Remain-collective-Opposition will be taking their intransigence the extreme if they should then step in and stop that ‘deal’ for what will only then be seen as their own dubious purposes.

Equally as bad however, would be the failure of the purist Brexiteers to discount the possibilities that will come from such s giant leap forward, simply because progress of this kind would remove the liklehood that they themselves would ever gain elected office or power in any way that the Brexit argument is then involved.

We will not know for certain what concessions from Boris, the EU or the Irish Republic have been involved until the documented form of this ‘new deal’ has been exposed to daylight.

But for the sake of trying to rescue what’s left of our democracy before it really is too late, it would be the right thing to do for all sides and everyone involved to accept that moving to the next step can only be achieved by a compromise – as long as it clearly and unequivocally respects those red lines.

Let’s all hope that things can finally be different.

A Customs Union: Anything that looks so simple and involves the EU will always be too good to be true

Politics 5There have been and continue to be a great many striking things that the Brexit process and the Vote to Leave the EU have revealed about the way that our political system has and at this point continues to work.

Much of it, although hiding in plain sight for a very long time, has come as a surprise to many.

One that has caused frustration, distrust and indeed anger with the Establishment. With the politicians that form a great part of it, and with anyone who has been playing upon the unwitting and innocent ignorance on the part of many of us of how the political world has been working with its prioritisation firmly focused upon only the benefits for those involved.

We have been brought up, taught and indeed conditioned to trust the people that we elect to a point where we foolishly believed that we don’t need to worry what they are doing.

We trusted that other than at election time, there is simply no need for us to ever get involved in politics.

So it is completely understandable that at the point where Brexit has itself lifted the lid with all that is wrong with our broken politics, we now go in search of the most obvious solutions to get the matter quickly resolved.

Ours is a human response and one that is all too familiar. Because it isn’t just the Electorate that looks for the obvious and simple answers when there is a problem.

To do so is and has for too long also been the default setting for the majority of our MPs whenever there has been the hint of real work for them to do in Government.

This might all seem like a long route into a discussion about a Customs Union. But trying to make sense of this term – that even now is being banded about as what could be the common ground between all sides that gets the Brexit impasse resolved – when even the MPs who are being asked to legislate on Brexit don’t actually know or understand what really is involved, is not something that comes easy to any of us.

With a matter as serious and as potentially far reaching as the question over whether we get a Brexit that ctually delivers on the Referendum Result or doesn’t on the table, we have to be aware that a Customs Union and its implications may not even be the same in reality as what the MPs themselves are being trained on.

A Customs Union is certainly not the same thing as we are being told.

Yes, as ridiculous as it might sound, MPs are having to be trained on what a Customs Union with the EU actually is. And a big part of the problem is that for the many of us who don’t understand how government and legislation actually works, the concept of a Customs Union sounds very simple indeed.

To be fair about it, if you were to look for the meaning of the customs union, you would easily find a brief, perhaps only paragraph long explanation.

One that would no doubt outline that it a Customs Union is a reciprocal relationship between the EU member Countries or Member ‘States’ that harmonises tariffs on goods travelling across or entering the ‘EU’ at any location – even if they then travel to another constituent Country.

By apparent necessity, it leaves the legislation covering each and all of these tariffs for the EU to set in Brussels. Their setting is not left as a matter for any individual Country to resolve.

A Customs Union is a key part of the process of removing geographical borders, so that physical checks between ‘internal’ EU traffic are not necessary. Bureaucracy then appears significantly reduced and it can be argued that there is free, unhindered movement of goods between so-called Member States.

It sounds great. In fact it sounds like a no brainer. This is why the concept Remains so popular.

A Customs Union sounds like the right thing to do until you start to consider the wider implications of being in one and think about its true reach and the real impact upon the UK of all that is actually involved.

But things get confused at this stage. Often deliberately. Because a Customs Union itself is in effect a necessary, if not symbiotically irremovably intrinsic part of a Single Market and a key part of the direction of travel for the supranational EU.

A customs union or its namesake was one of the early dominoes in the chain or history of events that led towards where EU law and legislation is located right now.

A Customs Union between the UK and EU cannot therefore stand alone without legislation that is at the very least equivalent to that which already exists within the ‘known’ EU framework. Even if words and the legislation created say otherwise.

No. It is vital to understand that just as a bark wouldn’t come from a duck and a quack wouldn’t come from a dog, being in a customs union with the EU means that we are and still will be Members of the EU.

The UK cannot and will not be able to legislate as an Independent Sovereign State within a Customs Union.

Ultimately, any form of Brexit that includes even the most simple form of Customs Union machinery or legislation is and will be the act of Remaining within the EU. Even if what our MPs – who may actually believe what they are saying – tell us otherwise.

I would like to be able to say that the reality that underpins all of this is also simple to understand. But it is not.

In fact, we have to go right back to the travesty that was the first European Referendum to even begin trying to unravel the direction of travel in what we now know to be the EU.

That was when the ‘Common Market’.or what our parents and grandparents thought and supported to be a simple trading relationship – not massively unlike the explanation of a Customs Union that I have outlined above – on a journey to become the single market and with it the progressive harmonization of laws which go way beyond simple trade.

This resulted in growing mistrust, many questions and above all the decision to Leave the EU. A result that has only appeared to be so near or close to balance, because many still have no apparent reason to question all that is involved.

The term ‘progressive’ is one that has been adopted for a certain style of politics that Remainers often use and one that encapsulates how the EU operates too.

But the political use of ‘progressive’ as a term is actually a misnomer. One that is used to manipulate people into thinking that they are being offered a type of politics and legislature where the only direction of travel in policy is always forward and therefore will only ever have positive impacts for us all.

It all works a little like building a house. Once the house is built, you then decorate. Once it has been decorated you install the equipment. Once the equipment has been installed, you bring in the furniture. Then you move in with your family and to keep things as you perceive they should be, you lay down a few rules.

In this same vein, the ‘Common Market’ or trade agreement led to the Customs Union that then created a shared marketplace or ‘Single Market’. To make sure that the playing field of this ‘Single Market’ was level, it was deemed essential to ensure that all goods are manufactured to the same standards and the same rules. To make sure there is no way for an industry or sector in one member state to gain an unfair advantage in any other way, this meant that the tentacles of legislation then had to reach out to areas like employment law and the European Working Time Directive.

Before you know it, the EU is rewriting the laws that underpin just about every part of life, ultimately creating social problems and changing the very way that we identify as a culture.

And the EU keeps legislation moving progressively to make the rules the same for everyone across 28 very different Countries without fear of consequence because the ideas underpinning this new but nonetheless undemocratic way of doing politics through the de facto and unquestioned implementation of rules is not something that most people see coming.

We certainly don’t understand there has actually been a change when it has arrived in our lives under the auspices of something completely different and much less insipid than the very dangerous truth and reality behind it.

The reality is that we are having our identity stolen by the back door and this process has been facilitated by MPs who should know better.

They don’t because they are ignorant of the truth.

They are only interested in their own glory, rather than having to think through the implications of their actions.

They avoid and therefore neglect a process that we once trusted them to undertake automatically. Because that’s what responsibility to the Electorate actually involves.

It is no use saying that the alternative of the UK becoming again fully Independent as a Nation State will be easier than being a member of and rule taker from the EU because it isn’t.

However, it also doesn’t make it right. Nor does it mean that it will deliver the right things for the UK.

The truth is that there is very little being said by even the Leave side of the debate about the true cost of remaining within the EU and being in any way tied and obligated to it. Never mind the price that we as a Country have already paid.

In fact, the whole Brexit and EU Referendum debate has, is, and looks like it will continue to be very short on facts, whilst remaining subject to the knee-jerk and quick-win approach that has already created so much of the pain that has already been involved.

If the arguments were to be thought out, translated and then effectively made without bias or self-interest, there is no doubt that the argument in favour of the compromises required for continued membership and indeed a relationship of the kind being sold by Theresa May and many on the Labour side of Parliament would not actually be seen as compromise anymore.

It would be seen as being worse than the subjugation to a Foreign power that we have been on the end of for far too long. Subjugation that the Vote to Leave the EU on 23rd June 2016 stated clearly to our MPs had already gone too far and MUST be stopped.

Yet at the same time, no detailed and comprehensive case for Leave has been made.

Without it, the anger and frustration which is now going to drive and fuel a clean Brexit, possibly outside of any form of reasoned control, will not lay the foundations of what an Independent and fully Sovereign UK will then look like.

It will certainly not begin to provide the basis upon which we can then build a genuine and dynamically balanced working relationship with our neighbours in the EU. The solution, result and aim that we must all work for after Brexit has been properly delivered, if the differences that now exist between us in the form of Leave vs Remain are ever to be satisfactorily resolved.

 

Brexit will soon be the winning argument behind electoral failure if Brexiteers don’t accept that the collective result is far more important than individual glory

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The world has changed since Brexit. Things have moved on politically in more ways than one. And all the key players – whoever we might agree or disagree they then were, are now in very different roles or are facing circumstances which are very different indeed.

Whilst it would be vastly unfair to others and genuinely incorrect to portray Nigel Farage as the man who won Brexit, we must not fall in to the same trap that May did of either ignoring or deliberately overlooking his role.

However, whilst events in Westminster this past week have finally precipitated Mr Farages return to the fray, the talking up of his new Brexit Party having the same or even increased support from the pre-Referendum UKIP of old might prove to be generous, misleading and potentially very bold indeed.

Whilst the considerable Remain element within the Westminster bubble continue to do everything possible to argue that support for or departure from the European Union is no longer of the level that it once was, a trip out to the Shires, Towns and Leave Constituencies, and a discussion with one or two real people out here soon brings you to the real understanding of where things really are – despite all that we are publicly being told.

One step further and an hour or two following a wide range of journalists and political commentators online, on TV or even reading the Papers and you will soon begin to see how that support for Brexit is manifesting. It is very different to the time when it was just about the question of Leave or Remain.

The support that Farage et al simply expect to transfer to the new Brexit Party shows signs of not moving en bloc as their understandably angry Leader might have perceived.

UKIP, despite its leap towards Islamophobia and Stephen Yaxley Lennon aka ‘Tommy Robinson’ has not withered away and died. This much we know from the increased margin they gained in the Newport West By Election.

Yet the most interesting smoke signal wafting up from the other side of the Severn Estuary is the presence of a growing number of independent and smaller party candidates. A phenomenon being played out in the campaigns of local government elections across the country which are underway now.

A list of local, independent and protest driven candidates in a by election is nothing new. But it is worthwhile looking at how many are now coalescing around support for Brexit, and understanding from this that the Brexit Party might have a fight on its hands that it wasn’t expecting.

The Brexit Party and UKIP have a fight developing with other pro-Brexit parties. When they offer small one-off candidatures, they might only make minimal difference. But as the sum of all parts, they could actually undercut what should now be the vote winning topic of the Century where one party unifying all the people in favour of Brexit and British Democracy could very easily gain the electoral influence to be in government, at very least in influential part if not in actual working majority form.

Today there is any number of Leave focused organisations coming into view. All of them talking up fielding candidates using language suggesting that each and every one of them has the unique formula to win and beat the Brexit-betraying main Political Parties, when what they are doing is little more than mimicking the attitudes and approaches of the very same Politicians they want to and we all know deep down that must be replaced.

The upshot is that what should be a sizeable and potentially election-winning majority at any election could now be split 3, 4 or perhaps many more ways.

It doesn’t take much more consideration to understand that such a result could easily see any of the candidates that need to be ousted potentially coming back up though the middle, once again gifted a majority they should never have been trusted with, and as such returned.

Working together, representatives of the leave majority in the UK have the ability to overturn everything wrong that this parliament and theresa May has done.

But if the desire of individuals to get elected, become MPs and get on TV or Radio is not superceded by the need to work collectively and as one, things could get dramatically worse for us all, not just in terms of being stitched up in our relationship with the EU, but in respect of all the injustices that need to be fixed beyond.

For a new and decisive way forward to be guaranteed, Brexiteers will have no option but to gather together candidates and support in one destination. They have to build and develop a Party that is electable not only because it has the numbers, BUT is also palatable to a wider audience than just those who have always been predisposed to Leaving the European Union.

Doing so will be no easy task as those whom ever had dealings with the pre-Referendum UKIP found out.

No matter what political party or movement people join up to to become actively involved, the default setting of doing something worthy for those putting themselves forward as speakers, activists and candidates are all-too-often overshadowed by the intoxication of perceived glory of their role.

With it goes any chance of accepting that contributing as much or as little as it would take from each and everyone of us to get the job done is often as much as it will take, and not everyone can or even should want to be an MP or PM if we are really minded that we want to get the job done.

In the established parties, embedded structures have been successful in ensuring that candidates in the majority would speak publicly with pretty much one attitude and voice.

Problems quickly come when that structure and experience is absent. This was the case with UKIP. And even though it had existed for two decades at the time of the EU Referendum, it never possessed the inherent experience and knowledge of a frontline presence in government required to train and contain those involved. As a result, it simply suffered from the damage and disruption caused by lone, overexcited and unbridled voices that suddenly in possession of a public platform fell into the trap of believing that everyone around them fighting to Leave the EU had ideas that echoed exactly the same thoughts as their own.

With Brexit itself having become the story through no fault of its own, the many causes and contributing factors of the will to Leave the European Union – themselves being far from being black and white and constitutionally constructed of many shades – have not and are not being considered or addressed by any of the political organisations currently elected or otherwise. There is simply no sign that they are going to be either, by anyone who is involved.

Any Political Party or Movement seeking to get a full, proper Brexit delivered and British Democracy back on track, has to have a manifesto and raison d’etre that reaches across all of this and beyond. One that is fundamentally constructed on foundations which are much mush deeper than the question of simply whether the UK should Leave the EU or Remain.

Although the current political landscape not only changes daily, but seemingly by the hour, it would be foolish to say that there are not other possibilities that we cannot right now foresee as being able to deliver the solutions that we should now all be talking about.

Yet if we were to look at the options as they stand before us today, they are likely to be limited to a completely new Movement borne of all the Brexit factions which have sprung up and exist. Or as an offshoot or reboot of the Conservative Party, which if it were to suddenly grow up and start functioning properly, would always have the advantage of an existing party machine.

For a new Party to come out of the Brexiteer factions and be successful to the level needed, all of the established groups and yes, Parties and their candidates and leaders too will have no option but to leave those identities and whatever kudos they currently perceive themselves to have, behind.

The movement which will right all the wrongs not only brought to the surface by the Brexit Betrayal, but reaches way back into years and perhaps decades of our political history beyond, will not be created, developed and led by politicians who treat it as their own form a vanity project – the very same reasons that everything we see in politics today has gone so utterly and completely wrong.

I don’t honestly know where the best place would be to start or to begin when it comes to the Westminster picture, as emotions are now so entrenched, it will not be easy to get so very many fired-up activists and people to stand back and accept that not pushing for a frontline role might be the best way for them to contribute to ensure that we all work as one, together and collectively get along.

But if you are a Brexiteer and your immediate thought, emotion or feeling is that you alone have the best ideas and everyone else should be using your ideas and falling in behind, you need to stop, look, listen to all the muppets we already have in Westminster and accept the reality that you are attempting to sing the same old song.

Well, what did you expect?

February 26, 2019 Leave a comment

img_2694Obvious as it has appeared to be time and time again already, the Welching of Brexit has finally reached the point where it is all but impossible to deny.

In a statement delivered to the House of Commons at lunchtime, Theresa May officially opened the doors to extending Article 50.

This is an act that anyone who has studied the mayhem playing out from this Prime Ministerial Tragedy since 2016 will know to be significant, in that it is within the no-mans land which lies beyond the failure of this Parliament to take us out of the EU on 29th March 2019, where its real legacy of a non-Brexit or rather its Brexit betrayal will be completely defined.

In her speech to Parliament, the Prime Minister laid out a series of votes  to be held on (or before) the 12th, 13th and 14th March 2019 that in their very being, outline the framework of what the majority of our MPs believe. They make clear the depth of the gargantuan divide between what our Elected Representatives intend to work for and what the People instructed them to deliver in the European Referendum on 23rd June 2016.

May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement (by 12th March)

 

The first of the three votes will be a return of the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement that was so crushingly defeated only a few weeks ago.

Whilst Ministers still trot out the line that it is the best deal available, the reality is that it is no such thing.

May’s Withdrawal Agreement ties us into the EU project even more closely that we are now. It gives us even less influence and provides no mechanism for us to depart under our own steam.

May never has any intention of pursuing a meaningful change to the Agreement with the EU that would either provide us with a unilateral exit mechanism or for the Backstop to be strictly time-bound.

It is clear that she and her coterie haven’t even asked, and that even if they had, as far as the EU was concerned, it was a request that would have always been denied.

Instead, there has been much rumour and lip service paid to a codicil or rewording of the political statement which accompanies the Withdrawal Agreement, which we should all now know would be cleverly be interpreted by the PM or her legal advisors as being a change which is legally binding for the purposes of this audiences, but when it comes to something we could expect the EU to honour, would never have even the remotest form of equivalence.

This will be a vote on Brexit in name only (Brino).

It is a plan to Remain in the EU, devised and delivered by Remainers.

It is not Brexit and not what the British People voted for.

Leaving the EU with ‘no deal’ on 29th March (by 13th March)

 

The second of the three votes would be to Leave the EU on the 29th March 2019 with ‘no deal’.

This is the only vote available to Parliament that will now ensure the proper Brexit that honours the Result of the European Referendum.

It will also be the most defining. Because this vote will directly record the action of each and every MP in respect of their support for Leaving the EU or seeking to Remain, contrary to the Will of the People.

Be under no illusion. There has never been any need for a ‘deal’ to Leave the EU. It is only the actions of these very same Remainer MPs as they have sought to obstruct, redirect and prevent Brexit that have guaranteed that the UK may not be as well prepared for a ‘no deal’ departure as we would have been.

Things would have been very different if they had got on with doing what they had been instructed to do in 2016, rather than spend most of the time since trying to work out how they could ensure the result was denied.

Whilst many cannot currently see it, it is only from the position of Leaving the EU without precondition, obligation or agreement of any kind, that we will then be able to lead the reconstruction of a relationship with the EU which promises to bridge the UK’s Brexit divide.

You cannot negotiate the future when you are obsessed with the past.

Sadly, the dynamic of our current Parliament, which doesn’t collectively believe that the Will of the People should be upheld, means that this vote will more likely than not be lost.

That is unless there is an attempt to precipitate a chaotic no deal departure as a cloud covering the intention behind a result that would lead to a very different thing.

The third of the three votes would be to extend Article 50 (by 14th March)

 

Regrettably, now May has explicitly made this option available, it is where we are most likely to end up, even though Conservatives are now likely to see the true split in the Party undeniably illustrated in all its glory and for all to see.

Forget talk of the Malthouse Compromise or any other ‘plan’ that could provide a credible rescue of Brexit whilst this Parliament is still in place.

May won’t accept anything other than her own plan as the way in which Brexit will be defined and now that she has had to move her own trip wire as the result of threats from Ministers who should have already resigned, she will only see the delay as a further opportunity to bring back exactly the same flawed Agreement.

Nothing has changed. Nothing will have changed. Nothing can change until May has gone from No.10.

A short extension in these circumstances will make no difference.

A longer one will only open up greater opportunities for Remainers to thwart Brexit and for the EU to demand even more from the UK within an Agreement which under proper Brexit-derived leadership would itself never have seen light.

The reality of May’s Brexit Welch and the post-29th March Debacle

 

This Parliament is incapable of delivering a true Brexit under the leadership of Theresa May.

With a new Prime Minister, this Parliament will remain hamstrung and even with a new workable deal agreed with the EU or with a commitment to Leave on WTO Terms and build a relationship from there, the numbers simply don’t suggest that anything ‘clean’ can be achieved whilst the current Parliamentary dynamic remains in force.

This should be of concern to us all, as there is the potential for this saga to continue until at least 2022, with incalculable consequences that could reach out way beyond.

General Election?

 

The default setting for sorting out a Parliamentary mess like this is to call a General Election.

The problem is that the Political Parties remain the same.

They are not offering anything any different to what they have been and what they are now, and that even if new names were to be elected, they would come back and offer us all exactly the same thing that they are right now.

Exciting as the launch last week of the Independent Group last week might to some feel, they are not offering anything different. In fact they are more like a refined or distilled version of everything that is wrong with politics in this Country today. They would be best suited to the mantra ‘do as I say, whilst I do otherwise and certainly don’t pay attention to anything that I do’.

Likewise, the Brexit Party may well be destined by a failure to launch and suffer many of the same problems that faced UKIP. It’s not because there isn’t validity and support for what it is they are trying to do. But because the viewpoints providing influence are far too narrow and where organisation and administration is concerned, there is a significant absence of professionalism involved.

To make a General Election work in the way that it now should, we actually need a completely new Party that is as diverse in its policy outlook as it is in its membership. Is professional, well funded, but above all motivated by and to deliver what is genuinely in the best interests of all – no matter how hard the process might be.

None of the existing Parties can offer this. TIG is not capable and the Brexit Party already looks too much like the single issue of Brexit will be the nature of its complete stall.

When you look at it all this way and consider the implications of the constipated democracy that we now have, it is very difficult to work out what we might now have in store.

Our current MPs wish to avoid a General Election at all costs. They would inevitably run again if one was called, and because of the current nature of the system, in many cases would find themselves being successfully recalled.

They wont stand down and step aside for others to take their place. And in times like these, there will now be an increasing number of us who find ourselves internalising a very alarming question.

Has the time arrived when this Country could be susceptible to a Coup?

 

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images thanks to unknown

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