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It may well be in the EU’s interests to let the UK crash out in October with no deal. Because without a change of Parliament, they know this Remain majority of MPs will use any panic to lever us straight back in – and strictly on the EU’s terms

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Even though we are only a few days into the phony part of the Conservative Leadership war, you would be forgiven for thinking that at least some of the growing number of Candidates would have by now indicated that they are embracing radical change.

That they are not is not only disappointing. It points to the reality that we have good reason to be concerned about a whole lot more.

I say this because none of the Candidates are proposing any kind of approach to Brexit that is going to minimise the risk from any problems likely to arise during the transition. Or more importantly, to then keep us out of the EU thereby making the decision of the people a permanent one and Brexit therefore completely secure.

Those Candidates insisting that they will go back and negotiate further concessions from the EU have no evidence to suggest that they will meet anything in Brussels, other than a TV opportunity that covers up a very thick brick wall. This has been emphasised yet again by Jean-Claude Juncker in the past 24 hours.

Then there are those Candidates insisting that deal or no deal, we will come out of the EU on the 31st of October. Yes, this is a message that plays up well to a big slice of the Brexiteer audience. But in all cases, thinking that Brexit could after this long be so very simple, is likely to be a terminal flaw.

It should be obvious to everyone that the majority of MPs in this Parliament are hell bent on stopping Brexit, and even the Remain-charmer Speaker is now rowing back on his commitment to leave the post in June.

That means that if we should crash out without a deal and apparently find ourselves Independent on All Saints Day, they will relish the opportunity to use any panic that follows as a result of the issues and challenges that will inevitably follow to do everything they can to point us back at an even more oppressive form of Membership of the EU by using fear again to point us the other way.

The EU are very clever at what they do. They already know this.

And they know that without the Parliamentary dynamic changing, all they are likely to be required to do in order to end the whole Brexit question and put the UK’s perceived intransigence to bed, is to sit tight and wait for the Remainers. Who like May in these circumstances will do all their work for them instead.

We know that the Conservative Leadership Candidates are focusing on the job they want and putting the continuation of this Conservative Government at the heart of what they are doing.

But this is not what the Country has asked them for. It smacks of the very same old politics that we are collectively telling them is now over.

They clearly all share the same expectation that avoiding a General Election before Brexit will save their Party and this is the first thing they need to change.

They must also forget the idea that they can now deliver Brexit without a Leave-led Parliamentary majority. A working majority that will be needed to weather the inevitable storm the UK will be required to sail through immediately after the date that we Leave in order to reach the blue skies and clear water that lies the other side.

A Parliamentary majority will not come solely from People voting Conservative. Or at least not before Brexit is over and done and the issue is completely settled, and the friendships that have forged the Brexit movement have moved back to their tribal homes because that battle has been won.

So the next realisation that the Conservatives must face up to and accept is that a coalition with the Brexit Party is inevitable if delivering Brexit, keeping their Seats and saving the Conservative Party is actually what they want to do. Once the penny has dropped that a Parliamentary Majority that includes them being attained BEFORE Brexit is the only way they will ever be sure that the Public will elect Brexit Party MPs.

To give Brexit the best chance of success possible, foolish ideas about controlling events that are uncontrollable must be quickly swept aside.

Party loyalty and tribalism is not going to be important for the foreseeable future.

It’s about delivery and that’s all.

And to deliver Brexit, the Conservative Leader will have to go forward with Brexiteers of all backgrounds stood by their side.

It is silliness bordering on inexcusable ignorance to believe that leaving without a deal under any circumstances on 1st November will answer all of the questions being asked of our Politicians.

Because if a no deal Brexit happens without a majority of MPs who are ready to have wax poured in their ears whilst the Prime Minister straps themselves to the mast of a true and unyielding Brexit, the whole plan will quickly get smashed up on the rocks.

And this time we really will be at the complete mercy of the EU – which is all the bureaucrats running this autocracy could pray for.

It will force us to give them all they could ever want.

 

Catastrophic indecision lies at the heart of this Government and the Conservative Party. Yet most of those responsible are on the list to replace Mrs May

May 23, 2019 2 comments

MAYTime is now up for Trident Tongued Theresa.

Yet even now, she and her coterie of friends who will be leaving Downing Street beside her, are attempting to steal victory from the large intestine of defeat and suggesting they are about to rewrite this travesty of a Withdrawal Agreement which is and only ever has been about what a Prime Ministerial legacy looks like to Theresa May.

The credibility of our system of Government could and indeed should have been saved weeks if not months ago.

There have been enough opportunities to actually lose count.

Yet it is the same Politicians in the Cabinet and in key Positions within the Government who are too fearful today of the consequences of doing the ‘wrong thing’, who have always enabled this treacherous travesty which is not only about to unseat the Prime Minister, but is about to send the whole of the Conservative Party exactly the same way.

What our supposedly responsible Politicians should have reallised long ago about the current key holder at No.10, is that the dictatorial retreat into the bunker that is underway at the moment is simply an illustration of the character which has underpinned this travesty of a Premiership from the start and all the way along.

May’s propensity for lying robustly was outed well before she even called the 2017 General Election. At the very moment she wouldn’t come clean over the Trident issue, when questioned in an interview by the BBC’s Andrew Marr.

That none of those so closely around her saw or understood the writing that was then on the wall, raises questions about the rot that is present at the heart of both the Conservative Party and the Government.

But it also explains a whole lot more. Because it tells us how this whole sorry episode has been facilitated and allowed to continue. Be under the illusion no longer. May’s pedigree chums who remain in the Cabinet have an outlook that is fundamentally the same.

With the rules and etiquette underpinning business as usual in Politics having disappeared into the ether, just as soon as the Conservative Party endorsed this wretched Premiership in December, there really are no obligations to the Old Politics remaining upon any of our Westminster incumbents if they should finally grow a pair and do whatever it will take to immediately remove Theresa May from No.10.

In fact, it might be received much more positively than they could ever now appreciate. As anything that heralds the end of that Old Politics and the ushering in of the new, is likely to be received very warmly by the Public, who today might only temporarily directing their Votes another way.

Replacing May with another Prime Minister in her image is unacceptable.

If would-be Conservative Leaders should tie themselves to the mast of the Old Politics in the form of One Nation Conservatism or any form of everything that is now wrong with our Political system, simply presented in a different form, the Conservative Party will simply be over. And with it all of the sorry attempts by self-serving MPs to keep a secure hold of ‘their’ Seats, without even the slightest idea of the impact and consequences of what they have been doing.

What we are seeing today in the political crisis that is unfolding which is going to have an unnecessary but nonetheless significant cost.

Today’s Tory Leaders simply have no credibility.

To win again the Party must embrace change in everything. Immediately and above all ruthlessly. Or the post-bunker chapter will be the only legacy that they will share with Theresa May.

If Conservative MPs at any level have any sense they will have her physically out of No.10 by the weekend and then take a leaf out of the Vatican’s book. Put aside all the petty squabbling and self-serving rivalries, lock all of their MPs into the same room. And don’t emerge until they have a reasoned majority for a new Leader who can go straight to Buckingham Palace to be appointed Prime Minister, as the white smoke drifts across Westminster and media’s way.

Many of us question why these apparently talented and otherwise responsible people cannot see just how serious things have now become.

The reality is that they must now within days change completely, embrace new thinking, a new politics and then the real and true instruction of the Brexit Vote via a General Election in the Autumn.

They must begin today by hitting the ejector switch for Mrs May.

No plan is going to solve the Brexit problem. We need leadership without the unbridled ambition and we need it now

December 6, 2018 Leave a comment

The only comfort for many of us peering into the Westminster fishbowl as it continues its daily mission to self destruct, is that there are at least some voices of reason breaking through this malaise, running contrary to the crap that various factions across the Establishment are trying to feed us, and bringing truth to power. Something that we so desperately need.

The real problem is of course, that with so many politicians so very obsessed with having their own ideas heard and prioritised – no matter the cost, very few of the people who are in the position to influence any of this mess for the better are hearing, considering or acting upon what wise voices now say.

There is an obsession with the idea that there has to be an agreed plan for however we handle Brexit. This is a fallacy and simply isn’t true. And as I wrote last July, the problem with the plan for Brexit, is that Brexit has become all about having a plan.

This whole perception that there has to be a fixed strategy in place before we can do anything at this level is one of the key reasons why Brexit and democracy itself are now in such a perilous state, and so many normal people across this Country are now feeling completely cut off from their representatives and wondering what the hell will now happen and if there is anything that anyone with any influence can actually do.

Whilst it makes curious reading when the Will of the People to Leave the EU was so clearly defined, the fact remains that there is no majority amongst our 650 MP’s for any plan or direction. A situation that in every sense possible means that for the People of the UK, democracy as good as doesn’t exist, and that the result of the EU Referendum is by a majority of our MP’s being at best ignored and at worst, clearly denied.

Getting out of this mess is not going to be easy. Not least of all because all the options that are being openly considered as being possible right now, have no guarantees that they would change anything.

A General Election might not change anything as at best we would still have most of the same politicians left in Parliament coming from the self-interested culture where the purpose of representing the people, once elected is in many cases simply forgotten if not actively denied. At worst, Theresa May could actually stay in No.10, not because she isn’t seen as the biggest part of the current problem, but that many Voters would vote strategically against the prospect of a Corbyn government – which for anyone who understands his modus operandi knows his brand of leadership is not how we want to experience the next 5 years of our future being defined.

A Referendum is in trouble before it could even be put into being, as its very existence would underscore the reality that far from only being in the process of dying, as far as the UK is concerned, democracy has already died. It doesn’t matter what stories influencers who should know better tell us, out in the real world across the UK, people haven’t changed their minds about Brexit, in fact they are more disillusioned now than ever, see the EU as the controlling foreign force that it is, and are desperate for the people elected to represent them, to actually do what they have already been told.

And whilst there are many left who are behaving like they have not just a chip, but a whole sack of spuds strewn across their shoulders, there no longer exists any such thing as the option tabled in June 2016, which is still being romanticised as ‘Remain’. The true relationship with the EU is now in a continuing process of being outed, they will never allow the UK to resume its former relationship as a Member and if the EU is seeking to keep indefinite control over our future as a condition of actually leaving them, just imagine what the price of being ‘openly’ joined to this pathway to the United States of Europe could actually do.

It may seem like the antithesis of everything accepted as being normal, but planning when we are in a situation like we are now, with so much fluidity, risk and the potential for disaster, is simply not something we have either the time, or the luxury that having reasoned debate – that the presence of a complete chamber of objective politicians would allow us to do.

We now need real leadership of a very different kind. Leadership that is guided only by the ambition of the UK and our future, with vision, humility and a respect for the age of consequence. Leadership that actually leads with the responsibility it has been given, rather than leadership which was only ever about gaining position. A situation we have no for too long been forced to try.

May must go and it is only the Conservatives who can replace her.

This talk of governments of national unity is not only dangerous, it would still be constructed of the very same people who have contributed to this unholy mess. People who are still dedicated to listening to only themselves. And with this kind of power, would continue to overlook everything that has now become important. Not least of all what the People of the UK have told them, and that everything which has happened since has itself began to model a different destiny for this Country, which requires new thinking and not giant leaps backwards of the kind to which they are clinging to – and not one to which Voters are in the majority inclined.

The question of who in Parliament could really replace May now. The ambitions of the Cabinet are now so inextricably linked to her Plan for Brexit that the question of how each and every one of their priorities, demonstrated by their acquiescence with this whole travesty could possibly show that they are now equipped to seize the moment and take this Country forward is not a story that I can honestly the Electorate stomaching for very long, should it be one that were now to be told.

Fresh starts require fresh thinking, and like the Conservative Party that is currently built around them, the Prime Minister who replaces May must be all about change, respecting the will of the people and no longer obsessed with the destructive tribal reality of thinking and acting in terms of either Leave or Remain.

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