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If the ERG want Brexit, they must lead it. The time has come to split the Conservative Party and prepare for a General Election

February 27, 2019 Leave a comment

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For me, Theresa May’s resolve to Remain and call it something else was never in doubt. But the cost of what she and her coterie of Remainers has and continues to do to this Country and our democracy is something else.

Whilst I am far from alone in anticipating that Brexit could finally split the Conservative Party once and for all, events this week suggest that the time has come where the benefit of the ERG and Brexiteer contingent remaining within Theresa May’s interpretation of mainstream conservatism is now severely outweighed by the disadvantages – especially in view of what is likely to come.

From the outside perspective, there is little doubt that the point of no return came when May won the December no confidence vote and became all but immovable for the 12 months ahead.

The Prime Minister has been the key component in a direction of travel which has brought us to the point where Remainers are now on the verge of successfully cancelling Brexit via indefinite delay.

Whilst May has been helped every step of the way by the contingent of Remain Ministers, there is little doubt that undeserved trust in the holder of the Office of British Prime Minister has regrettably contributed to previously avoidable difficulties with Brexit, many of which are yet to come.

Put bluntly, the only clear way to ensure that the Brexit which the British People Voted for is now delivered, is to replace the currently Remain-led Parliamentary majority with one which will prioritise the needs of the Electorate above their own, and deliver Brexit properly, without compromise and in every way and sense necessary to ensure that everyone, whether Leavers or Remainers will benefit from our post-Brexit opportunities just the same.

This outcome will not be possible if the political party structures, biases and motivations are the same as they are now, when the next General Election is called.

Above all, if there is to be any genuine ‘conservative’ influence over where we then go, that Election must be faught without the current Prime Minister remaining in post. That means either an election build up away from her sphere of influence, or the removal of May from No.10.

In reality, nobody under the Brexit wing of the Conservative Party should now genuinely believe that May will step aside anytime soon.

The passing of a vote of no confidence in May’s Government is the only way she will now be toppled before 2022. And with the dynamic in Parliament changing almost daily, it means that splitting the Conservative Party and going it alone has to now be the immediate, strategic, responsible and calculated choice for those who know that for democracy and the People to win through, there is a different way.

Support would flock to the banner of a new party committed to Brexit, but equipped to provide a policy platform which reaches way beyond the very specific set of issues relating to our relationship with Europe. Support of the kind necessary to create a party machine in the timescale required which is professional, fully funded and capable of forming a government in a matter of months.

An ERG breakaway and the momentum behind it offers a vehicle capable of doing all these things. It is unlikely to come from any other direction or evolve in any other form.

The key to realising that there is a great opportunity to deliver much better for us all, is for the Brexiteer MPs involved to start looking beyond their own echo chambers, to the world outside Westminster, outside of the Conservative Party, across the wide range of Leave supporters from all traditional Party backgrounds and to the needs and expectations of an entire Nation waiting to be inspired, which is sitting waiting with great concern beyond.

Any MP who cares about the will of the People has this chance to stand out for the right reasons or wait to be pushed out for all the wrong ones.

We, the People, are fed up with the contemptuous behaviour of those who we have entrusted to represent us in Government and repaid us by throwing that trust back in our faces.

It necessarily follows that the time is coming for change.

Please ERG and Leaver MPs from wherever you are, be the change now.

Show us all that there are still some politicians left at Westminster who have the integrity and courage to take all the steps required to do what is expected and necessary, but above all, what is genuinely right.

Corbyn has the ability to win, not because of what he does, but because of what others don’t

February 8, 2019 1 comment

img_2576One of the greatest misinterpretations of recent weeks has been the ongoing assessment of the media and the Labour Party that Jeremy Corbyn is sat on the fence and will not commit to anything.

Granted, much of the commentary on the Labour Leader is reflective of his role or non-role in the Brexit process.

But looks are deceiving.

Corbyn’s letter to Theresa May this week tells us all a lot more than we realise about the game that for him is now in play.

Yes, the commentariat and opinionati are busy reflecting on the content and generally overlooking the reality that it beats May at her own game when it comes to achieving a Brexit which is not actually based on leaving but very much Remain.

But even less attention is being paid to the more strategic angle of not only this letter, but everything that Jeremy Corbyn does. All of which is clearly developing around creating the circumstances under which he would be able to facilitate the installation and then implementation of a Marxist regime.

Oh we’d see that coming if it was ever really a threat is the very kind of response you would get from anyone who is taking Corbyn’s chances of becoming PM less than seriously.

Yet nobody in power now has control over the outcome of events and what Brexit might really become.

Memories are short. And whilst we may never know or understand what the Labour MPs directly involved were thinking when they nominated Corbyn as a leadership candidate following the resignation of Ed Milliaband, we can be reasonably sure that they did not bank on what have already been the consequences and what may now become.

Indeed the magnitude of that original decision must have become painfully obvious for them when Corbyn then went on to see off a leadership challenge, just as the momentum movement ushered in by his accession have began to take over everything Labour as they have become increasingly involved.

Today, what normal people see as the quantum leap which would be Jeremy Corbyn becoming Prime Minister is a threat that is very real. Not because of anything specific or particularly good about what he does.

But as then, right back at the point that he was first nominated to be Labour Leader. Simply because the threat is neither cognicised or taken seriously by some, whilst others are too busy trying to exert control over everything else to achieve their own plans, to see that their own inaction as the flip side of their actions will have very serious consequences for all involved.

You can do the right things at the right time or you can live with the consequences from that point thereafter.

Right now, Corbyn has his eye on a prize which is not entering into common thought.

Whilst there is occasional mention of his aim of a socialist state – often in the same breath as mention of the unfolding tragedy created by his fellow socialists in Venezuela, nobody is really contemplating how this idealist could precipitate the transition from our capitalist democratically now to the Marxist nirvana where he would like us to be.

Corbyn’s letter gives reality to what may be both hope and genuine intention for the UK to go over a cliff edge as a result of Brexit at the end of March, in the circumstances that a completely unplanned ‘no deal’ scenario should unfold.

For the student and believer of revolution that Corbyn is, the prospect of civil unrest and the chaos that he believes would be guaranteed to accompany it, an out of control Brexit ushers in the opportunity to seize power whilst the wheels of government screech to a halt and anarchy has the potential to rule the streets.

What his plan, vision or desire doesn’t consider is that the socialist revolutions upon which he has based his goals have never been a sure thing, even when hindsight has allowed the victors to write the history.

Even the greatest communist takeover we know of, the Russian Revolution of 1917 was very much touch and go when it began. It could so easily have ended up very differently with minor changes in events and if the key players involved had made different choices and done different things.

That the majority of our MPs now function within a Westminster bubble where inaction, reaction, self-interest and fear driven decision making could take us over the edge in just 49 days is concerning.

How they would then react if the Marxist Corbynites should find themselves in the position to even try and spring anything remotely akin to a revolution from our Streets is a completely different thing.

Corbyn finds the project of chaos desirable at any cost, because the chances of him securing the outright or majority electoral victory which would allow him at least 5 years in government with the mandate to destroy the Western version of the UK and replace it with ‘socialism done properly’ are actually very remote indeed.

He is therefore dependent upon others not doing their job and breaking the rules to stop him when he and his kind would be prepared to. The very time that good leaders lined up against his plan would know and act on the fact that they should.

The realities of a Corbyn majority Marxist government are something that must be avoided and any chance that he might have to grab power outside the process of our democratic convention, must be avoided at all costs.

For if the point should now come where the British People feel justified in taking to the Streets, what could be for them a genuine protest against the ineptitude, ignorance and irresponsibility of the so-called representatives who have worked proactively over 2 and a half years to destroy democracy just to prevent a real Brexit, could quickly be hijacked and used to introduce a type of governance which will be insecure and therefore brutal.

We should never underestimate what to all of us would be the true cost.

The question we should perhaps be asking ourselves, is whether there are any Politicians left in Westminster who can see any of the wider, but nonetheless very real risks to this Country that are now unfolding. And if they can, would they or are they indeed capable of being the leaders we will need to stop a doomsday scenario unfolding at the hands of idealists, no matter what might be the personal cost?

It’s time to act unilaterally over Brexit, implement the departure which works for us and let the EU follow

February 5, 2019 Leave a comment

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Brexit was never going to be the easiest change to manage, even if we were under the leadership of the best Government available.

The realities of an issue which without any help was always going to be so divisive, was destined to explode the very moment that self-interest and a lack of benevolence on the part of the Establishment was involved.

The incompetence and ineptitude made manifest by the tenure of Theresa May was not entirely absent in No.10 with the incumbent before. But above this, and the very questionable if not dubious efforts of all the Remain-at-any-cost clubbers involved, one of the most clear reasons why we need to Leave the shackles of the EU behind us has been illustrated at its best by the intransigence of the Commission and everything that the EU Leadership has been doing in the Brexit Process since the moment that they became involved.

Regrettably, even now, the elephant in the room is still being missed by many. Not least of all by a majority of our Westminster Politicians, who should by now know and have a much better understanding of the impact of the EU on life in the UK, our People and Businesses than they clearly do now.

The EU is only focused upon developing a European Superstate. Taking every step necessary to deliver synchronicity of systems, policies and cultures of each and every previously identifiable Nation State involved.

It does not care about locality or any other form of identity. It does not consider us as individuals or as a People.

Its modus operandi is to remove anything and everything that can be used to promote individuality. To move us all to a place where without recognising what is changing around us continually and all the time, we will suddenly wake up accepting that we are and only ever will be European, and that localism in the sense where people really come first is unacceptable and can only be painted as being something right-wing, populist and as such simply too bold and fearful to behold.

The incessant drip-drip-drip of change and transformation from being British Subjects to European Citizens has already been embraced and overseen by successive UK Governments over decades. Without Legal mandate and with uncompromising contempt for the impact and consequences of the actions of but a few Politicians on all of the People, Businesses and Lives which are actually involved. This is a key component of the process which ultimately fed Brexit.

This insidious and to many unnoticeable change has left many of our decision makers at the mercy of a system which belittles anyone and everything which has not signed up or become subservient to the ‘grand plan’. The EU is not an entity in the real sense, but a direction of travel which is compelling to those who cannot engage with the realities of what happens when an idealistic project of this size, supranational and politically driven nature takes hold upon the Countries, Peoples, Communities and Individuals who have involuntarily been signed up to it.

This direction of travel is so powerful as to be intoxicating for those who have become intricately involved. Those who have bought into the value of something which they have never had reason to question in real life.

This is why Brexit was destined for chaos the moment that a second Remainer Prime Minister became involved in delivering an outcome which ran contrary to everything they believe and have accepted when told.

The reality is that the EU will not work against itself or that direction of travel, if there is any way that an event has the potential to be repurposed and therefore the direction be brought back to where they see it should always have been.

The EU will not fold on any decision unless to do so itself would be at risk to the greater ‘European Project’ itself.

From this perspective, and therefore the Leadership of Remainer in-chief Theresa May, every attempt to execute a meaningful Brexit under her Premiership was, is and will be flawed. Because the players involved do not understand the rules of the game that they have set out to play.

Under the choking blanket of fear which has been perpetrated as ‘project Fear’ by those possessed by Remain, this Government has lost sight of its own ability to lead this Country through what is a National Crisis.

It cannot even conceptualise the right approach to secure an outcome which works best for us in the circumstances and not simply plays up to addressing all of the threats, warnings and nay saying prophesies that have been involved from the time that the EU Referendum Campaign began.

The only way that the UK will now secure the Brexit that we need – and that’s the one that will ultimately work for both ‘Leave’ and for ‘Remain’, is for us to set our own agenda.

Unilaterally, we must consider the best way to conduct a relationship with the EU and other Countries. But without making the outcome and mechanics dependent upon their input.

Putting it bluntly, we need to go it alone with the decisions and not allow the EU to influence our true direction or to be directly involved.

Whilst this approach may be objectionable to those who always have to approach life under the false premise that you must have a plan, the fact remains that the way to get the very best for this Country is to simply get on and start doing it. The others will soon want to catch up when they realise that we are confident enough and strong enough to do what’s necessary. They must accept that compromise can only ever be genuine when all parties present are committed and actually involved.

The ‘can’t do, won’t do’ nature of this Government and all the Remain-bent MPs who are involved in wrecking Brexit is withholding access for this Country to the most beneficial of pathways, simply because to take it requires strong leadership and vision, gutsy decisions and the confidence to step off into the unknown.

From the moment that we accept that our future and our destiny is in our own and not in the EU’s hands, things will begin to change.

The EU needs a positive relationship with us much more than we need to maintain the negative one with them that they are still offering.

We just need to create the circumstances where they have to make that choice themselves, rather than leaving it up to the historic default – which is the direction in which Theresa May and the Remain contingent are inclined and still committed to taking us.

To even gain traction and obtain the best possible with a halfway house like the Malthouse Compromise, we need a change of Prime Minister. We need new energy and a commitment to putting the UK first, rather than seeing everything through the lens of presumptive subservience to the EU.

But to get all that we should be aspiring to, not least of all from our relationship with the EU but with the World entire, we now need to start rowing our own boat. Let the others catch up and join up as soon as they are ready, rather than selling ourselves continually short just because of the fear-based stories that we are forever being sold by a coterie of mis-leaders who rather than use their eyes to look, simply accept everything that they are themselves told.

It’s not a ‘no deal’ Brexit we have to fear. It’s the ineptitude of the Politicians who are ‘in power’ and will be ‘in control’

February 2, 2019 Leave a comment

img_2543From the top to the bottom of the Government, the display of self-interest and wanton disconnect from the world outside of Westminster has been both exposed and demonstrated for how serious it now is. Brexit has certainly demonstrated the worst aspects of our Political System for all that they are and it is indeed troubling that it is not possible to list anything that we could consider as being the best aspects in the very same sentence.

The malaise affecting Government isn’t only of it. In fact, the problem with the quality of those in Government is perhaps better illustrated by the same reality which has rolled itself out across all areas of influence too. It is present across all the sectors and in its simplest form has come from the cultural disposition which is focusing on all the wrong things when selecting candidates for key jobs and responsibilities.

It isn’t as simple as having a bitch about some old boys network or any other form of nepotism. Those certainly exist. But they are in no way nearly as damaging as the impact of a failure to focus on what is important and how you qualify any individual for a position which is then going to have considerable impact upon others – whether that be in politics, government, charities or business.

Because so much is taken at face value when decisions are made, we have people leading this Country who in many cases simply have no understanding of, nor the disposition to emphasise or learn about the people and the lives they are responsible for or upon whose lives their actions will impact.

So when you have a Government that can’t even see nor understand where its metaphorical feet and therefore foundations are located, they then reach out to membership organisations like the CBI, who are supposedly representative of the business community, but are run by people who are unikley to have ever been at the cutting edge of the genesis an unsupported, sole-trader/SME start-up business and the process of developing it thereafter, and think that entrepreneurism is a skill which can be learned by reading about it online.

This Country has unwittingly sleepwalked into a position where inexperienced leaders are being guided and led by the inexperienced because they are too inexperienced to know what inexperience looks like.

Until now, this downward trajectory didn’t matter. The over ambitious and self serving have been left to get on with managing everything, because as a culture, we the British People have just stood back and let them get on with it as we accepted that this was the way that things were always done.

But then came Brexit.

Right from the moment that the abuse of the compact between the Establishment and the People was first taken to a new place and David Cameron instigated the European Referendum (which should never have been needed anyway, had many previous Governments been doing the job they should have been doing exactly when it should have been done), the whole ball of bandaids which we have allowed Government after Government to stick upon problem upon problem, has began to unravel.

They didn’t know what to do then. They don’t know what to do now. Simply because they now know that it is no longer inevitable that they will always get their own way.

If the majority of the political construct which is our Parliament were to be honest with the Public, they know what the People were asked to Vote on in 2016, and that it was not anything like or even a derivative of Remain.

However, because they simply have no idea how to manage uncertainty of any kind when their experiences have always told them that their career pathways and responsibilities are assured – so long as they always play ball, they cannot bring themselves to accept that anything other than problems and trouble will exist if the UK were to go any other way than Remain.

The greatest opportunities for this Country exist with the set of circumstances where we are as one agile enough to adapt to and accept them all for what they are.

That agility will never come from pretending we are another country where the sclerotic set of rules only ever constructed to create the pretence of a level playing field between 28 different cultures will inevitably mean we will not ever be the same again, whilst we will never have the confidence to value who we really are.

That confidence will only come from Leaving the EU. We must Leave without ties and with full and unequivocal Independence from the EU Regime. That should have always and must now be our only and overriding purpose.

The significance of the opportunity that awaits us as a Country upon Leaving the EU cannot be underestimated.

Talk of having to have a deal to leave a relationship is all that it ever was.

The only reason that the Establishment is so focused upon perpetuating the myth that Leaving with No Deal will be a disaster, is because the people who populate its lead positions today are incapable of making decisions in live time, without a pre-ordained plan or strategy.

It is on this basis that we should perhaps be asking ourselves the question, what has this, the Country of Thatcher and Churchill really now become?

We really have no reason to fear a misnamed ‘no deal’ Brexit, as we will always have a deal, agreement or whatever you want to call it with the EU.

It’s the ineptitude and unsuitability of the Politicians and Society figures who are supposedly ‘in power’ and will therefore be ‘in control’ when we do that we should really be concerned about.

Because it is they who will cause the problems, as they cannot see and therefore embrace real opportunity for what it really is, simply because its something that they have never experienced, are qualified to manage or have been appropriately prepared for.

 

We must now Leave without a deal if we want a relationship with the EU that is acceptable to those who Voted Leave AND Remain

January 31, 2019 Leave a comment

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No matter if you Voted Leave or Voted Remain, the fact is that few of those representing us in Westminster have managed to cover themselves in glory during the Brexit process and EU Referendum Campaign.

We have now witnessed so many events and been provided with so much evidence to support what has long been suspected – that the majority of MPs have sought election only for the purposes of personal gain, that whatever now happens in the coming weeks and days over Brexit, it is inevitable that we will not view Parliament in the same way as we did previously ever again.

What is most striking about the lack of leadership across the Commons that has now been so clearly defined, is the complete absence of agility in both thought and action that has led to opportunity being seen and portrayed as a threat, rather than the doorway to transformation and change which will benefit the Country. Opportunity that would give us the chance to leave many of the problems behind that we cannot address whilst we Remain bound to the Laws and Directives of the EU.

Whilst the lack of foresight and understanding fits well with a Parliament made up of MPs who behave this way, the UK has been severely disadvantaged as a direct result.

We have watched helplessly from outside the Westminster bubble as those high on power and their own self-righteousness have squandered each and every opportunity to set off, restart or return to a pathway which puts the UK first, rather than allowing the use of a switched deck which even now is very much stacked towards the EU remaining in control of our future relationship, with not one of these self interested Parliamentary factions really ever getting their own way.

It is painful to watch how irrational fear is ruling the whole Brexit question to the point where the stupidity and intransigence of key people has become so efficiently overlooked, that there appears genuine surprise when they do the same things again or behave like nobody can better their own game.

The failure of this Parliament to deliver on the People’s Instruction and the chaos that has ensued will not easily be forgiven. Nor will the absence of leadership that could have focused on the reality of a 52%-48% Vote Result which was always going to require consideration, communication and consequence-based decision making that works for those who Voted Leave as well as Remain.

It is unacceptable to suggest that this was and is impossible. The question has only ever been about the how.

In truth, Brexit was destined to be a complete mess from the moment David Cameron was replaced by a Prime Minister who supported Remain.

Remain was from the point that Theresa May entered Downing Street always going to be the default stepping off point, rather than what would have been the case if we had had a Leave Voting Prime Minister. One who could have looked at the process right from the start as being the UK is now out, so how do we build bridges which will be different, but look, feel and behave as they would have, if we had indeed Remained.

To be fair, even a good ‘Leave’ Prime Minister night have struggled to achieve this outlook. As developing strategy as a vision and without real-time experience of the circumstances you will be working with is never as easy or simple as looking at things as if they will always be the same or in the sense of only ever having to work with that which is known and your own experience.

But with May at the helm it never has and never will be possible, as her purpose is not selfless. It is about a legacy and is entrenched with a mentality that the Politicians around her are subordinate in every sense and could never achieve anything that she could in any way.

By backing the Brady Amendment this week, many of those MP’s on the Leave side of the House have again fallen into the very same trap that they have done already on numerous occasions before. Missing opportunity after opportunity to take things in a very different direction, rather than allowing the Remain-led PM May run down the clock on the expectation that the misplaced fear over a so-called ‘no-deal exit’ will finally push her own Withdrawal Agreement, without alterations, over the line.

Make no mistake. The unaltered May ‘Agreement’ is actually worse for the UK than it would have been to have never had the Referendum Vote and today to have been in the situation that some mistakenly think is Remain. And if our MPs have shied away from decisions over Brexit already on the basis of their irrational fears, looking those fears in the eye to stop May now, will require much more of them now, simply because the crunch point appears to be so very near.

The reality is that we will not achieve anything like the relationship with the EU of which we as a Country are capable, if we should accept the terms of any agreement which already exists or is formulated under the duress and questionable decision making of a Parliament which contrary to the position of the Electorate is overwhelmingly supportive of Remain.

In fact, the very best thing that could happen now is that the attitude of the EU does indeed become the catalyst which crystallises the position of Leaving without the deal that we never actually needed. A destination and indeed journey that would then put us in realtime at the point where even those Politicians without vision might then be able to see the relationship an dynamics between the UK and EU for what they are and build agreements over trade and joint working that keep power and influence where it should be – in London, not Brussels, and prevent those whose priorities are in the EU and not the UK from ever again being free to develop any kind of behind-closed-doors understanding with a Foreign Power, that a series of previous Governments and Prime Ministers never had the mandate to ever do.

The question is of course, will they want to?

 

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Deal or No Deal, the technology already exists for a seamless Irish Border after Brexit and as many of us already know, it works just bloody fine…

January 30, 2019 Leave a comment
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A number plate recognition and recording camera being installed in a supermarket car park in Cheltenham, Gloucestershire. January 2019.

The Brothers Grimm would have been busy indeed, had they been alive and based in London during the times of Brexit.

With myth after myth entering the lexicon of public understanding, most often created by those who by the rule of fear intend for the UK to Remain, the range of stories and prophecies that have been created up to now from the very beginning of the Referendum Campaign would be priceless, were it not for the impact that foolish interference with very serious and far reaching matters of state can have.

Whilst many of the latest entrants to the pop chart of Brexit fantasies are being debunked just as quickly as they have been produced, one of the most ridiculous but nonetheless effective tales to have been told is the one about the need for a backstop to prevent a hard-border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic, because a technological solution doesn’t exist which would keep goods moving as they would do if the UK were to Remain.

The claim is particularly laughable, given that we live in a surveillance society where estimates back in 2013 placed the number of cameras observing us already then at one camera for every 11-14 people within the population.

Even if monitoring equipment on the Irish Borders did not already exist, the installation of equipment and software of a like which has been in use by the Police forces for years in the form of Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) would not be an arduous task. It is already being put to many uses in civilian form too, and if you have fallen foul of Car Parking Rules where one of these offshoot systems has been installed, you will know only too well how effective they are when a Penalty Notice with accompanying photographic evidence lands at your door.

The real problem and reason why too many of the people at a level of influence will tell us that no such technological solution exists is because of the sclerotic system for purchasing products like these for ‘government use’ and the way that companies who could deliver a working and effective solution in what would be a comparatively ‘overnight’ timeframe, are excluded from a supplier system which would benefit us all if they were to be included.

Government purchase is based on a system which favours the monoliths in public supply. Companies that overcharge by gargantuan levels o justify their huge structures, are avoidably slow to deliver – pushing up prices even further, and are the favorites of a coterie of consultants and advisors who themselves are pre-programmed with everything they do to simply be on the make.

If the political will, foresight and vision existed to implement a transparent border between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic, stepping outside the purchasing rules – YES, those required by Membership of the EU itself, is pretty much all it would take. We simply need agility in thinking, doing and making sure that everyone involved is doing the same.

The opportunity to deliver the trouble-free Brexit that the British People Voted for has been squandered by Politicians afraid to look outside of their own Westminster box. We should be under no illusion that in terms of upholding the realities of the responsibility that they have been given by us, they are well and truly afraid of their own shadow.

The best thing that those who lead us could do right now is to forget going cap in hand to the EU as Theresa May now surely will. Direct the installation of the infrastructure on the Irish Border, commission the necessary software from the very bright and agile small businesses that the UK has, and then make a very public statement that as far as the UK is concerned the Border will be open from 11.00pm onwards on the 29th March 2019, will be functioning like just one of the many other administrative hoops that logistics & supply chain operators, public transport companies and international travelers have to jump through when they are going anywhere, and that the UK is more than capable of taking a lead on anything and everything, come what and despite of whatever May says.

‘Out means out’ is the clear message that would give certainty to the Brexit Process

August 4, 2017 1 comment

Unspoken words illustrated by actions, almost always speak more loudly than the words which accompany them. The approach which has been taken by Theresa May’s Government towards Brexit is certainly no different.

Management of expectation should be fluent practice for the politicians who have reached the heights of having a seat at the top table in the land. So it would be reasonable to conclude that the jumping off point for the Brexit Negotiations provides us with an accurate picture of the priorities of the Government for delivering our exit process.

Begin-with-the-end-in-mind.

It is of no great surprise that many people are concerned, given that Brexit looks like an unholy mess. One which is playing into the hands of ardent Remainers such as Vince Cable, given that the whole approach to the process has been in many ways portrayed as being about doing the minimum necessary to qualify the UK as no longer being an EU Member.

The current approach could more accurately be framed as over-promising with the quiet or unintended expectation that they will ‘be given no choice’ but to under deliver. The alternative would be the more robust and arguably honest approach of being clear from the start with us all by stating that we are now going to be completely out of European Union Membership once the Article 50 Notice Period is complete, and that anything we gain in our interests thereafter will be a benefit.

What could then accurately be called an under-promise leading to what anyone who sees our true relationship with our European Partners will know will be a significant lessening of expectations in terms of what the Government will then assuredly over-deliver.

While more than a year may now have passed since the EU Referendum with Negotiations in Brussels now appearing to be underway, it is far from too late to adopt this approach.

Yes, giving this level of clarity to the overall message would draw criticism from Remainers who continue to be convinced that they can influence the Negotiation Process to a degree where Brexit would occur in name only. But it would also provide a distinct level of certainty within what for us all will remain a fluid situation for a long time to come, where stepping off now with the worst case scenario providing a basis for our negotiating position going forward being a far more productive place to begin.

To continue managing the public perception of the Brexit process in the way that it is, the Government appears to be either attempting to be all things to all people – which even when well intended is unlikely to work; or is playing the rather dangerous game of planning for the UK to remain technically tied to Membership of the European Union via a relationship which the majority of British people do not want.

Yes, there are very big interests with equally big voices making very loud predictions of doom and gloom, openly threatening to leave the UK if their needs aren’t prioritised.

A perfectly sensible question in response would be to ask them why they are here anyway if the European Market is that much more important than our own.

The reality however, is that these self-serving overtures are really nothing more than a plea to a political class to keep everything which works profitably for those interests basically the very same.

These businesses have had influence and power over Government for a very long time due to the role that money is seen to play in just about everything. Yet in terms of Brexit, Money has now come into direct conflict with democracy and the will of the People. Nobody should be in any doubt about the interests which will benefit most if the UK should in any way now Remain.

The message is clear. Things can never be the same as they were before 23rd June 2016. Obstructive as these other interests may be, they also deserve to receive a clear message from the Government about the direction of travel, so that they can work with their own worst case scenarios. Scenarios which you can be assured will prove to be a lot better when we have formally left the EU, than they would willingly have us all suppose now.

The damage being done daily with the current lacklustre approach in terms of the relationship between Westminster all British People – who have an evolving distrust of the establishment, has the potential to be far reaching, particularly if the Negotiation Process should ultimately result in an avoidable fudge.

Whilst no British voter has knowingly endorsed the process of ‘ever closer union’ which successive British Governments undertook to create an increasingly closer and subservient political union with the EU, it would be utterly foolish for political strategists to believe that they can somehow delay or prevent the distinct and clinical reversal of that unsanctioned action, when the democratic instruction given by the Referendum Vote was very clear.

Of course, any ardent Remainer reading these words can and will pick holes in an argument like this by using their own view of Brexit and the Referendum itself to justify alternative reasoning. Democracy does after all only work for some when they are getting the results that they themselves want.

As a supporter of leaving the European Union from a time long before it ever became politically fashionable to be so, I can nonetheless say that I did not feel comfortable with the polarity delivered by the Referendum Campaign. Yet it has become ridiculous that a follow-up debate about ‘what Brexit will look like’ should then have been allowed to develop by the establishment and then framed as an optional change which can come in a choice of shades, wrapped up as either a ‘hard’ or ‘soft’ Brexit.

Accepting that we are leaving – as most Political Parties now at least indicate that they do, would sound much more sincere, convincing and less like they were paying mere lip service to this inevitable change if all were to adopt a more definite tone such as ‘out means out’, rather than ‘Brexit means Brexit’. One which not only makes clear but endorses the otherwise universally held understanding that you cannot remain attached and at the same time be genuinely separate or no longer a part of something – as the British Electorate have commanded that we must now be.

In my last blog, I discussed the reality and impact of ideas or ideologies in politics rather than management according to all the facts. Brexit has regrettably come to fall under the same umbrella of ideas. It should be clear that our perspective of the process and creation of policy right at this moment in time and how things will actually work when we arrive at March 2019 will not then be the same as now or at any point thereafter.

The only certainty is that we are leaving and that is why it would be far more productive to talk in terms of the relationship that the UK then aims to have with the EU as being an aspiration, instead of a fixed relationship that we the or they in some way have the power to guarantee.

Acceptance that all sides of UK Politics have something to bring to this debate is essential and must replace the virtue signalling and disingenuous assumption of moral authority adopted by some, who fail to understand the expectations of everyone with views and feelings from outside their own bubbles. Especially so, as they refuse to work with those who do or have an alternative view to their own.

Just as if we were destined to travel to the top of a hill, it would be generally accepted as inevitable that there would be a climb involved in getting there. There may of course be different routes, choices of gradients or even helicopter rides to assist us to ascend. But one way or the other, we know that we will have to have reached the top of the hill itself before we ourselves know and everyone else will fully accept that we have got there.

In terms of our exit from European Union, complete UK Sovereignty is the top of that hill.

Regaining the power for our Westminster Parliament to determine all rules, laws and the obligations under which we live and operate as a Nation must be the red line above which nothing is acceptable in terms of influence from any other European Nation, combination thereof or indeed any foreign power.

To allow this key component of honouring its obligation the British Electorate to appear in some way negotiable – depending upon whether we can secure ‘agreement’ over certain things such as access to the Free Market, the need for a ‘Customs Union’ or the method under which we ‘can’ allow people to move across our Borders – The Government has perhaps unwittingly embarked upon a game of high stakes chess with the sanctity of the democratic relationship between it and the People.

To the Government, to the Opposition and to the other Political Parties with seats in Westminster beyond, it is the agenda of the British people which must be prioritised, first and foremost before any of their own, or indeed the very specific and self-serving interests which all too often support and therefore have influence over them.

All the Government really needs to do is change, make clear and evangelise the core message to one which reflects ‘out means out’ and then the support and understanding of how we can all work with and benefit from Brexit will soon begin to appear.

Whilst the siren calls of public figures such as the Archbishop of Canterbury may suggest that the devil is in the detail, the real challenge for those across Government is to now genuinely commit to the journey. They will then find that the seemingly impossible level of technicalities to consider as part of the Brexit process will be much simpler to decide – even within the significant volumes that they will come.

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