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Splitting the Conservative Party may soon be the only hope for Democracy in the UK

December 14, 2018 Leave a comment

The idea that a new political party will be the cure to all ills in politics is not a new one.

As I have written at length before, the way that the Electorate interacts with British Politics doesn’t lend itself well to what the Establishment portrays as outsiders. Unless that is there is an issue at work over which the Establishment does not have control.

We only need look to the rise and fall of UKIP and it’s inextricable link to the EU Referendum and then Brexit itself to understand what happens when the Establishment has dropped the ball – whether for good or bad.

For decades there has been an embedded form of monopoly in politics held between the Conservative and Labour Parties, with the Liberal Democrats and its previous forms being held up or utilised from their position which is mislabelled as being between.

Breaking open this racket has been all but impossible for what seem to be very simple, but nonetheless seemingly impossible challenges to answer. Many have tried. Some have had significant bank balances to enable them to do so. But even when UKIP gained around 4 Million votes in the last General Election, it was simply the case that there was no new parliamentary real estate for them to be found.

In as succinct terms as possible, there has existed an unwritten and assumed covenant between Electors and the Elected, which has benefitted this triumvirate mode.

The purpose and responsibility of being a representative of the people, both given and received at the ballot box was understood.

A reverence and trust for politicians has been the default standard for all politicians in the psyche of the Electorate.

That is unless there has been some big scandal, usually focused on the actions of an individual politician rather than the Party itself, and once removed, the default position would quickly be resumed.

All, that is, until the straw arrived that broke this heavily burdened camels back. A straw which came in the form of a decision being tossed back over to the Public, after which the Establishment simply assumed the status quo would be returned once more.

The problem with that decision, the decision for the UK to leave the EU had its genesis in the inference that this was a choice too big to be left to the delegated powers of our MP’s alone. For a decision with such implications, the Electorate itself would be trusted with the choice, and once that choice was made, their decision would be delivered and not returned – as that itself would bring into question what the very purpose of the Referendum had actually been for.

Overnight the lines of that once apparently straightforward interaction between the Public and Politicians was overturned. Instead of Voters who are typically Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or of a mind to sit on the borders located in between, there has emerged a new understanding and assessment of our Political Masters which rather than being fluid between 3 or maybe even more possibilities, has now become a binary choice – only presented as being many others and not least of all, the direction of either Leave or of Remain.

But as with everything that relates to the human condition, it is far from being even that simple and the options which relate to those choices are now unlikely to ever be viewed by voters as being anything like the same.

That choice itself when it comes to appointing the representatives of the people, is now between electing Politicians who represent only themselves, and electing Politicians who represent us all.

The dividing line is democracy itself.

Not party lines or any kind of political philosophy.

This is about the choice of our elected representatives being to work unquestionably for others, or working for oneself and the accumulation of position, status and wealth for personal gain plus more.

This dichotomy is not false. Politicians can only have one master. It’s the Electorate or their own ideas, party and dreams.

The insidious nature of this dynamic crosses across all of our Political Parties, but it is within the Conservative Party where the divide between the two principles has now become so very clear, that the change that many of us for so long have been advocating, may have finally found the right place and time to actually gain traction and the process of creating a new electable party which puts voters first in every sense and can command a majority wherever it runs, can finally begin.

No, I don’t for one minute think that the Tory Party will split whilst they seem to be in power, simply because until it is set in stone that the Party can no longer win anything in its current form, there remains a chance, albeit a very slim one, that sanity is restored and comes in the form of those who vote only for themselves recognising the change in the Electoral terrain and what its true purpose is for.

But when the point comes that the Conservative Party in May’s image hits the buffers – which if the current chaos and uncertainty continue it inevitably soon will, there will come a point where all the Conservative MP’s who make up the subsequent wreckage will have the opportunity to return true democracy to the UK once more.

The morning after, it’s the same May as before

December 13, 2018 Leave a comment

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As will be the case with many others who see their politics being most closely aligned to conservative thinking, today, I’m not sure whether to laugh or cry.

Being a lapsed Tory in the most literal sense, there is something profoundly de ja vu about the fact that some five years after my own departure, the destructive blindness caused by nothing more than self-interest and ambition on the part of Conservative Politicians is not only alive, but in breathtakingly rude health.

Watching or rather reading all the glad-handing going on this morning following Theresa May’s Confidence Vote, one can only wonder what it will really take so many of our Conservative MP’s to wake up to the reality that in so far as delivering Brexit is concerned, by endorsing the May tragedy and breathing enough life into it to continue on further, they have removed their ability to assert any control on unfolding events.

They are now fully reliant upon the goodwill and word of Trident Tongued Theresa, who’s version of the truth has now been outed for what it really is, time-after-time.

It is a strange situation indeed, knowing well that there will be many of us outside of the Westminster bubble today, who have realised that Jeremy Corbyn calling a for a no-confidence vote in the Government, might now be the only way that the Tories can hope to eject May before her catastrophic take on a Brexit deal, is likely to be signed, sealed delivered and the UK as we know it has been well and truly done.

I say this, not because I have any desire for life as we know it in the UK to be transformed into Corbyn’s idea of a 21st Century Marxist State. I don’t.

I say this, because it is then and only under those circumstances that the Parliamentary Conservative Party would effectively have a tiny, comparatively minuscule window of opportunity to install a new Prime Minister and prevent either a General Election being called, or perhaps a Corbyn-led rainbow coalition simply being installed.

The stakes would be high. And for the anxious and faint of heart amongst us there is regrettably great risk.

After all, with the default form of many Conservative MP’s being that they have forgotten what being elected as a representative of the people is actually for, there is the inherent risk that even then they would prioritise their own choice for Leader (and the plum job that they no-doubt anticipate would follow) and blow the golden opportunity to hail the lifeboat, simply because their own priorities rise above those of the Electorate once more.

Sadly, sense may have little chance to prevail before Theresa May returns with her ‘re-worked’ Brexit Withdrawal Agreement.

There is an additional risk that if Corbyn does instigate anything that can be called ‘constructive’ with a confidence vote, it will come too soon for the Tory Remainers to have their repetitive stress injuries from May’s dishonesty internally diagnosed, and probably not before every other trick in the Europhile playbook has again been rolled out in order to thwart democracy yet again.

I’ve written about all of this lots in recent days and weeks and I know that I am a very long way from being a lonely voice.

As voters, we pass responsibility for our communal choices to the people who are elected to be responsible for all of us and not only to themselves.

We should all be able to expect a lot more from Conservative Politicians and its time that they realised that every little thing they do with the responsibility of the Office which has been temporarily passed to them has the potential to impact the lives of everyone – whether that consequence should ultimately turn out to be good or bad.

So if a benevolent santa with a red tie and a cagoule should come calling on the Tories this festive season, please remember that its time to forget who’s naughty and who’s nice and start getting real about what treat comes after May.

image thanks to unknown

 

 

Keeping May in power today will soon prove itself the much harder result for the Prime Minister, The Conservative Party and the Country itself

December 12, 2018 1 comment

That anyone in Westminster could have really felt surprised that the magic 48 was reached yesterday is actually the surprise itself.

After days and weeks of bluster about May’s welched Brexit deal being the only one available, the Prime Minister pulls the whole thing with just a few hours to spare, heads off to get a steer from Europe and whilst she’s on the plane, her Euro-chums come out to help her by making clear that there will be absolutely nothing more forthcoming.

Talk is very cheap, as the Prime Minister of 29 months quickly found out. But when you are playing a game that will result in the sovereignty of an entire Nation being needlessly flushed away in perpetuity, just because of some suicidal vanity project, anyone with a sense of any logic and reason must conclude that this is one dog that has definitely had its day.

Being out of the EU will be far better for the people and businesses of this Country.

We will soon resume our place in the world with confidence, once we have departed from the constrictions of this Foreign Power that employs a modus operandi that has always been based on doing the UK down.

That we have had so many Prime Ministers who on assuming Office have been slave to the idea that they could win against the power of the EU by being within it says much about the ignorance and lack of understanding that exists within our political culture.

Without exception, even Margaret Thatcher had a rude awakening to the cold, hard truth that the EU is an out-of-control entity that is on a continual power grab.

Each and every time it is successful, it simply moves the goalposts as it ties every Member State into surrendering more, usually on behalf of its unknowing people.

Theresa May has just played straight into their hands.

Instead of responding impartially to the Instruction of the British People, the Prime Minster has either deliberately or through sheer incompetence created a situation where even democratically elected MP’s are so fearful of what the mess she has made is now creating and will become, that they are seriously contemplating giving up the UK’s ability to be independent to a Foreign Power – and along with a whole lot more besides.

May knows that there is no strength in her position. And by standing at the lectern outside No.10 this morning and stating that the only step that a new PM could take would be to beg for an extension of Article 50, or just rescind the whole Brexit process in full, she has given the lie to the suggestion that her trip around Europe to see other Leaders would have yielded anything meaningful before she returns her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement to the mercy of this rabbit-trapped-in-the-headlights-Commons once more.

All credibility in No.10 has now left the building. What Conservatve MP’s will commit the whole Country to later today, if they fail to accept the invitation to remover her, will be a world of pain which is of their own making.

There are a number of ways that keeping May in power could unfold.

Firstly, there remains a serious risk that if May wins the Confidence Vote, she will string the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement issue out, until fear itself is used to push through the result that would then keep her in No.10.

Make no mistake, in these circumstances the EU would be very happy about everything they are about to be gifted by the unwitting, unled UK. For them May’s success will be a year of Christmases despite everything we are being publicly told. And be under no illusion about the risk of this happening, as the terror of the misnamed ‘no deal Brexit’ plays heavily upon the emotions of the unobjective Members in Parliament and too many of them see safety and a misplaced trust in the mythical changelessness of Remain.

There will be no glory for this option for the Conservatives who went with the current PM. You can rest assured that the poison of this treachery made manifest by May would very quickly rub off on many more of the Parliamentary Party with any chance of Conservatives forming a future majority government very quickly evaporating away.

As I write, the more likely result of May’s surety in Office is that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement, now lacking all credibility and there clearly being no scope to change it in any meaningful way, will fall when it finally comes to a vote.

At that point, just a few days or weeks into the new Year, we will then – at the cost of the Corbyn-led Labour Government that will surely follow, then and only then see the end of Theresa May.

Yes, May might resign following a success in a Confidence Vote, before being forced to go to the Country. But on the basis of her track record alone, if she will not resign right now today and make way, faced with a General Election in 2019, she will almost certainly do the same.

The Conservative Party will not win power again under the leadership of the current Prime Minister.

The benefit of bringing her term in No.10 to its conclusion today is that there will at least be time to prepare and publicise a new and much improved narrative before what now increasingly looks like a General Election one way or the other in 2019 is called and the campaign gets under way.

Wouldn’t it be better to have a chance of winning when it does?

Update – 1.21pm:

Shortly after first publishing this Blog today, news has began to come out that Theresa May is to announce that she will stand down before the next General Election. All I can add to this is that her deal is already dead and by continuing her Premiership, the promise of standing down before a General Election would only be likely to set up another leader to lose, whilst almost guaranteeing May’s giveaway of the UK. There is a growing chance that there will be a General Election in 2019 and the issue today is whether the Tories will approach it in a controlled way, or give in to the ‘easy’ alternative which will be more chaos, with the only beneficiary being Theresa May.

image thanks to unknown

Is this a Conservative Party or the Conservatives parting?

December 7, 2018 Leave a comment

If this was a perfect world, we wouldn’t need political parties. In fact, we wouldn’t need politics at all. Things would just get done without reference to anyone.

But we don’t exist in a perfect world, and after recognising that there is such a thing as mutually shared interests between us all, democracy, facilitated by the necessary evil which political parties (or groups of people working together) are, when it comes to getting things done on behalf of us all, is pretty much the next best thing.

At some point however, the working framework which political parties were only ever supposed to provide, got exchanged for something perceived as being bigger than that laudable purpose itself. Political Parties are now all about the Party itself, and they have forgotten one very big and fundamental thing.

Political Parties are not and never will be more important than the People that their elected members represent.

A vicious circle exists where we cannot get sufficient numbers of good people into Parliament because Political Parties work coercively to ensure that almost all of their elected members are on message, and because that message is simply wrong, it ensures that the Parties keep on recruiting the same kind of people in the very same image.

Whilst this problem is increasingly evident within all the established political parties, it is today the Conservative Party where this malaise is so clearly evident.

It is an example of a Party where blind ambition and nothing else has delivered us a Prime Minister who is out of touch with the People. She is so convinced of her own infallibility, that she is using the Party apparatus to try and force Members to agree she is doing the right thing.

Conservatism is not synonymous with what the Conservative Party is now doing.

The Conservative Party has lost its way under this and past leadership. It is blinded by the arrogance of power and many years of believing the self-prorogated myth that it is the ‘natural party of government’. Many Conservative politicians now carry an obtuse sense of entitlement and the belief that they possess a magic formula which means any decision they make will always be accepted by the People as being correct.

Pride comes before a fall.

In its current form and with the words being spoken and undemocratic action being taken by so many of its prominent Politicians, the Conservative Party’s days are very much numbered.

This itself is perhaps the biggest shame of all. Because out of all the Political Parties capable of being in Government with the peculiartities of our Electoral System as they are, it is only from the basis of Conservatism that Policies be delivered which will really be beneficial to and considerate of the needs of all.

May’s abuse of the Party apparatus and their combined attempt to force Local Conservative Associations to herd MP’s into the correct Voting Lobby over her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement now demonstrates how out of touch CCHQ itself is with its own people on the ground.

Without radical change, the Conservative Party no longer has the promise of a shared ideology with its own paid-up supporters, let alone the grassroots conservative-leaning voters who will be essential going forward if they are now to secure seats or victory in any campaign.

When the change comes in No.10, as it now surely must, the Conservative Party must embark immediately upon a process of comprehensive change taht not only supports the structure of a Party capable of winning terms of majority government. But actively engages, encourages and takes with it not only its local association network, but individual members and non paid-up supporters too.

If it doesn’t, the Conservative Party itself as a credible party in either power or opposition is almost certainly doomed.

 

Image thanks to clipartxtras.com

Keeping it real has become the key ingredient of electoral success and Capitalism vs Socialism is a battle which no longer has meaning

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If you keep an eye on enough of the different news and commentary outlets, it will have been easy to pick up that one of the latest themes amongst those supporting the Government and Conservative Party, is to talk up the righteousness and benefits of Capitalism in comparison to the Socialist agenda of the Labour Party and the wider ‘progressive’ left, which we can be assured will be making the same arguments somewhere completely in reverse.

The backdrop of a General Election Result which has wrecked the confidence of a Party that thought it was safely assured of probably more than a decade in power has indeed set many injured cats amongst the electoral pigeons. On the other hand, it has also elevated the levels of chutzpah employed across the Left to a level which simply defies the true dynamic of their electoral return, in a race decided by factors which sit way beyond the control or influence of either of the political ideologies that either the Tories or Labour would like us to believe they pin their hats on.

What people were quietly thinking to themselves as they entered the Polling Booths across the UK on the 8th of June will long be debated. But you can rest assured that for most it will not have been either the manifestation of Marxist policies or the benefits from implementing the works of Hayek or Freidman.

No. The ideas that will have meant most to those voters who really made the difference to the fortunes of Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn will have been far more aligned with imagining the difference that one Party in power vs the other could make in Pounds and Pence to them on an individual level, rather than upon some high powered economic idea which all of the political parties seem destined to believe will get us all ‘there’.

Whilst it would be a lot less painful to be able to confine these ‘isms’ to being no more than the ideological myths that they perhaps should be – being the ideas and musings of a few ‘great thinkers’ that they actually are, the horrid reality is that the Twentieth Century saw misguided politicians and activists implement nearly all, with benefits to all but the relative few being very hard to find, whether those concerned have become substantially wealthy or alternatively live the life of a despot or their ‘chosen few’ within non-democratic regimes like North Korea as a result.

In itself, the travesty of one set of politicians romanticising over socialism when it has been tried, tested and demonstrated to be the flawed ideal for any wider population that it actually is, whilst another set continue to believe that markets ruled by money will consciously cater for every not-for-profit need of the wider population upon which its rapidly growing financial wealth is almost certainly now farmed, is simply too significant an injustice to put into words.

Yet the bright young things, the think tanks and the party leaderships of all political persuasions remain fixated on the idea that clever, confusing and complicated ideas can always win, never accounting for the reality that ideas are themselves developed on perspectives, which when created looking upon a destination from the benefit of distance are never the same once we have completed the journey to get there.

Socialism, Capitalism and the forms in which they are delivered are all based upon subjective but nonetheless real truths. Truths which are themselves prerequisite in order for any follower or exponent to believe in or more likely identify with in terms of their own life experience, in order for an ‘ism’ to become a ‘movement’ of any kind.

But these specific or myopic truths are far from all encompassing. They do not make allowance for the nuances of change and they certainly do not make account for the rules of (mis)interpretation, which for the roll out of any idea through the process of transformation to their practical form or policy, present a very real and all too often realised form of serious danger.

In uncertain times like those in which we live, the smallest self-serving truth shared between many through the process of group-think can be enough to eclipse the many others which should for us all have far more meaning, and it is here that any ideological fights between right, left and anywhere in-between should really be seen in their true perspective as the journey and outcome that they ultimately are and guarantee to be.

Socialism can only succeed by forcing the masses to behave as if they are all the same, whilst Capitalism relies on allowing the few to believe that they are fundamentally different.

Objectively, neither philosophy or pathway is genuinely truthful and both are for those ‘selling’ them as self-serving in purpose as the other.

The void created by the long absence of original thought in British politics over a number of decades and through Governments constituted by politicians of all sides does not need to be filled by ideas drawn from text books and the bookshelves of old.

Yes, history needs to be fully regarded for ALL of the lessons that it can teach us, and amongst this, the thoughts of the economic ‘giants’ should be gleaned for the value from each and every perspective, whilst we maintain a healthy regard for the fact that in the case of all these widely lauded ideas, individual perspective is exactly what they are.

What all of the political parties can no longer escape – should they genuinely wish to ensure their long-term-electability, is that the war of ideologies has long since been lost. The electorate may indulge ideas when to them there is no possibility of personal cost, but will always look for the policies which are going to make a positive impact upon their own experience of life in the ‘right now’.

Whether it was the European Referendum or the General Election in June of this year, ‘keeping it real’ – whether policy is perceived to be good or bad – has become the key ingredient of contemporary electoral success.

Capitalism can only work for all if it becomes responsible and reflective of consequence, whilst the Socialist ideas which are genuinely on the side of right can only do real good for all if there is an acceptance that idealism has to be kept in practical check and be considerate with the ideas, hopes and fears of each and every individual too.

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