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Posts Tagged ‘Conservative Party’

Q: Why are the Tories so far ahead in the Polls? A: Because there is no political alternative to what we have already got (SPOILER – THEY ARE ALL THE SAME!)

Yes, scoff or blow a raspberry if you like. Think to yourself ‘There is Labour’, ‘There are the Liberal Democrats’, ‘What about Reform UK – or whatever that Laurence Fox guy was doing?’ – And yes, I can assure you that there will be plenty more too.

But ask yourself this: What are any of these political parties and the people who speak on behalf of them doing differently to what we see in the behaviour of the politicians that we have in Government running the Country today? What can you remember seeing from them at any time before?

If your response to this focuses only on Covid. Lockdowns, Social Distancing or something involving the past 17 months, I have to suggest that you are probably not thinking all of this through. Certainly not to the point where you can begin to start using your anger, frustration and the energy to do something positive that might lead to change and make all the problems that Boris & Co are creating go away.

It doesn’t matter what political party you support right now or what political parties you might have supported in the past. There is a common theme running like a fat vein through them all. At their worst lies unbridled ambition and blind self-interest, and at best is a lack of self-awareness and understanding of the issues facing just about everyone else – which for politicians should be the only common cause.

For many who are waking up to the evolving crisis of democracy and tyrannical leadership that we have now found ourselves facing, there were no recognisable problems with British Politics before the pandemic began. But others have been watching this unfold for years, if not decades. A slow, malignant rot set in to our political system leaving political parties run purely for themselves and for their own benefit, recruiting multiple generations of politicians who do nothing that doesn’t prioritise their party, their own friends and themselves above all else.

Because this process has been underway for so long, we now have MPs, Councillors and Politicians of all kinds right from the bottom to the top of the tiers of government, who say yes to everything they are directed to by their parties, just to get known publicly, gain power and ultimately get to the top.

They are not leaders. All of our recent Prime Ministers have reached the top job in the same way. They have only been unscathed before now, because it was not until the unscripted result of the Brexit Referendum landed in 2016, that events stopped unfolding for them in a very helpful and otherwise publicly misleading way.

To be fair to David Cameron, it looks like once the result was in, he knew immediately that he was out of his depth and simply didn’t have the tools to maintain the charade any longer. Theresa May thought it looked as easy to run the Country from No10 as all other MPs do, but quickly fell fowl of the complexities of dealing with the nebulous and maleficent EU and its previous forms as all PMs after Churchill have done so too – the difference being that she did so after being instructed to leave, rather than having an unhealthy desire and the ability to do whatever possible to get us further in. Boris ‘gift’ – if we can call it that, is that he simply doesn’t give a shit about anyone else or what anyone thinks, so when it came to winning the 2019 General Election, he was more than happy to do whatever the people around him told him to do to win. The wheels fell off for this particular brand of allowing a Country to run itself when the Covid Pandemic came romping in.

When being in politics and gaining power at any cost is your only motivation from a ‘career’ perspective, or like Boris – a plan from a very early age, you simply do not have the right motivation to represent others. You will not willingly expose yourself to the channels, journeys and pathways of experience that those who get into politics with the sole motive of representing others will have genuinely obtained.

For those we elect to serve us, such experience is the basis of understanding how real life works and what the experience of life means to others, how life is lived and how decisions in government will always have consequences for everyone else. It is the lifeblood of effective representative government, and when the representatives we elect don’t have that life experience, then the consequences of that inadequacy are very serious for us all.

Covid tipped a runaway train off the tracks. All of the downsides of having the wrong people running the Country have now come into a very explosive public view.

But people – and by people I mean the majority of us who vote – are not the simpletons and village idiots that those now obsessed with keeping their power at any cost would like to believe.

Yes, there are many who do not, or cannot elucidate their feelings or challenge the people who lead us. But that does not mean they do not think for themselves or that they do not possess that all-important gut-feeling and the instinct that none of us trust nearly enough. Right now, it is telling a great many of us that everything we are now seeing and experiencing from Government in this Country is completely wrong.

No matter what MPs, Ministers, the Opposition Leader and all the others with a mainstream platform to talk about politics say, people know that there is no longer a genuine difference between any of the politicians we have. So, whatever way you vote, the results and what happens next will ultimately go the same way.

Yes, there are by-election blips. But don’t discount the ability of your fellow countrymen to get up, go out and visit the ballot box and use that very small moment of power they still have to give contemptuous politicians and those who aspire to control us a short, sharp message bloody nose, underlining how we feel about what they do.

There would be no alternative on the ballot papers to what we have already got running the Country if we were to have a general election today.

Whilst I may appear to have overlooked the Reclaims and the Reforms whose leaders will quickly tell you that they will be there whenever an Election is called, the reality is that these are political vehicles which are failing to connect with anywhere near enough people in the meaningful way that an alternative will need to, if it is to win and gain power and then stop and address the problems that decades of the wrong people being in power in this Country have caused.

Talking about and considering Elections right now is a lot more important than many people would like to think.

With the 80-seat majority that the Conservative Party has got right now, we are pretty much stuck with them doing whatever they want to. Without beating them at the next General Election, there is unlikely to be any other way to remove and replace them in a way that will work out well for us all.

We must create, build and develop an alternative political movement that reaches across and addresses all of the issues now, so that it is ready, connected and has meaning for everyone whenever the next General Election is called.

We have to work together to do this. We must be the alternative. We have to step up to the next level and work strategically to overcome the problems that Johnson and the inaction of all MPs has created.

There simply is no other way.

Johnsons ‘Conservatives’ can use Thatcher memes as much as they like. There is a BIG difference between doing what is right for us all and doing what is right just for them

August 17, 2020 Leave a comment

The Conservative Party is in the shit. Everyone knows it. Even Tory MPs themselves. One even accused the Government of ‘wanking into the void’ this past weekend.

So, what do Conservatives do when they need to look good at a time when they are looking really bad? They roll out memes of past Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher talking about doing what’s ‘right’.

The first thing that should be cleared up before I get started is that the Conservative Party of Maggie Thatcher’s day was very different to the one that we have now. In comparison, the Conservative Party of the Cameron, May and Johnson epoch isn’t conservative at all.

As far as doing what’s right is concerned, even the great Lady herself failed to be right in the right way at least some of the time. But it is because she did have many of the principles of leadership right that the things she didn’t get ‘right’ turned out to be so wrong in the years that followed her premiership.

Decades of the wrong people being in politics for what they see as the right reasons have seen public policy across the UK going the wrong way for a very long time.

Sooner or later this political class were going to be found out. And whilst Brexit lifted the stone and shone a bright light on everything that is wrong with the system at Westminster, it was the Coronavirus Pandemic that has really exposed to the view of the world how poor our politicians really are.

People who are not real leaders of people emulate the titans of history that they and others look up to and are inspired by, in some bizarre attempt to reach out and convince the people that they are ‘just like them’.

Boris has been trying to spin this yarn throughout his public life. Now this so-called ‘Conservative’ non-government and those who support it are going through the sickening process of reprising our last great Prime Minister in the hope that it will transform the public opinion of what they do.

If this Government had been at least attempting to do what is genuinely right, the situation that the UK now faces could be a very different one indeed.

To be fair to all of the politicians who hold responsibility for creating the mess that we face, they probably did think they were doing what’s right. But the question of what’s right at the moment of any decisions can only depend upon what you genuinely believe that doing ‘what’s right’ is.

One of the great questions of human psychology is ‘Can anyone be fully altruistic?’. In the answer lies a significant clue to how we identify the people who should be leading this Country. It is only those who are committed to the principle that the answer is yes and are then prepared to take every step in public office to create solutions and the public frameworks, systems and processes to help people experience that this is right, that we will know the right decisions are genuinely going to always be made.

Generally speaking, there are three versions of doing what’s right. 1.) Doing what’s right for me. 2.) Doing what’s right for you. 3.) Doing what’s right for us all.

  1. Doing what’s right for us all: This is the real deal – or what it should be. Decisions are made with the consequences and the impacts on what the decision will touch – however many steps removed that impact might be. By far the most difficult because it requires the decision maker not only to be conscious of the implications of what they are doing whether they may seem disadvantageous for some, but also requires that they act upon it anyway. This is the real ‘bigger picture’ stuff that academia and speakers pay lip service but rarely does. At its extremes, this is Churchill destroying the French Fleet at Mers-el-Kebir or an MP employing an external applicant for a role a family member has applied for because they have the experience, track record and skills.
  2. Doing what’s right for you: This is the one where influence comes to bear. The one where lobbyists, well known organisations, media moguls, celebrities, corporate leaders and a range of bullies are able to exert undue pressure on weak minded politicians to get what they want because its good for them and/or whoever they represent or who follows them. It happens in the UK a lot more than it should (watch the documentary 3 part series on BBC iPlayer ‘The Rise of The Murdoch Dynsasty’ to see how this kind of thing can work}. Many don’t realise that doing what’s right ‘for you’, is actually the same as doing what’s right for me, because ultimately, such a choice is always made on the basis of what it will do for or how it will reflect on the decision maker.
  3. Doing what’s right for me: Sadly, this is the default setting of ‘doing what’s right’ for politicians and the leaders who populate the Establishment today. Its about how every situation will impact ‘me’ on a personal, financial, career or threat level. Actually, how the default position of human thinking works, the whole thing hinges on the natural propensity to be driven by fear in every respect at some level, usually without even being unaware that we are even doing it. For politicians this manifests itself most evidently today in their obsession in doing everything with an eye on the next election and nothing else. People who lack self-awareness to this degree should never be trusted with public office and we are now living and experiencing the consequences of politicians who simply have no idea or appreciation of life experience beyond their own.

Yes, the fact that I am writing a blog requires that I keep these descriptions succinct. But I’m sure you will get the idea.

Whilst many are obsessed with a perceived need for there always to be a plan or strategy in place before anything in the public sphere can be done, the reality of doing so usually means that there is an agenda at work which is based on the decision makers ‘need’ to do what’s right for you and/or for me. It’s all too often where everything begins to go wrong.

Some also fall into the trap of believing that compromise is always necessary in decision making. But this is at best a myth and an outright lie at worst.

If decisions are made on the basis of what is right for all by those we have elected to take them, they never have to compromise unless they want to (to do what’s right for me or you), and the perceived compromise only comes in the form of the acceptance of the change that is necessary when someone who has previously benefitted from decisions being made that were only right for them has to accept that any ‘loss’ the correct approach brings to them when taken for all is in fact no loss for them at all.

Regrettably, the Party now masquerading as a conservative Government simply isn’t capable of doing what is right for anyone other than themselves. This was obvious to those with eyes to see long before the Coronavirus Pandemic began and is now becoming evident to more and more normal people as every day of this travesty and catastrophic response of the Johnson Government goes by.

In the coming months it will become essential for us all to have the right people in place. People who have the level of awareness necessary to face the gravity of the situation that the stupid politicians we have today created as they made decision after decision that was only right for themselves.

Our new leaders must reliably and repeatedly take the right decisions at the moment they are required to do whatever is necessary – and right for us all – to get the turnaround, the reset and the realisation of a great new future emerging out this neglectful darkness done.

Nobody with any sense said these decisions would ever be easy – that’s why we elect people so that making big decisions that affect us all is not something that we all have to do. It is nonetheless essential that doing what’s right for us all is the default principle that guides our leaders in what to do.

Still not voting…

November 27, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019

At the beginning of the Month, I wrote ‘No, I will not vote in an Election where there isn’t an option for change. Why would I?

With three weeks gone and two more to go until the Election on Thursday 12th December, I have to say that I feel very much the same.

It’s not that there hasn’t been any change. There has.

But the change that has happened has been peripheral or aesthetic at best.

The good that might come from the adjustments within the political landscape that have taken place within this Campaign will not have come about not by design or intention, but rather by default.

With 15 days to go, the biggest issue on everyone’s mind today, is the Interview that Jeremy Corbyn gave to Andrew Neil last night. It followed a day where Labour’s choreographed plan for a day focused on their ‘ambitious Race and Faith Manifesto’ was utterly destroyed by the article written by the Chief Rabbi Ephraim Mirvis and published in yesterday’s Times, explaining exactly why people should redirect their vote.

The Interview itself simply evolved a terrible day into a complete nightmare for the Labour Leader as he effectively refused to apologise for the anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and what the Party has done in response.

The Tories are riding high. And with the latest polls now suggesting that the gap between the Conservatives and Labour is closing, the fall out from this debacle is almost certain to ensure that the polling will quickly start to go the other way.

Or at least that is until Boris sits in front of AF Neil himself whenever that might be agreed and then be.

The big problem is that the Conservatives are riding a wave that doesn’t have defining Public Policy as its root cause.

Labour’s downward trajectory and overkill with its great electoral giveaway of 2019 aside, the biggest boon to Boris Johnson’s position has been the decision from Nigel Farage to remove so many of the Brexit Party’s Candidates from competing against Tory Candidates in Seats where the Conservatives won in the 2017 Campaign.

On the face of it, Farage did this to avoid the risk of Jeremy Corbyn walking into No10.

Yet his hybrid approach of standing Brexit Party Candidates pretty much everywhere else does have the distinctive whiff of the whole effort the Brexit Party is making being not about Brexit itself, but about gaining at least a foothold of control.

The lie itself is given by Farage’s suggestion during the Press Conference at the time that Boris had done enough with the pledges he had made about Brexit in the video that had been released the day before.

To some, it will come as little surprise that recent days have brought stories to the fore, that Farage has no plans to go anywhere. That his next mission will be to rebrand the Brexit Party and transform it into a political vehicle that will drive political reform.

The problem for Farage with this is that apart from the reality he has to now face that as a figurehead and leader he is no longer likely to be trusted, any Party that can be identified as being about nothing else other than Leaving the EU itself is likely to be as divisive as Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats have been by rejecting the need to find a pathway that will bring all sides together and committing themselves to cancel Brexit and promise that under their influence the UK will categorically Remain.

To its credit, the Brexit Party has demonstrated that it is possible to bring people, politicians and pubic figures from all political backgrounds together to work as one.

But the ‘Contract’ that they have published instead of a manifesto for this General Election tells us that the leadership of the Party is still thinking about politics in exactly the same way as the leadership of all of the other Political Parties who have contributed to the political crisis that we are experiencing and not least of all the Brexit Divide.

We now look two weeks ahead to an Election Result where Boris is still likely one-way-or-another to be our PM.

But being PM with a majority that is likely to lead to a clean, no deal Brexit by default within 12 months is a lot different to the situation that Boris will face if he is returned as Prime Minister with similar numbers of MPs in Parliament to what we have experienced since 2017 – where the majority present is most likely to still be pushing for further delays, obfuscation and what they will only accept as being a very open form of Remain.

The chaos that follows any of the scenarios that appear to be likely and unfolding from this vantage point in time will not improve things. It is likely to only make things a whole lot worse.

Whilst I and many others would like to see reason for hope that any of the Political Parties we have today and running in this Election could become the catalyst for wide-ranging change, once we have brought everyone back together again by really getting Brexit done, I’m afraid that paying lip service to the change that the UK desperately now needs simply isn’t enough for me to vote for any Candidate or Political Party that is involved.

Want to understand Farage’s position? Read Boris’ Agreement and consider all of it in its fullest context: It’s Remain

November 2, 2019 Leave a comment

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‘Let’s get Brexit done’ is the powerful call to action that Boris has used to label his deal with the EU. We should perhaps open it and see what’s really inside

Watching the reaction to Nigel Farage laying out his stall for an Electoral Pact with the Conservatives should be raising question marks for all Leave supporters at the very least.

Instead, the knee-jerk reaction has been to accuse the Brexit Party Leader of trying to wreck Brexit. The inherent suggestion being that he is now the best thing that ever happened for those who want to Remain.

Regrettably, Boris has succeeded where May failed.

The Prime Minister has come back from the EU with a highly dubious Agreement just the same.

The difference is that Boris has convinced the majority of the Conservative Party, along with many other Leavers. that his policy is genuinely to Leave the EU.

Regrettably, the reality is that the endgame and outcome of Boris deal is for the UK to Remain.

Love him or hate him, Nigel Farage is not new to this game. He is probably one of very few politicians who have read the new document fully and considered it completely in context. He will be only too well aware of the consequences that signing and implementing this Agreement will have in a range of policy areas – not least of all the continuance of the Union itself – which will be all but broken where Northern Ireland is concerned. The question over their departure not being an if, but a clear when – IF Boris succeeds in getting the implementation of his current plan through.

Sadly, I’m not convinced that Boris even knows or for that matter fully understands the implications of the policy that he is pursuing.

But the reality for all of us and for this Country as a whole, it that Boris’ deal is a sell out. And as the Prime Minister now has a clear choice to pursue a proper Brexit as part of his General Election Campaign – the situation for the UK couldn’t actually be a lot worse.

Easy as it may seem to cast Farage as the bad guy or the new pantomime villain of Brexit right now, the cold hard reality is he is the only cross-UK political leader in the Country today who is not not advocating a form of Remain.

The situation we are in has troubling echos the pre-Cameron EU Membership era.

The period of many years when the Establishment successfully convinced the majority of People that what we had with the EU was good when it was in fact very bad.

No irony should be spared on us that it was a time that was notorious for MPs and the people with power having no idea what was actually going on.

When we began to wake up to what our MPs were and were not doing in our name, Brexit was the result.

For much of that time, what governments did was conducted with little or no scrutiny from outside (or within). It was a time we still revered and trusted what politicians did. It’s the time when our respect and confidence in the system really began being abused.

So after all they have done. After the mess they have created. And after our Vote for Brexit – against the Establishment plan was won, we should not fall into the trap of being blindsided by the persuasive and charismatic caricature of everything that is wrong with British Politics. Boris is just the same.

He is selling a tin with ‘let’s get Brexit done’ written seductively on the label, whilst the contents are very different inside.

Yes we are tired. Yes we are angry. Yes we want this whole saga to be over so we can have what feels like normal life in this Country resume once more.

But we should stop for a moment and remember the only thing that has actually changed here are the words coming out of Westminster.

These are exactly the same people who have been in charge all along. They and their kind caused all the problems before.

It is in their interests, not yours, to have everyone believe that Boris is right and Nigel Farage has now got it all wrong.

 

image thanks to unknown

If Boris wants a legacy as a stand-out leader, now is the time to accept he cannot deliver a real Brexit alone

November 1, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019dNigel Farage has publicly made his offer of an Electoral Pact with Boris Johnson’s Conservatives this morning, outlining an approach that makes all too clear the danger that now looms in December’s General Election from a split Leave Vote.

Sadly, many Conservatives have bought into the propaganda that Boris’ deal is actually Brexit in the most basic sense. That being the UK can walk away from the arrangement at any time without any consequence for the Union or any part of it being involved, or there being any form of political trade off or compromise required from people who will not do the right thing.

To be clear, they, we, the UK cannot walk away trouble-free from Boris deal at any time – once it is signed.

As such, Boris’ deal remains as good only as Theresa May’s. It is Brexit in name only.

The value in Boris’ deal – if there was any – was that because it is technically Remain, it won support in the Commons.

In this context alone, look at the re-admittance of the hard-Remain contingent on the Tory  benches in Parliament to calculate what Boris’ deal actually is.

But things have moved on. For better or worse, Boris now has a General Election at his feet and he is no longer obliged to continue pushing a deal of any kind.

This is the moment when he has the opportunity to create the clear blue water between the Conservatives and the other Parties in Parliament that he has always wanted.

But the political realignment that is underway in this Country also dictates that the way for the Conservatives to achieve this is not now and never will be in any way the same.

To be the leader and have the legacy of the leader that Boris wants to be and believe that he is, he now has two weeks to understand, accept and embrace the reality that to be that Prime Minister he has no choice but to lead in a very different way.

If the Brexit Party field Candidates in every Constituency – as Farage has confirmed this morning, the chances are that the Leave Vote will be split right across the Country and the very best that Boris can hope for will be the same as 2017 when the Conservatives were led by Mrs May.

If Boris wants to be remembered as the PM who delivered Brexit, he now has to work with others and lead a group who share the core objective of a clean, no-deal Brexit – so that the UK has complete control over everything that follows afterwards and there is no more EU-driven chicanery involved.

The majority that Boris wants in order to achieve things simply will not come from the Conservatives continuing to go it alone.

The British People want change desperately and the best way to begin that change is to change the way that this General Election is going to be done.

Please Boris, focus on the end result so that we all win. Don’t focus on winning over the means of getting there and end up with us all experiencing a massive loss.

 

 

Events this week have ensured Boris will only win the General Election on a ‘no deal’ ticket. Conservative MPs who believe otherwise should step aside

October 9, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019Good leaders cannot be all things to all people. In fact, the best leaders don’t even try.

Boris enters a danger zone every time he flirts with the concept of One Nation Conservatism. But has found a winning formula with ‘lets get Brexit done’.

It is on the basis of focusing purely on getting Brexit done and making it stick, that for the Conservatives – in all likelihood with the help of Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party – the upcoming General Election will be won.

After more than three years of this woeful Brexit process and in particular the events that have transpired this week, it should be realistic for voters in this Country to be able to expect that MPs on all sides of Parliament would now accept that there were only two choices when the question of Leaving the EU was put to the People. And that when the People were asked about our future relationship, the People Voted to Leave.

Strange as it might therefore seem, for a number of Conservative MPs this certainly isn’t a view that they share with the Voting Public, and they are apparently up in arms about the prospect of a Conservative General Election Manifesto that is based on a clean or purist ‘no deal’ Brexit alone.

There is not, will not be and never has been a halfway house or middle way with Brexit.

This truth has been confirmed and clarified by Angela Merkel this week.

For any MP to stand against the will of the majority of the People on the basis that they personally want to Remain, when it is now clear that the only way the UK can actually Leave the EU is to do so cleanly without a so-called ‘deal’ is not only undemocratic. It is disingenuous in the extreme.

The only way that the Conservative Party can now survive the process of destruction that is underway within our political system, is to become the Party that will deliver that clinical form of Brexit and be open to the opportunities for meaningful reform that will come next, based upon moving on determinedly from the old politics and broken ideologies that serve political parties, but not the People anymore.

To achieve this, Boris, his Party and his MPs will have to look favourably upon help from the Brexit Party and shed any Conservative Candidate – whether a current MP or other – who believes that Brexit can be delivered without the complete separation of the UK from the EU, and therefore continuing to play a three-year-plus-and-counting game of pin the tail on the donkey somewhere in between.

People are not only fed up with but completely bewildered by the behaviour of our MPs, their disregard for democracy and their continuing attempts to overturn Brexit.

We will all be grateful for true leadership that takes us out of the EU and recognises that Brexit is just the doorway to where real and meaningful reform of government and the political system in this Country begins.

There is no place for MPs and politicians in the UK’s future who cannot move on and accept that it’s time to leave the selfishness and self-serving behaviour of the old politics behind.

 

Has Boris blown Brexit?

September 11, 2019 Leave a comment

Politics is no longer just broken. Our current Parliament is in the process of crushing democracy into dust as well – and is attempting to break our system of law and the constitution itself as they do.

What is most difficult for the real people outside of Westminster to fathom, is whether this treacherous rump of MPs is really so detached from reality that they believe they can do whatever they want, tell the people that they are doing the right thing, and they will then be believed and that we will ultimately thank them for taking things their own way.

It certainly looks that way. The problem for MPs is that over three years of blatant lies, obfuscation and outright contempt for the electorate, completely in the open and plain for all to see, has made even the most disenfranchised members of the UK electorate aware of how things are now so very wrong and how they actually should be.

Regrettably for Boris, his options and therefore chance to get his legacy as prime minister right have been all-too-predictably slim. And with his exquisite choice of appointing Dominic Cummings as his principal advisor and at the same time tying himself to the flawed concept of One Nation Conservatism as the only way to deliver Brexit, he is now on the cliff edge of being the Prime Minister that consigned Brexit – and our democracy – to the bin.

His decision to rebuff Nigel Farage’s offer of an electoral pact will surely come back to haunt him – and all of us. Not just because he has in all likelihood just removed any chance of a ‘no deal’ Brexit for the foreseeable future, but because he is likely to have just made the decision that could lead to a General Election this Autumn in which a Marxist – by default – will win.

Whilst Boris might well find the prospect of working with the Brexit Party unpalatable, the truth is that it is only by working with them that the Conservative Party can now precipitate a General Election and win.

People can see what the collective Opposition in Parliament are doing. And the deadline of Halloween that Boris has committed to will not be a problem for him if the delay is out of his hands. But a purely Conservative victory – based on his now clear commitment to the old politics which is One Nation Conservatism – is not an outcome that is within his grasp.

The focus now must be delivering Brexit and nothing more. There is nothing else that any MP has the power to control. And it is only the delivery of a proper, guaranteed no-deal, no-ties, no EU-rule-sharing Brexit that will give the UK the positive future – that works for all of us – that the majority of the British Public now want to be assured.

The implications of the poor choices that Boris now appears to be making could quickly prove to be disastrous for us all.

Whilst hard, late and a minefield in every form, the pathway from the 23rd of July still allowed for Boris to get Brexit right. He just needed to be a leader and do what was necessary – and right.

Unfortunately it now appears that the honeymoon has quickly proven itself to be over. And we must ask if Boris has blown Brexit, and with it a peaceful and fruitful future for us all?

Brexit and democracy will be lost for us all if Boris and Farage continue trying to shape it in their own image

September 5, 2019 Leave a comment

This General Election will be the endorsement of the People for our departure from the EU in everything but name. That is unless the Politicians involved continue to put their own priorities and self interest before it.

All of the political parties and their leaders know that what happens when the people next has a vote will reflect upon what they have been doing since the European Referendum Vote.

The People want to Leave the EU – despite everything that the media and the opinionati tells us – and this Parliament is currently hellbent on doing everything it can to thwart democracy and remove the apparatus that will enable a democratic government to enact the People’s choice to Leave.

They can be stopped. They should be stopped. They will be stopped. If Boris and Farage can now accept that Brexit and our future beyond it is not something which is theirs to own.

Whilst there is an acceptance that the political landscape has realigned and that instead of left vs right, it is now based very much on Leave vs Remain, there is still no tangible recognition that like Brexit itself, there are different shades or nuances to the way that both the Leave and Remain demographics are constructed.

Many of those who voted Remain in 2016 respect the democratic reality that Leave won and that the UK must see that decision all the way through. Yet the voice of the few remainers who are obsessed with staying within the EU is very loud indeed, and the impression it gives that they represent people in the main is more than enough for the combination of the Labour Party, Liberal Democrat’s, Greens and SNP to somehow come through this coming Vote as a coalition and win – if the Leave Parties don’t recognise that the only priority must be the one that delivers Brexit – no matter what that might appear to cost.

The Leave demographic is very much built upon three parts. Three approaches employed by voters. Three ways of thinking which if split up in a General Election, could mean that as a whole, they all lose.

Leavers are either Heads, Hearts or somewhere floating in between.

Heads are dedicated to the Conservative Party. Hearts follow the Brexit Party. And whilst the floaters might switch between the two, without an electoral amalgamation of the Brexit Party and the Conservatives, they will never cross the rubicon that lies in between.

Whilst Nigel Farage interviewed by the BBC this morning now appears to recognise the need for the two parties to reach an electoral pact, Boris has made no suggestion that he is ready to listen.

If he doesn’t, or if an agreement that cannot be reached that give Voters a clear one-candidate choice in every Leave-voting Parliamentary Constituency when the General Election comes, there is a real and potentially future-changing risk that the Brexit Vote will be avoidably split and the UK will end up with an accidental majority for Remain.

Gentlemen, it’s time to put your differences and own priorities aside and accept there’s a much bigger cause to work for here other than that of your Party or of your own.

Want a real Brexit and Corbyn kept out of No.10? – A General Election is now the only way…

images-2Coverage of the result of the Peterborough By-Election actually felt different. Maybe even a little odd. But perhaps prescient of the direction our Politics is now going – a place where there is no control or script and it all seems to be in the hands of the gods.

Within hours of this blog being published, the gurus of political interpretation will have of course broken the whole thing up and began spinning it into many different, but for them, primarily self-serving ways. However, the reality will nonetheless remain underneath it all that Politics in this Country has changed and things are never going to be the same again.

Yet the politicians refuse to see it.

They are still looking at everything coming at them through the lens of the old politics – and yes, I’m even including the Brexit Party as being one of them in this instance too.

To perhaps understand this a little better, it is important to consider the Peterborough result.

Yes, the Labour Candidate was Elected. But the Brexit Party Candidate wasn’t far behind them and it would be foolish to frame the Conservative Candidate’s 3rd place as being outside of the same room.

Somewhere, probably in London today, different conversations will be taking place around the realities of what can be gleaned from the way the vote was split.

Some of this thinking will simply be deluded. Some of it will be based on outright fear. But what will be common among all of it will be the view that the problem is outside of the Politicians hands, outside of their Party’s control and that it will be something or someone else who is getting it all wrong.

With the Peterborough result for these three Political Parties and the wider Westminster Polls being dispersed between them and the Liberal Democrats as they are, you can bet that the debate will end up for many of them concluding that First Past The Post is now redundant and should be replaced by some other form of electoral system that will benefit the de facto righteousness of their position – such as PR.

What they fail to observe, or deliberately overlook and therefore do not accept, is the reason that none of them – even with Brexit involved – is offering the leadership, vision and inspiration that is necessary to formulate the public policy that the People now want and is required of our Politicians and their Parties not just for Brexit, but as we step off into a world based on A New Politics beyond.

Playing around with the Electoral System will only benefit the Political Parties and the Politicians themselves.

It will sure up, consolidate and in some cases expand their presence and position.

But the upshot is that the opportunity to provide the kind of decisiveness and defining leadership that we now need in British Politics more than ever, will simply be lost.

Brexit and the future of this Country requires good leadership and the decisiveness that goes with it by the truckload. Without it the mess we are now in is set to get a whole lot worse.

What Politicians should understand from the results and polling as they are, is that no Political Party is currently capable of commanding a working majority in Parliament.

Without a working majority, neither Brexit nor anything substantial in terms of the changes to and creation of new Policy that our People now need is going to be addressed in any meaningful and lasting way. That simply has to change.

The biggest risk to Brexit and to our Democracy –  make no mistake that the two are now intricately linked – is that the new Conservative Leadership will continue onwards and go all out to enable a No Deal Exit from the EU by 31st of October – just so the Conservative Party can claim that they have achieved and can take ownership of that result.

If the current Parliamentary dynamic doesn’t stop them before they do so, there is a storm cloud awaiting them on the other side. Because it is there that the Remain majority in Parliament – if it has not been changed – will have an incredibly hard stick to beat the Government with, and the ability to make serious hay from the sunshine that they will see pouring over them from the inevitable problems that will follow a No Deal Brexit that has been executed in this specific way.

Taking the UK back into the EU on the turnaround of a sixpence is not something that any Political Party with designs or long term aspirations on being the natural party of government is going to want to do. Especially when the straightjacket that the UK will have no choice but to accept as part of a completely one-way and loaded bargain will inevitably become poison for whoever was to blame – irrespective of the Politicians who were actually involved.

The only way out of this problem is to recognise Party boundaries and tribal loyalties as the ties that bind all of todays MPs to the politics of old. The old politics that the public are telling them is not only flawed but is fundamentally wrong.

Our Politicians must come together to deliver on the issues. And the issue which is the doorway to solving all other issues is Brexit – whether our Politicians like that fact or not.

The People Voted for the UK to Leave the EU without any deal or ties. Giving us anything less will simply be wrong. This includes coming out of the EU and then taking us immediately back in, whilst MPs then sell their ineptitude and lacklustre attempts at managing the Process as evidence that the whole thing was wrong.

The only Political Parties that have the ability to coagulate around the fact, reality and message that a full and proper Brexit must happen are the Brexit Party and the Conservative Party. And it is within the Conservative Party where the real struggle is still taking place, as it has been all along.

The new Conservative Prime Minister must accept and then immediately act on the fact that without a General Election and securing the Brexit MP Majority that it will give them if they ask for Public support in the right way, the future is effectively lost.

To realise and achieve the alternative – which is a real and permanent Brexit, there is no option for the next Conservative Party Leadership other than to swallow their pride for the greater good and work with the Brexit Party to establish a ‘Grand Brexit Coalition’.

Working together these Political Parties can provide that Brexit Majority and then ensure that our Brexit and the great future that follows it will for all of us be secure.

If they fail to do so, the future is very bleak. It is one that revolves around Corbyn and his Marxist tentacles reaching out and destroying everything we value from No.10.

The cost to everyone in this Country from allowing this to happen will go way beyond the destruction of the Conservative Party. It will simply be too high.

Isn’t it time the Conservative Leadership put the requirements of real Leadership first and did whatever necessary to get the job done?

 

image thanks to unknown

Catastrophic indecision lies at the heart of this Government and the Conservative Party. Yet most of those responsible are on the list to replace Mrs May

May 23, 2019 2 comments

MAYTime is now up for Trident Tongued Theresa.

Yet even now, she and her coterie of friends who will be leaving Downing Street beside her, are attempting to steal victory from the large intestine of defeat and suggesting they are about to rewrite this travesty of a Withdrawal Agreement which is and only ever has been about what a Prime Ministerial legacy looks like to Theresa May.

The credibility of our system of Government could and indeed should have been saved weeks if not months ago.

There have been enough opportunities to actually lose count.

Yet it is the same Politicians in the Cabinet and in key Positions within the Government who are too fearful today of the consequences of doing the ‘wrong thing’, who have always enabled this treacherous travesty which is not only about to unseat the Prime Minister, but is about to send the whole of the Conservative Party exactly the same way.

What our supposedly responsible Politicians should have reallised long ago about the current key holder at No.10, is that the dictatorial retreat into the bunker that is underway at the moment is simply an illustration of the character which has underpinned this travesty of a Premiership from the start and all the way along.

May’s propensity for lying robustly was outed well before she even called the 2017 General Election. At the very moment she wouldn’t come clean over the Trident issue, when questioned in an interview by the BBC’s Andrew Marr.

That none of those so closely around her saw or understood the writing that was then on the wall, raises questions about the rot that is present at the heart of both the Conservative Party and the Government.

But it also explains a whole lot more. Because it tells us how this whole sorry episode has been facilitated and allowed to continue. Be under the illusion no longer. May’s pedigree chums who remain in the Cabinet have an outlook that is fundamentally the same.

With the rules and etiquette underpinning business as usual in Politics having disappeared into the ether, just as soon as the Conservative Party endorsed this wretched Premiership in December, there really are no obligations to the Old Politics remaining upon any of our Westminster incumbents if they should finally grow a pair and do whatever it will take to immediately remove Theresa May from No.10.

In fact, it might be received much more positively than they could ever now appreciate. As anything that heralds the end of that Old Politics and the ushering in of the new, is likely to be received very warmly by the Public, who today might only temporarily directing their Votes another way.

Replacing May with another Prime Minister in her image is unacceptable.

If would-be Conservative Leaders should tie themselves to the mast of the Old Politics in the form of One Nation Conservatism or any form of everything that is now wrong with our Political system, simply presented in a different form, the Conservative Party will simply be over. And with it all of the sorry attempts by self-serving MPs to keep a secure hold of ‘their’ Seats, without even the slightest idea of the impact and consequences of what they have been doing.

What we are seeing today in the political crisis that is unfolding which is going to have an unnecessary but nonetheless significant cost.

Today’s Tory Leaders simply have no credibility.

To win again the Party must embrace change in everything. Immediately and above all ruthlessly. Or the post-bunker chapter will be the only legacy that they will share with Theresa May.

If Conservative MPs at any level have any sense they will have her physically out of No.10 by the weekend and then take a leaf out of the Vatican’s book. Put aside all the petty squabbling and self-serving rivalries, lock all of their MPs into the same room. And don’t emerge until they have a reasoned majority for a new Leader who can go straight to Buckingham Palace to be appointed Prime Minister, as the white smoke drifts across Westminster and media’s way.

Many of us question why these apparently talented and otherwise responsible people cannot see just how serious things have now become.

The reality is that they must now within days change completely, embrace new thinking, a new politics and then the real and true instruction of the Brexit Vote via a General Election in the Autumn.

They must begin today by hitting the ejector switch for Mrs May.

No Tories, you can’t all be the next Prime Minister. Lose the selfish ambition and unite behind a Brexiteer who can win a General Election within 6 months instead

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So the Tory beauty pageant is already underway and the starting pistol hasn’t even been fired – yet.

They have already attracted ridicule by openly declaring their ambition to become the next Prime Minister and even introduced wives to the media in anticipation that the Tories are finally set to decapitate the premiership of Theresa May.

In coming into the open as they have, these self-proclaimed leadership candidates demonstrate a clear detachment from the reality of the mess the Tory Party has already caused. A mess that is the result of politicians exhibiting the very same self-serving behaviour as they are. Apparently plain for everyone to see but they themselves.

At a time when MPs have never been needed to be more in touch with the Public mood and the implications of what is happening in government and the Country as a whole as part of a growing and already epic political storm, this evolving list of suicidedly ambitious MPs are exhibiting themselves, their true motives and their real priorities as elected representatives for all that they are and what they intend them to be.

The People will no longer be fooled. Even the mere hint that so many MPs plan to make their intentions known will be understood as self-servingly opportunistic, rather than being about doing what’s genuinely best in the circumstances for the Country and for the futures of everyone.

There is no illusion amongst those outside of Westminster. This is nothing to do with doing everything necessary to get the Brexit crisis resolved and democracy fully and unequivocally restored.

The approach now shared by so many ‘senior’ Conservatives is stretching the realms of what is now acceptable, irrespective of whether it is a genuine bid to lead, or just secure another term in a plum job.

This circus in no way represents the public interest. It only represents the interests of the politicians involved.

The support that the Brexit Party has already secured and continues to generate shows us all very clearly that Voters want to look forward, not backwards.

That means an increasingly dim view will be taken by the Public of actions reflective of the ‘Old Politics’.

There is now an open desire for ALL politicians to embrace the change that is required as politics moves from the old to the new, and that above all, any would-be Prime Minister MUST accept that this change is now irreversibly involved.

The list now in circulation of those declaring their candidacy includes a number of very talented individuals. But leading the Country out of what is becoming a significant crisis is far from being about talent alone.

In the long term, leading this Country will require a mix of skills, experience, wherewithal, approach and vision that may not come from any candidate, current MP or even a figure who is already publicly known.

This means that by default, the best thing that all of these MPs could do to help resolve and reduce the gravity of this escalating situation, is to be realistic. They must put their personal ambitions aside, instead sharing and pursuing ambition for us all. They must be willing to take things step by step, uniting behind one candidate and one candidate alone, so that the Conservatives can do all that is necessary to change the dynamic in Westminster to one which gives a workable majority and the ingredients necessary for the delivery of a Brexit that we will all ultimately be happy to own.

A drawn-out Leadership contest will not be good for the Country. It will do nothing to support the resolution of Brexit.

Above all, a drawn-out Leadership battle will delay the opportunity to change anything before the Autumn. Something likely to play very well in to May’s plan both for her stay in No.10 and making a Remain-based Brexit more likely. As more and more issues arising with the EU over the question of further delays will inevitably be involved.

No. If the present occupant of No.10 accepts that its time to go anytime soon, to resolve both the issues that the Country is facing and keep any chance of the Conservative Party alive, a new Leader must be ‘crowned’. A process that only in the circumstances of choosing the best candidate available, the Membership of the Party will accept as a necessary step to keep the Party from smashing into the ground.

The best thing that ALL of these ‘candidates’ can do as public representatives is consider the reality and impact of all that they are doing.

It is time to accept that winning and success are not simply about being top dog or holding the keys to No.10.

A successful outcome for all of us will be about the commitment that everyone brings to the table and the contribution that each and everyone entrusted with responsibility makes.

We have had decades of politicians getting the formula progressively wrong. It’s time for all of them to start thinking differently and that means considering the wider impact and consequences of every single decision they make and even the smallest things that they do.

Only one person can be Prime Minister and we are now entering a time when simply securing the role is only a preliminary step to the gargantuan task that a successful outcome will guarantee to be involved.

If these ‘leaders’ want to be seen to lead, the only thing they can do responsibly is unite behind one Brexiteer Candidate who can and is prepared to fight and win a General Election within 6 months.

Anything else will certainly be seen for all that it is by a Public now awakened to all that Politicians do. And the Conservative Party will not be forgiven if it replaces May with just another ambitious wannabe who when faced with the responsibility of acting selflessly and without fear on behalf of everybody, simply turns out to be another genuinely lost cause.

donkey image thanks to unknown

Will May’s final legacy be the longest squatter in No.10?

May 9, 2019 1 comment

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The Head Scratching Olympics are well underway. Most of us are struggling to work out what it is that May believes she can achieve by remaining in No.10. And the whole sorry episode of a British Prime Minister not having the decency to go when it is clear that everything is falling on its arse around them would have been bad enough weeks ago. But this story just seems to get progressively worse.

Even now, amongst the few people trying to remain human about the reality that we are all bewilderingly watch unfold, there are those attempting to excuse or rather find a plausible excuse for what the Prime Minister has done.

Top of the list in the conversations that I have had in the past 24 hours is what might not be the wholly inaccurate suggestion that there remain vested interests around her which are leading her to believe that there is still currency in what she is doing. That history will be her real ally when the tale of her standing firm against all others is finally told.

Sadly, when close advisers and the trusted are busy whispering poison into their subject’s ears, its true nature is often laced with a sickly sweet or otherwise convincing twist. Especially in circumstances when anything but the painful truth is what they actually want to hear.

What we have to remember here is that May is the epitome of the ‘Old Politics’.

The Prime Minister has reached her position through levels of personal ambition and related self-interest that has swept all before it aside.

The problem is that a political career, formed in the same way as it has been for many of the MPs that we have today is hollow on substance. It’s based on always saying yes to the right people, no to those who have no value to the ‘pathway’ and in keeping a careful eye on the long-term prize with every decision they make and action that they take.

Anyone that has become so involved in a process of this nature will rarely pay attention to the real purpose of the jobs they take or the consequences that come from the wider reach of the responsibilities involved.

It’s all about how it all looks to others and what that perception of the power they have accumulated actually means to everyone else.

It means that as soon as they have a level of responsibility that they cannot deflect upon others, they will inevitably find themselves scratching around for anything that resembles an anchor upon which they can pin their tenure or indeed their legacy, before the whole lie crashes to the ground.

The reality that May has been a key part of the attempt to thwart Brexit has been evident for an already unsettling period of time.

By doing so, and by having been enabled to continue to do so, the Prime Minister has laid bare the dark secrets of the many years of the non-democracy in this Country. An injustice to the Public hiding in plain sight.

The truth that the Expenses Scandal first pointed to and the mismanagement of Brexit has finally lifted the lid on, is that we have had generations of politicians who are in it for nothing more than themselves and whatever is important to them, be that money, expenses, privilege, advantage, popularity or the perception of power.

So when your World and everything in your ‘plan’ is falling apart around you, what do you do to ensure you maintain credibility in the long term, and that history will be kind?

Regrettably for Prime Minister Theresa, Brexit via her completely flawed and apparently misconstrued Withdrawal Agreement will not be the legacy that she will be remembered for.

But with the ‘Old Politics’ being the preserve of the cynical, who work on the basis that the Public will always forget, there comes a time when that anchor has to be found so that as part of the escape plan, at least history will see them in a positive light.

Today, without any other legitimate reason to rule out leaving and extend her stay, it looks astoundingly like the Prime Minister has pinned her hopes of leaving a legacy on beating Gordon Brown’s tenancy as Prime Minister. Keeping the fragments of powder dry that she has left, so that in her eyes she will be seen in hindsight to have served longer as Prime Minister. Everyone else will surely remember it as the longest squat in No.10.

We can only hope that a British Prime Minister would not actually be so selfish.

But the timescales of announcing her departure, post the European Elections and the date that makes her stay longer than Brown’s at the end of May would seem uncannily prescient.

It would, after all, precipitate a process within the Conservative Party that in her mind would keep her in Office until the Autumn and would certainly correlate with the commentary currently coming from No.10.

If Theresa May really is so self-absorbed to believe that this is all that counts when it comes to being Prime Minister, and the Conservative Party continue to enable her to see out this term in the hope that it will allow a ‘smooth’ transition for someone as equally ambitious and from the very same ‘Old Politics’ school as this disastrous PM, the Party truly deserves everything that is now coming from the Brexit Party and everything that will inevitably follow.

A future not under control, but nonetheless inevitable. Because all opportunities to go another way were repeatedly missed or more likely deliberately avoided as these sycophants indulged her, come what may.

 

 

 

If the Conservatives finally catch up with events and somehow remove May, the last thing we need is for them to waste time seeking support for Brexit from the EU

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For many reasons, Boris could still be the one to make the difference once May goes. The question is, has he already sold-out to the ‘old politics’ and  self-interest before the fight to change British Politics for the better has even began?

Although we have all lived through the experience of thinking May is finally about to go, for it to not then happen – almost too many times to count, the reality is that even her many months of borrowed time are now on borrowed time and upon borrowed time itself.

The open descent within Parliament and the Local Conservative Party network tells us that barring the miraculous fall of a series of dominoes that the Prime Minister has never even attempted to line up, she will be gone within a matter of days if not weeks.

I have previously made the argument that there are good reasons why the next Leader of the Conservative Party should be Boris Johnson. Not because he will make the best Prime Minister. But because he is likely to be the best option for Prime Minister we have available to us right now.

To recap on that, Boris was the only Conservative MP and known leadership candidate currently sitting who a) appeared to be making the right noises about the direction of travel for the Country; b) has a demonstrable track record that suggests he is savvy enough to link future policy as being irremovably entwined with his own ambition; c) is likely to have sense enough to surround himself with the right people as advisors and Ministers to ‘get the job done’ if and when his time came and d) has a level of currency existing with the Electorate that could give him a winning edge against Corbyn in a General Election when all the other necessary building blocks are in place.

The mixture of these factors would logically overcome the remaining questions about his suitability to be in No.10. Character and personal ambition are not particularly great issues when the right objectives are prioritised. And up until the point that the phoney war stages of the Conservative Leadership race have come into the open in the days since the Local Elections last week, there had been no reason to think otherwise.

Today, that changed. Boris has indicated that if he is successful in his bid to occupy No.10, the first thing he will do is go back to the EU and get them to ditch the backstop.

As a former Cabinet Minister and Brussels-based Journalist, BoJo should know so much more about the EU than most. How it works and what its detailed history indicates that it will almost certainly do in any circumstance should be ringing alarm bells very loudly about everything to come.

So to even suggest it will be as simple as going back and creating an opt-out that everyone has known – not least of all the EU itself – would have broken the Brexit impasse many months ago, takes wishful thinking to a very different kind of level and extreme.

One of the most notable things that we will remember about Theresa May’s Premiership in the dying days and months of it, was her repeatedly opting to sell-out to keep herself in the job of PM, no matter what the implications for our People and the Country involved.

We do not need May to be replaced by another Conservative Prime Minster who has simply said all the right things. Words and dialogue synonymous with misleading terms like ‘Brexit means Brexit’. Spoken in order to secure the ‘top job’, whilst privately knowing that their own future and legacy are to them the only sacrosanct thing.

Boris’ article in yesterday’s Telegraph flew and immediate red flag when he openly outed himself as a ‘One Nation Conservative’, leaving the reader with the immediate question of whether this was a price that he may now have paid behind closed doors to secure the support for his leadership bid from ardent Europhiles such as Amber Rudd.

The price that we might all pay for any attempt at taking the ‘easy way’ for any Conservative leadership hopeful may indeed turn out to be the sought after change of guard.

But instead of the decisive leadership and direction that we need, we will just experience a continuation of attempts to find a Remain-based accommodation with the EU. One that does enough to dupe the Voters, castrate Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party Movement, whilst keeping Conservatives – who are more interested in themselves and what they can get from being in Government in power, rather than taking in any way seriously what it means to lead the UK Government and be entrusted by the People to be in charge.

It will be a potentially disastrous mistake with implications that reach out far beyond the scope of the Conservative Party, if the only Conservative leadership candidate who is currently gifted with the ability to beat Corbyn in a General Election within months, sells out now. Days or weeks before the real work gets underway, just before what is likely to be a turning point in our history has arrived, and missing the real opportunity that exists to lead us properly and to put everything wrong with British Politics and our system of Government right.

As I have written in detail in recent days, the only way that a solution can be found that will suit the needs and aims of Brexiteers and Remainers alike and bring us all back together will be for the UK to Leave the EU properly, and ONLY THEN seek to negotiate a new relationship from the point where the EU has none of its so-called security, perceived as being in the bag, as it has done up until now with May and the many Prime Ministers who have led us in a subservient relationship before.

The steps are simple for the Conservative MP who is chosen to lead and is serious about living up to the responsibility of doing so.

  1. Forget the EU – we have until Thursday 31st October 2019 and if you are ready to stand up and be counted on our behalf, that’s plenty of time to get things done
  2. Create a new Manifesto – involve the People and not just sympathizers and activists in a new dynamic form of political interaction and conversation. One where everyone feels they have a stake in the development of a new way of doing government which is fair, robust but above all is there to work for everyone
  3. Go back to the People to secure a new Mandate in time to tell the EU before the end of October that the UK is Leaving, without any kind of deal and that any future relationship with them will be subservient only to our own Independence and Sovereignty as a self-governing nation, and the mission creep and implementation of law-by-stealth will no longer for us be the way that things are done.

There are many of us out here taking no pleasure from the sight of the Conservative Party’s demise.

We believe that the Conservative Party could still recover under the right form and style of Leadership, overturn the Brexit impasse and then take the UK forward to realise all the opportunities that await us after Brexit and beyond.

Yet we have also seen the willingness to self-destruct within this once great Party, from people who still today prioritise only themselves, their careers and the few others around them that they perceive to be actively involved and important.

The reality is that if the Conservative Party finally gets rid of Theresa May as it should have done many months before now and replaces her with any leader who is the same or who will behave the same because of the priorities they formulate in order to secure and keep their office, the new incumbent will simply finish off the process of putting nails in the Conservative Party’s coffin. The final part of the process which the current Prime Minister began after many years of this ‘old politics’ being at work within the Conservative Party and all forms of government, not realising it was in terminal decline.

 

image thanks to ‘ITV Headcases’

 

 

 

 

 

Announcing that frontline Conservatives who vote for the Brexit Party will be excommunicated smacks of desperation, not leadership

April 29, 2019 Leave a comment

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During the 16th Century Spanish conquest of the Aztec Empire, explorer Hernando Cortez is fabled for the act of burning his ships so that his men would realise and understand that they had the simple choice of success or death.

It’s an interesting story that has found its way into use as a metaphor. Reading this mornings news that the current Conservative Party hierarchy is threatening to boot out any Councillors or MPs who fail to support the Party in the May Elections, one can only wonder if yet again, somebody somewhere is failing to read the script in its entirety, reverting instead to using a threatening jack boot in the forlorn hope that fear is all it will take to dam the parting tide.

Cortez was of course successful. Not because he knew how to lead, or because he understood the basic psychology of others and what it would take to encourage and motivate others to go up against what seemed insurmountable odds and go on to succeed.

No, Cortez was successful because he shared a tangible vision. A direction of travel and a clear understanding of what was to be required and what would be involved.

The Conservative Party today is offering none of this. No leadership. No direction. No vision of where it is going to take the Country. No tangible definition of what is to come.

When the Party itself is already crumbling around its MPs, Councillors, Officers and those left of its sick and tired Members, the threat of excommunication for any of them – even the most ambitious amongst them, simply no longer holds the threat or fear that until even very recently it always had done.

The People, with conservatives of all kinds snugly placed amongst them, now want our democracy restored. They want Brexit in its entirety delivered. And they know that the Conservative Party under May’s tenure leadership is not a political vehicle that is synonymous with any such cause.

Yet the Brexit Party is still placed within the realms of being no more than a protest party, and the European Election that it is poised to fight will be for many the opportunity to underline and shout loudly that Leaving the EU was always what the People intended. It’s just the Politicians who have got the whole thing wrong whilst trying endlessly to convince all others that they were always the few who were right.

If the Conservative Party, nearing its death throws from months of holding down its own self-destruct button, cannot see the rhetorical gesture underpinning what its own Membership is now doing for an Election process that should never have been called, and take appropriate action accordingly, it truly deserves that temporary loan of an ultimately meaningless vote to depart permanently and be gifted permanently to those who may be far from best equipped to provide good government, but nonetheless have the resounding attribute of at least being seen to intend to represent the best interests of everyone involved.

As I wrote in my most recent blog a few days ago, for what’s left of the Conservative Party in any physical sense today, there comes approaching a final and two way choice.

The Conservative Party will either utilise whatever comes from the results of the upcoming Elections to remove this destructive Prime Minister and go forward with a new understanding and appreciation of what conservatism in a 21st Century UK can be most effective for, or it will continue to look for a solution from everything it has ever known. That which is completely broken, not representative in any way of what a political party should now exist for and not in anyway near to that which the British People now rightly expect from A Government underpinned by true conservative ideals that are fit for our time.

 

image thanks to unknown

The Conservative Party MUST have a New Leader, New Manifesto AND New Electoral Mandate BEFORE 31 October – AND they ALL have to be just right

April 25, 2019 10 comments

img_3013When Parliament has already voted to overrule the Executive, a Party Grandee who has been a Party Member for longer than the lifetimes of many MPs leaves to stand for a protest party, and Conservative Councillors and even MPs too are telling the media they are about to Vote against their own Party in an upcoming Election, anyone with enough sense and concern for what is going on around them would know that what is happening no longer fits with any rules they know. They would accept that following those rules is not now going to bring the situation to a close.

That our lawmakers have no real appreciation for the responsibility they have been given by the Electorate has now become painfully obvious to the People outside of Westminster.

Worse for all conservatives, whether members of the Party, tribal voters or simply lapsed, is the realisation that a horrible reality is now becoming manifest in Westminster. One where there are simply not enough Conservative MPs in the Parliamentary Party that have the understanding, stamina, wherewithal and everything that it takes to deal with a serious crisis – not one created by any external threat, but by something made manifest from within its own walls.

Those who observe and consider the steps of the journey that Brexit has taken will eventually realise that the decisions made by Theresa May and her enablers since June 2016 – right up to the 1922 Committee’s decision last evening not to put the flames out engulfing the Party that are now in open sight for all to see, have and are continuing to fuel a fire that has not only taken the Conservative Party to the edge of the precipice, but is on the verge of condemning the whole of the UK to political, if not civil chaos too.

We have reached a point where the true chronology of events that led to the Vote to Leave the European Union, the mess of the Brexit Process and the now the critical condition of our democracy too, is in imminent danger of being forgotten and responibility for all ills being laid squarely at the feet of the only Political Party genuinely capable of getting the UK through Brexit and to the promise of the opportunities that lie ahead for us all on the other side.

It is painful for many to admit that the disease within the Conservative Party may have already been allowed to spread too far. That if the majority of the MPs that are still obstructing change from within the Conservative Parliamentary Party do not put their self-interest, fear and obsession with maintaining a system that now, thanks in no small part to them no longer exists, that not only will the Party that gifted them their time in the public eye be gone, but the Country itself could be thrown into chaos and darkness of a kind that those amongst us still alive to remember the consequences of such times had long since hoped had been left behind.

People who I and many have time for and respect from right across the political spectrum, are now falling in behind Nigel Farage to support the Brexit Party.

Any serious conservative with an eye on the future and what happens next would be foolish not to read the electoral runes right at this moment in time and see what is about to happen to British Politics during the Month of May.

But whilst one of the key straplines of this very serious and credible protest party is changing politics for good, the Brexit Party only has the cohesiveness between its Membership and support provided by just one issue.

This commonality between Brexit Party supporters will evaporate the moment that the promise made to respect our democracy and Leave the EU has been made good.

In days and certainly no more than weeks, the Conservative Party has a final and defining choice to make about the part that it wants to play and can offer the British People as a choice for the future.

If the Conservative Party does not choose to take it, the Brexit Party could well become the overwhelming force in domestic British Politics that UKIP never could.

The anger, palpable amongst the British People today that could so quickly be addressed with reason and delivery, could instead be completely unleashed.

Make no mistake. A Political Party without professional governance, systems and procedures is not going to deliver the overnight change it is now promising us – even if it currently benefits from having many well known and well meaning names up front which gives it an even more credible feel.

The choice that the Conservative Party has to make is whether to do nothing and allow May to continue in a way that only she seems to know how. Or to commit to a hard-decision-laden and timely process that will require unbending commitment, coolness of character and dedication to a cause much bigger than themselves and their Party, all boiled down to the willingness to do whatever it will take to get things done.

Step 1. A NEW Leader

May MUST go.

May MUST go now.

May MUST be replaced quickly.

This is not the time for an incumbent PM to be allowed to run down the clock in an attempt to let history look more kindly upon her tenure than anyone actually does right now. It won’t.

The ridiculous infighting, self-interest and ambition that have created so much of the Brexit impasse and constipated version of Parliamentary Politics we have witnessed over the past year has to stop and be consigned to the bin.

There MUST be a practical acceptance of the reality that right now, in this climate and with our Country facing the issues that it is, that there is no such thing as the ‘best’ or ‘Perfect’ candidate to be Prime Minister. It is now all about putting the person into the role who will be best placed to get results and yes, get the job done.

Under such circumstances, there is little doubt that whilst far from a perfect situation, the Party Membership would support an immediate ‘crowning’ of a new Party Leader and de facto Prime Minister, AS LONG AS THE PARLIAMENTARY PARTY APPOINTS THE RIGHT PERSON IT HAS AVAILABLE.

As recent polling work undertaken by the Conservative Home Website has shown, which is reliable for gauging the mood of the grassroots Party, the Membership wants a Brexiteer PM in Downing Street.

By far, the PM that the Membership wants is Boris Johnson.

The lack of understanding and appreciation of what really gets results, instead replaced with private ambition and the idea that each and every Member of the Cabinet is the only one who really knows best and can be the next Prime Minister, is precisely why so much of this has gone wrong already.

Trying to control or obstruct a workable solution to these problems for personal reasons, rather than doing what’s best for everyone, no matter how challenging or distasteful or unpalatable the alternative might be, is likely to replace one bad Prime Minister with another. Not because the alternatives aren’t capable or any good at what they do. But because they cannot be the person to bring together the formula that this Country needs right now and effectively become the necessary catalyst for change and for good.

Boris is very electable, as has been demonstrated by his highly effective campaigns to become and to be re-lected London Mayor.

Yes, Boris has a propensity to look silly at inappropriate times. But he also identifies his own destiny as being closely aligned with the success of the people and the policies that he leads. And as Prime Minister he will know that he MUST surround himself with the full range of best talents and voices. To be inclusive, but to make sure that the results achieved are good for all parts of our society and not just those who are directly involved.

This is where the opportunity lies for all who can see, accept and facilitate what now needs to be done to align themselves, contribute and for their genuine ambition to do good for others to be recognised fully for the part they play in delivering for the much bigger Public cause.

2. A NEW Manifesto

No. Oddly the next step IS NOT to worry about Brexit and the EU.

For right or for wrong, we now have until Thursday 31st October 2019 to sort out the Brexit mess and to get things done.

That’s 6 Months. And with a week being a long time in politics, as long as the Conservatives get moving quickly AND do all that needs to be done, 6 Months will be plenty of time enough.

The first priority is to create, promote and engage the public with a NEW Manifesto.

A Manifesto that demonstrates:

  • That the kind of working relationship that WE ALL want with Europe can only be created and developed once we are a fully Independent and Sovereign State once again and that to do this WE MUST FULLY AND CATEGORICALLY LEAVE.
  • That the Conservative Party is NOT only the Party of the rich, but the Party of all those with aspiration. The protector and safe-guarder of all those in genuine need and all those who want to succeed as a result of genuine effort and not riding off the backs and exploitation of others. A Party which really is for ALL of us too.
  • That Politics is in fact the means and not the ends to get things done. That it is a calling, not a job and that those who gain the very special and privileged elevation to Public Office must be able, prepared and committed to engaging fully foremost and as a priority with the People that they represent.
  • That good governance of this Country can no longer be something regurgitated from history, read from a book, accepted as an established rule or contrived on the basis simply of how it will look.
  • That decisions will be taken no matter how hard, to ensure that Government delivers fully for everyone, without bias, favour and with fairness as we are all right and justified in expecting that it should.

It will not take months or years to formulate.

The Conservatives only have to look beyond themselves and begin to engage everyone in a natural conversation, without the hard sell and without falling back on statistics and analysis to confirm what being out there will soon tell them should then be a quickly changing mood.

3. A New Mandate

With a New Leader and New Manifesto, the Conservative Party then MUST go back to the People.

It MUST have the faith, confidence and guts to know that if the Party has done Steps 1 & 2 right, the People will come back and provide the Party with a New Mandate.

A New Mandate that is required not only to break the Brexit impasse that can only come from our clean-break Leaving the EU. But to deliver the change that the People now require of our politicians. So that the UK can find its place and ensure that we are all secure in an ever changing World, where the agility and flexibility that our status as an Independent and Sovereign State is the only way that we can effectively adapt as a Country to ensure that we can continually work together towards the prize of something better for all.

 

 

 

 

 

If the ERG want Brexit, they must lead it. The time has come to split the Conservative Party and prepare for a General Election

February 27, 2019 Leave a comment

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For me, Theresa May’s resolve to Remain and call it something else was never in doubt. But the cost of what she and her coterie of Remainers has and continues to do to this Country and our democracy is something else.

Whilst I am far from alone in anticipating that Brexit could finally split the Conservative Party once and for all, events this week suggest that the time has come where the benefit of the ERG and Brexiteer contingent remaining within Theresa May’s interpretation of mainstream conservatism is now severely outweighed by the disadvantages – especially in view of what is likely to come.

From the outside perspective, there is little doubt that the point of no return came when May won the December no confidence vote and became all but immovable for the 12 months ahead.

The Prime Minister has been the key component in a direction of travel which has brought us to the point where Remainers are now on the verge of successfully cancelling Brexit via indefinite delay.

Whilst May has been helped every step of the way by the contingent of Remain Ministers, there is little doubt that undeserved trust in the holder of the Office of British Prime Minister has regrettably contributed to previously avoidable difficulties with Brexit, many of which are yet to come.

Put bluntly, the only clear way to ensure that the Brexit which the British People Voted for is now delivered, is to replace the currently Remain-led Parliamentary majority with one which will prioritise the needs of the Electorate above their own, and deliver Brexit properly, without compromise and in every way and sense necessary to ensure that everyone, whether Leavers or Remainers will benefit from our post-Brexit opportunities just the same.

This outcome will not be possible if the political party structures, biases and motivations are the same as they are now, when the next General Election is called.

Above all, if there is to be any genuine ‘conservative’ influence over where we then go, that Election must be faught without the current Prime Minister remaining in post. That means either an election build up away from her sphere of influence, or the removal of May from No.10.

In reality, nobody under the Brexit wing of the Conservative Party should now genuinely believe that May will step aside anytime soon.

The passing of a vote of no confidence in May’s Government is the only way she will now be toppled before 2022. And with the dynamic in Parliament changing almost daily, it means that splitting the Conservative Party and going it alone has to now be the immediate, strategic, responsible and calculated choice for those who know that for democracy and the People to win through, there is a different way.

Support would flock to the banner of a new party committed to Brexit, but equipped to provide a policy platform which reaches way beyond the very specific set of issues relating to our relationship with Europe. Support of the kind necessary to create a party machine in the timescale required which is professional, fully funded and capable of forming a government in a matter of months.

An ERG breakaway and the momentum behind it offers a vehicle capable of doing all these things. It is unlikely to come from any other direction or evolve in any other form.

The key to realising that there is a great opportunity to deliver much better for us all, is for the Brexiteer MPs involved to start looking beyond their own echo chambers, to the world outside Westminster, outside of the Conservative Party, across the wide range of Leave supporters from all traditional Party backgrounds and to the needs and expectations of an entire Nation waiting to be inspired, which is sitting waiting with great concern beyond.

Any MP who cares about the will of the People has this chance to stand out for the right reasons or wait to be pushed out for all the wrong ones.

We, the People, are fed up with the contemptuous behaviour of those who we have entrusted to represent us in Government and repaid us by throwing that trust back in our faces.

It necessarily follows that the time is coming for change.

Please ERG and Leaver MPs from wherever you are, be the change now.

Show us all that there are still some politicians left at Westminster who have the integrity and courage to take all the steps required to do what is expected and necessary, but above all, what is genuinely right.

If Conservatives want to deliver the Brexit People Voted for, today is the time to have the confidence to vote No Confidence in all Theresa May has led this Tory Government to become

January 16, 2019 Leave a comment

Counterintuitive as it may seem, the defeat of May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement last night, immediately followed by Jeremy Corbyn picking up the gauntlet that the Prime Minister had thrown to call a No Confidence Vote, has given the Conservative Party a lifeline and the opportunity to take control of the whole Brexit process that it needs.

No, we do not want and definitely do not need a Corbyn Government.

But we do need Theresa May to find some dignity from some where and accept that she is not the Prime Minister that this Country needs as it now stares at an evolving crisis.

The prefect storm which surrounds the greatest Government Defeat in recorded history, is the only reason that we this morning still have a Prime Minister May.

It was encapsulated perfectly well this morning when a friend asked me the very simple question ‘Why doesn’t the Conservative Party intervene?’

My response was as polite and honest as I could make it; ‘The people who have the power to do something all want May’s job and want a trouble-free run at it too’.

And it is within these circumstances; what is increasingly likely to become a National crisis, that we can see so very clearly that it was all so very avoidable, but self-interest, self-righteousness and blind ambition on the part of an out-of-touch political class bears all responsibility for the chaos over Leaving the EU that it has made.

The biggest problem is that the Politicians responsible are so blinded by their arrogance, they have no idea what to do with the child they have given birth to.

So instead they blithely press on as if they are incapable of doing wrong. As if they have no responsibility to anything other than keeping their jobs.

And amongst these non-representatives of the people, the worst of them all and most out of touch is Theresa May.

After the humiliation of the Defeat that she and the plan with which she is so personally entwined last night, a real stateswoman would have immediately resigned. Instead we see a powerless leader, so certain of her own right to govern that she is literally prepared to destroy her own Political Party, and worse, the future of a whole Country, simply on the basis of her believing that only she can be the PM to deliver something out of Brexit ‘come what May’.

The trouble is that something doesn’t look anything like the Brexit that the People actually Voted for. And by refusing to make way for someone capable of grabbing the wheel, she is going to drive the whole Brexit Bus over the cliff with us all in it, when the route was unnecessary and only a problem that she herself made.

Yet we are in a position where the problem could be resolved quickly, if the Conservatives were to come together, respect that the Vote of the People meant Leaving without what Remain have clumsily referred to as a ‘deal’, and accept that the first step to turning this whole mess on its head is to part company with Theresa May.

If the Conservatives back Jeremy Corbyn’s No Confidence Vote later today, there is a golden opportunity to reverse all of this quandary and ensure that the British People do get Brexit AND one in which WE ALL WIN.

Once Theresa May has been put in the position where she can be forced to resign AND the Cabinet collectively accept that the race for a new Prime Minister is not one that they all are equipped for or able to win, a new Conservative Government can be immediately be formed. YES, with nothing more than a swift and timely crowing, but with the purpose of doing what is strategically necessary so that the Country is once again capable of facing up to the EU AND achieving the People’s Win.

No, it won’t be easy. But by taking the time to look beyond what stares back at them from the mirror each morning, this may be the last opportunity to voluntarily embrace the true responsibilities of being an MP, come together, deliver a real and meaningful Brexit and consign any chance of a Marxist government gaining power and wrecking everything the UK has to the bin.

Please MPs, for once have faith in the decision of the People, in opportunity and the future that your being selfless with responsibility most assuredly will allow us ALL to have.

Do not mistake the bloody-mindedness of a committed leader to the pig-headedness of a prime minister in name only with no cognizance of what they are doing wrong

January 15, 2019 Leave a comment

There is no control over the direction that this Parliament will now take us. There is no collective cause. The purpose and direction of self-interest made manifest through our political classes has now come into its own.

Under such a smog-ridden screen where everything democratic is choking on the stench of this party-political miasma, it really is little wonder that our lame duck Prime Minister has been able to continue, when at other times any leader who has failed to lead so catastrophically, would have in their reality been long since gone.

Whilst many of the media outlets are speculating upon the size of this evening’s defeat, the fact that Theresa May’s position thereafter will be defined by the size and not the outcome is itself pretty much unique.

The Conservative Party is in its death throws. At best split down the middle. In need of some shining knight in armour, who can and is willing to hop off their own horse, kneel down on the floor and perform some breathtaking form of CPR.

The long list of pretenders has now become very real. From the sublime, to the ridiculous and the downright bizarre.

But if for any reason after tonight the idea of an imminent General Election should begin to gain traction, there is only one name in within the Conservative Parliamentary Party who can turn around the current direction of misfortune, connect with the British People and stop Corbyn from having any chance of taking his idealistic plan for a socialist Britain and making it manifest in a far more malevolent and dangerous form.

Be under no illusion that if Theresa may were to lead the Conservatives into a General Election Campaign, any 6-point lead that the Party is now celebrating would soon evaporate, and that the very best they could hope for in a result would be a coalition led by Corbyn. Chaos beyond anything even today that we could imagine, but Conservatives as leaders being ditched as the result.

It may make difficult and challenging reading. But there is only one potential candidate to replace Theresa May who has the ability to immediately connect with the Electorate. Is today publicly known. And has the position and influence to make something right come from this mess over Brexit. To deliver what the People Voted for whilst bringing all sides together and potentially lots more.

 

image thanks to ITV ‘Headcases’

 

We need a new Parliament and we need it NOW. The problem is this shit show of a self serving party political system which means democracy won’t easily be recovered

January 10, 2019 Leave a comment

We are being fucked by our own Parliament. Right now. Today. And our MPs are so blinded by their own arrogance that they cannot see any other way.

Action taken by MPs in recent days seeking to dictate a form of Brexit that the People did not Vote for and now even the Speaker of the House of Commons breaking with Procedure to ensure outcomes which are aligned with his causes that are only his own tells us just how rotten this Parliament has now become.

The destiny of this Country is now in the hands of usurpers. Their only focus being what works for them and no more.

Democracy is actively in its death throws over Brexit right now and as we look at the mindless self-interest engulfing our Government, we can only ask if this behaviour of the people who are supposed to be leading us is a real reflection of what we as a Nation have now become.

We need to change and refresh our Parliament as quickly as it is possible to do so.

We must replace the self-interest and contempt for democracy which is being displayed in every way by the current incumbents. We need politicians who realise, accept and respect that what is best for this Country and the People they represent, is as Representatives of the People, their only worthwhile cause.

The problem is that change within the system as it currently exists is not what on is offer, even within what may now be an imminent General Election.

The difference in the mentality of the Politicians who would replace all of these Party stooges, even if they were to step down voluntarily, is simply not there to be had.

With the Party Political System and the Political Parties structured today in the way that they are, we, as a Country, have been set up to fail.

The Political Parties only knowingly recruit, endorse and support politicians who are in their own image.

If you need to see what the end result of this process is in action, take a brief look at Theresa May and every Member of her glory-at-any-cost Cabinet. It is clear to see why change is needed so desperately and how our whole system of democracy has become terminally flawed.

The deck is critically stacked against any new entrant to the list of electable political parties who will willingly pursue change. Of that much we can be absolutely sure.

Yet we now need a new Political Party more than ever.

A Party which isn’t just a Party, but a movement. A new way of working with Government and Politics. Something conscious of cause and effect, the age of consequence. A power base which is in touch, truly dynamic and ready to offer us all something which is a whole lot more.

There are few serving politicians even at Westminster who could genuinely switch or reconstitute an existing Party in order to develop the right mentality and approach at the very core.

The question is for us exactly where is the change therefore going to come from. Because without it, this Country is on the verge – that’s perhaps only weeks away – from being well and truly lost.

Splitting the Conservative Party may soon be the only hope for Democracy in the UK

December 14, 2018 Leave a comment

The idea that a new political party will be the cure to all ills in politics is not a new one.

As I have written at length before, the way that the Electorate interacts with British Politics doesn’t lend itself well to what the Establishment portrays as outsiders. Unless that is there is an issue at work over which the Establishment does not have control.

We only need look to the rise and fall of UKIP and it’s inextricable link to the EU Referendum and then Brexit itself to understand what happens when the Establishment has dropped the ball – whether for good or bad.

For decades there has been an embedded form of monopoly in politics held between the Conservative and Labour Parties, with the Liberal Democrats and its previous forms being held up or utilised from their position which is mislabelled as being between.

Breaking open this racket has been all but impossible for what seem to be very simple, but nonetheless seemingly impossible challenges to answer. Many have tried. Some have had significant bank balances to enable them to do so. But even when UKIP gained around 4 Million votes in the last General Election, it was simply the case that there was no new parliamentary real estate for them to be found.

In as succinct terms as possible, there has existed an unwritten and assumed covenant between Electors and the Elected, which has benefitted this triumvirate mode.

The purpose and responsibility of being a representative of the people, both given and received at the ballot box was understood.

A reverence and trust for politicians has been the default standard for all politicians in the psyche of the Electorate.

That is unless there has been some big scandal, usually focused on the actions of an individual politician rather than the Party itself, and once removed, the default position would quickly be resumed.

All, that is, until the straw arrived that broke this heavily burdened camels back. A straw which came in the form of a decision being tossed back over to the Public, after which the Establishment simply assumed the status quo would be returned once more.

The problem with that decision, the decision for the UK to leave the EU had its genesis in the inference that this was a choice too big to be left to the delegated powers of our MP’s alone. For a decision with such implications, the Electorate itself would be trusted with the choice, and once that choice was made, their decision would be delivered and not returned – as that itself would bring into question what the very purpose of the Referendum had actually been for.

Overnight the lines of that once apparently straightforward interaction between the Public and Politicians was overturned. Instead of Voters who are typically Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or of a mind to sit on the borders located in between, there has emerged a new understanding and assessment of our Political Masters which rather than being fluid between 3 or maybe even more possibilities, has now become a binary choice – only presented as being many others and not least of all, the direction of either Leave or of Remain.

But as with everything that relates to the human condition, it is far from being even that simple and the options which relate to those choices are now unlikely to ever be viewed by voters as being anything like the same.

That choice itself when it comes to appointing the representatives of the people, is now between electing Politicians who represent only themselves, and electing Politicians who represent us all.

The dividing line is democracy itself.

Not party lines or any kind of political philosophy.

This is about the choice of our elected representatives being to work unquestionably for others, or working for oneself and the accumulation of position, status and wealth for personal gain plus more.

This dichotomy is not false. Politicians can only have one master. It’s the Electorate or their own ideas, party and dreams.

The insidious nature of this dynamic crosses across all of our Political Parties, but it is within the Conservative Party where the divide between the two principles has now become so very clear, that the change that many of us for so long have been advocating, may have finally found the right place and time to actually gain traction and the process of creating a new electable party which puts voters first in every sense and can command a majority wherever it runs, can finally begin.

No, I don’t for one minute think that the Tory Party will split whilst they seem to be in power, simply because until it is set in stone that the Party can no longer win anything in its current form, there remains a chance, albeit a very slim one, that sanity is restored and comes in the form of those who vote only for themselves recognising the change in the Electoral terrain and what its true purpose is for.

But when the point comes that the Conservative Party in May’s image hits the buffers – which if the current chaos and uncertainty continue it inevitably soon will, there will come a point where all the Conservative MP’s who make up the subsequent wreckage will have the opportunity to return true democracy to the UK once more.

Give way to May today; give away the UK

December 12, 2018 Leave a comment

Following on from my earlier Blog today, there are now reports circulating that May will promise to stand down before the next General Election – with the inference that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement will go her way.

This plan sounds great for those who think the whole issue is about May.

It isn’t.

It’s about delivering Brexit, and Brexit will not be delivered if whatever we end up with is delivered by May.

The chances of the next General Election being over three years away are deceasing all the time.

The likelihood is that a General Election will be called in 2019 as a response to a question of confidence after May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement falls – if the Conservatives are bought off today by the ridiculous idea that May promising to stand down will actually remove the problem with her ‘deal’ in any meaningful way.

Her departure then at that point, would leave a new Conservative Leader dangerously exposed and with no time to develop and implement a new strategy before a Campaign begins.

Put simply, in this chain of events, May is setting up her successor to fail.

However, the very chilling reality is that with the endorsement of the Parliamentary Conservative Party today, given on these terms, May’s idea of Brexit is increasingly likely to be approved.

With UK sovereignty and independence, along with our ability to remove ourselves from this ridiculous plan treacherously given away, the Conservative Party as we know it will be at an end. When the Country wakes up to what our Politicians have done, as they inevitably will, we will have no choice but to abrogate our Membership of the EU unilaterally, potentially under very unfriendly, if not violent terms.

All this, just so Theresa May can go to bed at night feeling like she was right all along because she got her own way.

Please wake up.

Keeping May in power today will soon prove itself the much harder result for the Prime Minister, The Conservative Party and the Country itself

December 12, 2018 1 comment

That anyone in Westminster could have really felt surprised that the magic 48 was reached yesterday is actually the surprise itself.

After days and weeks of bluster about May’s welched Brexit deal being the only one available, the Prime Minister pulls the whole thing with just a few hours to spare, heads off to get a steer from Europe and whilst she’s on the plane, her Euro-chums come out to help her by making clear that there will be absolutely nothing more forthcoming.

Talk is very cheap, as the Prime Minister of 29 months quickly found out. But when you are playing a game that will result in the sovereignty of an entire Nation being needlessly flushed away in perpetuity, just because of some suicidal vanity project, anyone with a sense of any logic and reason must conclude that this is one dog that has definitely had its day.

Being out of the EU will be far better for the people and businesses of this Country.

We will soon resume our place in the world with confidence, once we have departed from the constrictions of this Foreign Power that employs a modus operandi that has always been based on doing the UK down.

That we have had so many Prime Ministers who on assuming Office have been slave to the idea that they could win against the power of the EU by being within it says much about the ignorance and lack of understanding that exists within our political culture.

Without exception, even Margaret Thatcher had a rude awakening to the cold, hard truth that the EU is an out-of-control entity that is on a continual power grab.

Each and every time it is successful, it simply moves the goalposts as it ties every Member State into surrendering more, usually on behalf of its unknowing people.

Theresa May has just played straight into their hands.

Instead of responding impartially to the Instruction of the British People, the Prime Minster has either deliberately or through sheer incompetence created a situation where even democratically elected MP’s are so fearful of what the mess she has made is now creating and will become, that they are seriously contemplating giving up the UK’s ability to be independent to a Foreign Power – and along with a whole lot more besides.

May knows that there is no strength in her position. And by standing at the lectern outside No.10 this morning and stating that the only step that a new PM could take would be to beg for an extension of Article 50, or just rescind the whole Brexit process in full, she has given the lie to the suggestion that her trip around Europe to see other Leaders would have yielded anything meaningful before she returns her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement to the mercy of this rabbit-trapped-in-the-headlights-Commons once more.

All credibility in No.10 has now left the building. What Conservatve MP’s will commit the whole Country to later today, if they fail to accept the invitation to remover her, will be a world of pain which is of their own making.

There are a number of ways that keeping May in power could unfold.

Firstly, there remains a serious risk that if May wins the Confidence Vote, she will string the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement issue out, until fear itself is used to push through the result that would then keep her in No.10.

Make no mistake, in these circumstances the EU would be very happy about everything they are about to be gifted by the unwitting, unled UK. For them May’s success will be a year of Christmases despite everything we are being publicly told. And be under no illusion about the risk of this happening, as the terror of the misnamed ‘no deal Brexit’ plays heavily upon the emotions of the unobjective Members in Parliament and too many of them see safety and a misplaced trust in the mythical changelessness of Remain.

There will be no glory for this option for the Conservatives who went with the current PM. You can rest assured that the poison of this treachery made manifest by May would very quickly rub off on many more of the Parliamentary Party with any chance of Conservatives forming a future majority government very quickly evaporating away.

As I write, the more likely result of May’s surety in Office is that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement, now lacking all credibility and there clearly being no scope to change it in any meaningful way, will fall when it finally comes to a vote.

At that point, just a few days or weeks into the new Year, we will then – at the cost of the Corbyn-led Labour Government that will surely follow, then and only then see the end of Theresa May.

Yes, May might resign following a success in a Confidence Vote, before being forced to go to the Country. But on the basis of her track record alone, if she will not resign right now today and make way, faced with a General Election in 2019, she will almost certainly do the same.

The Conservative Party will not win power again under the leadership of the current Prime Minister.

The benefit of bringing her term in No.10 to its conclusion today is that there will at least be time to prepare and publicise a new and much improved narrative before what now increasingly looks like a General Election one way or the other in 2019 is called and the campaign gets under way.

Wouldn’t it be better to have a chance of winning when it does?

Update – 1.21pm:

Shortly after first publishing this Blog today, news has began to come out that Theresa May is to announce that she will stand down before the next General Election. All I can add to this is that her deal is already dead and by continuing her Premiership, the promise of standing down before a General Election would only be likely to set up another leader to lose, whilst almost guaranteeing May’s giveaway of the UK. There is a growing chance that there will be a General Election in 2019 and the issue today is whether the Tories will approach it in a controlled way, or give in to the ‘easy’ alternative which will be more chaos, with the only beneficiary being Theresa May.

image thanks to unknown

Everyone take a deep breath because there’s only one candidate for No.10 who can pick up this shit-soaked ball and move us towards a place where the whole UK can begin to win again

December 11, 2018 2 comments

I’ve made little secret of my distaste for the damage that ambition and self-interest in politics does. So much so, I even wrote a book to help people entering politics to counter it.

But when the shit hits the proverbial fan, like it has done through the premiership of Prime Minister Theresa May, there is simply no choice but to look to how we play with the cards we have been dealt, rather than shuffling, or better still introducing a new deck to take things in a direction that resembles where they should have been.

When you spend time talking to people out in the real world about politics, you know that the question of who will replace May is something that has been playing on minds.

None of what the political world would identify as being the usual suspects within a sitting government – aka the Cabinet itself – now have the credibility or clear political disposition to take things a different way.

They are inextricably linked with May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement which is an extended version of Remain, and their behaviour guarantees that they are now personally too entrenched with a direction which runs contrary to the will of the People, for any of them to be taken seriously as a force for good which can bring us all together, rather than continue to polarise by playing to one audience whilst singing a different song to another, all under a pretence of ignoring the Electorate in the same way as May.

Yet Cabinet Members share a commonality with all of those who would now be king or queen. They are all ridiculously ambitious, and whilst in virtually every case that ambition is clearly about gaining the position and perceived kudos which goes with going our PM, it is not the responsibility itself that they covet. And that is where in a time of increasing National need, rather than bring something new and in-touch with the people to the table, they will doom us to another term of self-interest and I-know-best led government. The very same as May’s disastrous tenure, just without the same figurehead and a change of names.

Out of the obvious candidates who we recognise as being available for the Parliamentary Conservative Party to choose from, there is only one candidate who stretches beyond this, is capable of doing something different than the others, and Boris Johnson is his name.

Yes, to politicians Boris has a taste like Marmite. Ask anyone else who doesn’t like him and they will claim that ambition and buffoonery are the only things that spring to mind when you mention his name. But the thing that we all should consider much more carefully is the power of his touch. Boris can bring people together in unfathomable ways, turn electoral tides in different directions like he did in two Mayoral Elections in London, and as Leader of the Conservative Party and as our Prime Minister, when we need something very different from the Conservative Party to deal with both the EU and the risk from Corbyn’s Labour, Boris can sprinkle his form of fairy dust and turn things around in Parliament just the same.

The key to embracing the idea of Boris is to understand that whilst he is stupidly ambitious to be our next Prime Minister, there is a key part of that ambition which is very different to the other likely candidates and it is not as simple as him being a ‘Leaver’, rather than the case of many others being linked inextricably to Remain.

Boris knows his destiny is intrinsically linked with the will and direction of the people. He has the knack of being just a step ahead of the game when it comes to what people outside of the political sphere really want, and whilst there may be a flurry of big words and faffing around that accompanies it, it’s the delivery at the end of the process that people now want.

This is what Boris can give, unlike the other candidates who will sell a great sounding the story, but like May and a series of PM’s before her will never actually be in the position to deliver or give.

We simply don’t know how Boris would behave in a crisis. But his best will surely be no less than anyone else could give. Right now we need a form of political leadership that can reengage the masses, bring a good leadership team together, deliver what people have instructed and begin the process of once again making the UK a great place to live.

Until the time things have changed in Politics and we have other options, there is little doubt that a Boris-led Government is the best of what is available, and taking a risk on anything else will almost certainly be akin to going around in yet more disastrous circles and is destined to hit the skids.

image thanks to bbc.co.uk

No plan is going to solve the Brexit problem. We need leadership without the unbridled ambition and we need it now

December 6, 2018 Leave a comment

The only comfort for many of us peering into the Westminster fishbowl as it continues its daily mission to self destruct, is that there are at least some voices of reason breaking through this malaise, running contrary to the crap that various factions across the Establishment are trying to feed us, and bringing truth to power. Something that we so desperately need.

The real problem is of course, that with so many politicians so very obsessed with having their own ideas heard and prioritised – no matter the cost, very few of the people who are in the position to influence any of this mess for the better are hearing, considering or acting upon what wise voices now say.

There is an obsession with the idea that there has to be an agreed plan for however we handle Brexit. This is a fallacy and simply isn’t true. And as I wrote last July, the problem with the plan for Brexit, is that Brexit has become all about having a plan.

This whole perception that there has to be a fixed strategy in place before we can do anything at this level is one of the key reasons why Brexit and democracy itself are now in such a perilous state, and so many normal people across this Country are now feeling completely cut off from their representatives and wondering what the hell will now happen and if there is anything that anyone with any influence can actually do.

Whilst it makes curious reading when the Will of the People to Leave the EU was so clearly defined, the fact remains that there is no majority amongst our 650 MP’s for any plan or direction. A situation that in every sense possible means that for the People of the UK, democracy as good as doesn’t exist, and that the result of the EU Referendum is by a majority of our MP’s being at best ignored and at worst, clearly denied.

Getting out of this mess is not going to be easy. Not least of all because all the options that are being openly considered as being possible right now, have no guarantees that they would change anything.

A General Election might not change anything as at best we would still have most of the same politicians left in Parliament coming from the self-interested culture where the purpose of representing the people, once elected is in many cases simply forgotten if not actively denied. At worst, Theresa May could actually stay in No.10, not because she isn’t seen as the biggest part of the current problem, but that many Voters would vote strategically against the prospect of a Corbyn government – which for anyone who understands his modus operandi knows his brand of leadership is not how we want to experience the next 5 years of our future being defined.

A Referendum is in trouble before it could even be put into being, as its very existence would underscore the reality that far from only being in the process of dying, as far as the UK is concerned, democracy has already died. It doesn’t matter what stories influencers who should know better tell us, out in the real world across the UK, people haven’t changed their minds about Brexit, in fact they are more disillusioned now than ever, see the EU as the controlling foreign force that it is, and are desperate for the people elected to represent them, to actually do what they have already been told.

And whilst there are many left who are behaving like they have not just a chip, but a whole sack of spuds strewn across their shoulders, there no longer exists any such thing as the option tabled in June 2016, which is still being romanticised as ‘Remain’. The true relationship with the EU is now in a continuing process of being outed, they will never allow the UK to resume its former relationship as a Member and if the EU is seeking to keep indefinite control over our future as a condition of actually leaving them, just imagine what the price of being ‘openly’ joined to this pathway to the United States of Europe could actually do.

It may seem like the antithesis of everything accepted as being normal, but planning when we are in a situation like we are now, with so much fluidity, risk and the potential for disaster, is simply not something we have either the time, or the luxury that having reasoned debate – that the presence of a complete chamber of objective politicians would allow us to do.

We now need real leadership of a very different kind. Leadership that is guided only by the ambition of the UK and our future, with vision, humility and a respect for the age of consequence. Leadership that actually leads with the responsibility it has been given, rather than leadership which was only ever about gaining position. A situation we have no for too long been forced to try.

May must go and it is only the Conservatives who can replace her.

This talk of governments of national unity is not only dangerous, it would still be constructed of the very same people who have contributed to this unholy mess. People who are still dedicated to listening to only themselves. And with this kind of power, would continue to overlook everything that has now become important. Not least of all what the People of the UK have told them, and that everything which has happened since has itself began to model a different destiny for this Country, which requires new thinking and not giant leaps backwards of the kind to which they are clinging to – and not one to which Voters are in the majority inclined.

The question of who in Parliament could really replace May now. The ambitions of the Cabinet are now so inextricably linked to her Plan for Brexit that the question of how each and every one of their priorities, demonstrated by their acquiescence with this whole travesty could possibly show that they are now equipped to seize the moment and take this Country forward is not a story that I can honestly the Electorate stomaching for very long, should it be one that were now to be told.

Fresh starts require fresh thinking, and like the Conservative Party that is currently built around them, the Prime Minister who replaces May must be all about change, respecting the will of the people and no longer obsessed with the destructive tribal reality of thinking and acting in terms of either Leave or Remain.

Small decisions have BIG consequences: How the outcome of the Brexit process could resemble nothing anyone intended or anything that has already been seen

October 19, 2018 1 comment

small decisions

One of the biggest items of fake news reaching our screens and pages right now, is the idea, suggestion and misconception that Brexit must now come back to the People in another Referendum or ‘Peoples Vote’ to somehow make it legitimate or fair.

On 23rd June 2016, the majority of Voters taking part in the European Referendum, a genuine ‘Peoples Vote’ instructed the UK Government that our collective and democratic decision was to Leave Membership of the European Union (EU).

Contrary to repeated suggestions by many parts of the Remain camp and actions such as making challenges in the Courts and distorting the facts underlining both the Leave and Remain Campaigns and what has taken place since, the Vote was fair. The Leave result was genuine. And yes, 17.4 Million members of the Electorate of this Country did know what leaving the EU means.

However, an outcome is rarely an event in itself.

An outcome is usually the sum total of a chain of many different events or decisions leading to them, which can result in the outcome itself looking, feeling or being nothing like what the original decision directed. The result could resemble something far from what was was intended, and what it should have meant, simply because of decisions, influences and actions that enter the chain in between.

In normal life, this evolutionary process is often natural, influenced by many factors added on the way along, which are not intended on the part of anyone involved. They sit completely outside of our control and often lead to outcomes very different to what had been at any point planned or intended, but the result is overlooked, because the non-contrived and unforeseen parts of life have been introduced to the picture as we have travelled through.

Where things go wrong, particularly where big, political decisions are made, is that when a clear outcome from a process is defined, somebody or many somebodies either deliberately, or indeed unintentionally attempt and perhaps succeed in exerting influence on the process leading to that outcome.

They take action which ultimately leads things to a very different place from where they should have by that point have been, whether part of the legitimate plan, or whatever was their own. Different, because whatever the intention, once an action has been undertaken, the consequences in such circumstances are often completely out of anyones control.

Brexit is one such outcome. An outcome which is likely to look very different to what was intended when people Voted for it and equally very different to what those who have been trying to frustrate it have been intending ever since.

Whilst we obsess about the future and what we think will happen, we habitually base our predictions on the snapshot of now. We overlook the events which contributed or created the pathway which brought us to this point in time right now, which with different decisions and influences could have already looked very different indeed.

We also overlook what pandering to the noisy fears of idealistic people without vision or responsibility could deliver in terms of the final destination, if the real priorities of our EU departure are not kept in mind and the direction of travel kept patently clear.

Brexit, and the decision which demands its delivery in its genuine sense, wasn’t simply created on that night when the Votes of the EU Referendum were counted in June 2016.

But just as the UK Leaving the EU as the result of a Referendum wasn’t foreseen in the days of Thatcher, it doesn’t now mean that there is a trouble-free license to interfere with, redirect or invalidate the will of the British people when it comes to delivering the Brexit process, by manipulating the pathway to delivery at every opportunity in between.

Looking back on the events since the UK joined what was the Common Market, it is worth considering since the last days of the Thatcher Government, how each event and small decision surrounding Government has resulted in the cumulative outcome which is Brexit today.

The Brexit result did not come about by design although many Leavers would now leverage the benefit of hindsight to say ‘We told you so’.

Yes, there was every reason to believe that the UK would ultimately exit the European Union through some kind of fracture like an economic crash or the destruction of the Euro. But nobody either within the Leave contingent or the Remain-led Establishment itself really thought it would be a democratic plebiscite which would drive a wholly different, yet legitimate wedge between the UK and Membership of the EU.

The point to consider, whether your bias is Leave or Remain, is that no matter the nature or motivation of your intention, when you interfere with a process or take a course of action where you are attempting to dictate the outcome, you can neither predict nor control what the final result or outcome will actually be.

These words of caution are aimed at anyone who is, has or will attempt to manipulate the pathway or destination of Brexit.

Brexit is a genie that is completely out of its bottle and the result of all the bad choices, deliberate deceptions and meddling is going to take the UK to a destination which has not been anticipated, cannot be controlled and will never again resemble a place in the World where even recently we may have been.

The first real divide which resembled what we now know as Leave and Remain found its genesis at the time of the Thatcher Government.

The fractures came about because of the way that what we now know as the EU has been constructed, how it operates and how so little about its modus operandi is understood.

The pathway, often littered with wholly pro-EU acts on the part of Prime Ministers and their Cabinet Colleagues who should have known better, ultimately led to the Brexit Vote result. An outcome that was never the Establishment’s intention.

If you want to give thought to how Brexit could now play out as a result of the fractures and differences in ideas between people who should now be focusing on what we have in common, rather than the temporary ideas that we do not, this is probably the best place to begin.

The European Referendum Vote was the opening of the door and the outcome of a chain of many different events.

It wasn’t an instruction for MP’s or other people with Establishment influence to try and negotiate the steps that we take to get out.

The Result was a call to action. The Vote was a command. The outcome was a clear instruction that we Leave and only then review what remains between the UK and the EU. We the Electorate had no reason to doubt that it would be delivered in a way which would be fair, transparent and above all would be diligently true to that instruction.

Here follows a look at the Chain of events which led to the European Referendum result; to May’s tenure, and to a future which is far from certain.

Just as the events discussed and speculated upon before the EU Referendum led to the requirement of a Brexit outcome, the impact and consequences of the events and outcomes that have followed leave us today in the position that we cannot be sure of what will come to pass. That is before anything else is decided or done, and the choices which lead to those decisions and actions may be small, or they may appear to be large.

PLEASE NOTE: The following has been written as a way of provoking thought about events and outcomes that have happened compared to what could have been if different decisions had been made and subsequent actions taken. It is not a suggestion that any of the circumstances outlined would definitely have happened if different choices had actually been made. It also doesn’t consider the impact of the many other options which those involved had, or the events and outcomes that did and could have influenced any one or indeed all of the events as they appear in this inexhaustive list.

 1990

Margaret Thatcher ‘Regicide’ by the Conservative Party Europhiles

‘No, No, No’ seems like ancient history now. But many of us overlook the key event to the creation of the schism between Conservatives who at any other time would be friends.

Like all of our new, ambitious and confident Prime Ministers since, Margaret Thatcher underestimated the resolve and deviousness of the EU to achieve their long-term aim of a European Superstate through a drip-drip-drip strategy built on ‘no-return’ for each and every power transferred to the Brussels based autocratic centre.

When the point came for Mrs Thatcher, when she knew things had already gone too far, many of her closest Cabinet Members had already gone ‘Euro-native’. They were committed to this supranational, undemocratic ideal and were unwilling to support the Prime Minister in doing anything to turn things around.

The key players in bringing down the last real Tory PM, such as the still vocal Michael (now Lord) Heseltine, didn’t themselves gain the Conservative Party Leadership as part of this first of many disengaging and disenfranchising processes with the public.

Instead, under the typical Europhile appearance of compromise, the post was given to one of the biggest pro-Europe Conservatives we have ever seen.

What if different decisions had been made: It is easy to look back and assume that things would have been different if Maggie had stayed. She may well have given us the Referendum that her successor never did before the Maastricht Treaty was signed and in 1991 or 1992. She could have easily secured the solid working majority Commons that Major was not destined to do. But after 11 years of Leadership including 3 General Election Wins, a war in the Falklands and many battles with the EU and domestically back home, we can only wonder if she had the energy and clout left to take the Conservatives into another Term. As any eurosceptic who was around at the time would honestly tell you, the public at large were not at that point really awake to the creeping control and danger presented by the then version of the EU, and it’s impact had not arrived in ways that put the issue firmly in people’s minds.

John Major ‘Crowned’ PM

In what seemed like an unexpected choice to those watching on from a distance, the open warfare in the Conservative Party following Margaret Thatcher’s ejection from Office led to the Election of what appeared to be a compromise candidate – John Major.

Coming immediately from the post of Chancellor, Major had just overseen the entry of the UK into the EU’s Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), the precursor to the Single Currency or ‘Euro’.

What if different decisions had been made: Although a growing element of the Parliamentary Conservative Party was becoming increasingly suspicious of the direction of EU travel, few had the understanding that Thatcher had belatedly obtained. The appearance of a split in the philosophical framework of the Conservative Party made what was sold as compromise in the selection of a replacement for Margaret Thatcher all but inevitable. John Major had a track record at Cabinet level, what was at the time seen as being an essential qualification for the ‘top job’. Another Conservative Leader could have been Elected, but Thatcher was likely to have been the only Leader capable of taking on the EU at that time. She was not supported by the ‘big beasts’ to do so, so any new Leader who was in anyway Eurosceptic was going to have a very troubled time. 

1992

Maastricht Treaty

John Major’s ‘big moment’ was committing the UK to the Maastricht Treaty in early 1992.

What if different decisions had been made: The significance of Maastricht along the road to surrendering more and more power to the EU cannot be overstated. It is arguably true that this was a point when a Referendum on Membership should have been held.

We cannot be sure that a Vote at this point would have gone against remaining and therefore further committing to the EU or that the result would have instructed Major’s Government to Leave.

With three distinct groups present in the European Membership debate i.e. those who are blindly committed to the EU superstate, those who don’t care or aren’t really sure what any of it’s about and those who are against it, it is reasonably safe to argue that in 1992, the deck was still stacked to what we now know as ‘Remain’.

Members of the second group are always more likely to endorse the status quo, whatever direction that might be.

If Major had gone to the People, what question would he have asked? Was it even possible to ask a question which wouldn’t then have created a debate in which the ‘European Dream’ could not therefore last?

As it was, Major doubled down and used every trick in the politicians handbook to push greater commitment to the EU through, ironically outing the Euroscpetics as ‘Bastards’ for using the same methods that he was too.

General Election

Major’s Conservatives win an unexpected, but wafer thin majority.

What if different decisions had been made: Neil Kinnock, then Labour Leader and perhaps an even bigger Europhile than John Major would have made it into No.10. Significant tranches of EU assimilation policy such as Devolution/Regionalisation may well have made it onto the Statute book sooner. We may not have been taken out of the ERM, which in turn could have committed us to losing the Pound and gaining the single currency. Labour may never have had John Smith or Tony Blair as Leaders. We could have had a Tory Government again at the end of Kinnock’s first Term in 1996 or 1997. There is no certainty that we would have become involved in the Wars in Iraq or Afghanistan, if in turn they had happened.

John Smith becomes Labour Leader

With Neil Kinnock having failed to Lead the Labour Party back to power in either 1987 or 1992, it was time for him to step down.

John Smith, the respected Scottish Labour MP was elected Labour Leader and settled in to taking Labour in a new direction.

What if different decisions had been made: Had another Labour MP been Elected Opposition Leader at this point, there is a very good chance that they would have led Labour into the 1997 General Election rather than Tony Blair. This could have presented the Electorate with a very different choice and may have been the end of the New Labour project before it even began.

UK exit from the ERM

John Major’s most regrettable moment was the day that then Chancellor Norman (Now Lord) Lamont had to take the UK out of the ERM.

What if different decisions had been made:  Our economy could have been destroyed by staying within the harmonisation system, owing to the ERM requirement for the currencies of Members States to be very tightly synchronised. Up and coming politicians such as Tony Blair and Gordon Brown might not have seen the obvious risks of adopting the Euro as a shared currency. John Major might have gone on to win the 1997 General Election, bearing in mind that it was events like this which allowed Major’s Conservative Party to be financially inept, when the truth was no such thing.

1994

Tony Blair becomes Labour Leader

Following the untimely death of John Smith, the Labour Party Leadership Contest that followed was a watershed moment for the Labour Party and was to become the point that the New Labour project as an electoral force was born.

What if different decisions had been made: Another Labour MP would have been their Leader. Gordon Brown may have taken the job. Labour may not have won the 1997 General Election. Labour May not have won three General Elections in a row. The Iraq War might never of happened or the UK might never have become involved. Labour’s 1997-2010 overspend and the 2010 onwards period of ‘Austerity’ might never have come into being.

1997

General Election

New Labour’s historic landslide victory decimated the Tory Party, destroyed Conservative confidence and committed the UK to the direction of a charismatic and equally ambitious Prime Minister who saw their career as being very much aligned towards a bigger ‘world’ stage.

What if different decisions had been made: John Major’s Conservatives may have won another Term. There may have been a hung parliament or coalition government. Devolution might never of happened. The Scottish Parliament might not exist. The Welsh Assembly might not exist. We might not have signed the Lisbon Treaty. We might never have entered the single market as it stands today. We might never have had a question over Free Movement and Immigration. We may never have been involved in Iraq of Afghanistan. We might never have had such a significant debt in 2010, that Austerity – even as an idea had been deemed necessary. We might already have been out of Europe.

William Hague becomes Tory Leader

20 Years after his famous Conservative Party Conference Speech as a 16 year old, William Hague is elected Leader of the Conservative Party.

Inheriting a Parliamentary group which felt itself destroyed by the Labour victory earlier that year, Hague effectively walked into a role where keeping the Conservative Party engine running was about all that he could reasonably do in the circumstances. His greatest unacknowledged success was likely to be preventing the Party from becoming the spent force that it could have been.

What if different decisions had been made: Conservative Party may never have returned to Government. Hague may have become Tory Leader later, and then even PM himself.

1997 onwards

Devolution

Probably one of the biggest fibs told by Blair, his Government and the Labour Party was the one about his idea for Devolution and the ‘devolved Assemblies’.

Always part of the ‘European Plan’ to break up National identities into smaller, controllable Regions that could never again seek to acquire or execute power in a national form, on his ascendency Blair immediately embraced Devolution to win favour with the heads of the EU. He actually sold it to the Public as being a process of bringing democracy closer to people.

The truth was that Devolution and Regionalisation was all part of a process of creating hollow forms of ‘localised’ Government with real power being taken away from the UK and deposited undemocratically in Brussels to be used in a very different and autocratic form.

The sprat to catch the mackerel was the things like big funding giveaways to local areas, all branded as being available only with European Funding. You’ve seen the signs telling you everywhere that it was European Money being spent on this project and that. But this was always British Taxpayers money, redistributed, rebranded and packaged as a way of promoting European generosity when it was quite another thing altogether. It was a bribe in its most basic form.

What if different decisions had been made: There might not have been a Scottish Parliament. The SNP might have never secured an Independence Vote. Nicola Sturgeon may never have been the Holyrood Lead. Ruth Davidson might already be an MP in the Westminster Parliament. The UK might not have been at significant risk of breakup as it is today.

1999

Establishment of Scottish Parliament

Following the Devolution process, the Scottish Parliament was first established in May 1999.

What if different decisions had been made: We may never have had the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum. David Cameron may never have weaponised the SNP by making unnecessary concessions the morning after. The Conservatives might never have won a majority in the 2015 General Election. The 2016 European Referendum may never have happened. Brexit as a word could have never been invented. None of us would now be worrying what Leave might look like. Theresa May might never have been Prime Minister. We might now have Ed Milliband as Prime Minister, working his way towards a 2020 General Election. Jeremy Corbyn might never have become Labour Leader.

2001

General Election

Tony Blair’s New Labour win an almost identical result to the 1997 General Election, leaving the Conservative Party well and truly stumped.

What if different decisions had been made: William Hague might have been Prime Minister. There could have been a completely different Leader of the Labour Party soon after. We might have left Afghanistan earlier. We might never have been involved in the Iraq War. We might now have had a Labour Government led by a politician who we will now never know.

Iain Duncan Smith becomes Tory Leader

William Hague steps down and hands over the Opposition Leadership keys to Iain Duncan Smith (IDS).

The only real commonality between the two is being the butt of press ridicule and the hard reality that under both periods of Leadership, the Conservative Party appears to be going nowhere.

What if different decisions had been made: It’s quite possible that another Tory MP would have become Conservative Party Leader. The Tories might have won the 2005 General Election. We might never have been involved in Iraq.

You are beginning to get the picture.

2003

Michael Howard becomes Tory Leader

IDS accepts that he cannot lead the Conservative Party as it is. Michael (Now Lord) Howard has previous Government experience, is a ‘seasoned’ politician and is Elected Party Leader.

Howard’s arrival heralds the first real indications that the Conservative Party is ready to embrace change.

What if different decisions had been made: The Conservative Party might have not returned to Government in 2010. David Cameron may not have been Elected Tory Leader in 2005 and become Prime Minister in 2010. The SNP might not have bee given a Referendum. Brexit may never have happened….

Are you starting to picture the links?

2005

General Election

Tony Blair wins New Labour Election Victory No.3. The Tories pick up a few seats and there is a sense of small change, but in practical terms, at this stage at least, it resembles none.

What if different decisions had been made: Michael Howard would have been Prime Minister. Gordon Brown might never have become Labour Leader and in 2007, the PM. David Cameron may never have become Tory Leader. The Lisbon Treaty may never have been signed. The Immigration issue might never have materialised. The Scottish Referendum might never have happened. Brexit might not have been invented. We might now have another Labour Government with a PM who would have been….?

David Cameron becomes Tory Leader

Following the Tories third successive defeat to New Labour, Michael Howard knows that he has to do what is best for the direction of the Conservative Party which means only one thing.

Howard remains leader whilst a Tory Leadership Campaign takes shape, leaving contenders ‘2001 new boy David Cameron’ and ‘Europhile Big Beast Ken Clarke’ to fight it out for a Membership Vote Win.

David Cameron wins the Leadership race and becomes Tory Leader.

What if different decisions had been made: Ken Clarke might have become Prime Minister in 2010. We might now be more involved with the EU than ever before and Brexit would for many still be a hopeless dream. Gordon Brown might have won a Labour Majority in 2010, or at worst, been the leader of a Labour/Lib Dem Coalition, with the Tories perhaps broken, reforming as a new party or doing something else somewhere in between. The Milliband Brothers might still have been on a Labour Front Bench. Jeremy Corbyn could still be out of sight on the back benches.

2007

Gordon Brown ‘Crowned’ PM

Awaiting his moment noisily in No.11, Gordon Brown became Prime Minister on Tony Blair’s Resignation in June 2007.

Without the same skills and attributes of his immediate predecessor, Brown was unable to wow the crowds. The biggest moment of his tenure probably came with the event of the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis when his Government bailed out the privately owned Banks using Public Money, thereby sending the National Debt stratospheric from the point where after 10 years of Labour profligate spending already, it should never ever have already been.

What if different decisions had been made: We might have had a different Labour Prime Minister from 2007 until the next General Election which could have come in 2009 or 2010. Labour could have won a majority in 2010 or been the lead player in a hung parliament. David Cameron might never have been PM. Nick Clegg could still be in frontline Politics. The Lib Dems could now have been the third biggest Party in Parliament.

2010

General Election

The result of the General Election is hung.

Backroom deals are the flavour of the day, and whilst Brown sits it out in No.10 hoping for enough support to patch together a ‘Rainbow Coalition’ which keeps the Tories out of power, Nick Clegg does a deal with David Cameron which creates the Coalition Government with Cameron as PM and Clegg as Deputy PM.

As part of ‘the deal’, Cameron agrees to a Referendum on an Alternative Vote system. The two also agree to pass the Fixed Term Parliaments Act, which technically secures a standard 5-year term for any Government, and removes the ability of a sitting PM to call a General Election without having to ‘work’ the Parliamentary system to do so.

A disproportionate number of Lib Dem MP’s secure Ministerial Office, causing significant upset within the Conservative Party.

Nick Clegg is forced to renege on his commitment to scrap Tuition Fees for Students.

Gordon Brown steps down as Labour Party Leader.

What if different decisions had been made: Gordon Brown could have remained PM and leader of a ‘Rainbow Coalition made up of Labour, the Lib Dems, the SNP etc. David Cameron might have resigned. The Scottish Independence Referendum might have been held and Independence won. There might not have been an EU Referendum in 2016. There might have been a different Conservative Leader of the opposition fighting the 2015 General Election. David Milliband could have been the next Labour Leader.

Ed Milliband becomes Labour Leader

Now consigned to the memory of just a few, Gordon Brown’s departure left a vacancy which led to a fight between two ambitious politicians, but one of a family kind too.

Both David Milliband, who had ministerial experience, and his younger brother Ed, squared up to each other in a campaign which to this day has a cloud over it because of the way that the Labour Party attributed votes to this Leadership race.

Despite lacking the level of credibility of his older brother, Ed won the Labour Leadership.

What if different decisions had been made: David Milliband could have become Labour Leader and might now have been Prime Minister too. Jeremy Corbyn might never have become Labour Leader. Theresa May might never have become Prime Minister. Boris could still have been London Mayor.

2011

The Alternative Vote Referendum (AV)

Purely at the insistence of new Deputy PM Nick Clegg, and as one of the key ‘prices’ of 5 years support in Coalition for the Tory-led Government and David Cameron as PM, a Referendum was held in early May to consider replacing the First Past The Post electoral system with AV instead.

Based on Proportional Representation, the system favours small Political Parties and moves the emphasis from voting for a named representative to direct Party support.

Proportional Representation is a much less democratic system, focusing the shift towards supporting policy in a snapshot moment, which is always thereafter subject to change, in stead of providing the opportunity to select the best person to represent a constituency and be responsible in adapting to the changes during their elected term, but always doing so in respect of the common good.

The vote was lost by an overwhelming majority against the change of 67.9%.

What if different decisions had been made: It is likely that First Past the Post would now be dead, and all political offices would be elected using forms of proportional representation. We might never again have a majority Government sitting in the Westminster Parliament. Anything that the public now vote for might never again even have the chance to matter, because policy would always be decided between the Political Groups who make deals after each election to patch together a coalition, because none of them could achieve an outright win. We might never have had a European Referendum. David Cameron might have been the last ever Conservative PM. Jeremy Corbyn might never again have been elected as an MP.

2014

European Elections

I’ve included the European Parliamentary Elections in 2014, not because the European Parliament itself is influential. It is not.

The Parliament is little more than a patsy, created only to give the wider EU autocracy the appearance of being a democratic institution. It is not.

It is included because of the UK Result, which saw the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) win an additional 11 Seats, making them the biggest UK presence with 24 Seats in the European Parliament.

The result sent shockwaves through Westminster. UKIP was suddenly a real electoral threat to the Establishment ‘status quo’.

What if different decisions had been made: It is likely to have been the key deciding factor in David Cameron’s promise to hold a Referendum on EU Membership as part of his 2015 Manifesto for the General Election Campaign. It is likely that he thought the result would be another 5 years of Coalition with the Lib Dems at best, or at worst, a Vote he would have lost and seen Ed Milliband in No.10.

Would Cameron have promised the EU Referendum if he had been certain of electoral victory in 2015? We may never honestly know.

Scottish Independence Referendum

The result of the Referendum on the Question of Scottish Independence on 14th September 2014 was a majority against of 55.3% to yes of 44.7%.

The outcome itself may not have had any significant impact upon anything other than what the SNP would do next.

It was David Cameron’s decision to come out on to the steps of No.10 the following morning and make a range of commitments to the SNP, which was probably a lot more influential upon what was now in store.

What if different decisions had been made: Scotland might now be an independent Country. But the SNP might well have committed the Scots to Remaining within the EU at that time if the different chronology had given the EU a different view. That is of course if the 2015 General Election result had subsequently been the same.

2015

General Election

David Cameron’s Conservatives win an unexpected small, but nonetheless working majority in the Commons.

The Coalition is over. Cameron is committed to holding the European Referendum.

What if different decisions had been made: Ed Milliband would have been Prime Minister. The European Referendum would never have been held. We might ask the question what is Brexit? Jeremy Corbyn would never have become Labour Leader. Labour Momentum would never have existed.

Jeremy Corbyn becomes Labour Leader

No. It was far from being a certainty. Yet Jeremy Corbyn cleaned up in the Labour Leadership Election following Ed Milliband’s post-General Election Resignation.

Corbyn was never taken seriously as a Candidate, and it is regrettably likely that at other times sensible Labour MP’s gave him their support to run, with the intent of causing disruption to the Campaigns of more credible participants. Those who did so were blind to the even the short-term realities of the outcome if Corbyn actually won.

Which he did.

What if different decisions had been made: Labour might have had a more credible, mainstream leader, who isn’t a Marxist at their core. Labour may well have won the 2017 General Election. The Brexit Negotiations might have now been in the hands of a Labour Leader. Theresa May might never have become Prime Minister. Boris might now be leader of the opposition.

2015-16

David Cameron’s EU ‘Renegotiation’

The Renegotiation of the relationship between the UK and EU that never was.

It is likely that following on from the many dubious wins against an unknowing pubic in which ambitious politicians had previously used manipulation, spin and complete bullshit to win before, Cameron had concluded that big theatrics and dramatics suggesting real effort resulting in something meaningful, would line him up for a Referendum Win.

The reality was that Cameron never achieved anything even remotely meaningful in his ‘renegotiations’, and the EU was already viewing the intrsigence of a Member State which had the audacity to question its future with the EU as being insubordinate and behaviour which must quickly be consigned to the bin.

So sure of success was Cameron and his closest allies such as then Chancellor George Osborne, that they never even began work on putting together the steps of a Contingency Plan, if their attempted stitch-up leading to a Remain Win in the EU Referendum was then denied.

What if different decisions had been made: In theory, Cameron could have really gone for the jugular when he squared up to ask the questions of the EU, from which real results could have given him a genuine Referendum Win.

In reality, the EU has made very clear that every nation which becomes a Member is restricted to the same rules and must therefore consider itself without any real means of having separate identity.

Once you are in, it doesn’t matter what bullshit you give to Voters (or sleeping politicians), you accept that EU Members States behave as one.

2016

European Referendum

The Leave or No Vote wins 51.9% to 48.1% (A difference of 1,269, 501 Votes with a 72.21% turnout of the Electorate).

Britain’s Exit – thereafter known as ‘Brexit’ is born.

What if different decisions had been made: David Cameron would probably have still been our PM. We may well have now been on the way to adopting the Euro. We might well have been up to our necks in surrendering what’s left of the armed services to the new ‘Euro Army’. There would probably have been an increase in European workers coming to the UK. The rate of Public Services crashing through lack of funding may well have increased substantially. The list of more and more powers being surrendered to Brussels would probably now have been much much longer. It is likely that the true designs of the EU to become the United States of Europe would now be in the open, either directly, but more likely through yet more manipulative PR management which is designed to make all of us think that everything is staying the same.

David Cameron Resigns

Probably one of the most notable ‘oh fuck’ moments of recent UK political history, would have come at around 25 minutes to 5 on the morning of 24th June 2016, to the then occupant of No.10.

We know that Cameron didn’t see the No Vote coming. We know he didn’t because the Establishment didn’t expect it. And there are a great many Leavers who despite voting NO, didn’t quite believe it was possible to win our Freedom through a democratic process too.

To be fair to David Cameron, he clearly never believed in Brexit. Although he had given the impression that he would lead the implementation of a No result, accepting that he could not deliver something that he didn’t himself want and that resigning was therefore the right thing, was almost certainly the most responsible thing for him to do in the circumstances. Unfortunately, it was a point missed by Remainers in the Cabinet who coveted the top job.

What if different decisions had been made: If Cameron had stayed, there may have been many similarities to the current Premiership of Theresa May, in that his heart would not have been in Brexit and instead of building a relationship between two separate entities, he would have likely focused all efforts on doing the absolute minimum that would be seen to qualify as ‘Leave’. 

Alternatively, he might well have embraced the instruction from the British People in the spirit that it was given, and done everything to get the best from a situation where nobody from either side could genuinely predict everything that could be achieved.

The big difference is likely to have been that Cameron is unlikely to have called the 2017 General Election, which would have in turn given him choices with a working majority, that Theresa May would by now never have.

Boris knifed

It was an open secret that Boris had returned to the Commons as an MP with the Leadership of the Tory Party in mind.

So when Cameron lit the fuse on the Leadership contest, few were under any illusion that Boris wouldn’t be one of the two final contenders when the Vote went out to Conservative Party Members.

That was until on the morning of Boris announcing his Candidacy, Michael Gove’s change of mind in supporting him as a Leadership Contender came fully into view.

Boris had nowhere to go. And whilst the true aim of Gove’s decision to pull the rug from under Boris’s Leadership chances may never be known, the intervention did nothing to help Gove’s own hopes of becoming Conservative Party Leader.

Before anyone had the chance to take a second breath, the contest was already down to just two.

What if different decisions had been made: Despite the many voices ranged against him, Boris Johnson was likely to have become PM, and was almost certain to have done so if the question had gone out to Conservative Party Members.

The talk of Boris being nothing but ambition rang true, not simply because Boris was and remains ambitious – he does. But because it is the same ambition that is rife amongst all the senior Members of the Conservative Party, who are desperate for their leadership hopes to come to fruition – no matter the real cost.

Boris may be to some no more than a lovable buffoon. But what he has which beyond the pure, unadulterated form of ambition which drives many of his Conservative colleagues, is the skill to read and often be a step ahead of the public mood, just in time to make decisions that can actually work out well for Voters too.

This ability is likely to have served him very well during negotiations with the EU, and in delivering a clean Brexit. Because Boris being loyal to Boris, he would have ensured that he was committed to delivering what the real public – that’s everyone beyond the bubble of Westminster – has demanded that the PM and Party of Government should actually achieve.

Boris’ moment may come again very soon. But the terrain is now much different and outcomes that could have easily been very different if different choices had been made, will now influence the outcomes of responding actions and outcomes to come, whether deliberate or otherwise.

Whether or not Boris would be good leading the UK in a crisis situation, like the wartime Leader Churchill who he wishes us to see his behaviour modelled upon is a different question altogether.

Like May being ‘Crowned’ in 2016 to ‘take care of Brexit’, we might soon step into a very different kind of Government Leadership which will not be about Leave or Remain, but responding simply to a very long list of unknowns.

Andrea Leadsom exits Tory Leadership contest

Leadsom seemed to appear from nowhere and as such, didn’t appear to have the baggage of the other final contestant in the Tory Leadership Campaigns – Theresa May.

But where May had made keeping her mouth shut during the European Referendum an art form, Leadsom’s inexperience with the Media regrettably led her into a mess over making comments relating to her understanding as a mother which was unavailable to Theresa May. From that moment, her time as a Candidate to become next Prime Minister was pretty much done.

What if different decisions had been made: Theresa May might not have been Prime Minister, as Leadsom may have been much more appealing to the Conservative Party Membership, once the Campaigning side of Theresa May which we only saw in the 2017 General Election Campaign had come into general view. The 2017 General Election might never have been called. The Conservatives might now have a working majority to push through a meaningful Brexit.

Theresa May ‘Crowned’ PM

With Andrea Leadsom stepping out of the Tory Leadership Contest, Theresa May become the de facto Conservative Leader Elect.

Cameron quickly went to the Queen and stepped aside.

May entered Downing Street giving everyone the impression that when it came to Brexit, she was now committed and very much on the UK side.

What if different decisions had been made: Pretty much what has been discussed under Boris and Andrea Leadsom above. But May wouldn’t have been PM and the chances are that one way or another, we would not be in such a terrible mess as we are today.

2017

Article 50 Triggered

At the end of March 2017, Theresa May triggered Article 50, the device or ‘clause’ for a Member nation to Leave the EU.

This action started a 2-year countdown to 11pm on Friday 29th March 2019, when the UK would formally leave EU Membership.

What if different decisions had been made: Triggering Article 50 – assuming that the UK leaving the EU would always be conducted in relation to EU processes – was not a question of if, but was certainly a question of when.

May could have waited and overseen full preparation before doing so which would ideally have included a real understanding of what Brexit must achieve, therefore allowing the negotiations between Triggering Article 50 and Leaving to be meaningful in between.

Alternatively, May could have got on with triggering Artcile 50 much sooner, working on Brexit from the point of the UK being independent and then developing a new relationship with the EU for whatever would then happen for the future, rather than doing everything possible to Remain, whilst doing the absolute minimum to sell her efforts as a commitment to Leave.

General Election

It was so clear that Theresa May was sure of Victory and of winning an increased majority that would ensure her plans for Brexit were delivered.

Despite the Party machine not being ready, there already being a small but nonetheless working majority in the Commons in place, nor the fact her ability as a ‘street-fighting campaign leader’ had ever been tested, May listened to the Polls, went for the General Election, and assumed that like everything else, public support was no more than a question of applying process, and that her glowing future would soon be in the bag.

Things quickly began to unwind. Corbyn proved himself good on the stump, making hollow promises which appealed to aspirations without any respect for practicality, and the Lib Dems, still nowhere after the 2015 rejection, were not even in the middle and nowhere to be seen.

May couldn’t match Corbyn on the Campaign trail and was soon exposed as not being ‘natural’ with people, being far too scripted, meanwhile exhibiting all the behaviour which has made the label ‘Maybot’ stick – and in doing so seem very fair.

What if different decisions had been made: May could have had a working majority now BEFORE attempting to do deals to allow for the Conservative die-hard Remain faction. The Parliamentary pathway to where we are now might have been much smoother over recent months, giving the PM more room to play with as she dealt with the EU. Olly Robbins would probably not have been the Civil Servant leading the Brexit negotiations.

£1 Billion that could have been spent elsewhere on Public Services might not have been firehosed at Northern Ireland at the price of securing 10 DUP Votes for the duration of the Parliamentary Term.

2018

‘The Chequers Plan’

In the Summer of 2018, May’s true credentials as a Remainer Prime Minister and her Plan to welch on Brexit finally came into view.

Within days, David Davis, then Brexit Secretary and then Boris Johnson, then Foreign Secretary had resigned.

Yet all other Cabinet Ministers remained still and quiet, heralding yet more concessions on the part of the MP’s who had the real ability to stop this whole charade, and rescue Brexit from the mess it is now; the sell-out of democracy that in May’s hands, it is still likely to be.

What if different decisions had been made: More of the Cabinet could and arguably should have resigned.

The cumulative numbers of resignation at the top level would have soon made May’s continued Premiership untenable and a new Conservative Leader would have by now been crowned.

That there has only ever been talk of further Cabinet Resignations until now is a worrying sign.

For the Conservative Party, it may mean a bleak future. Culturally, the Cabinet incumbents are far more focused on lining themselves up ‘securely’ for a leadership bid, rather than doing for the Country all that is right. 

The thing that they all need to remember is that no matter what they do or choose, only one of the current crop of Conservative MP’s could replace May as Prime Minister, but the ridiculousness of their own ambition is now making even that option look very tough indeed.

In Summary & Ending

As I suggested earlier, these points are all a view of what has happened, set against just a few of the possibilities of what could have been if sometimes very small decisions had been made.

The point I am making is that from small decisions, BIG consequences are formed. And those consequences are rarely apparent in immediate view.

Consequences can be anticipated and accurately so. But they cannot be controlled and it is certainly true that every action will have a reaction, even when the person or persons taking that action are no longer involved.

Theresa May and the Establishment, along with the EU are currently doing everything that they can to manufacture a very different kind of Brexit to the one which the People intended, either deliberately or through acts of unintended stupidity.

These are actions that are not only going to impact on the true outcome of Brexit, but on many other things in both the UK and Europe which right now are out of sight, out of mind.

Because of their actions in trying to manipulate Brexit, they will ultimately deliver unintended consequences and outcomes which would otherwise unlikely to have ever been seen.

 

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