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Events this week have ensured Boris will only win the General Election on a ‘no deal’ ticket. Conservative MPs who believe otherwise should step aside

October 9, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019Good leaders cannot be all things to all people. In fact, the best leaders don’t even try.

Boris enters a danger zone every time he flirts with the concept of One Nation Conservatism. But has found a winning formula with ‘lets get Brexit done’.

It is on the basis of focusing purely on getting Brexit done and making it stick, that for the Conservatives – in all likelihood with the help of Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party – the upcoming General Election will be won.

After more than three years of this woeful Brexit process and in particular the events that have transpired this week, it should be realistic for voters in this Country to be able to expect that MPs on all sides of Parliament would now accept that there were only two choices when the question of Leaving the EU was put to the People. And that when the People were asked about our future relationship, the People Voted to Leave.

Strange as it might therefore seem, for a number of Conservative MPs this certainly isn’t a view that they share with the Voting Public, and they are apparently up in arms about the prospect of a Conservative General Election Manifesto that is based on a clean or purist ‘no deal’ Brexit alone.

There is not, will not be and never has been a halfway house or middle way with Brexit.

This truth has been confirmed and clarified by Angela Merkel this week.

For any MP to stand against the will of the majority of the People on the basis that they personally want to Remain, when it is now clear that the only way the UK can actually Leave the EU is to do so cleanly without a so-called ‘deal’ is not only undemocratic. It is disingenuous in the extreme.

The only way that the Conservative Party can now survive the process of destruction that is underway within our political system, is to become the Party that will deliver that clinical form of Brexit and be open to the opportunities for meaningful reform that will come next, based upon moving on determinedly from the old politics and broken ideologies that serve political parties, but not the People anymore.

To achieve this, Boris, his Party and his MPs will have to look favourably upon help from the Brexit Party and shed any Conservative Candidate – whether a current MP or other – who believes that Brexit can be delivered without the complete separation of the UK from the EU, and therefore continuing to play a three-year-plus-and-counting game of pin the tail on the donkey somewhere in between.

People are not only fed up with but completely bewildered by the behaviour of our MPs, their disregard for democracy and their continuing attempts to overturn Brexit.

We will all be grateful for true leadership that takes us out of the EU and recognises that Brexit is just the doorway to where real and meaningful reform of government and the political system in this Country begins.

There is no place for MPs and politicians in the UK’s future who cannot move on and accept that it’s time to leave the selfishness and self-serving behaviour of the old politics behind.

 

Has Boris blown Brexit?

September 11, 2019 Leave a comment

Politics is no longer just broken. Our current Parliament is in the process of crushing democracy into dust as well – and is attempting to break our system of law and the constitution itself as they do.

What is most difficult for the real people outside of Westminster to fathom, is whether this treacherous rump of MPs is really so detached from reality that they believe they can do whatever they want, tell the people that they are doing the right thing, and they will then be believed and that we will ultimately thank them for taking things their own way.

It certainly looks that way. The problem for MPs is that over three years of blatant lies, obfuscation and outright contempt for the electorate, completely in the open and plain for all to see, has made even the most disenfranchised members of the UK electorate aware of how things are now so very wrong and how they actually should be.

Regrettably for Boris, his options and therefore chance to get his legacy as prime minister right have been all-too-predictably slim. And with his exquisite choice of appointing Dominic Cummings as his principal advisor and at the same time tying himself to the flawed concept of One Nation Conservatism as the only way to deliver Brexit, he is now on the cliff edge of being the Prime Minister that consigned Brexit – and our democracy – to the bin.

His decision to rebuff Nigel Farage’s offer of an electoral pact will surely come back to haunt him – and all of us. Not just because he has in all likelihood just removed any chance of a ‘no deal’ Brexit for the foreseeable future, but because he is likely to have just made the decision that could lead to a General Election this Autumn in which a Marxist – by default – will win.

Whilst Boris might well find the prospect of working with the Brexit Party unpalatable, the truth is that it is only by working with them that the Conservative Party can now precipitate a General Election and win.

People can see what the collective Opposition in Parliament are doing. And the deadline of Halloween that Boris has committed to will not be a problem for him if the delay is out of his hands. But a purely Conservative victory – based on his now clear commitment to the old politics which is One Nation Conservatism – is not an outcome that is within his grasp.

The focus now must be delivering Brexit and nothing more. There is nothing else that any MP has the power to control. And it is only the delivery of a proper, guaranteed no-deal, no-ties, no EU-rule-sharing Brexit that will give the UK the positive future – that works for all of us – that the majority of the British Public now want to be assured.

The implications of the poor choices that Boris now appears to be making could quickly prove to be disastrous for us all.

Whilst hard, late and a minefield in every form, the pathway from the 23rd of July still allowed for Boris to get Brexit right. He just needed to be a leader and do what was necessary – and right.

Unfortunately it now appears that the honeymoon has quickly proven itself to be over. And we must ask if Boris has blown Brexit, and with it a peaceful and fruitful future for us all?

Brexit and democracy will be lost for us all if Boris and Farage continue trying to shape it in their own image

September 5, 2019 Leave a comment

This General Election will be the endorsement of the People for our departure from the EU in everything but name. That is unless the Politicians involved continue to put their own priorities and self interest before it.

All of the political parties and their leaders know that what happens when the people next has a vote will reflect upon what they have been doing since the European Referendum Vote.

The People want to Leave the EU – despite everything that the media and the opinionati tells us – and this Parliament is currently hellbent on doing everything it can to thwart democracy and remove the apparatus that will enable a democratic government to enact the People’s choice to Leave.

They can be stopped. They should be stopped. They will be stopped. If Boris and Farage can now accept that Brexit and our future beyond it is not something which is theirs to own.

Whilst there is an acceptance that the political landscape has realigned and that instead of left vs right, it is now based very much on Leave vs Remain, there is still no tangible recognition that like Brexit itself, there are different shades or nuances to the way that both the Leave and Remain demographics are constructed.

Many of those who voted Remain in 2016 respect the democratic reality that Leave won and that the UK must see that decision all the way through. Yet the voice of the few remainers who are obsessed with staying within the EU is very loud indeed, and the impression it gives that they represent people in the main is more than enough for the combination of the Labour Party, Liberal Democrat’s, Greens and SNP to somehow come through this coming Vote as a coalition and win – if the Leave Parties don’t recognise that the only priority must be the one that delivers Brexit – no matter what that might appear to cost.

The Leave demographic is very much built upon three parts. Three approaches employed by voters. Three ways of thinking which if split up in a General Election, could mean that as a whole, they all lose.

Leavers are either Heads, Hearts or somewhere floating in between.

Heads are dedicated to the Conservative Party. Hearts follow the Brexit Party. And whilst the floaters might switch between the two, without an electoral amalgamation of the Brexit Party and the Conservatives, they will never cross the rubicon that lies in between.

Whilst Nigel Farage interviewed by the BBC this morning now appears to recognise the need for the two parties to reach an electoral pact, Boris has made no suggestion that he is ready to listen.

If he doesn’t, or if an agreement that cannot be reached that give Voters a clear one-candidate choice in every Leave-voting Parliamentary Constituency when the General Election comes, there is a real and potentially future-changing risk that the Brexit Vote will be avoidably split and the UK will end up with an accidental majority for Remain.

Gentlemen, it’s time to put your differences and own priorities aside and accept there’s a much bigger cause to work for here other than that of your Party or of your own.

Want a real Brexit and Corbyn kept out of No.10? – A General Election is now the only way…

images-2Coverage of the result of the Peterborough By-Election actually felt different. Maybe even a little odd. But perhaps prescient of the direction our Politics is now going – a place where there is no control or script and it all seems to be in the hands of the gods.

Within hours of this blog being published, the gurus of political interpretation will have of course broken the whole thing up and began spinning it into many different, but for them, primarily self-serving ways. However, the reality will nonetheless remain underneath it all that Politics in this Country has changed and things are never going to be the same again.

Yet the politicians refuse to see it.

They are still looking at everything coming at them through the lens of the old politics – and yes, I’m even including the Brexit Party as being one of them in this instance too.

To perhaps understand this a little better, it is important to consider the Peterborough result.

Yes, the Labour Candidate was Elected. But the Brexit Party Candidate wasn’t far behind them and it would be foolish to frame the Conservative Candidate’s 3rd place as being outside of the same room.

Somewhere, probably in London today, different conversations will be taking place around the realities of what can be gleaned from the way the vote was split.

Some of this thinking will simply be deluded. Some of it will be based on outright fear. But what will be common among all of it will be the view that the problem is outside of the Politicians hands, outside of their Party’s control and that it will be something or someone else who is getting it all wrong.

With the Peterborough result for these three Political Parties and the wider Westminster Polls being dispersed between them and the Liberal Democrats as they are, you can bet that the debate will end up for many of them concluding that First Past The Post is now redundant and should be replaced by some other form of electoral system that will benefit the de facto righteousness of their position – such as PR.

What they fail to observe, or deliberately overlook and therefore do not accept, is the reason that none of them – even with Brexit involved – is offering the leadership, vision and inspiration that is necessary to formulate the public policy that the People now want and is required of our Politicians and their Parties not just for Brexit, but as we step off into a world based on A New Politics beyond.

Playing around with the Electoral System will only benefit the Political Parties and the Politicians themselves.

It will sure up, consolidate and in some cases expand their presence and position.

But the upshot is that the opportunity to provide the kind of decisiveness and defining leadership that we now need in British Politics more than ever, will simply be lost.

Brexit and the future of this Country requires good leadership and the decisiveness that goes with it by the truckload. Without it the mess we are now in is set to get a whole lot worse.

What Politicians should understand from the results and polling as they are, is that no Political Party is currently capable of commanding a working majority in Parliament.

Without a working majority, neither Brexit nor anything substantial in terms of the changes to and creation of new Policy that our People now need is going to be addressed in any meaningful and lasting way. That simply has to change.

The biggest risk to Brexit and to our Democracy –  make no mistake that the two are now intricately linked – is that the new Conservative Leadership will continue onwards and go all out to enable a No Deal Exit from the EU by 31st of October – just so the Conservative Party can claim that they have achieved and can take ownership of that result.

If the current Parliamentary dynamic doesn’t stop them before they do so, there is a storm cloud awaiting them on the other side. Because it is there that the Remain majority in Parliament – if it has not been changed – will have an incredibly hard stick to beat the Government with, and the ability to make serious hay from the sunshine that they will see pouring over them from the inevitable problems that will follow a No Deal Brexit that has been executed in this specific way.

Taking the UK back into the EU on the turnaround of a sixpence is not something that any Political Party with designs or long term aspirations on being the natural party of government is going to want to do. Especially when the straightjacket that the UK will have no choice but to accept as part of a completely one-way and loaded bargain will inevitably become poison for whoever was to blame – irrespective of the Politicians who were actually involved.

The only way out of this problem is to recognise Party boundaries and tribal loyalties as the ties that bind all of todays MPs to the politics of old. The old politics that the public are telling them is not only flawed but is fundamentally wrong.

Our Politicians must come together to deliver on the issues. And the issue which is the doorway to solving all other issues is Brexit – whether our Politicians like that fact or not.

The People Voted for the UK to Leave the EU without any deal or ties. Giving us anything less will simply be wrong. This includes coming out of the EU and then taking us immediately back in, whilst MPs then sell their ineptitude and lacklustre attempts at managing the Process as evidence that the whole thing was wrong.

The only Political Parties that have the ability to coagulate around the fact, reality and message that a full and proper Brexit must happen are the Brexit Party and the Conservative Party. And it is within the Conservative Party where the real struggle is still taking place, as it has been all along.

The new Conservative Prime Minister must accept and then immediately act on the fact that without a General Election and securing the Brexit MP Majority that it will give them if they ask for Public support in the right way, the future is effectively lost.

To realise and achieve the alternative – which is a real and permanent Brexit, there is no option for the next Conservative Party Leadership other than to swallow their pride for the greater good and work with the Brexit Party to establish a ‘Grand Brexit Coalition’.

Working together these Political Parties can provide that Brexit Majority and then ensure that our Brexit and the great future that follows it will for all of us be secure.

If they fail to do so, the future is very bleak. It is one that revolves around Corbyn and his Marxist tentacles reaching out and destroying everything we value from No.10.

The cost to everyone in this Country from allowing this to happen will go way beyond the destruction of the Conservative Party. It will simply be too high.

Isn’t it time the Conservative Leadership put the requirements of real Leadership first and did whatever necessary to get the job done?

 

image thanks to unknown

Catastrophic indecision lies at the heart of this Government and the Conservative Party. Yet most of those responsible are on the list to replace Mrs May

May 23, 2019 2 comments

MAYTime is now up for Trident Tongued Theresa.

Yet even now, she and her coterie of friends who will be leaving Downing Street beside her, are attempting to steal victory from the large intestine of defeat and suggesting they are about to rewrite this travesty of a Withdrawal Agreement which is and only ever has been about what a Prime Ministerial legacy looks like to Theresa May.

The credibility of our system of Government could and indeed should have been saved weeks if not months ago.

There have been enough opportunities to actually lose count.

Yet it is the same Politicians in the Cabinet and in key Positions within the Government who are too fearful today of the consequences of doing the ‘wrong thing’, who have always enabled this treacherous travesty which is not only about to unseat the Prime Minister, but is about to send the whole of the Conservative Party exactly the same way.

What our supposedly responsible Politicians should have reallised long ago about the current key holder at No.10, is that the dictatorial retreat into the bunker that is underway at the moment is simply an illustration of the character which has underpinned this travesty of a Premiership from the start and all the way along.

May’s propensity for lying robustly was outed well before she even called the 2017 General Election. At the very moment she wouldn’t come clean over the Trident issue, when questioned in an interview by the BBC’s Andrew Marr.

That none of those so closely around her saw or understood the writing that was then on the wall, raises questions about the rot that is present at the heart of both the Conservative Party and the Government.

But it also explains a whole lot more. Because it tells us how this whole sorry episode has been facilitated and allowed to continue. Be under the illusion no longer. May’s pedigree chums who remain in the Cabinet have an outlook that is fundamentally the same.

With the rules and etiquette underpinning business as usual in Politics having disappeared into the ether, just as soon as the Conservative Party endorsed this wretched Premiership in December, there really are no obligations to the Old Politics remaining upon any of our Westminster incumbents if they should finally grow a pair and do whatever it will take to immediately remove Theresa May from No.10.

In fact, it might be received much more positively than they could ever now appreciate. As anything that heralds the end of that Old Politics and the ushering in of the new, is likely to be received very warmly by the Public, who today might only temporarily directing their Votes another way.

Replacing May with another Prime Minister in her image is unacceptable.

If would-be Conservative Leaders should tie themselves to the mast of the Old Politics in the form of One Nation Conservatism or any form of everything that is now wrong with our Political system, simply presented in a different form, the Conservative Party will simply be over. And with it all of the sorry attempts by self-serving MPs to keep a secure hold of ‘their’ Seats, without even the slightest idea of the impact and consequences of what they have been doing.

What we are seeing today in the political crisis that is unfolding which is going to have an unnecessary but nonetheless significant cost.

Today’s Tory Leaders simply have no credibility.

To win again the Party must embrace change in everything. Immediately and above all ruthlessly. Or the post-bunker chapter will be the only legacy that they will share with Theresa May.

If Conservative MPs at any level have any sense they will have her physically out of No.10 by the weekend and then take a leaf out of the Vatican’s book. Put aside all the petty squabbling and self-serving rivalries, lock all of their MPs into the same room. And don’t emerge until they have a reasoned majority for a new Leader who can go straight to Buckingham Palace to be appointed Prime Minister, as the white smoke drifts across Westminster and media’s way.

Many of us question why these apparently talented and otherwise responsible people cannot see just how serious things have now become.

The reality is that they must now within days change completely, embrace new thinking, a new politics and then the real and true instruction of the Brexit Vote via a General Election in the Autumn.

They must begin today by hitting the ejector switch for Mrs May.

No Tories, you can’t all be the next Prime Minister. Lose the selfish ambition and unite behind a Brexiteer who can win a General Election within 6 months instead

Dream

So the Tory beauty pageant is already underway and the starting pistol hasn’t even been fired – yet.

They have already attracted ridicule by openly declaring their ambition to become the next Prime Minister and even introduced wives to the media in anticipation that the Tories are finally set to decapitate the premiership of Theresa May.

In coming into the open as they have, these self-proclaimed leadership candidates demonstrate a clear detachment from the reality of the mess the Tory Party has already caused. A mess that is the result of politicians exhibiting the very same self-serving behaviour as they are. Apparently plain for everyone to see but they themselves.

At a time when MPs have never been needed to be more in touch with the Public mood and the implications of what is happening in government and the Country as a whole as part of a growing and already epic political storm, this evolving list of suicidedly ambitious MPs are exhibiting themselves, their true motives and their real priorities as elected representatives for all that they are and what they intend them to be.

The People will no longer be fooled. Even the mere hint that so many MPs plan to make their intentions known will be understood as self-servingly opportunistic, rather than being about doing what’s genuinely best in the circumstances for the Country and for the futures of everyone.

There is no illusion amongst those outside of Westminster. This is nothing to do with doing everything necessary to get the Brexit crisis resolved and democracy fully and unequivocally restored.

The approach now shared by so many ‘senior’ Conservatives is stretching the realms of what is now acceptable, irrespective of whether it is a genuine bid to lead, or just secure another term in a plum job.

This circus in no way represents the public interest. It only represents the interests of the politicians involved.

The support that the Brexit Party has already secured and continues to generate shows us all very clearly that Voters want to look forward, not backwards.

That means an increasingly dim view will be taken by the Public of actions reflective of the ‘Old Politics’.

There is now an open desire for ALL politicians to embrace the change that is required as politics moves from the old to the new, and that above all, any would-be Prime Minister MUST accept that this change is now irreversibly involved.

The list now in circulation of those declaring their candidacy includes a number of very talented individuals. But leading the Country out of what is becoming a significant crisis is far from being about talent alone.

In the long term, leading this Country will require a mix of skills, experience, wherewithal, approach and vision that may not come from any candidate, current MP or even a figure who is already publicly known.

This means that by default, the best thing that all of these MPs could do to help resolve and reduce the gravity of this escalating situation, is to be realistic. They must put their personal ambitions aside, instead sharing and pursuing ambition for us all. They must be willing to take things step by step, uniting behind one candidate and one candidate alone, so that the Conservatives can do all that is necessary to change the dynamic in Westminster to one which gives a workable majority and the ingredients necessary for the delivery of a Brexit that we will all ultimately be happy to own.

A drawn-out Leadership contest will not be good for the Country. It will do nothing to support the resolution of Brexit.

Above all, a drawn-out Leadership battle will delay the opportunity to change anything before the Autumn. Something likely to play very well in to May’s plan both for her stay in No.10 and making a Remain-based Brexit more likely. As more and more issues arising with the EU over the question of further delays will inevitably be involved.

No. If the present occupant of No.10 accepts that its time to go anytime soon, to resolve both the issues that the Country is facing and keep any chance of the Conservative Party alive, a new Leader must be ‘crowned’. A process that only in the circumstances of choosing the best candidate available, the Membership of the Party will accept as a necessary step to keep the Party from smashing into the ground.

The best thing that ALL of these ‘candidates’ can do as public representatives is consider the reality and impact of all that they are doing.

It is time to accept that winning and success are not simply about being top dog or holding the keys to No.10.

A successful outcome for all of us will be about the commitment that everyone brings to the table and the contribution that each and everyone entrusted with responsibility makes.

We have had decades of politicians getting the formula progressively wrong. It’s time for all of them to start thinking differently and that means considering the wider impact and consequences of every single decision they make and even the smallest things that they do.

Only one person can be Prime Minister and we are now entering a time when simply securing the role is only a preliminary step to the gargantuan task that a successful outcome will guarantee to be involved.

If these ‘leaders’ want to be seen to lead, the only thing they can do responsibly is unite behind one Brexiteer Candidate who can and is prepared to fight and win a General Election within 6 months.

Anything else will certainly be seen for all that it is by a Public now awakened to all that Politicians do. And the Conservative Party will not be forgiven if it replaces May with just another ambitious wannabe who when faced with the responsibility of acting selflessly and without fear on behalf of everybody, simply turns out to be another genuinely lost cause.

donkey image thanks to unknown

Will May’s final legacy be the longest squatter in No.10?

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The Head Scratching Olympics are well underway. Most of us are struggling to work out what it is that May believes she can achieve by remaining in No.10. And the whole sorry episode of a British Prime Minister not having the decency to go when it is clear that everything is falling on its arse around them would have been bad enough weeks ago. But this story just seems to get progressively worse.

Even now, amongst the few people trying to remain human about the reality that we are all bewilderingly watch unfold, there are those attempting to excuse or rather find a plausible excuse for what the Prime Minister has done.

Top of the list in the conversations that I have had in the past 24 hours is what might not be the wholly inaccurate suggestion that there remain vested interests around her which are leading her to believe that there is still currency in what she is doing. That history will be her real ally when the tale of her standing firm against all others is finally told.

Sadly, when close advisers and the trusted are busy whispering poison into their subject’s ears, its true nature is often laced with a sickly sweet or otherwise convincing twist. Especially in circumstances when anything but the painful truth is what they actually want to hear.

What we have to remember here is that May is the epitome of the ‘Old Politics’.

The Prime Minister has reached her position through levels of personal ambition and related self-interest that has swept all before it aside.

The problem is that a political career, formed in the same way as it has been for many of the MPs that we have today is hollow on substance. It’s based on always saying yes to the right people, no to those who have no value to the ‘pathway’ and in keeping a careful eye on the long-term prize with every decision they make and action that they take.

Anyone that has become so involved in a process of this nature will rarely pay attention to the real purpose of the jobs they take or the consequences that come from the wider reach of the responsibilities involved.

It’s all about how it all looks to others and what that perception of the power they have accumulated actually means to everyone else.

It means that as soon as they have a level of responsibility that they cannot deflect upon others, they will inevitably find themselves scratching around for anything that resembles an anchor upon which they can pin their tenure or indeed their legacy, before the whole lie crashes to the ground.

The reality that May has been a key part of the attempt to thwart Brexit has been evident for an already unsettling period of time.

By doing so, and by having been enabled to continue to do so, the Prime Minister has laid bare the dark secrets of the many years of the non-democracy in this Country. An injustice to the Public hiding in plain sight.

The truth that the Expenses Scandal first pointed to and the mismanagement of Brexit has finally lifted the lid on, is that we have had generations of politicians who are in it for nothing more than themselves and whatever is important to them, be that money, expenses, privilege, advantage, popularity or the perception of power.

So when your World and everything in your ‘plan’ is falling apart around you, what do you do to ensure you maintain credibility in the long term, and that history will be kind?

Regrettably for Prime Minister Theresa, Brexit via her completely flawed and apparently misconstrued Withdrawal Agreement will not be the legacy that she will be remembered for.

But with the ‘Old Politics’ being the preserve of the cynical, who work on the basis that the Public will always forget, there comes a time when that anchor has to be found so that as part of the escape plan, at least history will see them in a positive light.

Today, without any other legitimate reason to rule out leaving and extend her stay, it looks astoundingly like the Prime Minister has pinned her hopes of leaving a legacy on beating Gordon Brown’s tenancy as Prime Minister. Keeping the fragments of powder dry that she has left, so that in her eyes she will be seen in hindsight to have served longer as Prime Minister. Everyone else will surely remember it as the longest squat in No.10.

We can only hope that a British Prime Minister would not actually be so selfish.

But the timescales of announcing her departure, post the European Elections and the date that makes her stay longer than Brown’s at the end of May would seem uncannily prescient.

It would, after all, precipitate a process within the Conservative Party that in her mind would keep her in Office until the Autumn and would certainly correlate with the commentary currently coming from No.10.

If Theresa May really is so self-absorbed to believe that this is all that counts when it comes to being Prime Minister, and the Conservative Party continue to enable her to see out this term in the hope that it will allow a ‘smooth’ transition for someone as equally ambitious and from the very same ‘Old Politics’ school as this disastrous PM, the Party truly deserves everything that is now coming from the Brexit Party and everything that will inevitably follow.

A future not under control, but nonetheless inevitable. Because all opportunities to go another way were repeatedly missed or more likely deliberately avoided as these sycophants indulged her, come what may.

 

 

 

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