Give way to May today; give away the UK

December 12, 2018 Leave a comment

Following on from my earlier Blog today, there are now reports circulating that May will promise to stand down before the next General Election – with the inference that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement will go her way.

This plan sounds great for those who think the whole issue is about May.

It isn’t.

It’s about delivering Brexit, and Brexit will not be delivered if whatever we end up with is delivered by May.

The chances of the next General Election being over three years away are deceasing all the time.

The likelihood is that a General Election will be called in 2019 as a response to a question of confidence after May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement falls – if the Conservatives are bought off today by the ridiculous idea that May promising to stand down will actually remove the problem with her ‘deal’ in any meaningful way.

Her departure then at that point, would leave a new Conservative Leader dangerously exposed and with no time to develop and implement a new strategy before a Campaign begins.

Put simply, in this chain of events, May is setting up her successor to fail.

However, the very chilling reality is that with the endorsement of the Parliamentary Conservative Party today, given on these terms, May’s idea of Brexit is increasingly likely to be approved.

With UK sovereignty and independence, along with our ability to remove ourselves from this ridiculous plan treacherously given away, the Conservative Party as we know it will be at an end. When the Country wakes up to what our Politicians have done, as they inevitably will, we will have no choice but to abrogate our Membership of the EU unilaterally, potentially under very unfriendly, if not violent terms.

All this, just so Theresa May can go to bed at night feeling like she was right all along because she got her own way.

Please wake up.

Keeping May in power today will soon prove itself the much harder result for the Prime Minister, The Conservative Party and the Country itself

December 12, 2018 1 comment

That anyone in Westminster could have really felt surprised that the magic 48 was reached yesterday is actually the surprise itself.

After days and weeks of bluster about May’s welched Brexit deal being the only one available, the Prime Minister pulls the whole thing with just a few hours to spare, heads off to get a steer from Europe and whilst she’s on the plane, her Euro-chums come out to help her by making clear that there will be absolutely nothing more forthcoming.

Talk is very cheap, as the Prime Minister of 29 months quickly found out. But when you are playing a game that will result in the sovereignty of an entire Nation being needlessly flushed away in perpetuity, just because of some suicidal vanity project, anyone with a sense of any logic and reason must conclude that this is one dog that has definitely had its day.

Being out of the EU will be far better for the people and businesses of this Country.

We will soon resume our place in the world with confidence, once we have departed from the constrictions of this Foreign Power that employs a modus operandi that has always been based on doing the UK down.

That we have had so many Prime Ministers who on assuming Office have been slave to the idea that they could win against the power of the EU by being within it says much about the ignorance and lack of understanding that exists within our political culture.

Without exception, even Margaret Thatcher had a rude awakening to the cold, hard truth that the EU is an out-of-control entity that is on a continual power grab.

Each and every time it is successful, it simply moves the goalposts as it ties every Member State into surrendering more, usually on behalf of its unknowing people.

Theresa May has just played straight into their hands.

Instead of responding impartially to the Instruction of the British People, the Prime Minster has either deliberately or through sheer incompetence created a situation where even democratically elected MP’s are so fearful of what the mess she has made is now creating and will become, that they are seriously contemplating giving up the UK’s ability to be independent to a Foreign Power – and along with a whole lot more besides.

May knows that there is no strength in her position. And by standing at the lectern outside No.10 this morning and stating that the only step that a new PM could take would be to beg for an extension of Artcile 50, or just rescind the whole Brexit process in full, she has given the lie to the suggestion that her trip around Europe to see other Leaders would have yielded anything meaningful before she returns her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement to the mercy of this rabbit-trapped-in-the-headlights-Commons once more.

All credibility in No.10 has now left the building. What Conservatve MP’s will commit the whole Country to later today, if they fail to accept the invitation to remover her, will be a world of pain which is of their own making.

There are a number of ways that keeping May in power will unfold.

Firstly, there remains a serious risk that if May wins the Confidence Vote, she will string the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement issue out, until fear itself is used to push through the result that would then keep her in No.10.

Make no mistake, in these circumstances the EU would be very happy about everything they are about to be gifted by the unwitting, unled UK. For them May’s success will be a year of Christmases despite everything we are being publicly told. And be under no illusion about the risk of this happening, as the terror of the misnamed ‘no deal Brexit’ plays heavily upon the emotions of the unobjective Members in Parliament and too many of them see safety and a misplaced trust in the mythical changelessness of Remain.

There will be no glory for this option for the Conservatives who went with the current PM. You can rest assured that the poison of this treachery made manifest by May would very quickly rub off on many more of the Parliamentary Party with any chance of Conservatives forming a future majority government very quickly evaporating away.

As I write, the more likely result of May’s surety in Office is that the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement, now lacking all credibility and there clearly being no scope to change it in any meaningful way, will fall when it finally comes to a vote.

At that point, just a few days or weeks into the new Year, we will then – at the cost of the Corbyn-led Labour Government that will surely follow, then and only then see the end of Theresa May.

Yes, May might resign following a success in a Confidence Vote, before being forced to go to the Country. But on the basis of her track record alone, if she will not resign right now today and make way, faced with a General Election in 2019, she will almost certainly do the same.

The Conservative Party will not win power again under the leadership of the current Prime Minister.

The benefit of bringing her term in No.10 to its conclusion today is that there will at least be time to prepare and publicise a new and much improved narrative before what now increasingly looks like a General Election one way or the other in 2019 is called and the campaign gets under way.

Wouldn’t it be better to have a chance of winning when it does?

Update – 1.21pm:

Shortly after first publishing this Blog today, news has began to come out that Theresa May is to announce that she will stand down before the next General Election. All I can add to this is that her deal is already dead and by continuing her Premiership, the promise of standing down before a General Election would only be likely to set up another leader to lose, whilst almost guaranteeing May’s giveaway of the UK. There is a growing chance that there will be a General Election in 2019 and the issue today is whether the Tories will approach it in a controlled way, or give in to the ‘easy’ alternative which will be more chaos, with the only beneficiary being Theresa May.

 

image thanks to unknown

Everyone take a deep breath because there’s only one candidate for No.10 who can pick up this shit-soaked ball and move us towards a place where the whole UK can begin to win again

December 11, 2018 Leave a comment

I’ve made little secret of my distaste for the damage that ambition and self-interest in politics does. So much so, I even wrote a book to help people entering politics to counter it.

But when the shit hits the proverbial fan, like it has done through the premiership of Prime Minister Theresa May, there is simply no choice but to look to how we play with the cards we have been dealt, rather than shuffling, or better still introducing a new deck to take things in a direction that resembles where they should have been.

When you spend time talking to people out in the real world about politics, you know that the question of who will replace May is something that has been playing on minds.

None of what the political world would identify as being the usual suspects within a sitting government – aka the Cabinet itself – now have the credibility or clear political disposition to take things a different way.

They are inextricably linked with May’s Brexit Withdrawal Agreement which is an extended version of Remain, and their behaviour guarantees that they are now personally too entrenched with a direction which runs contrary to the will of the People, for any of them to be taken seriously as a force for good which can bring us all together, rather than continue to polarise by playing to one audience whilst singing a different song to another, all under a pretence of ignoring the Electorate in the same way as May.

Yet Cabinet Members share a commonality with all of those who would now be king or queen. They are all ridiculously ambitious, and whilst in virtually every case that ambition is clearly about gaining the position and perceived kudos which goes with going our PM, it is not the responsibility itself that they covet. And that is where in a time of increasing National need, rather than bring something new and in-touch with the people to the table, they will doom us to another term of self-interest and I-know-best led government. The very same as May’s disastrous tenure, just without the same figurehead and a change of names.

Out of the obvious candidates who we recognise as being available for the Parliamentary Conservative Party to choose from, there is only one candidate who stretches beyond this, is capable of doing something different than the others, and Boris Johnson is his name.

Yes, to politicians Boris has a taste like Marmite. Ask anyone else who doesn’t like him and they will claim that ambition and buffoonery are the only things that spring to mind when you mention his name. But the thing that we all should consider much more carefully is the power of his touch. Boris can bring people together in unfathomable ways, turn electoral tides in different directions like he did in two Mayoral Elections in London, and as Leader of the Conservative Party and as our Prime Minister, when we need something very different from the Conservative Party to deal with both the EU and the risk from Corbyn’s Labour, Boris can sprinkle his form of fairy dust and turn things around in Parliament just the same.

The key to embracing the idea of Boris is to understand that whilst he is stupidly ambitious to be our next Prime Minister, there is a key part of that ambition which is very different to the other likely candidates and it is not as simple as him being a ‘Leaver’, rather than the case of many others being linked inextricably to Remain.

Boris knows his destiny is intrinsically linked with the will and direction of the people. He has the knack of being just a step ahead of the game when it comes to what people outside of the political sphere really want, and whilst there may be a flurry of big words and faffing around that accompanies it, it’s the delivery at the end of the process that people now want.

This is what Boris can give, unlike the other candidates who will sell a great sounding the story, but like May and a series of PM’s before her will never actually be in the position to deliver or give.

We simply don’t know how Boris would behave in a crisis. But his best will surely be no less than anyone else could give. Right now we need a form of political leadership that can reengage the masses, bring a good leadership team together, deliver what people have instructed and begin the process of once again making the UK a great place to live.

Until the time things have changed in Politics and we have other options, there is little doubt that a Boris-led Government is the best of what is available, and taking a risk on anything else will almost certainly be akin to going around in yet more disastrous circles and is destined to hit the skids.

image thanks to bbc.co.uk

May remains the EU’s patsy for as long as she squats in No.10 and we should all be concerned as they have serious form when it comes to loading the gun

December 11, 2018 1 comment

Whilst I know that I am far from alone in being hopeful that the Parliamentary Conservative Party will finally put the May Government out of everyone’s misery before too long, recent history shows us a catalogue of missed opportunities for them to have already done so. One that suggests they are all still hoping that someone else will be prepared to get their hands dirty at a time when they are all much mistaken and regrettably very wrong.

One of the biggest errors that Conservative Parliamentarians have made in summing up the abilities of their current leader, has been to overlook everything she has been doing and the patterns of behaviour which provide the tells about her form of play.

Whilst incidents as small as the way she answered questions on Trident, to big ones such as calling a General Election on a whim tell us much about the substance of the leadership they have been working with, it is May’s interactions and prioritisation of other EU Leaders at pivotal moments which dwell in plain sight, but like that ever illusive elephant in the room even now don’t seem to be troubling anyone quite enough to actually get in her way.

So in amongst the breathtaking chaos that is overtaking all of Westminster and its news bubble today, there may be a new dimension to all this brewing whilst May has a jolly around Europe.

One which is dependent on this continuing inaction, is not being widely talked about and could very much conclude in just a matter of weeks with Theresa May looking like she was always the one who did know best, ending up with her own form of Brexit being accepted at the final minute as the only acceptable way.

With the clock counting down towards the 29th of March, the EU knows that playing on people’s fears and upping the anti as they do so will be a process that at some point between now and then will reach a critical mass and has the potential to deliver its greatest reward.

May’s flawed and nonetheless EU-favouring plan could suddenly be seen as being very reasoned and the only way to stave off a catastrophe, leaving the EU perpetually in charge of our real destiny, whilst a Trumpton-esque future plays out with Remainers thinking that the world has stayed static and our pretend State is left under the CON-tinuing CON-artistry of a reinvigorated CON-servative Theresa May.

Inaction based on ambition has failed to remove an incumbent prime minister who clearly doesn’t know how to lead or be loyal to her own people, but when it comes to her own ambition is happy to cosy up with the EU to make sure that such trifling issues will never really get in her way.

Chaos and uncertainty are now inevitable whatever happens. But fear is stopping MP’s from taking action; inaction that is nonetheless a choice to give the EU the power it now needs to manipulate matters to go their own way.

There is now a serious risk that the fears of a majority in Parliament will very effectively be employed against them and they will then take a knee-jerk but nonetheless critically undemocratic decision that will tie the whole UK in to a situation which will be far far worse than anything which ever resembled Remain.

Conservative MP’s are the only people who can now put an end to this mess and begin a process that has the potential to make things better.

If Conservatives want things to play out differently, its time to grow some bollocks, replace the Prime Minster and remember that the UK has already chosen to Leave the EU, not to be manipulated into vassalage Remain.

Please Conservatives, stop this farce now

December 10, 2018 Leave a comment

img_1739-1You couldn’t write it is a term that I’ve often heard used, but never felt it more applicable than in relation to May’s ditching of the Meaningful Vote and the debate that has followed today.

Watching and listening to the Statement that the Prime Minister has made to the Commons this afternoon, it is clear that she does not intend to return to Parliament with anything new.

In fact, the whole episode has the very same hallmarks that have blighted her stewardship of Brexit in No.10 already. That of nothing changes except the words, and that is all in respect of Brexit this Prime Minister ever intends.

There always was and remains the prospect of a much better deal or relationship with the EU.

But to get that deal, there is simply no point in going forward under the pretence that the model to base it on is akin to what is known as Remain.

Theresa May is now only interested in doing whatever is necessary to keep herself in power. That much has been demonstrated by the contradictions in what she has been doing and saying just today.

The UK cannot and will not make any progress with the EU and Parliament will not move towards anything like a workable consensus for as long as this Prime Minister remains in No.10.

May’s terminal tenure is not only defying the whole pretence of delivering democracy in this Country over Brexit and making an alternative more likely, it is now entering a critical phase where the continuance of this travesty is making the Conservative Party less electable by the day.

Conservative MP’s can bring an end to this shit show now, and if they have any mutually shared feeling of responsible to the wider Electorate and to our democracy, there are many outside of Westminster who now implore them to get on and do so now.

Please, please, please put the Country first. Give us a Prime Minister who can and will lead us to get the best from leaving the EU – even if that is leaving on WTO terms, and prevent the implosion of the Conservative Party before inaction condemns us to a Corbyn Government which will not only renege on Brexit, but inflict many more horrors on our people, our businesses, our economy and our future besides.

 

Image thanks to clipartxtras.com

Neither a new single issue Party nor one made up of the rump of the Remain Campaign can solve the Brexit crisis now

December 10, 2018 Leave a comment

Whilst it would be very easy to think differently, based upon how our MP’s are still behaving, the Vote to Leave the EU wasn’t just about one issue. It wasn’t about two, three, four or five. In fact it was about a whole lot more, and even then it looks different to everyone because their own experiences and views of the situation are different.

If the question over whether we should Leave or Remain had been a single issue, the decision and the reasoning behind it would be simple to quantify. Between the two choices there would be nothing in between.

Put simply, there is no way to avoid the reality that Brexit is multilayered, multidimensional and as such has multiple problems that cannot be solved by pretending that it is all about just one thing.

Yes, the single issue approach was successful over many years in the sense that it ultimately delivered the EU Referendum.

But to pretend that once the Referendum was secured the complexity of winning the public argument was anything other than an attempt at herding cats for either the Leave or Remain Campaigns would suggest that there was a level of control that neither side could ever have had over the process, even if they thought they did.

In this vein, the purpose of the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) effectively came to its end at around twenty minutes to five on the morning of the 24th June 2016, when everything that it and its previous evolution The Anti Federalist League had been created for had effectively been achieved.

Indeed, the only real commonality between all members and politicians involved in either project was the mutual aim of ending the UK’s Membership of the EU once and for all.

Whilst much knowledge of policy and legislation governing the relationship between the UK and the EU always existed within its ranks, UKIP shared the same lack of foresight when it came to qualitative impacts upon the people it was trying to represent as the politicians in the main parties.

It is these impacts which are still not understood by the majority of the political class and the establishment itself. The reality for all which must be collectively acknowledged and considered before what has now gone bad can be made good.

UKIPs reach before the Referendum came from the misleadingly distilled version of the EU question that Nigel Farage delivered. He was prepared to speak out in ways that political correctness had for too long prevented politicians in the three main parties from doing. He tabled the blunt edges of the real world perspective which has always been the flip side to the EU debate coin, but did not demonstrate the complexity of those issues that even now continue to be overlooked and assumed to be very specific and identifiable as simple-to-explain issues using words like immigration, Leave and Remain.

Other than being openly and completely committed to the proper version of Leave or Brexit that so many of the People outside of the Westminster bubble want, the creation of a Party to replace the political squat which is today’s UKIP will not bring anything new to the situation the UK is now facing.

It will not bring an new dynamic to the debate and as it would not be anywhere near power within the require timeline, it is questionable whether its creation could in fact distract from the real issues by giving those who’s only argument against Brexit is that it is a right-wing conspiracy the tools to further polarise, when our divided People need and want something which unites us all.

A new Party, whether from the perceived right, the left or the centre would not be able to influence the debate positively and there remains an overriding obsession with making other people wrong, rather than working to deliver what is right.

What should be recognised by all of our MP’s is that without the acceptance and understanding of the real issues and the true value of the Public experience which led to Brexit in the first place, now being used as the real basis upon which to take the UK from here forward, there is simply no way that any political party – whether new or already existing – will ever find a solution which will be agreeable to all.

 

image thanks to unknown, quote attributed to Albert Einstein

Is this a Conservative Party or the Conservatives parting?

December 7, 2018 Leave a comment

If this was a perfect world, we wouldn’t need political parties. In fact, we wouldn’t need politics at all. Things would just get done without reference to anyone.

But we don’t exist in a perfect world, and after recognising that there is such a thing as mutually shared interests between us all, democracy, facilitated by the necessary evil which political parties (or groups of people working together) are, when it comes to getting things done on behalf of us all, is pretty much the next best thing.

At some point however, the working framework which political parties were only ever supposed to provide, got exchanged for something perceived as being bigger than that laudable purpose itself. Political Parties are now all about the Party itself, and they have forgotten one very big and fundamental thing.

Political Parties are not and never will be more important than the People that their elected members represent.

A vicious circle exists where we cannot get sufficient numbers of good people into Parliament because Political Parties work coercively to ensure that almost all of their elected members are on message, and because that message is simply wrong, it ensures that the Parties keep on recruiting the same kind of people in the very same image.

Whilst this problem is increasingly evident within all the established political parties, it is today the Conservative Party where this malaise is so clearly evident.

It is an example of a Party where blind ambition and nothing else has delivered us a Prime Minister who is out of touch with the People. She is so convinced of her own infallibility, that she is using the Party apparatus to try and force Members to agree she is doing the right thing.

Conservatism is not synonymous with what the Conservative Party is now doing.

The Conservative Party has lost its way under this and past leadership. It is blinded by the arrogance of power and many years of believing the self-prorogated myth that it is the ‘natural party of government’. Many Conservative politicians now carry an obtuse sense of entitlement and the belief that they possess a magic formula which means any decision they make will always be accepted by the People as being correct.

Pride comes before a fall.

In its current form and with the words being spoken and undemocratic action being taken by so many of its prominent Politicians, the Conservative Party’s days are very much numbered.

This itself is perhaps the biggest shame of all. Because out of all the Political Parties capable of being in Government with the peculiartities of our Electoral System as they are, it is only from the basis of Conservatism that Policies be delivered which will really be beneficial to and considerate of the needs of all.

May’s abuse of the Party apparatus and their combined attempt to force Local Conservative Associations to herd MP’s into the correct Voting Lobby over her Brexit Withdrawal Agreement now demonstrates how out of touch CCHQ itself is with its own people on the ground.

Without radical change, the Conservative Party no longer has the promise of a shared ideology with its own paid-up supporters, let alone the grassroots conservative-leaning voters who will be essential going forward if they are now to secure seats or victory in any campaign.

When the change comes in No.10, as it now surely must, the Conservative Party must embark immediately upon a process of comprehensive change taht not only supports the structure of a Party capable of winning terms of majority government. But actively engages, encourages and takes with it not only its local association network, but individual members and non paid-up supporters too.

If it doesn’t, the Conservative Party itself as a credible party in either power or opposition is almost certainly doomed.

 

Image thanks to clipartxtras.com

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