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Medical Experts should not be leading the response to a National Crisis. They clearly believe that tackling the medical part of the crisis is all our National response should be about

In 2008, politicians turned to Economists and Economic Theory to solve the National Financial Crisis because they believed the solution and remedy could only be solved by thinking about the problem in economic terms.

It didn’t turn out well. The UK bailed out the banks and financial sector on terms that quickly returned them to profit and bonuses, whilst the Public were saddled with the continuing devaluation of money and a National Debt that under the same thinking will never actually be repaid.

The point was painfully made that economists think about any problem in economic terms, or rather doing what’s good for the economists – and in that specific case – what was good for the bankers first.

Whilst very different, the principles of the response to the Coronavirus Crisis are same and the Government has surrendered its strategic thinking to medical specialists and scientists when the Crisis itself and the response to it reach far beyond being just a medical thing.

Nobody could or should seriously even attempt to suggest that the medical and scientific response to this National Crisis shouldn’t be a priority. But the real priority of the response should be the prioritization of ALL the different priorities that exist and will collectively ensure that ALL of the British People are being considered fully and appropriately within that response – not just those who are or will be critically ill – which is the medical priority by default choice.

This National Crisis has become much bigger than being simply about fighting Coronavirus itself. The growing problem which is going to affect everyone was caused because the Government appointed a medical piper to play us through what only began as a medical problem and they have inevitably been playing everyone a medical tune ever since.

Meanwhile:

  • Job Losses
  • Lay offs
  • Businesses closures
  • Debt
  • Depression
  • Mental Health Issues
  • Domestic Violence
  • Bankruptcies
  • Administrations
  • Suicides

– are all on the rise since the Shutdown began.

The impact on people, the economy and our Country as a whole is going to come at an incalculable price.

This leap into a black hole by a few people with a name and title has to be stopped right now, before its too late for us all.

Every part of the response to the Coronavirus Crisis has to be appropriate, proportionate and above all, made in consideration of the full impact upon us all.

This cannot be achieved if the only direction and advice followed comes from those who are looking at a problem affecting us all through a lens which only reflects their own specialism and cause.

It’s time to end the shutdown, let everyone get back to living their lives and tackle this horrible Virus in a more considered and considerate way.

#endtheshutdownnow

 

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Why it’s time to end the Shutdown & how to let life resume and face whatever happens next

April 6, 2020 1 comment

img_551713 days into this brave new world and you can see that the novelty of the shutdown and social distancing is beginning to wear thin.

A week from now, the news that 3 weeks of this was just the start of something much longer will be beginning to sink in.

But by then the pain will already be less about being kept inside our homes. It will be more about how people can continue to live and the question of how businesses will survive an indefinite shutdown, just so they can get to the end of the shutdown and still exist.

There is a disaster unfolding behind the media coverage and focus on equipping and preparing the NHS to treat a significant number of critical-case Coronavirus Patients.

This real crisis is much bigger than many could comprehend, even if it was something that they could now visibly see.

Already there are businesses that have closed for the shutdown that will never reopen. Others will close as the shutdown continues. Some will survive until it is clear they cannot service a growing mountain of debt that accumulates daily, simply because the Government did not think through the implications of what a full shutdown would mean on so much of our business sector and industry.

The Government has simply failed to comprehend how businesses and the people who own and run them need to be supported so that they will be there to provide services, products and employment for the many others who will need them when the time comes to restart.

Yet to hear the media and read the non-stop commentary wherever you look, the only game in town is ‘Protecting the NHS’.

Don’t get me wrong, we need the NHS to be fully equipped and ready to do the best for people that it can. But with Field Hospitals like the London Nightingale now open and others around the Country clearly earmarked for opening very soon, the political focus needs to move swiftly to the unseen crisis that is beginning to evolve across our Country.

The hard truth is that deaths that will sooner or later become inevitable anyway should really be a lower level priority against what is now set to become a very extensive list of problems that people attempting to live their lives are having to or soon will have to face.

It feels very unpalatable to even think, let alone say that you have to accept and be prepared to let some people die, so that the majority of others can continue to live.

The problem is that it is also the truth.

The Government has backed itself into a corner by implementing the shutdown. There is no risk-free way out.

Coronavirus Testing will be too slow to be any help in reducing the time it will take to try and manage the process of infection for the whole population.

Using tools such as Immunity Certificates would create massive social problems – if the Government then used the force that would be necessary to keep people who haven’t had Coronavirus at home – which is what they would have to do if they let those who have had it are able to have lives and everyone else does everything they can to catch it, so they can do the same too.

Whilst no politician wants to hear it said of them that they deliberately let people die when some of them could be saved, the harsh reality is that if we are to get out of this Crisis and the Coronavirus Pandemic in the best shape possible, we must all accept that in the world we live in, a life isn’t life if a person cannot actually live.

It is difficult for some to understand this, because in the form of the personal tragedies that we see rolled out continually on TV and the stories of he NHS in crisis that we hear daily, Coronavirus has given the intrinsic fear of death that we all share both a face and a name. It has taken on a very visual and highly emotive form.

The reality is that people are going to die from Coronavirus with or without the shutdown and it would be much healthier for people, the whole Country and our economy if the Shutdown was ended and we got life restarted as quickly as possible and then dealt with each case of Coronavirus and its respective knock-on effects as we go along.

The genuinely vulnerable members of our society who are likely to be most at risk will continue to be at the same level of risk until a vaccine has been identified, tested and administered to them.

The time that it would take as a minimum to vaccinate everyone – given what will be a worldwide demand – will simply be too long for any civilized Country to wait for whilst keeping a shutdown in place.

Our high-profile Politicians like to talk up the Crisis as if it is like fighting a war. In the Second World War when Campaigns such as Operation Overlord and the D-Day Landings were planned, Prime Ministers, Presidents and the advising Generals around them literally worked out how many lives they would have to sacrifice on the battlefield to get the job done, so that the wider populations of their Countries and the World itself would win the fight against oppression in the end.

Such responsibility and leadership in strategic thinking is required of the leaders that we have now. The Politicians have talked the talk to win power. Now they must walk the walk to enact that power and see this through.

The implications of the shutdown would not have been nearly so bad, had the Government taken an even handed and fair approach to mitigating the impact of the imposed standstill on workers of every kind and businesses alike.

But they didn’t, and this means that how the end of the Shutdown and the restart of life is managed must take into consideration where things are right now and where they will be rather than where they were before it started, because this whole situation is evolving each and every day.

It’s time for the Shutdown to end now. It’s time for life to restart.

There is no perfect way to plan the fight against Coronavirus, or to put together a strategy for ending the Shutdown, letting life restart and managing cases of Coronavirus either now or thereafter. There are simply too many unknowns and variables within what is a live and evolving Crisis for that ever to be the way.

However, we can ask that the Politicians do their best, and in terms of ending the Shutdown now and getting life back on track, these are some of the key things that they can now do.

Notification of Coronavirus Symptoms

Perhaps the key factor or source of information that the Government needs going forward, is clear and decisive record of who has experienced Coronavirus Symptoms – even if no medical intervention has been involved.

  • Upon first experiencing Coronavirus Symptoms, individuals should be able to Register using their individual identification data on the Government Portal.
  • This responsibility to register would become that of parents, carers and guardians for children and vulnerable people
  • Nobody should be able to claim Coronavirus Sickness Benefit without having registered first.
  • In the first instance and until such time as it is confirmed whether Symptoms of Coronavirus could be suffered more than once, individuals would be able to claim only once,
  • The data can then be used to distribute the Coronavirus Antibody Test once it is universally available and thereby technically available to all
  • On completion of registration, the Government Portal should allocate a unique reference number for every individual to use to claim benefits such as Coronavirus Sick Pay and payment holidays

The NHS

It will remain essential to keep resources flowing towards the NHS so that it can manage the critical stages of the Coronavirus related illness that some people will inevitable suffer – just as they are now.

Field Hospitals, Intensive Care Units, Ventilator numbers and the recruitment rate of staff will have to continue to rise until the natural infection rate and the number of people it will effect critically at any particular time has been reached.

This will not be long once the restart has begun. But there is likely to be a period of time where it doesn’t look like the NHS can cope and numbers of people are dying who might have been saved, had more resources been in place.

‘Protect the NHS’ is the Trojan horse argument that led to the shutdown as the chosen way to attempt to manage demand in the first place. It’s where the Government went fundamentally wrong.

  • Local Trusts should set up Designated Reception Centres, separate to GP Surgeries and Hospital Reception areas used for other purposes
  • Local dedicated helplines should be provided to field calls from those with symptoms
  • Dedicated Ambulance provision should be put in place for Coronavirus sufferers
  • The general emergency Ambulance fleet should be kept separate.
  • Serious consideration should be given to requiring benefits claimants to report for duty as healthcare assistants, with full pay, work and training options to be offered after a qualifying or probationary period.

The Restart itself

The way to lift the shutdown isn’t to try and overcomplicate things by using terms such as calling it ‘gradual’ or ‘taking things in steps’, or anything else that even hints at there being some form of managed delay.

Whilst we might all like to think that the world as we knew it before March could just be switched back on at 9am on Monday morning it won’t happen no matter what we do. The time it will take those businesses still operating to return to full operation will take a lot longer than it took them to shut down. That is before you take into consideration the natural trepidation that many people are going to have as a result of the negativity and scaremongering that has taken place on the part of the media.

Even now, barely a fortnight in to the Shutdown, things will have changed markedly and they will continue to do so each and every day until the new norm for life begins.

People and businesses are going to work differently, travel differently and think differently. So the resumption of participating in everyday life will take time under its own steam, without anyone or anything else being involved.

Social Distancing

Social distancing in areas where people are usually in close proximity will be a good measure to retain formally, even though people are likely to keep their distance for some time as it has already become an accepted part of life.

Even if social distancing plays no further active part in dealing with Coronavirus – given that there are very recent suggestions that the Virus can remain active in air for up to three hours – it will help address any social awkwardness that will exist for some people once the Media’s negative messaging campaign is over and done.

Sick Pay

  • Everyone working who has unable to work because they have caught Coronavirus should be able to rely on having Coronavirus Sick Pay
  • The Sick Pay should last a calendar month from the date of registration
  • There should not be a laborious process of application involving claims for Universal Credit or applications via Jobcentres or the DWP.
  • The Coronavirus sick pay should be claimed on behalf of employees by employers and paid as part of the monthly PAYE process
  • The self employed and/or contract workers should be able to claim their sick pay back as part of their next Annual Tax Return.
  • The reference number allocated at registration should be used by employers for PAYE purposes and on individual Tax Returns.

People

Fundamentally, it is essential that every member of the population is treated like an adult, trusted to do the right thing and given no excuse to do otherwise. To support everyone, the Government must ensure that all practical issues people may experience if and when they suffer with Coronavirus has been mitigated against adequately and given added value as an incentive too.

Put simply, if there’s no way people can lose out, they will do the right thing.

  • Any individual, their parent, carer or guardian will register Coronavirus Symptoms using the Government Portal
  • Upon registration, individuals should be required to immediately self-isolate and remain isolated for a minimum of 14 days
  • Upon experiencing escalating symptoms, individuals should report to local NHS designated reception centres or call designated helplines if transport or an ambulance is required
  • All domestic bills, rents, leases, loans, interest and debt repayments to stopped for a month as a ‘Payment Holiday’
  • Individuals to use the reference number provided when they registered with the Government Portal to confirm they are on a legitimate payment holiday with debtors or those they should normally pay.
  • A payment of approx £100 per week to be payable to every individual Registered in the ‘Coronavirus Window’ for a period of four weeks to cover food and essentials

The Vulnerable

  • The vulnerable have to be allowed to make their own decision about the risk, about remaining in isolation, or returning to ‘normal life’. They should not be pressured to go either way.
  • Benefits Claimants without medical conditions and unemployed should be tasked with providing the support currently provided by volunteers.

For Business

  • Businesses of all sizes should be protected from the impact of the Shutdown for the period of time it will take things to return to or find the new normal, once the Shutdown has been lifted.
  • Where necessary support should be applied retrospectively to the 23rdof March 2020, if not the point in time before that when levels of business within marketplaces are recognised as having began to decline in response to the early stages of the Coronavirus Crisis.
  • All businesses should have a 3-6 months ‘payment holiday’ from rents, leases, mortgages, repayments, interest, debt
  • Heavy fines and/or jail terms should be immediately awarded by a District Judge without trial or appeal, to any Creditor, Company, Director or Partner thereof refusing to facilitate the ‘payment holiday’ and/or attempting to recover any related sums using other or additional debt devices or levying additional payments or raising prices relating to that relationship

Funerals

For the duration of the Coronavirus Pandemic, the Government should intervene to ensure that the disposal of bodies is facilitated without delay, without price gouging or profiteering and is provided on the basis of a same-level, community service for all.

  • The Government should set a fixed, realistic cost for a ‘standard’ funeral with a transparent minimal fixed margin and no additional payments being made for anything not specified
  • The Government should pay the cost of ALL Funerals at the standard rate for the duration of the Coronavirus Pandemic
  • Local Authorities should administer the allocation of care of the deceased and funerals to local undertakers on a take-it-in-turns basis
  • Local Authorities should administer payments to undertakers and make them immediately
  • All funerals should be provided on the same basis and not open to change or being ‘upgraded’ by additional payments from families etc
  • Funeral Insurance payouts to either be split with the cost of the standard funeral being returned to the Government and any outstanding balance returned to the family or estate, or simply paid out to the family or estate

The Media

Whilst free society needs a free press, the current approach, lack of ethical standards and reliance on dressing up subjective opinion as news requires that Government take a different approach and one that doesn’t play into the system as it is.

  • The forward briefing, advance copies of Government speeches and embargoed press releases need to stop.
  • Regulation needs to be introduced that requires news to be news, and for the mainstream media to promote the wider concept of the principle of charity in all things, rather than constantly looking for every opportunity to create negative spin.

 

#endtheshutdownnow

‘Immunity Certificates’ will divide the Country socially and destroy it economically – if there is anything left to destroy

April 3, 2020 1 comment

Some of the ideas that the Government is coming up with are astounding. Not for their leadership. But for how shortsighted they are and how serious the problems are likely to be from the impact and consequences of taking these steps will create.

Nobody can argue that this is good time to be in Government. But the Politicians we have in these roles today found their way to having these responsibilities voluntarily and by choice.

As members of the Electorate, we should be able to rely upon and trust that ALL Politicians have the experience, motivation and outlook to make good decisions in a national crisis – without ever taking a second look.

Sadly they are not.

All of us are desperate for the shutdown to be lifted and for ‘normality’ to resume.

However, awarding ‘immunity certificates’ to those who have tested positive for Coronavirus Antibodies, certifying them ‘immune’ and able to return to normal life and work, will simply create a two-tiered system of life for us all.

If people are CV+ive, then all well and good. But what about the people who are not. Do they stay at home indefinitely?

What about the Companies who employ them. Do they replace them with other people who are able to leave home to work?

If this system proposed by the Health Secretary were actually manageable, all it would do is create different social castes. It would be little more than the creation of yet another divide between us, but this time worse – because it will have been created by the Government – and by choice.

The reality is that ‘immunity certification’ isn’t manageable.

If people are faced with the choice of being stuck at home or going out to socialise, shop and of course work, Coronavirus Parties or self-infection will become an immediate majority choice.

Beyond the effort to get the Field Hospitals up and running, the Government is failing spectacularly at every other Coronavirus Crisis-related choice.

 

100,000 Coronavirus Tests per day by the end of April sounds great. But that’s still 600 days or the best part of 2 years before each person in the UK has been tested just ONCE

April 3, 2020 1 comment

False hope appears to be the order of the day.

We are being set up for a fall over talk of Tests for Coronavirus and tokenism like ‘Immunity Certificates’ being the way that the Shutdown will be lifted.

But this is not the way that normality – if that’s what we are actually going to ‘return to’ – is going to be ‘restored’.

Testing is not going to help us all return to normality at the same time or collectively as one – even if it could be rolled out and all 60 Million or more of us could be tested and have the results come back on the same day.

If we were all required to test CV+ive for antibodies before we could come out of shutdown, lockdown, isolation or call it what you like, at a rate of 100,000 tests per day, it would be over 600 days before everyone in this Country knows if they have had Coronavirus, has Coronavirus OR will be expected to stay at home and wait.

This approach simply isn’t sustainable for us personally, as communities, as industries, as an economy or as a Nation and Country as one.

The Shutdown needs to end now and then we have to take what happens as it comes.

 

The Government & Media has already set all of us on a downward spiral. The complete shutdown must be lifted now if we are to find a minimum-pain way out

April 3, 2020 1 comment

download (33)FEAR rules everything in life, even though we are not conscious of it most of the time. The greatest fear of all is the fear of death, and when the prospect of a by-pass or a short route to dying comes into view, that fear can push us to do and accept very questionable things.

A little bit of fear can be a good thing. A civilised society does after all need to have and maintain basic rules.

But what the Government and the Media have been and are now doing to this Country goes beyond sense and logic.

The constant flow of negativity and highlighting of personal tragedies framed in a way that makes the idea that this is happening to everyone right now has created mass hysteria. It is only the presence of the walls that surround our homes caging us all in like rabbits in hutches that currently keeps our thinking penned in the same way as our bodies currently are.

The damage being inflicted on the economy by the shutdown is now increasing by the minute.

Across the Country, business owners are contemplating the reality of the Government’s game plan in stunned silence.

Yet the majority obsess about 8pm clap-from-your-doorstep sessions for the NHS that the media would have us believe has become obligatory for everyone to take part in. It will be frowned upon or considered to look churlish if you don’t willingly take part or become involved.

The Government chose to pursue a lockdown as a kneejerk measure, influenced in no small part by sensationalist approach that the Media has been taking.

The Government has made very poor decisions that already contradict themselves. It is clearly failing to think through the implications of much of what it is doing beyond tackling Coronavirus-linked illness itself.

Meanwhile the media is taking every opportunity to sow fear throughout the population by dwelling on what journalists believe it is in their interests to suggest that the Government isn’t doing well, rather than there being even the merest hint that they can, could, would or are capable of holding our political leaders intelligently and considerately to account for what they are getting wrong.

Neither the Public nor the politicians are in control of the direction of public policy as things stand.

The Media is using fear fuelled by subjective opinion to keep people glued to their non-stop Coronavirus Show, whilst the unbridled influence they have means that they have become in many ways the de facto leadership of this Country. It is neither democratic nor can it be in any way held to account.

The fervour that the Media has whipped up and the choices that the Government has subsequently opted to take does not follow any overarching strategic reasoning.

For instance, the shutdown of the kind we are experiencing has seen nearly a million people sign up for Universal Credit in the past two weeks, whilst a not dissimilar number have signed up to volunteer to help the vulnerable and the NHS.

The sheer number of forced-to-be-idle people who are now being put to work going back out to help others rather than doing their own jobs makes a mockery of the whole idea of laying people off because it’s safer for them to be at home.

However, short-sighted, fag-packet-derived policies from the Government and Media manufactured ideas about what people can or should do to avoid Coronavirus – have for no good reason – become accepted as the only way to do things – just because of the source from where the information has come from.

Subsequently, we now have a National workforce which will be reluctant to go back to normal working – simply because so much uncertainty is being promoted about what is to come.

Regrettably negativity of this magnitude does damage that will last.

No matter how positive and constructive the Government and the Media could and should be, from the moment the decision to lift the lockdown is taken, getting people back to work, into the shops, our businesses functioning and transport running anywhere close to where it should be to be considered ‘normal’ is likely to take many months – even if the employers, the businesses and the transport companies still exist at that point.

The latest news today about 100,000 Coronavirus Tests being done daily by the end of April and then the suggestion that once there is an antibody test people will be able to get a ‘Immunity Certificate’ issued – whilst everyone else stays at home is leading to false hope for people and for communities, whilst the long term strategy for both is a short-fused time bomb which is going to go off in weeks if not months.

With Field Hospitals now opening like the Nightingale in London and medical resources coming into place, this is the time to relax the Shutdown, restart the engines of everyday life around the Country and replace what was only ever a suggested need for being shut up at home completely with guidelines and procedures for people to follow if they feel unwell.

If the Shutdown isn’t lifted now, the damage that it is going to done to the economy and therefore to many lives is going to be something that even now it is very difficult for many people to comprehend.

Even with the Shutdown lifted now, it will take time for a feeling of normality to return.

The decisions made by the Government and the stories that the mainstream media has told have already caused irreparable damage to businesses and households, and put the fear of God into people when they simply should have not done so.

People will not find it easy to resume normal living at a restart anytime after this. With the time it will take to accommodate the impact that Coronavirus alone is going to have on society either way, there is no time to lose.

The restart of life after Shutdown is overdue.

 

image thanks to newsthump.com

 

If you want to dob somebody in to the Police for doing the things you want to yourself – please don’t. Have a silent party in your head and celebrate that you have enough self control instead

March 31, 2020 Leave a comment

img_5432With a week of the shutdown gone and the shelves starting to look like they get restocked regularly too, it is the monitoring of the shutdown and social distancing rules that are perhaps cause for our most immediate concern.

You may think that I am about to go off on a tangent moaning about the overreaction by the Police. But in the age of political correctness where all public servants are afraid of their own shadow in case they should become accused of doing the wrong thing, the Police are likely to be doing what they interpret as being right. Sadly, the days when common sense ruled and worldly Police Constables would be encouraged to see most value in striking the fear of god into a miscreant rather than detaining, fining or giving points to them are over. We have simply reached a regrettable place where neither they nor we can win.

No. My reason for writing about this today is the changes to our behaviour since the shutdown began and the sudden urge or temptation on the part of some to pick up the phone or message the Police and dob in a neighbour or someone you know for going out too much, going the the wrong places in their car, or in fact anything they are doing agains social distancing rules that we would now like to be doing ourselves.

Right now, most of us are showing a lot of good will and patience to accommodate and support the social distancing rules. But it takes a lot of self control to simply switch off the freedoms that we had only days ago and observe them quite literally in the real spirit of how they have so far been laid out.

Yes you can call people selfish for not observing social distancing rules religiously. You can lose your shit with them and suggest that they are a threat to yours or others lives. But the reality is that none of us actually know what may or may not be motivating anyone to break social distancing rules – if there is indeed any reason for them breaking them at all.

What if they are suffering with mental health issues and are desperate to get outside? – please bear in mind that just because to you someone may look or sound perfectly healthy, you simply don’t know what’s going on for them inside.

What of they are trying to get a break from a challenging home environment and maybe domestic abuse? – again, few of us see, hear about or understand the realities of what goes on for others behind closed doors. Abusive environments are not always physical in the way that they work and both MEN AND WOMEN may be desperate to get out and get a break just so that they feel they can survive.

What if there are other reasons for them going out or doing what they do, that could be easy to understand and would be acceptable if they were happening to you?

Of course some of the people flouting the social distancing rules are either unaware of them, couldn’t care less or are simply stupid. But making any of them the guilty bastards for a situation that none of us chose to be in in the first place is not something that will end up being a happy choice.

Calling one of the Police ‘Coronavirus Hotlines’ might be your motivation and personal choice. But in these circumstances, the Police will feel obliged to come down heavily on people just because they feel that the (media) spotlight is now on them and that they therefore have no choice.

The Police do have better things they could be doing like chasing real criminals if their efforts are not required by the Coronavirus Crisis elsewhere, rather than punishing people for things that they would have no good reason to know about if someone had not decided to make them wrong.

We all need the Police resources available to be focused where they are needed most. Some of that effort will be spent on people who are not only flouting the social distancing rules, but are breaking them to hurt or endanger others, or to exploit the shutdown because criminality is their conscious choice.

Let’s not take any of our Police Officers away from where their attention and focus really needs to be. Doing so could really cost lives.

When the shutdown is finally over and things return to whatever the norm will then be, the chances are that any one of us would feel guilty for outing anyone during the shutdown for anything that when it has finished will no longer be wrong.

Save yourself the mental anguish and give whoever your sinners are the benefit of the doubt. Because for whatever reason they are breaking the rules, the chances are that they don’t have the level of self control that you have yourself.

For that reason alone, they deserve your understanding and humanity. Just like you and I   would want to receive it from others if we broke the social distancing rules innocently or for some overpowering reason that made it feel to us that we had no choice.

 

 

The World cannot stay stopped until a vaccine is found. Difficult choices need to be made

March 31, 2020 Leave a comment

No, the novelty still hasn’t worn off. We are being good humoured about the shutdown and it feels almost remarkable how quickly we have all adapted to standing in staggered lines, following taped distance lines on the floor, and stepping into the road to make space for other walkers or waiting for someone else to pass.

But this is now. Only 8 days have passed.

If you make the mistake of watching non-stop news coverage, you are likely to be slowly turning mad. The coverage is disproportionately negative or just focused on the personal tragedies and the challenges that are being faced by all the emergency service personnel and above all the NHS Staff who are involved.

Nobody could or should try to take away what is happening for the real people and patients on the front line. But a big problem for us all is that the very nature of media and television today gives the immediate impression that all of this is what is actually happening right now in our front rooms.

Yes, the risk that any of us could go through the same is very real. But the reality of Coronavirus itself is that it will not affect everyone the same.

However, the response, or rather the shutdown has already effected us all, and it’s going to affect us all a whole lot more. It’s affecting many people in ways that may not already, but soon will be causing them – and perhaps you – a great deal of pain. The chain reaction of debt, homelessness and businesses closing down is likely to become like a never-ending downward cycle where the impact will be multiplied as it ripples out more and more and starts to impact on all of us, not just as individuals, but as a whole.

Like most meanings lurking in the subtext and hidden in plain sight of all current political speak, the elephant in the room behind all the daily Downing Street Briefings is this shutdown in its current form cannot end either until everyone has caught the Virus (this dreadful term ‘Herd Immunity’), or a Vaccination has been found, tested and rolled out so that everyone is know to be immune.

Testing on the scale that would make it practical for everything to return to normal isn’t available and is unlikely to be so anytime soon. In fact, the Government managed to conduct around only 7000 tests last Saturday – whereas across the UK we have a total population of 60,000,000 or more.

When and if large scale antibody testing is available, the problem remains that many of us will to have caught the Virus and we still don’t know if people can catch Covid-19 multiple times. So if everyone were just allowed to return to normal at that point, there could again be a significant peak and demand for the NHS, and we could end up having a repeat of the shutdown any number of times.

Whilst the Government has the power to maintain the Shutdown or indeed to make it worse, it is very questionable for it to do so in these circumstances, because in terms of all of the knock-on effects, impacts and consequences that are hitting people and affecting our lives in other ways.

The Shutdown – or a series of them – cannot go on or be maintained for the many months that are now being talked about as a bare minimum. To do so will break what is left of the economy, any ability the Government still had to reduce the National Debt will evaporate and the inadequacy of the financial help given even to people who think they are safe now will make life difficult for so many people that the solution to the Coronavirus problem will have turned out to be significantly worse for the majority of people than it will have been to facilitate the cure or rather treatment of the few.

That is of course is if the consent of the Public for the Government to rule in this way should remain the same as it is now. Odds are that it won’t.

We know that many people have probably already had Covid-19, or that they will suffer very mild symptoms if they do. At some point soon, the emphasis will have to shift from everyones lives being stopped to focus on preventing people catching the Virus, to allowing everyone to restart and get on with life, then only focusing on what happens when they contract Covid-19 when they do.

The current approach is solely focused on preventing the NHS from becoming overwhelmed without real consideration for how the shutdown to facilitate this is impacting on every other part of life. The shutdown is based on too many variables, unknowns and the fear that has taken on a disproportionate value in the reality and thinking of politicians and their advisers who are only equipped to think subjectively and not objectively about the wider picture and the problems that their actions are going to cause.

As soon as the great British Companies and collaborations that have come together to build ventilators and support the expansion of the NHS effort have done their stuff and there are field hospitals set up around the Country to support a realistic level of critical need, it is essential that the Country be allowed to return to work and our normal activities are allowed to resume.

The hard truth is that not everyone will be ill at the same time, even with no social distancing in place, and that whatever happens a still significant number of the people infected with Covid-19 will regrettably die. We all have to accept that just like cancer, accidents, many other lesser-known diseases, illnesses and medical conditions – and of course the seasonal or winter flu, this is just another route added to an inevitable list of reasons from which all bodies will at some point die.

Rather than turning the UK into a Police state, it would be much better for the Government – to treat EVERYONE like the adults, responsible parents and carers that the majority are and put in place the systems and procedures that will encourage people to present themselves either for care and treatment or self-isolation as many already are. If nobody is going to lose out in any way by doing the right thing, it will work effectively and efficiently as everything restarts and keeps running. Then before you know it, ‘Herd Immunity’ or whatever you name you want to call the place where we actually need to be will become a real thing.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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