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Q. Why are the Polls changing? – A. Because nothing else in politics is

December 3, 2019 Leave a comment

Nine days to go until the first December General Election in nearly a Century, and nobody can be sure how the votes on a week this Thursday will actually land.

You can’t say that the Political Parties haven’t tried.

Stop Brexit. Free Broadband. 20,000 new Police Officers. 33% reduction in Rail Fares. Get Brexit Done.

These are all one-liners that have quickly stuck in the mind.

The problem with all of these sound bites and carefully constructed calls to action is that they are being and have been created by a whole System and the Political Parties within it that continue to be all about the very same things as they for too long have already been.

Winning power. Keeping power. Stopping anyone else from gaining the power that they want.

With the closed political system that we currently have in this Country preventing any form of meaningful change, what we once knew as tribalism has now gone pretty much right out of the window.

People are thinking about politics and the details like never before.

The trouble for our Politicians is that normal, everyday People have never looked closely at what politicians are now doing and what they have done – in no small part because of the intransigence of MPs over Brexit that has forced them to do so.

People now understand that there is nothing about any of this – the Tories thinking its all about getting anything through that will pass for Brexit, Labour believing that its all about how much they can spend, the Liberal Democrats calculating that its about being brazen enough to openly admit that Democracy is dead – that actually makes real sense.

They have concluded that we as a Nation are trapped with the Politicians that we have got.

It appears that there is no mechanism or way to bring about that meaningful change that most rational People now know the UK needs.

Meanwhile the political classes are still treating us all like its business as usual.

Politicians believe that nobody outside of Westminster is truly aware of what they are doing.

Yet no matter what we are told the politicians achieve or plan to do, we somehow People end up going to bed every night looking at life in this County and feeling that nothing has changed and that everything remains exactly the same.

Anyone who studies all of this closely and brings to it an open mind will see and surely conclude that there is very little to be hopeful about, no matter who gets Elected in the General Election this time.

Labour will bring chaos to this Country, even as a minority government at the head of a coalition.

A coalition headed by Boris Johnson will pretty much ensure that the stalemate that we have had for over two years in Parliament will be back and ever present on the benches at Westminster with government unable to function as it has been all over again.

And if the Toris should win their long-coveted majority, Boris may well be able to stand up at the end of January and shout at us that he has delivered Brexit.

But when the dust settles and he realises that he has hamstrung himself into yet another trap of the EUs making, we could well find ourselves with the clean, no-deal Brexit that we should always have been given within 12 months. But it will come without Leadership able to address all the challenges, difficulties, knock-on effects and issues that will blow up in their faces overnight as a result.

For too long, politicians have been behaving as if politics – and therefore making decisions that impact everyone – is something very simple and can be carried out on the hop.

We no longer have titans or big beasts in politics.

Politicians and MPs come through a carefully calibrated Party system that removes free thinking and the people with any useful life experience or beneficial understanding of the depth of problems that a complex society such as ours has and the solutions that it really needs.

Candidates are lined up in the tick boxes at elections with Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, Brexit Party, SNP, Green or Plaid Cymru printed by their name. But they are all now inevitably cast in a very similar image and that is why things will keep on ending up the same.

So when there are problems that this Country needs to face – like solving the Brexit Divide – and the moment when real leadership is needed to come to the fore, we now have a distinct absence of anything or anyone who can garner the level of respect from everyone and across the board, simply because they know and are prepared to do what is necessary to get the right result for everyone and are not just obsessed with what other people think or how they look.

It is important for us all now to understand that when the wheels fall off all of the issues that these self-serving and incompetent politicians have created, and the problems that many of us can now see developing become real – as it is now becoming almost certain that they will dothe solutions and answers will not come from within this political system or anything that closely resembles it in its current form.

This election was a golden opportunity for any or all of the existing political parties to go a different way, to do politics differently and they could have done so without it necessarily being in another form.

Instead, they have put their own futures forward as their only real cause and we all now wait for the 12th of December, wondering what will happen in the days and months beyond.

Until there is a real choice at any election, the polls will always be fluid and the result itself will never feel right.

And for now, the reality will be that the decision for many voters on the day of an election or when they put their tick in the box won’t based on what they see as being anything like a real opportunity, but simply about taking a punt on what they see as being the best of a very bad bunch.

The rot in politics that it seems cannot be removed is why everything feels, looks like and is steadily now going wrong.

The log jam that is all that Party Politics in this Country has become is not what the principle of democracy was created for.

Still not voting…

November 27, 2019 Leave a comment

GE2019

At the beginning of the Month, I wrote ‘No, I will not vote in an Election where there isn’t an option for change. Why would I?

With three weeks gone and two more to go until the Election on Thursday 12th December, I have to say that I feel very much the same.

It’s not that there hasn’t been any change. There has.

But the change that has happened has been peripheral or aesthetic at best.

The good that might come from the adjustments within the political landscape that have taken place within this Campaign will not have come about not by design or intention, but rather by default.

With 15 days to go, the biggest issue on everyone’s mind today, is the Interview that Jeremy Corbyn gave to Andrew Neil last night. It followed a day where Labour’s choreographed plan for a day focused on their ‘ambitious Race and Faith Manifesto’ was utterly destroyed by the article written by the Chief Rabbi Ephraim Mirvis and published in yesterday’s Times, explaining exactly why people should redirect their vote.

The Interview itself simply evolved a terrible day into a complete nightmare for the Labour Leader as he effectively refused to apologise for the anti-Semitism within the Labour Party and what the Party has done in response.

The Tories are riding high. And with the latest polls now suggesting that the gap between the Conservatives and Labour is closing, the fall out from this debacle is almost certain to ensure that the polling will quickly start to go the other way.

Or at least that is until Boris sits in front of AF Neil himself whenever that might be agreed and then be.

The big problem is that the Conservatives are riding a wave that doesn’t have defining Public Policy as its root cause.

Labour’s downward trajectory and overkill with its great electoral giveaway of 2019 aside, the biggest boon to Boris Johnson’s position has been the decision from Nigel Farage to remove so many of the Brexit Party’s Candidates from competing against Tory Candidates in Seats where the Conservatives won in the 2017 Campaign.

On the face of it, Farage did this to avoid the risk of Jeremy Corbyn walking into No10.

Yet his hybrid approach of standing Brexit Party Candidates pretty much everywhere else does have the distinctive whiff of the whole effort the Brexit Party is making being not about Brexit itself, but about gaining at least a foothold of control.

The lie itself is given by Farage’s suggestion during the Press Conference at the time that Boris had done enough with the pledges he had made about Brexit in the video that had been released the day before.

To some, it will come as little surprise that recent days have brought stories to the fore, that Farage has no plans to go anywhere. That his next mission will be to rebrand the Brexit Party and transform it into a political vehicle that will drive political reform.

The problem for Farage with this is that apart from the reality he has to now face that as a figurehead and leader he is no longer likely to be trusted, any Party that can be identified as being about nothing else other than Leaving the EU itself is likely to be as divisive as Jo Swinson and the Liberal Democrats have been by rejecting the need to find a pathway that will bring all sides together and committing themselves to cancel Brexit and promise that under their influence the UK will categorically Remain.

To its credit, the Brexit Party has demonstrated that it is possible to bring people, politicians and pubic figures from all political backgrounds together to work as one.

But the ‘Contract’ that they have published instead of a manifesto for this General Election tells us that the leadership of the Party is still thinking about politics in exactly the same way as the leadership of all of the other Political Parties who have contributed to the political crisis that we are experiencing and not least of all the Brexit Divide.

We now look two weeks ahead to an Election Result where Boris is still likely one-way-or-another to be our PM.

But being PM with a majority that is likely to lead to a clean, no deal Brexit by default within 12 months is a lot different to the situation that Boris will face if he is returned as Prime Minister with similar numbers of MPs in Parliament to what we have experienced since 2017 – where the majority present is most likely to still be pushing for further delays, obfuscation and what they will only accept as being a very open form of Remain.

The chaos that follows any of the scenarios that appear to be likely and unfolding from this vantage point in time will not improve things. It is likely to only make things a whole lot worse.

Whilst I and many others would like to see reason for hope that any of the Political Parties we have today and running in this Election could become the catalyst for wide-ranging change, once we have brought everyone back together again by really getting Brexit done, I’m afraid that paying lip service to the change that the UK desperately now needs simply isn’t enough for me to vote for any Candidate or Political Party that is involved.

Legislators should legislate. Not spend public cash like it simply doesn’t count

November 22, 2019 Leave a comment

 

Whilst Brexit was at first painted as the big reason or purpose for this Decembers General Election, the publishing of the Political Parties Manifestos and Election promises they are making now tells us it’s all about spending cash. Or to be more precise, OUR cash.

With money playing an increasing role in everything in our lives to such a degree that it has effectively become a religion and alternative god, it does of course stand to reason that MPs – who cannot exercise any form of original thinking on behalf of others and only for themselves – will resort to the cultural belief that it is only through the act of spending (or saving) money, that any problem can be solved or anything can actually get done.

The problem with this limited and rather tunnelled form of thinking is that MPs are elected by the Public as legislators.

MPs are not simply budget managers – or the kitty holder for the group who gets to spend the cash. Even though that’s clearly now what they believe.

The principle responsibility of MPs is to legislate, not to spend money.

And it’s ONLY through careful and considerate legislating which is fully mindful of consequence that good MPs and therefore government can really begin to get things done in this Country.

The issues that this Country is facing will not be solved by fire hosing cash at them.

The pre-Electoral fire-sale that is this stupendous cash-giveaway is literally no more than fire-fighting at best.

Public Services are failing in this Country because of the rules, regulations and ways of working that exist within them and influence them from outside.

Nothing will change throughout the realm of Public Policy until such time as proper listening, genuine interpretation, selfless creativity, an appreciation of all perspectives  – or what we would probably all recognise as real thinking is involved.

And with no change to the Political System that we have and therefore the Political Parties and the type of Candidates it keeps on giving us to date, you can be sure that the thinking that we so desperately need will not be arriving in Westminster after this coming General Election – or indeed at any time soon.

The only genuine protection for the NHS is meaningful reform

November 9, 2019 Leave a comment

red-herringFive weeks until the General Election and there’s so many red herrings around, you could be fooled into thinking our MPs are trying to sell us a smokery.

The biggest pool of them all surrounds the Labour-led debate over privatisation of the NHS – a topic which is a continual source of dishonesty for the Labour Party, the Conservatives – now the SNP too, and very much a political ball.

The issue was in many ways fuelled by the recent Channel 4 Dispatches Documentary about big pharma and the USA’s probable attempt at assault on the way that the NHS buys drugs as part of a post-Brexit Trade Deal with them.

However, what Labour’s push of ‘we are the only Party who believes in the NHS’ fails to so spectacularly address is the real level of the problems that exist within our National Health Service, how those problems became manifest and have to be addressed, and how fire hosing money at this Public Service might keep the wheels turning, but in the long term it will not save the NHS and in fact could be making all of  the problems significantly worse.

The principle of the NHS is a very good one. We should ALL continue to have access to free healthcare at the point of access. But we cannot continue onwards thinking that its existence can be assured in the future simply on the basis of how much We spend.

Privatisation in its most literal sense is – on the face of it – a very big part of the problem of cost attribution within the NHS today. So for Labour to even suggest that they can stop privatisation when it is already present, is either disingenuous on their part, or demonstrative of their ignorance of how the service actually works.

Many of the problems with cost have come about because of deals that the Blair and Brown Labour Governments constructed under the guise of PFI. Others have snowballed because of the cultural steer towards the use of private contractors or consultants to undertake backroom management functions and the excessive use of temporary staffing agencies that were never required before all good sense in employment laws and conditions was excessively overstepped and the door was opened to unbridled levels of profit making which has gone on for so long now that it is simply the way rather than individual choice.

Fixing this problem so that the NHS once again becomes sustainable isn’t easy. And with politicians who don’t even understand how it all works, real or meaningful reform is not  even currently on the agenda, let alone being a political choice.

The MPs that we have had, their Parties and the People who lead them have no incentive to really get to grips with what is really going on. Their lack of knowledge and understanding is self evident each and every time they are interviewed – which during an Election Campaign is pretty much every time that we turn the radio or TV on.

Until this changes, none of the problems that we as People within this Country face will be dealt with.

Yet we don’t even have the option of Political Parties or Candidates on 12th December who even have an idea of what is really going on.

 

image thanks to unknown

Corbyn had a bad day yesterday. But the truth will be no friend to the Conservatives as a result

November 8, 2019 Leave a comment

1b1adc77-5377-4d68-a64f-9ec227c66d16Wow. What a day that was.

Within the space of less than 24 hours, Tom Watson, the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party stood down, The Jewish Chronicle outs its view of the Labour Party under Corbyn on its front page and Ian Watson, a Labour Minister under Gordon Brown interviews on National Television stating that the current Labour Leader isn’t fit to rule and that People should vote for Boris Johnson instead.

But what difference will it all really make?

The answer the Conservatives will not want to hear is probably not a lot.

During normal times, an individual of Jeremy Corbyn’s nature, background and ideals would not be Leader of the Opposition, let alone be less than 5 weeks away from the possibility of being UK Prime Minister and walking straight into No10.

But the times we live in are far from normal. And the reality that disillusioned Labour MPs may well have nominated and voted Corbyn into the Labour Leadership in 2015 for little more than a laugh will make no difference in the hindsight of history.

Indeed, we will surely look back on the Electorate’s 6-week interview and assessment of Marxism as an applicant for the job of driving the direction of the next government in the final months of 2019 as just being a sign of the times.

The politicians we have today bear a significant amount of the responsibility for the rise and presence of what we call fake news.

In fact, we have been on the receiving end of decades of spin. And whilst the Establishment continually tries to make us believe that fake news is only the preserve of those outside the mainstream, of extremists and of the Russians or perhaps the Chinese, the past three years since the European Referendum has been a master class from Politicians and the mainstream media in this Country of how to push nothing but opinion – and have it passed off successfully as being the truth.

Fake news now flows through every media channel to the point where for a growing number of people no difference actually exists between falsehood and truth.

For many, reality in politics has become all about what resonates best, what makes sense or what suits or most closely fits the listeners experience and view of the world.

Then there are the young, who inexperienced in the dark ways of the world and therefore idealist by nature, don’t look beyond the instant hit that comes from a sound bite or a picture that is painted with impractical idealism and represents what they sincerely believe can be achieved and is therefore what they would like to see.

They don’t consider the detail.

They don’t have any idea what delivering these ideas and manifesting them in reality would actually involve.

They certainly don’t anticipate or understand the consequences of what they might be calling for and the pain that waving a magic policy wand in isolation will almost certainly cause.

But then why should young people be expected to know and understand any of this when the narrative from politicians other than those like Corbyn tell them that Conservatives and those like them look on young people as being of little value, that they have nothing to bring to the party, and that they should shut up and do whatever they are told.

Against this backdrop, the narrative that Corbyn peddles is intoxicating to many of the People in this Country who are already politically disenfranchised and to an even greater proportion of the young.

The truth of what Jeremy Corbyn is, what he represents and what he might soon have the power to inflict upon us all is someone else’s news, someone else’s truth.

It has no currency to those who have no reason to trust the Establishment. Especially when the solution that Corbyn is selling offers an instant high with absolutely none of the disadvantages or responsibilities that following out-of-touch old people, boomersgammon or the elite would involve.

So whilst the Tories might be looking at the papers and the news feeds today and thinking that this Election Campaign is quickly becoming little more than a slam-dunk, they should perhaps take a step back and consider the fact that they have helped to create the environment in the UK today. A place where People right across the Electoral spectrum will be weighing up the pros and cons of all the Political Parties and all the Candidates without anything like the normal rationality that Conservative Politicians assume will always be involved.

The funny thing is that the outcome of this Election is most likely to materialise simply by default.

Nothing that any of these politicians are saying or doing stands out as being any different  to what We have heard in the past or is encouraging voters – whether young or old – to vote in any way differently to what it would, in the circumstances, be logical to expect.

If Boris Johnson and the Tories really want the truth to matter in the future elections that they might still be able to fight, they need to start talking to, interacting with and considering everyone beyond their own kind differently.

But first and before they do that, they should really take a good hard look at themselves.

 

Parliament vs The People: The Public’s view of our time that becomes a false narrative the very moment that Boris attempts to make it his own

November 7, 2019 Leave a comment

One of the most telling aspects of our broken political system is the way that Politicians and their Parties have become adept at seizing any phrase or form of words that represents the sum total of how People feel about something. Hollowing it out so that it loses all sense and all meaning. And then ride away on it during a campaign as if it is an idea or way of thinking that they somehow then own.

With issues such as the Climate Crisis, Housing Crisis or anything like that on the domestic issue front, this theft and misuse of public narrative is bad enough.

But when it comes to Our position over the destruction of democracy and the pathway that has led to it via Brexit, Boris’ attempts to steal the narrative ‘Parliament vs The People’ for his own ends is cynical in the extreme.

Whilst Boris has been fashioning himself as the champion of Brexit, his pursuit of a deal with the EU that doesn’t actually deliver it is only the first rip in the cover that exposes all of his positions flaws.

Selling out to achieve a relationship with the EU that by default will always end up being called Brexit, but is actually Remain isn’t the worst offence that Boris’ attempt to self-style himself as being different can actually cause.

The biggest is the fact that he has been, is and will clearly continue to be a BIG part of the  Parliament that has been set against the Will of the People for many years and not just since Brexit – which has only ever been a symptom of the problems that he and others like him have created. Brexit was not the cause.

Boris is the Establishment all over. And whilst he has had a massive opportunity to be and do something very different, like the majority of all the other MPs – who together made up the last Parliament – he has chosen not to be the difference that we have all been waiting for, instead making self-interest and what works best for him at every turn his one and only cause.

The real fight, battle or perhaps what we may come to call the war that is Parliament vs The People hasn’t even rally begun.

The system is so tightly wrapped up to protect and propagate itself that The People don’t even have the opportunity of gaining a foothold against the Establishment monopoly over who gets access to Parliament, which could only come if We had real alternatives to the Parties on offer and with it a much better destination for our Vote.

Until we have this opportunity, the war that is The People vs Parliament will not have started and so there is no way that it can be won.

So for Boris to ride around sounding off that he is the Champion of the People isn’t just disingenuous and manipulative. It’s arguably tantamount to being an outright lie.

No Boris, you won’t need this dodgy deal with a majority in Parliament and it’s only if you drop it that you will get the majority in Parliament that you want

November 7, 2019 Leave a comment

41xgBLGbJtL._SY450_The Tories are already going backwards and it probably won’t be long before there are serious questions heading to CCHQ from Constituencies all over the Country demanding to know what reason the Election was really called for.

The story hiding in plain sight where all of the Political Parties and not least of all the Tories are concerned, is that none of them now have the capacity or substance to create blue water between themselves and any of the others within any policy area other than where Brexit is concerned.

Politics really is broken in this Country and that break has created a great divide.

It is only by delivering the Brexit that We, the British People democratically Voted for that any Party Leader and the Polticial Party they lead can begin the process of healing the split.

Boris deal and what he calls his oven ready Brexit definitely isn’t it.

The odd thing. The peculiar thing. Is that Boris only had any kind of reason to attempt a compromise over what Brexit looked like for as long as what we have been calling the Zombie Parliament was still sitting and preventing him from doing anything.

The General Election Campaign is now underway.

That disastrous, obstructive, un-democratic Parliament no longer exists.

So the reason Boris could previously then argue that he had – which was little more than compromise to appease Remainer MPs – no longer exists. That is unless of course Boris was always set on Remaining in the EU all along. Or that he is perhaps afraid that a majority in Parliament is not in any way achievable.

With a majority in Parliament, the UK can Leave as it always should have done and then create a post-Brexit relationship with the EU that will actually be good for the UK – rather than always in some way ending up as a subservient one.

That’s the deal that We really want.

Boris can only leap in the right direction, that of achieving this – if he drops this disastrous deal which isn’t Brexit.

Boris’ deal is a Trojan Horse arrangement that will end up with the result being BRINO and is as such fundamentally the same thing as Remain.

Now is the right time – in the early stages of this General Election Campaign – to make that change if he genuinely wants the Electorate to come on side.

And if Boris wants to secure the majority that he needs in Parliament this December – like any New Prime Minister seeking to secure a real legacy surely would – there is a fundamental need for him to unite all Brexiteers behind him.

To unite all Brexiteers, Boris will have no option but to bring the Brexit Party on side. He must create an Electoral Pact between the Brexit Party and the Conservative Party that really will get Brexit done.

Otherwise, come Friday 13th December, things will either begin to immediately become exponentially worse as another PM strolls into Downing Street and takes over. Or at very best they will simply Remain the same.

But you never know. Perhaps that was always the real aim of the Boris plan?

image thanks to unknown

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