When Protectionism Makes Genuine Sense – Even if it Stops Some from Making Money

The debate over tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles has been bubbling across social media, and what’s striking is not the policy detail but the discomfort it creates among the market‑orientated commentariat.

These are people who have spent decades insisting that globalisation is the only sensible economic model, that markets should always set the rules, and that any interference – especially by governments – is a step backwards.

Now, faced with the reality that the UK may need to work with EU partners to protect domestic manufacturers, they are being forced into intellectual contortions that reveal just how brittle their worldview has become.

The friction here is not really about cars. It is about the deeper assumption that the economic model we have – a model built on global supply chains, financial expansion, and the relentless pursuit of growth – is the only one that makes sense.

That assumption rests on a one‑directional pull toward opening trade as far as conceivably possible, because that’s supposedly where growth will be found. And growth, in this worldview, is not about people becoming better off. It is about the creation of yet more money, usually through debt, which pushes up GDP and keeps the financial system ticking over.

This obsession with growth hides a fundamental truth: the growth that markets obsess over is not the same growth that most people experience.

GDP can rise while living standards fall. Productivity can increase while wages stagnate. Asset values can soar while home ownership collapses.

Many people still cling to the myth that political growth will make things better – or at least return life to how it used to be – but the numbers have been going up for years while the lived reality has been going down.

To understand why protectionism now makes sense, we have to understand the money system that made globalisation seem inevitable.

The Money System Behind the Illusion

Modern economies run on fiat money – money created not from physical value but from government authority and, crucially, from debt. When banks issue loans, they create new money. When governments borrow, they expand the money supply. Growth, in the political sense, is simply the expansion of this created money.

For decades, this system worked because the newly created money was tied to expanding production. Factories were built. Goods were made. Jobs were created. Communities thrived. The money had something real behind it.

But once production was moved overseas, the link between money creation and real economic activity broke. We kept creating money – but we no longer created the goods, jobs, or value that once justified it. Instead, the West became dependent on consumption funded by debt, while production was concentrated in China and a handful of other countries.

This is where extraction enters the story.

Extraction: The Hidden Cost of Globalisation

Globalisation didn’t just move factories abroad. It extracted value from every part of Western society:

  • Extraction of jobs – manufacturing, engineering, logistics, and skilled trades hollowed out.
  • Extraction of wages – pay stagnated while costs rose.
  • Extraction of communities – towns built around industry lost their purpose.
  • Extraction of environmental stability – long supply chains increased emissions and resource depletion.
  • Extraction of political agency – decisions moved from local hands to global markets.
  • Extraction of national wealth – profits and production flowed outward, not inward.

Above all, globalisation extracted economic power from people and transferred it to corporations, financial markets, and foreign production hubs.

This wasn’t accidental. It was the design. Globalisation was sold as efficiency, but it functioned as a massive wealth transfer mechanism.

Wealth Transfer: The Real Story

The wealth transfer happened in several layers:

1. From wages to profits

When production moved abroad, labour costs collapsed. The savings didn’t go to consumers – they went to corporations and financial markets.

2. From communities to global supply chains

Local businesses couldn’t compete with imported goods. Wealth drained outward.

3. From national economies to China

The West consumed; China produced. The money followed the production.

4. From real economy to financial economy

As production declined, financial speculation replaced industry as the main driver of “growth.”

5. From future generations to the present

Debt expanded to maintain consumption levels that wages could no longer support.

This is why the system feels hollow: because it is.

The Illusion of Efficiency

Globalisation was sold as efficient. But efficiency is fragile.

Efficiency removes redundancy. Redundancy is what makes systems resilient.

Here, redundancy doesn’t mean job losses. It means resilience. In systems terms, redundancy is the spare capacity, backup options, and local alternatives that keep things functioning when something goes wrong. A resilient economy has multiple sources of essential goods, local production alongside imports, and enough slack in its supply chains to absorb shocks. Globalisation removed this kind of redundancy – not by cutting jobs, but by stripping away the buffers that once protected communities, industries, and national security.

Local supply chains, local production, and local skills were once buffers against shocks. Globalisation removed those buffers. It replaced resilience with fragility, and called it progress.

When shocks hit – a pandemic, a war, an energy crisis – the system broke exactly where it had been hollowed out.

The Curious Love Affair With China

This is where the love affair that politicians, industry aficionados and financial players have with China becomes so curious. They praise China’s industrial might, its manufacturing efficiency, and its ability to produce goods at scale and at speed. But they are blind to the realities underpinning the Chinese powerhouse – just as they are blind to how things really work economically here at home.

China’s industrial strength is real, but its economic model is fragile. It is heavily dependent on exports, deeply entangled in debt, and centrally managed in ways that hide structural weaknesses. The property sector has been in crisis for years. Domestic consumption is too weak to sustain growth. And the country’s manufacturing dominance relies on a global system that assumes stability, cheap energy, and constant demand – none of which can be taken for granted.

Yet Western economies outsourced their industrial base to China under the assumption that globalisation was permanent, stable, and mutually beneficial. They believed that moving production overseas would always be cheaper, always be efficient, and always be safe. But globalisation was never a natural law. It was a confidence game – a system that works only as long as everyone believes it will continue working.

Calling globalisation a Ponzi scheme might be too simple, but calling it a worldwide confidence trick is not far off. It requires constant expansion. It depends on trust rather than resilience. It shifts production far from consumption. And it leaves countries vulnerable if supply chains break, energy prices spike, or geopolitical tensions rise.

The truth that must be reckoned with is this: transferring every conceivable part of industrial production to the other side of the world leaves a serious question hanging in the air. What happens here – and what happens there – when the money system that is the lifeblood of this one-directional process comes to a grinding halt?

AI: The Final Blow to the Globalised Model

If globalisation hollowed out production, AI is now hollowing out what is left of the wage‑earning capacity that once kept the system going.

For decades, the global model relied on a simple loop:

  1. The West consumed goods made abroad.
  2. People earned wages to buy those goods.
  3. Governments and banks created money to keep consumption rising.
  4. China produced the goods that consumption demanded.

But AI breaks this loop. It displaces jobs across sectors – not just manufacturing, which was already offshored, but services, administration, logistics, design, media, and even parts of professional work. The very wage base that kept the consumption‑debt cycle alive is eroding.

We now face a situation where:

  • We no longer produce the goods.
  • We no longer earn the wages.
  • We still create the money – but it has nothing real to attach to.

This is the point where the global system begins to fail. You cannot sustain a consumption‑driven economy when the capacity to earn wages is collapsing. You cannot sustain a debt‑driven money system when the underlying productive base has been hollowed out. And you cannot sustain globalisation when the domestic economy no longer has the means to participate in it.

AI is not the cause of the crisis – it is the accelerant that exposes how fragile the system already was.

The Collapse of Demand

The global system requires:

  • constant production
  • constant consumption
  • constant money creation
  • constant debt expansion

But:

  • production moved abroad
  • wages stagnated
  • AI reduces earning power
  • debt has reached saturation
  • demand is collapsing

Once demand collapses, the entire global system fails – and protectionism becomes not ideological, but practical.

EVs: A Redirection, Not a Solution

EVs are being sold as a technological fix, but they are built on the same flawed logic: extract resources, extract labour, extract wealth, and hope the system holds.

The deeper issue is not the fuel that vehicles use. It is the assumption that we need so many vehicles in the first place – an assumption created by an economic system built around long‑distance commuting, centralised employment, fragmented supply chains, and consumer lifestyles that depend on mobility rather than locality.

EVs change the technology but not the underlying logic.

The System Is Failing – And Protectionism Is Becoming Necessary

We cannot continue like this. Soon we will not be able to.

The system that pointed everything toward China, foreign production, and EVs is falling to its knees. The question is whether we wake up in time to address the real issues while we still have a choice – or whether events will push everything we know straight to the floor.

In this context, protectionism not only makes sense – it becomes essential. Not just for cars, but for everything people genuinely need each and every day.

Media discussions about “upsetting China” are irrelevant compared to the question of more pressing matters such as whether everyone can continue to eat during a prolonged crisis.

Like so many other forms of essential production and supply we have hollowed out the UK’s ability to feed itself. Politicians may say we produce around 60% of our own food, but that figure is misleading. Much of that production depends on imported inputs: fertiliser, feed, energy, machinery, labour. If borders fully closed, the real amount of food ready to go directly to the table is closer to 11%.

That means in a real, ongoing crisis, we could feed roughly one in ten people. And this would potentially be the baseline for as long as it would take to change, develop and reestablish UK systems to produce enough food to meet everyone’s basic and essential needs.

To call this situation stupid would be an understatement. It is a growing structural vulnerability that has been ignored for decades because it was easier to believe that global supply chains were permanent and that crises only ever happened somewhere else.

The Only Viable Path Forward

Locality, localism, and an entirely different system – one that puts people first rather than money first – is now the only answer. And it’s the same for everyone else too.

Protectionism, in this context, is not about nationalism or nostalgia. It is about resilience. It is about ensuring that essential goods are produced close to where they are consumed. It is about rebuilding the capacity to feed, clothe, transport, and sustain ourselves without relying on fragile global systems.

This does not mean closing borders or rejecting trade. It means recognising that trade should complement domestic capability, not replace it. It means building systems that can withstand shocks rather than collapse under them. It means prioritising the basics – food, energy, manufacturing, infrastructure – over abstract financial growth.

The globalised model didn’t fail because of ideology. It failed because it extracted too much, transferred too much, hollowed out too much, and left too little behind.

Protectionism isn’t a political choice. It’s a survival strategy.

Further Reading

Understanding why protectionism now makes sense requires stepping back and seeing the wider system that shaped our economy, our politics, and our everyday lives.

The following pieces explore the deeper mechanics behind growth, money creation, economic fragility, AI disruption, and the urgent need for localism.

Each article expands on themes raised in the essay and offers a clearer view of how we reached this point – and how we can move forward.

1. Understanding the Growth Illusion

Why Politicians Obsess Over Growth – And Why It Has Nothing To Do With You

A clear explanation of why political “growth” is not the same as real‑world improvement. This piece shows how GDP has become a political performance metric rather than a measure of public wellbeing, and why the obsession with growth continues even when life gets harder for ordinary people.

The Harmful Truths That Are Hidden Behind Political Growth

https://adamtugwell.blog/2024/12/06/the-harmful-truths-that-are-hidden-behind-political-growth/ A deeper dive into the mechanics behind growth, revealing how the system relies on debt creation, financial expansion, and the extraction of value from communities. It explains why political growth often hides economic harm rather than progress.

2. How the System Hollowed Out Everyday Life

Why So Many People Are Struggling – And It Was Never Their Fault

This piece exposes the hidden mechanics of an economy that works against normal life. It explains how wage stagnation, rising costs, and the collapse of local industry were engineered by a system designed to extract value rather than support people.

Why Britain Feels Like We Are Being Priced Out of Everyday Life

An explanation of why everyday life has become unaffordable. It challenges the mainstream narratives about inflation and cost‑of‑living pressures, showing how the real causes lie in decades of economic policy that hollowed out domestic resilience.

Thinking Clearly in a Time of Fear

A guide to understanding economic and political turbulence without falling into panic or misinformation. It helps readers see the structural issues clearly and avoid the fear‑driven narratives that often dominate public debate.

3. Fragility, AI, and the Collapse of the Old Model

The Age of Circular Fragility – Why AI and the World Economy May Now Rise and Fall Together

A crucial exploration of how AI accelerates the fragility already built into the global economy. It explains why job displacement, collapsing demand, and global supply chain dependence form a circular system where shocks amplify each other.

4. Building a Better Economic System

An Economy for the Common Good – Full Text

A foundational piece outlining what a people‑first economic system would look like. It explains how money, governance, and local production can be redesigned to serve communities rather than financial markets.

The Local Economy Governance System – Online Text

A practical framework for how local economies can be structured, governed, and sustained. It shows how localism can replace global fragility with community‑level resilience and democratic control.

The Basic Living Standard Explained

A clear explanation of a baseline living standard that ensures everyone has access to essentials. It connects economic design with human dignity and outlines how a fair, sustainable system can be built from the ground up.

The greatest benefit of AI today will be a new dark age of stupidity and ignorance that our surrender to it will bring

There’s something very wrong with the AI story that we are all being sold:

Nobody seems to have noticed that the script of man’s pathway to the pinnacle of human intelligence is about to come to its end, by handing our ability to think, over to machines.

As I write, I’m wondering if the name ‘Artificial Intelligence’ was a deliberate way to hide the truth in plain sight, all along.

Not because the technological breakthroughs that are coming at us thick and fast aren’t very clever.

But because just like the surrender of our value set to an artificial, valueless and damaging world dominated by money that manipulates everything about the way we think, we are about to give away our ability to even do that, to systems and technologies that cannot genuinely benefit any human being – other than those who own and run them.

In my eBook Actions Speak Louder than Digital Words, I talked about AI only having the ability to look back at history and the past. Even where back meant what had been published or ‘sensed’ by the Internet up to the very moment when the system was responding to a specific command.

This overlooked or deliberately whitewashed flaw of AI echoes one of the greater faults in the Human experience, where we inherently look backwards to our past experiences to provide guidance for the future.

This should be troubling enough.

But what wasn’t apparent even when I published that book in June 2023, was that as AI began filling everything across the web and digital sphere with its own responses, muses and anything else we can give AI-derived content as a name, it would then begin leveraging just as much and increasingly more of its own diluted content as a source, which is almost certain to increase as human input or creativity dries up.

And the contribution of human creativity and intelligence to the smorgasbord board of information and data that the AI engines feast on is most certainly drying up, as more and more of us surrender to the narrative we have been fed that tells us AI is now the only way, and jobs are threatened by the accompanying suggestion that AI can do things that we can never do!

Dictating our future by using the past as our point of reference certainly holds us back and creates all sorts of difficulties at all levels of life that we didn’t ever need to have.

However, the one thing that makes that experience manageable and, in some ways, arguably beneficial too, is that our human creativity and ability to look at every new situation and make sense of it and its context in ways that allow us to build bridges into the future, means that we are making progress all the time. Even if that progress is slower, whereas a machine that is limited only to reading what has already happened simply cannot.

People – and many of them too – genuinely accept the stories and myths that we have and are now being sold.

They believe and, in many cases, have become fearful that AI can already or very soon will take over every function that humans currently carry out within any business or organisation. Despite the reality that anyone using their common sense or daring to listen to their inner voice will recognise a very big question, ‘Where in this future does that leave any need for me?’

AI is very fast at what it does and is able to look at potentially all the information that is available to us in digital form at the very moment in time that a question is asked or an instruction is given.

That – and only that – is the real magic of AI.

It is the reason that we are all just accepting the idea that AI is already infinitely cleverer than Humans could ever be. Just as those who benefit from us believing this to be true intend us to believe.

However, our acceptance that we no longer need to be creative or think for ourselves, means that we will not only increasingly become dependent upon a pool of ‘knowledge’ outside of ourselves – albeit a very large one of everything that has been recorded, spoken, considered and then committed to the internet and digital platforms up to some point in history before. But this pool of knowledge that we will use for everything will become increasingly diluted by the growing amount of poor and corrupt information, data and ‘understanding’ that our already burgeoning use of AI with everything is now spaffing out into the digital ether.

As you read, Humanity is literally giving up the ability to think and create for itself, to a machine-driven world that is incapable of doing any more.

What is more, Humanity is surrendering these cornerstone abilities for survival voluntarily. Because someone who benefits from us believing we are inadequate without technology has told us this, when a change of the kind that overreliance on AI could be about to usher in would have needed something akin to an extinction-level event to take place at any time in world history before.

This uncomfortable truth will not stop those who stand to benefit from the AI takeover from pushing and promoting this path. They will continue peddling the myths that the AI takeover will be in our best interests and will be inevitable all the same. When it is nothing of the sort.

The Technology we have available to us today will not live up to its greatest potential. Because the greatest potential any technology that man invents will have, is to help improve the lives and experiences of all men, rather than to replace any one of them.

We know this to be true, as this has regrettably been the way that technological advancements have always impacted Humanity since the ending of the Agricultural Age.

Technology has always been employed to make money for those who own and control it since then.

The rise of new technology has always been at the cost of all others at some level. No matter who they are or what their connections might be.

The reality we face is that it may already be too late to save the world we recognise from a fate that we have all unwittingly chosen. Rather than there being any kind of event or catastrophe at the heart of future change that no one person could have been responsible for.

However, if we are to address the slide towards universal ignorance, with the accompanying potential to take us back into the dark ages once more, we must reassess, reimagine and regulate the uses of every kind of technology. So that technology’s master can only be the public good. Rather than profit and the disaster that is following hard in its footsteps right now.

If we value the Human experience and wish to improve it, it is time to learn, share and then live the truth that there is no need for any technology to replace jobs, other than so just a few can increase their profits and control.

The best way for everyone and everything to live well, is without the complications and diversions that misappropriated technology imposes upon us, and the technology we do embrace should always be used for the greater good and for the benefit of everyone involved.