Yes, Reform are looking good. But the Tories could out reform Reform, IF they can remember what being conservative really is

Reform’s performance in the Local and Helsby and Runcorn by Elections really does look good.

Anyone looking on can immediately see why so many of the political pundits and members of the opinionati are now backing Reform for a similarly groundbreaking General Election result in 2029.

The uncomfortable truth that many supporters will fail to recognise is the only reason that Reform could achieve a seismic turnaround of the kind that would instantaneously drop Nigel Farage into No.10, would be that when compared to all the others, Reform could still be the only real unknown quantity, and therefore different enough to hoover up the majority of a very fatigued Electorates votes.

Unfortunately for the Electorate, without a significant change in their direction, voting Reform into power at the next General Election would once again be voting without due regard for the Law of Unintended Consequences. Just as it was last July when those who did vote put Labour into Government.

Nonetheless, it could and may well happen.

The real depth and direction of Reform are being hidden by Britain’s Political Perfect Storm

It won’t matter what problems the new Reform Administrations in Local Government create, being directed from Reform HQ, as if everything must now be run and controlled from the very top.

The unavoidable disintegration of the UK public sector that is already well underway will almost certainly hide whatever Reform Councils do from public scrutiny and view.

Because Labour, the Tories and Lib Dem Councils are going to struggle in this climate either not to go bankrupt or find other ways to avoid royally stuffing things up.

Reform aren’t reforming anything other than the public discourse over the issues that the majority of people can see and associate with the effects of the problems that are effecting society.

No matter how far detached those perspectives might be focused from the real cause.

Farage’s approach might at best be viewed as becoming increasingly aligned with the establishment and the global thinking that sits behind so many of the problems and the direction of travel that even this Labour government has.

The irony of this should not be lost, that whilst the parts of the political right that are falling in behind Reform either believe Brexit didn’t happen or that under a Reform government Brexiteers will get to finish the job, the reality is that everything that drove the EU project that Farage’s UKIP and Brexit Party so vocally championed against, also had globalism and the centralised global political model at its heart.

Once it becomes clear that a UK version of the Trumpian DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) has no basis within the realities that underpin how our current dysfunctional public sector works, there may well be a moment when those Reformers with elected roles, who are taking their responsibilities to local electors seriously, will realise that there are many things that can still be done. Whilst there are many others that simply cannot.

At some point, the rather large penny must drop, that there is a very careful and considered game to be played that without otherwise torching the entire system and structure of government delivery and bringing it all to a halt, will require the buy-in of key Government officers, nonetheless.

To those watching closely, Farage has already shown his hand.

Whilst it might not be prudent to visit the bookies and begin trying to get odds just yet, as far as the next General Election goes, whenever that actually will be, the perfect storm that has engulfed British politics may well deliver a Reform win.

But it will be the U.K. and our people, rather than whatever is left of the political opposition, that will lose in that Election if Reform have ‘won’ under their current modus operandi and plans.

A Zero-Sum Game?

A rather interesting perspective of the seemingly unassailable position that Reform now has, is that as far as the future goes for the Tories, they currently face a zero-sum game. One that applies whether they capitulate to Reform or carry on as they have done before. As they clearly are continuing to do so, now.

Yes, there remains truth in the suggestion that Reform might never govern without the cooperation or collaboration of today’s Tories in some way.

However, Farage is unlikely to ever accept anything less than remaining in control. And as head of any collaboration and apparent PM in waiting, the real difficulties will begin for us all just as soon as the leadership has a lucid post-victory moment. Probably not unlike like Starmer et al did on the 5th of July last year, when those who had arrived in No.10 realised that unless they were big enough to risk precipitating an immediate collapse of the entire system, pretty much everything would still need to go on as before, and that even though they were in government, they themselves would be required simply to do as they are told.

Picture it now; a coalition that includes what is left of the Conservative Party, all subservient to a government of the kind that will almost certainly be filled with very angry activists. Ideologues who will have been promised much from outside of power, who took it all at face value; all without any of the understanding of how government really works. People who will quickly be looking for someone else to blame.

Now may be the Tories only available Watershed Moment

To say that the choice the Tories have sits between change immediately or die, might sound extreme. But it is a genuine reflection on where the future of this once revered political machine now lies.

The way the Tories would now out reform Reform, would be to reject and distance themselves from the establishment, globalist and accepted positions on just about everything. And not just say, but put everything about the UK and our people, first.

The choice to change cannot mean anything other than putting people and our communities back at the very heart of everything they do.

The Conservatives must return to the basic principles of conservatism and remember what it is to lead and deliver for others, selflessly, and with the key motivation to conserve.

The caveat would be that the Conservatives will also be required to restore and return a model of U.K. governance and related infrastructure to us that can recapture the sense of cultural belonging and shared feeling that our system is fair, balanced and just.

The point being missed across all of British politics today, is that by engaging the public correctly and re enfranchising people and communities appropriately and restoring real trust, people would quickly focus on a very different model of political engagement.

They would not need the myths, false promises and clever narratives to explain away the pain that disenfranchisement has caused for so many before.

Can the Tories actually change, rather than just talk it up?

Whilst being able to stand up and say ‘We have for too long got this all wrong’ is a very important part of getting any credibility back, it will be the actions of Today’s Conservative Party that count.

The rump of what’s left of the Conservative Party must stop pretending that with the level of uncertainty in the world as we have now, they actually have 4 years to try out and give wasted chances to new leaders who still believe that all the Tories need do to remain relevant, is wait until the political merry-go-round does its thing and it’s ‘their turn’ to return to power, once again.

No politician who is a genuine public servant has time to waste. And as it would be correct to say to any would-be political leaders who are ready and willing to do the right thing by the people who put them there, the time to change and begin working as they always should have, is now.

A New Political Party needs to be new in every meaningful sense. That means leaving the fixed ideas and the egos in the incompetent politics bin too

Warfare within the Reform UK Party has broken in to full view this week, with what appears to be an exquisitely well-timed revelation about MP Rupert Lowe’s behaviour bursting into the open alongside a complaint to the Police, just a day after talk picked up suggesting that the Reform MP could be an alternative to Nigel Farage as Prime Minister.

With the polls appearing to have settled or even calmed in recent days, indicating that there is some kind of status quo manifesting around the current public view of the political establishment, and Reform apparently failing to pick up any one of 9 seats in council by elections this week, it is reasonable to believe that the momentum that the seemingly unstoppable party has had since last July’s General Election is already beginning to cross its peak and that this will have began to ruffle feathers within what exists of the Party hierarchy.

Rupert Lowe has been making demonstrable waves in the form of being the kind of representative presence that all voters should be able to expect of their MP as an absolute minimum.

In itself, this has been shining a light on the shadows created by what much of Nigel Farage actually does, and it would appear that the fragility of the egos that have been driving the 4th evolution of what at its core was always an anti-EU movement, have finally began to wrestle with the reality that the model of politics that they wish to pursue isn’t in any way hard hitting enough.

Fundamentally, the motives and drive of Reform appear to be just an echo, mirror or parroting of what drives all the politicians in Westminster, who have already been written off for their incompetence and self-serving ambitions.

Doing what we’ve always done with our political system is no longer going to wash.

Labour are sinking in every way. Not just because they are Labour. But because everything touched by public policy has been heading this way for decades, and the current crop of politicians on the government benches are really just the unfortunate fools who found themselves without a comfy seat as the music begins to stop.

Solving the growing list of problems that the UK now has will need adults back in the room and most people are waking up to this. So, one party getting a whopping majority, just because they are a different choice, isn’t all that likely to happen again.

Whilst the Reform rhetoric has been like sweet music to the growing number of politically disenfranchised from around the UK, who come from across all political and demographic backgrounds, and the movement of big names and former Tories to the Reform ranks, together make it appear that the right is really going the Reform way, the reality is that in terms of policy, outreach and wider public engagement at the very least, the talk and the stories being shared are direct messages that reflect how those choosing to follow them today now feel, and little more.

Reform policy suggestions give no indication that the party strategy is based on anything real or that connects with the realities that ANY political party in the UK will now face IF it gains power and is then determined enough to do EVERYTHING necessary to achieve all that needs to be done.

Whilst the end result may end up being about what can and what will change in Westminster, IF and WHEN the next General Election comes, no political party and certainly not a new one (or one that calls itself new) is going to create the seismic change and win the cross-tribal support and mandate for what will be very painful and far-reaching change, without turning everything political on its head.

At the very minimum, this means putting the relationship with voters and what life experience is like for everyone, first.

Yes, Reform could still do this. But the chances are that with what we have seen already, the Party is already too entrenched with a philosophy that tells their active members that they are not only different to everyone else, but their cause and what they are doing is right in a way that makes everyone who disagrees, wrong.

If you take time to look at the social media streams this morning, you will see the suggestions that Rupert Lowe join up with people like Ben Habib, Katie Hopkins and other names who any number of different people might currently see being the kind of person they would like or see best to lead.

The problem is that whilst some cannot see and many others simply will not accept it, the world has changed even since July. It is also continuing to change very quickly and that’s before we take into consideration any one of a number of possible events and outcomes that have the potential to unfold in the days, weeks and months that lie ahead.

Anything new and meaningful that has the genuine capability and structure to gain enough credibility to win outright at the next general election, MUST forget the personalities, the loud voices and the great media players and focus on what people need and what is best for the people, first.

There’s no question that people many would already recognise nationally and locally too will have a role to play in our political future.

But the way that politics today is politics for politics-sake, and everything is all about some agenda that is out of touch with real people and something that nobody apart from those who are ‘in on it’ will ever see, is over. It just hasn’t ended yet.

The future is abstract. Because Today’s way of Life is the root cause of Our problems and We will only have a Tomorrow if we leave it behind

On Monday, I published ‘Our Local Future’, a new booklet that is free to read, broken down into page-based topics online, or downloadable as a Book for Kindle for less than the price of a coffee in one of today’s UK high street branded shops.

I’ve already had a number of conversations about Our Local Future.

Feedback from people on all the subjects I have been writing about, discussing and that I have continued to explore is always interesting.

Not because framing those conversations this way wraps up disagreement in some kind of polite and therefore palatable way.

But because by far the most common response – and a very quick one too, is for something to come back that says ‘This sounds like’, or perhaps, ‘I watched a video that mentioned that’, or ‘Isn’t that the same thing as’.

I went through a similar experience when I joined a postgraduate course at a British University last year so that I could look more closely at the mechanics of the UK Food Security issues and the many parts of life that the issues of Food Production and access to the Basic Essentials in Life really does reflect or touch.

In many ways, I was gobsmacked by how closed-down to anything other than existing work, publications or reference points the part of ‘The System’ where the thinking is supposed to be happening really is.

But I was, most importantly, deeply concerned, by how thinkers and visionaries seem able only to visualise the future of our world and how everything works or rather will work, in terms of what we already know and accept.

It’s a situation that is not unlike the whole of the post-European Referendum stages of the Brexit debacle that were handled so badly. Fundamentally because the stepping-off point was considered to be where the UK was or had been, rather than where it would actually be, whenever the genuine point of the UKs departure from Membership of the EU would come.

Nobody in government stepped outside of the accepted, backwards-looking paradigm and began to consider that you cannot have a new way of being, if you don’t leave the old one behind.

Perhaps they did. And that’s an important point for us all to consider too.

Having a future System for life that has solved all the problems that we have today; that runs effectively in the ways that it should and most importantly which creates and maintains an experience of life and living which is Balanced, Fair and Just for all, has very little in common with what we have and what we are experiencing in this ‘Old World’, today.

A Future that works for all is an abstract concept in todays terms. Not least of all, because experiencing the level of change needed, that will benefit everyone, AND taking the stuff from today that so may want to keep because they think its special and benefits them, are mutually exclusive pathways.

These are journeys that lead to two very different destinations, that will in every sense deliver alternative outcomes that are worlds apart.

The future is about empowerment, re-enfranchisement, sovereignty and the restoration of accountability and respect for everyone at the individual or personal level, all within the local community and environmental sense itself.

It is alarming, because Fairness, Balance, Justice and a world that gives everyone the ability to be Happy, Healthy, Safe and Secure does not resemble anything that the masses are genuinely experiencing beyond all the carefully crafted narratives, now.

Those who are ‘high on The System’ that we have in this ‘Old World’ immediately visualise such suggestions as being a threat to what they ‘have’ today.

And they guard what they have jealously too. Because they believe it is their right to have more and to be able to have even more.

So much of what is wrong for so many of us today is itself the direct, indirect and often many times removed impact of some having lives that work disproportionately well for them. Whilst the often-unseen consequence is very little that is good across all areas of an otherwise unnecessarily hard life for so many more of us.

We MUST put People at the heart of everything and leave all that is bad from today’s Old World Moneyocracy behind.

We cannot and will not achieve this, if those who have more than they need today, will not accept that everyone can have a great life, IF we all have unhindered access to all that we need too.

The Future that will work for us all, is about us all.

The Future will work for each of us in very different ways to how we see and experience the whole thing now.

The question is how we disentangle ourselves or what will happen that will disentangle us all from everything that is wrong with the world today, and stop us manifesting everything bad that will keep us in the darkest parts of the past.